{"id":54234,"date":"2024-05-22T00:43:31","date_gmt":"2024-05-21T22:43:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=54234"},"modified":"2024-05-21T16:47:27","modified_gmt":"2024-05-21T14:47:27","slug":"jeffrey-a-tucker-uz-zadne-nebezpecne-vypocty","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/22\/jeffrey-a-tucker-uz-zadne-nebezpecne-vypocty\/","title":{"rendered":"Jeffrey A. Tucker: U\u017e \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

Nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e lid\u00e9 otev\u0159en\u011bji mluv\u00ed o po\u0161kozen\u00ed vakc\u00ednami, jsme neust\u00e1le uji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1ni, \u017ee o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed celkov\u011b st\u00e1lo za to. Znovu a znovu se objevuje my\u0161lenka: T\u011bm zran\u011bn\u00fdm to za to nest\u00e1lo. Jejich \u00fajmu nezm\u00edr\u0148uje ani v\u011bdom\u00ed, \u017ee druh\u00fdm bylo pomo\u017eeno.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak\u00fd p\u0159esn\u00fd benchmark chceme pou\u017e\u00edt pro stanoven\u00ed n\u00e1klad\u016f a p\u0159\u00ednos\u016f pro populaci jako celek? Mnoho milion\u016f lid\u00ed bylo nuceno podstoupit experiment\u00e1ln\u00ed injekce, kter\u00e9 necht\u011bli ani nepot\u0159ebovali. Mnoz\u00ed byli zran\u011bni a nem\u011bli \u0161anci na od\u0161kodn\u011bn\u00ed. To je hluboce nespravedliv\u00e9. K otev\u0159en\u00ed utilit\u00e1rn\u00edho \u00fa\u010dtu se \u010dlov\u011bk nemus\u00ed uchylovat k p\u0159epychov\u00fdm filozofick\u00fdm hypot\u00e9z\u00e1m (probl\u00e9m s voz\u00edkem, dilema z\u00e1chrann\u00e9ho \u010dlunu, tlust\u00fd mu\u017e na m\u016fstku atd.).<\/span><\/p>\n

A p\u0159itom pr\u00e1v\u011b takov\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed zast\u00e1nci celospole\u010densk\u00fdch pandemick\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed jako d\u016fkaz, \u017ee to m\u016f\u017eeme a m\u011bli bychom ud\u011blat znovu. N\u00e1klady jsou vysok\u00e9, p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed, ale p\u0159\u00ednos stoj\u00ed za to.<\/span><\/p>\n

No, mo\u017en\u00e1 ne. T\u011b\u017eko \u0159\u00edct, ale budou na tom d\u00e1l pracovat a rozhodnou se v prav\u00fd \u010das.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tak tvrd\u00ed profesor John M. Barry. Jeho kniha o pandemii ch\u0159ipky z roku 1918 poskytla impuls pro ve\u0161ker\u00e9 pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed pandemie pot\u00e9, co ji v roce 2005 p\u0159e\u010detl George W. Bush. Barryho ned\u00e1vn\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek v New York Times bije na poplach ohledn\u011b pta\u010d\u00ed ch\u0159ipky, stejn\u011b jako to v sou\u010dasnosti d\u011bl\u00e1 cel\u00fd pandemick\u00fd pr\u016fmysl, a tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee celkov\u011b byla opat\u0159en\u00ed minule skv\u011bl\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eAustr\u00e1lie, N\u011bmecko a \u0160v\u00fdcarsko pat\u0159\u00ed mezi zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 prok\u00e1zaly, \u017ee tato opat\u0159en\u00ed mohou b\u00fdt \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e1,\u201c tvrd\u00ed, p\u0159esto\u017ee v\u0161echny t\u0159i zem\u011b se zm\u00edtaj\u00ed v reakci na pandemii, kter\u00e1 je st\u00e1le strhuj\u00edc\u00ed politikou a odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed se v ekonomick\u00e9m \u00fapadku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co je to za nep\u0159\u00edm\u00fd d\u016fkaz? Nebudete tomu v\u011b\u0159it: po\u010det \u00famrt\u00ed na ch\u0159ipku dramaticky klesl. „Opat\u0159en\u00ed v oblasti ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho zdrav\u00ed zaveden\u00e1 ke zpomalen\u00ed Covidu v\u00fdznamn\u011b p\u0159isp\u011bla k tomuto poklesu a tato opat\u0159en\u00ed m\u011bla nepochybn\u011b dopad i na Covid.“<\/span><\/p>\n

