{"id":54439,"date":"2024-05-25T00:37:30","date_gmt":"2024-05-24T22:37:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=54439"},"modified":"2024-05-24T17:34:41","modified_gmt":"2024-05-24T15:34:41","slug":"jiri-paroubek-britanie-jde-4-cervence-k-volbam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/25\/jiri-paroubek-britanie-jde-4-cervence-k-volbam\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Brit\u00e1nie jde 4. \u010dervence k volb\u00e1m"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Je to podruh\u00e9 od konce II. sv\u011bt. v\u00e1lky, kdy britsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r, do jeho\u017e pln\u00e9 kompetence to spad\u00e1, rozhodl o vyps\u00e1n\u00ed v\u0161eobecn\u00fdch voleb ve Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nii v pr\u00e1zdninov\u00e9m term\u00ednu. P\u0159itom je to term\u00edn, s ohledem na fixaci Angli\u010dan\u016f a Skot\u016f na fotbal, pon\u011bkud zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed. Volby prob\u011bhnou uprost\u0159ed fotbalov\u00e9ho mistrovstv\u00ed Evropy, kde mohou oba britsk\u00e9 t\u00fdmy sehr\u00e1t v\u00fdznamnou roli.<\/strong><\/p>\n

O Brit\u00e1nii a o jej\u00edm premi\u00e9rovi Sunakovi sly\u0161\u00edme v\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b sp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00a0souvislosti s\u00a0jeho n\u00e1v\u0161t\u011bvami Kyjeva a s\u00a0dod\u00e1vkami britsk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b. Sunak a jeho konzervativn\u00ed strana pat\u0159\u00ed k\u00a0nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm podporovatel\u016fm politiky Bidenovi administrativy v\u00a0Evrop\u011b a na Ukrajin\u011b zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165. Sunakova strana v\u00a0pr\u016fb\u011bhu volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed vym\u011bnila dva premi\u00e9ry. Prvn\u00ed premi\u00e9r v\u00a0kon\u010d\u00edc\u00edm volebn\u00edm obdob\u00ed, Boris Johnson, je nyn\u00ed ministrem zahrani\u010d\u00ed. I to vypov\u00edd\u00e1 o tom, jak silnou pozici v\u00a0konzervativn\u00ed stran\u011b st\u00e1le m\u00e1. A tak\u00e9 o tom, \u017ee konzervativn\u00ed strana v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b trp\u00ed nedostatkem k\u00e1dr\u016f vhodn\u00fdch pro vl\u00e1dn\u00ed funkci. Premi\u00e9r Sunak je aktivn\u00edm hinduistou, mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b bohat\u00fdm \u010dlov\u011bkem. V\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdch britsk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch se objevuj\u00ed spekulace, \u017ee v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce jeho rodina zbohatla natolik, \u017ee u\u017e je bohat\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e britsk\u00fd monarcha Karel III.<\/p>\n

Strana se v\u0161ak Sunakovi rozpad\u00e1. A strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 tory\u016f z\u0159ejm\u011b do\u0161li k\u00a0n\u00e1zoru, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt je\u0161t\u011b podstatn\u011b h\u016f\u0159e, pokud se term\u00edn voleb bude d\u00e1le odkl\u00e1dat (prakticky nejzaz\u0161\u00ed term\u00edn je p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok v dubnu). I konzervativci ur\u010dit\u011b maj\u00ed k\u00a0dispozici pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, zpracovan\u00e9 agenturou Ipsos, kter\u00e9 tak trochu mohou vl\u00edt m\u00edrn\u00fd optimismus do \u017eil str\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00ed konzervativn\u00ed strany. Labourist\u00e9 v\u00a0sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b maj\u00ed v\u00a0pr\u016fzkumech ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed 44% podpory voli\u010d\u016f, co\u017e by v\u00a0britsk\u00e9m v\u011bt\u0161inov\u00e9m volebn\u00edm syst\u00e9mu, v n\u011bm\u017e se rozhoduje prostou v\u011bt\u0161inou v 1. kole) znamenalo zdrcuj\u00edc\u00ed labouristickou v\u011bt\u0161inu v\u00a0Doln\u00ed sn\u011bmovn\u011b. Konzervativci toti\u017e maj\u00ed v\u00a0pr\u016fzkumech pouh\u00fdch 20%. Sunak se nepochybn\u011b svou strategi\u00ed pokus\u00ed zastavit rozpad konzervativn\u00ed strany, unaven\u00e9 po 14 letech u moci. A chce stranu stmelit. M\u00e1 na to v\u00a0podstat\u011b p\u011bt t\u00fddn\u016f.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Jeho nad\u011bj\u00ed je, \u017ee v\u016fdce labourist\u016f Keir Starmer je moment\u00e1ln\u011b ve\u0159ejnost\u00ed vn\u00edm\u00e1n o n\u011bco m\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011b, ne\u017eli byl v\u00a0roce 2014 tehdej\u0161\u00ed l\u00eddr Labour Party Ed Miliband (a ten nakonec p\u0159esto volby prohr\u00e1l). A krom\u011b tohoto faktu labourist\u00e9 ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0rokem 2014 nejsou vn\u00edm\u00e1ni tak p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011b jako strana, kter\u00e1 dok\u00e1\u017ee s \u00fasp\u011bchem vl\u00e1dnout a dok\u00e1\u017ee sestavit \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd vl\u00e1dn\u00ed t\u00fdm. Sunak z\u0159ejm\u011b spol\u00e9h\u00e1 na to, \u017ee se mu poda\u0159\u00ed odrolit ob\u0159\u00ed n\u00e1skok labourist\u016f v\u00a0pr\u016fzkumech ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed. Ale up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, tak \u00fapln\u011b si neum\u00edm p\u0159edstavit argumenty, kter\u00e9 by ke zvratu v podpo\u0159e ve\u0159ejnosti mohly konzervativce p\u0159iv\u00e9st. Podle listu The Guardian Starmer\u016fv postup v politice odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed velmi opatrn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup Tonyho Blaira v\u00a0letech 1996 a 1997, tedy p\u0159ed velk\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm labourist\u016f ve volb\u00e1ch v\u00a0roce 1997 (prvn\u00edm ze \u010dty\u0159 volebn\u00edch v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Tonyho Blaira). Tehdy labouristick\u00e9ho l\u00eddra pro jeho opatrnost ozna\u010dovali jako \u201emu\u017ee nesouc\u00edho bezcennou v\u00e1zu z\u00a0obdob\u00ed dynastie Ming p\u0159es velice nale\u0161t\u011bnou podlahu\u201c. Labourist\u00e9 se soust\u0159e\u010fuj\u00ed na n\u011bkolik po\u017eadavk\u016f, kter\u00e9 Starmer opakuje od po\u010d\u00e1tku sv\u00e9ho p\u0159edsednictv\u00ed ve stran\u011b:<\/p>\n