{"id":53891,"date":"2024-05-17T00:51:28","date_gmt":"2024-05-16T22:51:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=53891"},"modified":"2024-05-16T17:20:03","modified_gmt":"2024-05-16T15:20:03","slug":"uriel-araujo-saudsko-iranska-jaderna-dohoda-je-mozna-rika-predseda-iranske-atomove-organizace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/17\/uriel-araujo-saudsko-iranska-jaderna-dohoda-je-mozna-rika-predseda-iranske-atomove-organizace\/","title":{"rendered":"Uriel Araujo: Sa\u00fadsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 dohoda je mo\u017en\u00e1, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 p\u0159edseda \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 atomov\u00e9 organizace"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Podle agentury Mehr News Agency<\/a>\u00a0(\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 poloofici\u00e1ln\u00ed tiskov\u00e1 agentura) je \u00cdr\u00e1n \u201ep\u0159ipraven\u201c spolupracovat se Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed v jadern\u00e9 oblasti. V nesm\u00edrn\u011b podhodnocen\u00e9m v\u00fdvoji jednal Mohammad Eslami, p\u0159edseda \u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 organizace pro atomovou energii (AEOI), se sa\u00fadskoarabsk\u00fdm velvyslancem v \u00cdr\u00e1nu Abdullahem bin Saudem Al-Anazim na okraj 1. mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed konference o jadern\u00e9 v\u011bd\u011b a technologii. 30. n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jadern\u00e1 konference v Isfah\u00e1nu 6. kv\u011btna – a\u00a0byla projedn\u00e1na<\/a>\u00a0mo\u017enost takov\u00e9 jadern\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce\u00a0.<\/p>\n

Za\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto roku, v lednu, sa\u00fadsk\u00fd velvyslanec Al-Anazi nal\u00e9hal na roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed v\u011bdeck\u00fdch vazeb mezi ob\u011bma zem\u011bmi. Novin\u00e1\u0159 Sabir Hussain, p\u00ed\u0161\u00edc\u00ed pro The Express Tribune, to dokonce pova\u017euje za \u201elekci\u201c pro P\u00e1kist\u00e1n a Indii a tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u201epokud se b\u00fdval\u00ed protivn\u00edci jako \u00cdr\u00e1n a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie mohou vydat na cestu jadern\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce, pro\u010d nezva\u017eovat podobnou trajektorii pro jadernou energii. soupe\u0159\u00ed P\u00e1kist\u00e1n a Indie?<\/p>\n

Je samoz\u0159ejm\u011b p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 brzy mluvit o takov\u00e9 potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci jako o hotov\u00e9 v\u011bci, ale prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed Mohammada Eslamiho je samo o sob\u011b pozoruhodn\u00e9 \u2013 zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b vezmeme-li v \u00favahu, \u017ee v roce 2018 sa\u00fadsk\u00fd korunn\u00ed princ Mohammed bin Salm\u00e1n tvrdil, \u017ee pokud \u00cdr\u00e1n z\u00edsk\u00e1 jadernou bombu, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie by \u201emus\u00edm dostat jeden\u201c \u2013 hrozba\u00a0se opakovala<\/a>\u00a0ji\u017e v z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 2023. Abychom ji pln\u011b pochopili, je pot\u0159eba n\u011bjak\u00fd kontext.<\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika a Kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie skute\u010dn\u011b prov\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed z\u00e1stupn\u00fd konflikt ji\u017e dlouhou dobu, jak je vid\u011bt v Jemenu, kde Kr\u00e1lovstv\u00ed bojuje s povstalci Houthi. S Abrahamov\u00fdmi dohodami z roku 2020 zes\u00edlily rozhovory o tom, \u017ee se Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie stane dal\u0161\u00ed bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed zem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 normalizuje vztahy s Izraelem. Prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lka v Gaze to v\u0161e samoz\u0159ejm\u011b zm\u011bnila \u2013 po\u0161kodila nejen\u00a0slo\u017eit\u00e9<\/a>\u00a0vztahy \u017eidovsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu s Tureckem, ale tak\u00e9 se Sa\u00fady. Washington samoz\u0159ejm\u011b st\u00e1le douf\u00e1, \u017ee prosad\u00ed takzvanou sa\u00fadsko-izraelskou \u201emegadohodu\u201c za ka\u017edou cenu. Sa\u00fadsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd faktor (s\u00e1m o sob\u011b napjat\u00fd) to v\u0161echno komplikuje.<\/p>\n