To je po\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fd kus. Pokud sp\u00e1l\u00edte d\u016fm, abyste zabili krysy, a sel\u017eete, ale zabijete dom\u00e1c\u00ed mazl\u00ed\u010dky, ur\u010dit\u011b m\u00e1te n\u011bjak\u00e9 pr\u00e1vo na vychloub\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti se vede velk\u00e1 debata o tom, pro\u010d se zd\u00e1, \u017ee sez\u00f3nn\u00ed ch\u0159ipka b\u011bhem pandemie t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 vymizela. Jednou z teori\u00ed je, \u017ee ch\u0159ipka byla p\u0159\u00edtomn\u00e1 jako v\u017edy, ale byla nazv\u00e1na Covid, proto\u017ee testy PCR zachytily i mal\u00e9 prvky patogenu a finan\u010dn\u00ed pob\u00eddky zp\u016fsobily, \u017ee jeden vytla\u010dil druh\u00fd. N\u011bco na tom ur\u010dit\u011b je.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed teorie zahrnuje vyt\u011bsn\u011bn\u00ed: z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed virus vytla\u010duje m\u00e9n\u011b z\u00e1va\u017en\u00fd, co\u017e je empiricky testovateln\u00e1 hypot\u00e9za.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00ed vysv\u011btlen\u00ed by skute\u010dn\u011b mohlo souviset s intervencemi. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee mnoho lid\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1valo doma a shroma\u017e\u010fov\u00e1n\u00ed bylo zak\u00e1z\u00e1no, skute\u010dn\u011b existovalo m\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost\u00ed pro \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed patogen\u016f. Ale i kdyby to byla pravda, efekt nen\u00ed zdaleka dokonal\u00fd, jak v\u00edme z ne\u00fasp\u011bchu v\u0161ech pokus\u016f dos\u00e1hnout nulov\u00e9ho Covidu. Antarktida\u00a0<\/span>je<\/span><\/a>\u00a0toho n\u00e1zorn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak ji\u017e bylo \u0159e\u010deno, a i kdyby to byla pravda, neexistuje nic, co by mohlo zabr\u00e1nit \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed v populaci po otev\u0159en\u00ed, pokud by n\u00e1sledky nebyly je\u0161t\u011b hor\u0161\u00ed, proto\u017ee imunitn\u00ed syst\u00e9m je oslaben v d\u016fsledku nedostate\u010dn\u00e9 expozice.<\/span><\/p>\n

Barry to uzn\u00e1v\u00e1, ale \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee \u201etakov\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed mohou dos\u00e1hnout dvou d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f\u201c. Prvn\u00edm je zabr\u00e1nit p\u0159et\u00ed\u017een\u00ed nemocnic. Dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle m\u016f\u017ee vy\u017eadovat opakovan\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed v oblasti ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho zdrav\u00ed ke zpomalen\u00ed \u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed viru. Ale ve\u0159ejnost by to m\u011bla akceptovat, proto\u017ee c\u00edl je srozumiteln\u00fd, \u00fazk\u00fd a dob\u0159e definovan\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je v\u0161echno v po\u0159\u00e1dku, ale je tu jedna velk\u00e1, do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed chyba. V\u011bt\u0161ina nemocnic ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech nebyla p\u0159epln\u011bn\u00e1. Je dokonce ot\u00e1zkou, zda a do jak\u00e9 m\u00edry byly nemocnice v New Yorku p\u0159et\u00ed\u017eeny, ale i kdyby ano, nem\u011blo to nic spole\u010dn\u00e9ho s nemocnicemi ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed zem\u011b. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b podle pl\u00e1nu Grand Central Plan byly v\u0161echny nemocnice uzav\u0159eny pro diagnostick\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dely a voliteln\u00e9 operace. Velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zem\u011b ji\u017e nem\u011bly nemocnice a ve v\u00edce ne\u017e 300 nemocnic\u00edch byl propu\u0161t\u011bn o\u0161et\u0159ovatelsk\u00fd person\u00e1l.<\/span><\/p>\n

Celkov\u011b tento pl\u00e1n (a kdo ho prosadil?) p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 nevy\u0161el.<\/span><\/p>\n

