{"id":54418,"date":"2024-05-25T00:41:08","date_gmt":"2024-05-24T22:41:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=54418"},"modified":"2024-05-24T16:23:19","modified_gmt":"2024-05-24T14:23:19","slug":"valka-mezi-izraelem-a-iranem-je-na-spadnuti-zde-je-duvod","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/25\/valka-mezi-izraelem-a-iranem-je-na-spadnuti-zde-je-duvod\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e1lka mezi Izraelem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem je na spadnut\u00ed: Zde je d\u016fvod"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

Kdy\u017e sledujeme, jak nap\u011bt\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b rok od roku roste, nen\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 uhodnout d\u016fvod oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed. D\u016fvod spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00edtomnosti relativn\u011b rovn\u00fdch a konkuren\u010dn\u00edch mocnost\u00ed v regionu, od \u00cdr\u00e1nu a Turecka po Izrael, Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii a Egypt. Tyto mocnosti maj\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 c\u00edle a jsou podporov\u00e1ny r\u016fzn\u00fdmi glob\u00e1ln\u00edmi mocnostmi, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b tak\u00e9 r\u016fzn\u00e9, protich\u016fdn\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b Izraele a \u00cdr\u00e1nu existuje n\u011bkolik faktor\u016f, kter\u00e9 odli\u0161uj\u00ed jejich konkurenci od konkurence ostatn\u00edch region\u00e1ln\u00edch mocnost\u00ed. Ob\u011b zem\u011b disponuj\u00ed \u0161irokou \u0161k\u00e1lou zdroj\u016f. Ob\u011b zem\u011b maj\u00ed vazby na zcela odli\u0161n\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed aliance. Ob\u011b zem\u011b sd\u00edlej\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 oblasti vlivu, jako je S\u00fdrie, Ir\u00e1k, Libanon a Jemen. Krom\u011b toho maj\u00ed ob\u011b zem\u011b odli\u0161n\u00e9 politick\u00e9 ideologie, co\u017e je faktor, kter\u00fd z nich ud\u011blal mnoho pro to, aby se staly zaho\u0159kl\u00fdmi region\u00e1ln\u00edmi konkurenty a nep\u0159\u00e1teli.<\/span><\/p>\n

V \u010d\u00edslech je Izrael po Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii druhou nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ekonomikou na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b s HDP 522 miliard dolar\u016f (USD). \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd HDP je 388 miliard dolar\u016f, co\u017e je \u010d\u00edslo, kter\u00e9 je tak\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 z hlediska ekonomick\u00e9 s\u00edly. Izrael je d\u00edky sv\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 poloze d\u016fle\u017eitou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch obchodn\u00edch cest mezi Asi\u00ed, Evropou a Severn\u00ed Amerikou, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 velkou v\u00fdhodu d\u00edky sv\u00e9 poloze hlavn\u00ed tranzitn\u00ed trasy mezi Asi\u00ed a Evropou.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1n p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm udr\u017euje velmi \u00fazk\u00e9 vztahy se dv\u011bma hlavn\u00edmi mocnostmi, Ruskem a \u010c\u00ednou, a to ve v\u0161ech oblastech, politick\u00e9, vojensk\u00e9 i ekonomick\u00e9. Izrael je na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm spojencem Z\u00e1padu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici jdou dokonce tak daleko, \u017ee Izrael naz\u00fdvaj\u00ed \u201eroz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00edm americk\u00e9 zem\u011b mimo jej\u00ed hranice\u201c. Protich\u016fdn\u00e1 povaha glob\u00e1ln\u00edch alianc\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b d\u00e1le zkomplikuje vztahy mezi ob\u011bma mocnostmi, proto\u017ee jak \u00cdr\u00e1n, tak Izrael budou muset v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u201esbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed\u201c nebo nep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zv\u00e1\u017eit z\u00e1jmy sv\u00fdch glob\u00e1ln\u00edch podporovatel\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael m\u00e1 druh\u00fd nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00fd rozpo\u010det na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b \u2013 po Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii \u2013 a 16. ve sv\u011btov\u00e9m \u017eeb\u0159\u00ed\u010dku. Obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det Tel Avivu na rok 2023 se odhaduje na 27,5 miliardy dolar\u016f. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd rozpo\u010det se na druhou stranu loni odhaduje na 10,3 miliardy dolar\u016f. Oba rozpo\u010dty jsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za velk\u00e9 a oba rozpo\u010dty slou\u017e\u00ed k financov\u00e1n\u00ed pokro\u010dil\u00e9ho v\u00fdzkumu v\u00fdvoje zbran\u00ed. Proto jsou ob\u011b arm\u00e1dy pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za dob\u0159e vybaven\u00e9 a dob\u0159e vycvi\u010den\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael je jadern\u00e1 mocnost a m\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed letectvo na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, nemluv\u011b o jeho modern\u00edm arzen\u00e1lu \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el a raket dlouh\u00e9ho doletu. Tel Aviv se tak\u00e9 