V \u0159\u00edjnu 2021, n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f po \u010dtvrt\u00e9m kole sa\u00fadsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch jedn\u00e1n\u00ed u stolu, jsem navzdory nap\u011bt\u00ed\u00a0napsal<\/a> o tom, jak by sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00ed Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie a \u00cdr\u00e1nu mohlo zm\u011bnit samotnou tv\u00e1\u0159 Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu. Takov\u00e9 rozhovory st\u00e1le prob\u00edhaj\u00ed a nap\u011bt\u00ed p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1. Nyn\u00ed, jak jsem ji\u017e zm\u00ednil, se na obzoru r\u00fdsuje mo\u017en\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 dohoda. Ani sa\u00fadsk\u00fd, ani \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd jadern\u00fd program nezahrnuj\u00ed atomov\u00e9 zbran\u011b, ale podle Tristana Volpeho (\u010dlov\u011bka z Programu jadern\u00e9 politiky Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) \u201ev tuto chv\u00edli je \u00cdr\u00e1n jedin\u00fdm velk\u00fdm protivn\u00edkem USA, kter\u00fd hromad\u00ed jadernou latenci m\u00edsto bomby.“<\/p>\n

Tak\u00e9 v roce 2021, v prosinci, jsem\u00a0komentoval<\/a>\u00a0pokrok dosa\u017een\u00fd nedostate\u010dn\u011b hl\u00e1\u0161en\u00fdm sa\u00fadsk\u00fdm jadern\u00fdm programem a historii sa\u00fadsko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce v oblasti jadern\u00e9 energie, kter\u00e1 znepokojuje Izrael i USA. Peking ve skute\u010dnosti pomohl vybudovat sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed na t\u011b\u017ebu uranov\u00e9ho \u017elut\u00e9ho kol\u00e1\u010de z uranov\u00e9 rudy \u2013 co\u017e je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd mezikrok. V b\u0159eznu 2023, po 6 letech, se ob\u011b nov\u011b vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed mocnosti dohodly, \u017ee kone\u010dn\u011b obnov\u00ed sv\u00e9 diplomatick\u00e9 vztahy v r\u00e1mci dohody zprost\u0159edkovan\u00e9 \u010c\u00ednou.<\/p>\n

Ve stejn\u00e9m v\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00e9m\u00a0\u010dl\u00e1nku<\/a>\u00a0z roku 2021 jsem tvrdil, \u017ee v tomto kontextu \u010d\u00ednsko-sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce by p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady v Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1du mohly ve skute\u010dnosti fungovat jako jak\u00fdsi most, proto\u017ee se hovo\u0159ilo o vzniku nov\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsko-sa\u00fadsko-p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 partnerstv\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na p\u0159\u00edstav Gwadar (v P\u00e1kist\u00e1nu na pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Arabsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e), jeho\u017e kontrolu Isl\u00e1m\u00e1b\u00e1d v roce 2013 p\u0159evedl na \u010d\u00ednskou st\u00e1tn\u00ed spole\u010dnost.<\/p>\n