Druh\u00fd \u00fadajn\u00fd p\u0159\u00ednos je p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u00fd: uzav\u0159en\u00ed vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed \u010das \u201epro identifikaci, v\u00fdrobu a distribuci l\u00e9\u010div a vakc\u00edn a pro l\u00e9ka\u0159e, aby se nau\u010dili \u0159\u00eddit z\u00e1sobov\u00e1n\u00ed st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edmi zdroji\u201c. To je tak\u00e9 zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed tvrzen\u00ed, proto\u017ee \u00fa\u0159ady skute\u010dn\u011b st\u00e1hly terapeutika z reg\u00e1l\u016f po cel\u00e9 zemi, i kdy\u017e je p\u0159edepisovali l\u00e9ka\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dadajn\u00e1 vakc\u00edna nezabr\u00e1nila infekci ani p\u0159enosu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je tak\u00e9 n\u011bco skute\u010dn\u011b krut\u00e9ho na pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed donucovac\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f k udr\u017een\u00ed imunologick\u00e9 naivity populace v o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed vakc\u00edny, kter\u00e1 m\u016f\u017ee a nemus\u00ed fungovat a nad\u011bl\u00e1 v\u00edce \u0161kody ne\u017e u\u017eitku. Ale p\u0159esn\u011b takov\u00fd je pl\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejznepokojiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed Barryho \u010dl\u00e1nku, krom\u011b jeho nepravdiv\u00e9ho tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee masky funguj\u00ed, je toto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed: \u201eOt\u00e1zkou tedy nen\u00ed, zda tato opat\u0159en\u00ed funguj\u00ed. To oni d\u011blaj\u00ed. Ot\u00e1zkou je, zda jejich p\u0159\u00ednosy p\u0159eva\u017euj\u00ed nad soci\u00e1ln\u00edmi a ekonomick\u00fdmi n\u00e1klady. Toto je pr\u016fb\u011b\u017en\u00fd \u00fa\u010det.<\/span><\/p>\n

To n\u00e1s p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed zp\u011bt k v\u00fdhod\u00e1m a n\u00e1klad\u016fm. Jedna v\u011bc je pro n\u011bkoho, kdo \u010del\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9mu mor\u00e1ln\u00edmu nebo osobn\u00edmu probl\u00e9mu, prov\u00e9st tento v\u00fdpo\u010det a \u017e\u00edt s n\u00e1sledky. Ka\u017ed\u00fd z v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00fdch filozofick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f \u2013 trolejov\u00e1 auta a z\u00e1chrann\u00e9 \u010dluny \u2013 zahrnuje osobn\u00ed volby a individu\u00e1ln\u00ed rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed. V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pandemick\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed a reakce jsou to skupiny intelektu\u00e1l\u016f a byrokrat\u016f, kdo rozhoduje za spole\u010dnost jako celek. Naposledy u\u010dinili tato rozhodnut\u00ed pro cel\u00fd sv\u011bt s katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edmi n\u00e1sledky.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ed mnoha stovkami let a pot\u00e9 se z\u00e1padn\u00ed mysl rozhodla, \u017ee d\u00e1t elit\u00e1m takovou moc je \u0161patn\u00fd n\u00e1pad. Nem\u011bli bychom riskovat kalkulaci n\u00e1klad\u016f a p\u0159\u00ednos\u016f n\u00e1tlaku pro miliardy lid\u00ed, a to ani s AI (kter\u00e1 podle Barryho probl\u00e9my vy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b). M\u00edsto toho jsme se obecn\u011b rozhodli, \u017ee je lep\u0161\u00ed p\u0159ijmout svobodu, ne\u017e dovolit mal\u00e9 elit\u011b v\u011bdc\u016f, aby prov\u00e1d\u011bla \u201epr\u016fb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty\u201c pro n\u00e1\u0161 \u00fadajn\u00fd prosp\u011bch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z mnoha probl\u00e9m\u016f v\u011bdeck\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu elitn\u00edho vl\u00e1dnut\u00ed v oblasti infek\u010dn\u00edch nemoc\u00ed je to, \u017ee populace jako celek nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak vyhodnotit pl\u00e1ny a n\u00e1roky, kter\u00e9 jim p\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1 samotn\u00e1 vl\u00e1da. Bylo n\u00e1m \u0159e\u010deno, \u017ee Covid bude m\u00edt za n\u00e1sledek stra\u0161nou smrt pro celou populaci, ale uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee je to p\u0159esn\u011b to, co ostatn\u00ed \u0159ekli v \u00fanoru 2020: nemoc, kter\u00e1 postihuje p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b star\u00e9 a nemohouc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Podobn\u011b je tomu s pta\u010d\u00ed ch\u0159ipkou, o kter\u00e9 se \u010dtvrt stolet\u00ed tvrdilo, \u017ee zabila polovinu lidstva. Dosud ka\u017ed\u00fd skok ze zv\u00ed\u0159at na \u010dlov\u011bka vedl k vyl\u00e9\u010diteln\u00fdm onemocn\u011bn\u00edm, jako je z\u00e1n\u011bt spojivek.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale \u0159ekn\u011bme, \u017ee pta\u010d\u00ed ch\u0159ipka byla opravdu \u0161patn\u00e1. M\u00e1me zase v\u011b\u0159it v\u011bdc\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed n\u00e1s m\u011bli minule pod kontrolou? Toto je Barryho prosba: vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k \u201ed\u016fv\u011b\u0159e ve vl\u00e1du\u201c. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 chce, aby vl\u00e1da m\u011bla pravomoc cenzurovat disent. Nepravdiv\u011b tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee minule \u201enedo\u0161lo k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9mu organizovan\u00e9mu \u00fasil\u00ed \u010delit dezinformac\u00edm na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch\u201c, p\u0159esto\u017ee o tom existuje dostatek d\u016fkaz\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