t\u011b\u0161\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 podpo\u0159e ze strany USA, Velk\u00e9 Brit\u00e1nie, N\u011bmecka a dal\u0161\u00edch technologicky vysp\u011bl\u00fdch arm\u00e1d. \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je v\u0161ak v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed co do po\u010dtu voj\u00e1k\u016f a po\u010dtu mechanizovan\u00fdch stroj\u016f a d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch sil. Teher\u00e1n v posledn\u00edch letech neust\u00e1le vyv\u00edj\u00ed rakety dlouh\u00e9ho doletu schopn\u00e9 zas\u00e1hnout jak\u00fdkoli bod v Izraeli a je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee m\u00e1 velkou flotilu pokro\u010dil\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch dron\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b zem\u011b maj\u00ed dob\u0159e prozkouman\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 programy, ale izraelsk\u00fd je mnohem pokro\u010dilej\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd. Izrael je zn\u00e1m\u00fd t\u00edm, \u017ee m\u00e1 ve sv\u00e9m netradi\u010dn\u00edm arzen\u00e1lu jadern\u00e9 bomby, zat\u00edmco \u00cdr\u00e1n den co den pracuje na rozvoji sv\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu a nejev\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky zastaven\u00ed. \u00cdr\u00e1n zjevn\u011b moc dob\u0159e v\u00ed, \u017ee podom\u00e1cku vyroben\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 bomba je jedinou z\u00e1rukou, jak zabr\u00e1nit p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9mu izraelsk\u00e9mu pou\u017eit\u00ed jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed proti jeho ozbrojen\u00fdm sil\u00e1m nebo zemi. Proto je ukon\u010den\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu nebo jeho demont\u00e1\u017e v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 region\u00e1ln\u00ed atmosf\u00e9\u0159e \u201enerealistick\u00e1\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00edmu pokroku \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho jadern\u00e9ho programu, pokud se Teher\u00e1n p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed v\u00fdvoji jadern\u00e9 bomby, existuje velk\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee Izrael nakonec za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n a zni\u010d\u00ed jeho jadern\u00fd program. Nav\u00edc mnoho izraelsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee by rad\u011bji jednali s \u00cdr\u00e1nem bez jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed ne\u017e s \u00cdr\u00e1nem vyzbrojen\u00fdm jadern\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, \u00cdr\u00e1n je ji\u017e na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b mocn\u00fd, expanzivn\u00ed a vysoce vlivn\u00fd a v\u00fdvoj sv\u00e9 prvn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 bomby Tel-Avivu zt\u00ed\u017e\u00ed situaci a je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce omez\u00ed jeho vliv.<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b jadern\u00e9ho dilematu mezi t\u011bmito dv\u011bma st\u00e1ty sd\u00edlej\u00ed oba obrovsk\u00e9 \u201eoblasti vlivu\u201c \u2013 jako S\u00fdrie a Libanon \u2013 kter\u00e9 zkr\u00e1tily vzd\u00e1lenost mezi ob\u011bma arm\u00e1dami a zv\u00fd\u0161ily nap\u011bt\u00ed ne\u017e kdy d\u0159\u00edve. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ambas\u00e1dy v Dama\u0161ku je toho dobr\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem. Dnes u\u017e Tel-Aviv a Teher\u00e1n nejsou region\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnosti odd\u011blen\u00e9 n\u00e1razn\u00edkov\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi, ale mocnosti, kter\u00e9 bojuj\u00ed ve v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch na \u201ep\u0159\u00edm\u00fdch hranic\u00edch\u201c, a\u0165 u\u017e v S\u00fdrii, Jemenu nebo Libanonu. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, \u010d\u00edm bl\u00ed\u017ee jsou arm\u00e1dy k sob\u011b, t\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed je riziko p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud bude \u00cdr\u00e1n pokra\u010dovat v roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch jadern\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed a Izrael bude tyto schopnosti pova\u017eovat za \u201en\u00e1rodn\u00ed hrozbu\u201c pro svou budoucnost, nakonec mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi vypukne v\u00e1lka. Ve\u0161ker\u00fd ned\u00e1vn\u00fd v\u00fdvoj logicky vede k tomuto alarmuj\u00edc\u00edmu z\u00e1v\u011bru a ne k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu jin\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kdy\u017e sledujeme, jak nap\u011bt\u00ed na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b rok od roku roste, nen\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 uhodnout d\u016fvod…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":39720,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54418"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54418"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54418\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39720"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54418"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54418"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54418"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}