Gwadar je st\u00e1le koncov\u00fdm bodem jednoho z pekingsk\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch koridor\u016f zahrnuj\u00edc\u00edch \u010d\u00ednskou iniciativu One Belt One Road Initiative a je tak\u00e9 sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u010c\u00ednsko-p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho koridoru (CPEC), \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edho pro \u010d\u00ednsko-p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vztahy. D\u00e1le jsem tvrdil, \u017ee ve sv\u011btle tohoto partnerstv\u00ed by s\u00e1m Peking mohl b\u00fdt prost\u0159edn\u00edkem mezi sa\u00fadsk\u00fdmi \u00fa\u0159ady v Rij\u00e1du a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi \u00fa\u0159ady v Teher\u00e1nu, pokud jde o jejich \u00fasil\u00ed o usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed. Tehdy relativn\u011b izolovan\u00e1 Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie pot\u0159ebovala nov\u00e9 spojence a vztahy se sv\u00fdm tradi\u010dn\u00edm americk\u00fdm spojencem byly po\u0161ramocen\u00e9.<\/p>\n

P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok, na konci roku 2022,\u00a0rozhodnut\u00ed OPEC z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti po Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii<\/a>\u00a0sn\u00ed\u017eit t\u011b\u017ebu ropy skute\u010dn\u011b znamenalo konec vztah\u016f mezi Washingtonem a Rij\u00e1dem (alespo\u0148 tak, jak je sv\u011bt dosud znal), v kontextu v\u0161eobecn\u00e9\u00a0\u00a0dedolarizace. trend<\/a>\u00a0. Petrodolar byl dlouho \u201epil\u00ed\u0159em z\u00e1padn\u00edho finan\u010dn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu\u201c, slovy Bhadrakumara (b\u00fdval\u00e9ho indick\u00e9ho diplomata). Podle Bhadrakumara m\u00e1 porozum\u011bn\u00ed mezi Moskvou a Rij\u00e1dem veden\u00fdm OPEC \u201epotenci\u00e1l zcela zm\u011bnit geopolitick\u00e9 vztahy na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b\u201c. To m\u016f\u017ee komukoli napov\u011bd\u011bt, jak d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 je Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie v \u0161ir\u0161\u00edm sch\u00e9matu v\u011bc\u00ed t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00edch se vznikaj\u00edc\u00edho polycentrick\u00e9ho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du.<\/p>\n

Daniel Byman, Doreen Horschig a Elizabeth Kos, v\u0161ichni t\u0159i v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci z Centra pro strategick\u00e1 a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed studia,\u00a0tvrd\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0, \u017ee civiln\u00ed jadern\u00fd program Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie by se mohl vyvinout ve v\u00fdvoj jadern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed ve sv\u011btle tzv. paradox stability-nestability\u201c, t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se sa\u00fadsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch vztah\u016f. Tito t\u0159i u\u010denci se tak\u00e9 ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee Washington \u201eztrat\u00ed\u201c podporu Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie pro normalizaci s Izraelem a \u201epostoup\u00ed\u201c vliv soupe\u0159\u016fm \u201ejako je \u010c\u00edna\u201c.<\/p>\n

Abych to shrnul, ve\u0161ker\u00fd v\u00fdvoj t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se sa\u00fadsko-\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce, dedolarizace,\u00a0expanze zem\u00ed BRICS<\/a>\u00a0, OPEC, petrodolaru a nav\u00edc potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed sa\u00fadsko-\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 dohoda m\u00e1 potenci\u00e1l zm\u011bnit tv\u00e1\u0159 ne jen Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod, ale i sv\u011bt, jak ho zn\u00e1me.<\/p>\n

Autor: Uriel Araujo<\/strong>, v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk se zam\u011b\u0159en\u00edm na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed a etnick\u00e9 konflikty<\/em><\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Podle agentury Mehr News Agency\u00a0(\u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 poloofici\u00e1ln\u00ed tiskov\u00e1 agentura) je \u00cdr\u00e1n \u201ep\u0159ipraven\u201c spolupracovat se Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":53892,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,924,38,1012],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53891"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53891"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53891\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53893,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53891\/revisions\/53893"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53892"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53891"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53891"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53891"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}