To, co opravdu pot\u0159ebujeme, je v\u00edce informac\u00ed, v\u011bt\u0161inou od lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed nesouhlas\u00ed. Barry mimo jin\u00e9 oslavuje \u00fa\u010dinnost dexamethasonu proti Covidu. Ale nezmi\u0148uje, \u017ee \u201eexperti\u201c v \u00fanoru 2020 \u0159ekli, \u017ee dexamethason by se nem\u011bl pou\u017e\u00edvat. Kdybyste se \u0159\u00eddili Lancetem, v\u016fbec byste ho nepou\u017eili. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, Barryho \u010dl\u00e1nek vyvrac\u00ed s\u00e1m sebe t\u00edm, \u017ee jednodu\u0161e ukazuje, \u017ee se odborn\u00edci v tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b beznad\u011bjn\u011b m\u00fdlili.<\/span><\/p>\n

A up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, zn\u00e1 ka\u017ed\u00fd detail. Nepochybuji, \u017ee kdybychom se se\u0161li na koktejlech, souhlasil by s v\u011bt\u0161inou tohoto \u010dl\u00e1nku. Pohotov\u011b by ale tak\u00e9 pouk\u00e1zal na to, \u017ee New York Times si \u010dl\u00e1nek p\u0159eci jen objednal, a tak m\u016f\u017ee \u0159\u00edci jen tolik. Prost\u011b jedn\u00e1 strategicky, v\u00ed\u0161?<\/span><\/p>\n

To je probl\u00e9m, kter\u00fd dnes m\u00e1me t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 u v\u0161ech intelektu\u00e1l\u016f ve vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed t\u0159\u00edd\u011b. Na faktech se tolik neshodneme. Neshodneme se na tom, kolik z fakt\u016f m\u016f\u017eeme p\u0159iznat. A to stav\u00ed Brownstone do velmi nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9 pozice, proto\u017ee je to m\u00edsto, kde se ve\u0159ejn\u011b \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 to, co v\u011bt\u0161ina znal\u00fdch \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 jen za zav\u0159en\u00fdmi dve\u0159mi. D\u011bl\u00e1me to, proto\u017ee v to v\u011b\u0159\u00edme.<\/span><\/p>\n

To v\u0161e podtrhuje \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed bod, \u017ee vl\u00e1d\u011b a jej\u00edm p\u0159idru\u017een\u00fdm v\u011bdc\u016fm prost\u011b nelze v\u011b\u0159it s t\u00edmto druhem moci. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 zku\u0161enost ukazuje pro\u010d. Vybudovali jsme na\u0161e spole\u010dnosti tak, aby m\u011bly z\u00e1kony a zaru\u010den\u00e9 svobody, kter\u00e9 nelze nikdy odvolat, a to ani b\u011bhem pandemie. Nikdy nem\u00e1 cenu pou\u017e\u00edvat moc st\u00e1tu ke zni\u010den\u00ed \u017eivot\u016f jen proto, aby n\u011bkdo mohl m\u00edt abstraktn\u00ed p\u0159edstavu o tom, co je obecn\u00e9 dobro.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e lid\u00e9 otev\u0159en\u011bji mluv\u00ed o po\u0161kozen\u00ed vakc\u00ednami, jsme neust\u00e1le uji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1ni, \u017ee o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed celkov\u011b st\u00e1lo…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":54235,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[23,259,2452],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54234"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=54234"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/54234\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/54235"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=54234"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=54234"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=54234"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}