{"id":53515,"date":"2024-05-12T06:11:34","date_gmt":"2024-05-12T04:11:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=53515"},"modified":"2024-05-12T06:11:34","modified_gmt":"2024-05-12T04:11:34","slug":"michael-svatos-ruska-ofenziva-u-charkova-jeji-celkovy-zamysl-a-cile","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/12\/michael-svatos-ruska-ofenziva-u-charkova-jeji-celkovy-zamysl-a-cile\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva u Charkova, jej\u00ed celkov\u00fd z\u00e1mysl a c\u00edle"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva u Charkova, jej\u00ed celkov\u00fd z\u00e1mysl a c\u00edle. P\u0159esuny ukrajinsk\u00fdch vojsk z Don\u011bcka na Charkov v pln\u00e9m proudu. Don\u011bck\u00e1 skupina vojsk rusk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1la Mordvi\u010deva v\u010dera vrazila vojsk\u016fm gener\u00e1la Lapina v \u00fastrety. Putin chyst\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed obkli\u010dovac\u00ed operaci v historii v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b! Videa, fotky, mapy!<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Kyjevsk\u00e1 generalita v\u010dera proti postupuj\u00edc\u00edm jednotk\u00e1m gener\u00e1la Lapina vrhla sv\u00e9 nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zbran\u011b, samohybn\u00e9 dalekonosn\u00e9 houfnice Bohdana 155mm na \u010desk\u00e9m obrn\u011bn\u00e9m podvozku Tatra. Houfnice Bohadana se nyn\u00ed podle prezidenta Zelensk\u00e9ho pro pot\u0159eby ukrajinsk\u00e9 brann\u00e9 moci\u00a0kdesi tajn\u011b vyr\u00e1b\u011bj\u00ed tempem 8 kus\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b<\/em>.\u00a0Tempo jejich v\u00fdroby v\u0161ak bude zjevn\u011b nedostate\u010dn\u00e9, nebo\u0165 kan\u00e1ly banderovc\u016f v\u010dera lkaly, \u017ee houfnic\u00edm Bohdana se ani nepoda\u0159ilo prorazit do m\u00edsta boj\u016f u Charkova, a byly hromadn\u011b zni\u010deny je\u0161t\u011b na p\u0159\u00edstupov\u00fdch cest\u00e1ch k frontov\u00fdm lini\u00edm. Op\u011bt se tak potvrdilo, \u017ee koncepce levn\u00e9ho d\u011bla Caesar-155mm, kter\u00fdm se hodl\u00e1 v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch letech za miliardy vyzbrojit A\u010cR, je zhola chybn\u00e1.\u00a0\u00a0Tato d\u011bla nalo\u017een\u00e1 na obrn\u011bn\u00e9m kolov\u00e9m podvozku se na modern\u00edm boji\u0161ti ani nedok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eit na hranici sv\u00e9ho dost\u0159elu a u\u017e jsou kompletn\u011b zni\u010dena, a ani nov\u011b namontovan\u00fd \u201cprotidronov\u00fd \u0161t\u00edt\u201d, (\u0430\u043d\u0442\u0438\u0434\u0440\u043e\u043d\u043e\u0432\u044b\u0439 \u043a\u043e\u0437\u044b\u0440\u0435\u043a<\/a>), jak ukazuj\u00ed tyto ukrajinsk\u00e9 fotky a videa, je v\u010dera nezachr\u00e1nil.<\/p>\n

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Zelenskyj v\u010dera vrhnul proti postupuj\u00edc\u00edm jednotk\u00e1m gener\u00e1la Lapina svoje nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nov\u00e9 houfnice Bohdana na podvozku Tatra T-815-7. Bohu\u017eel rusk\u00e9 drony ukrajinsko-\u010desk\u00e9 houfnice zni\u010dily d\u0159\u00edv ne\u017e se dostaly na dost\u0159el. V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 video, jak ho\u0159\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed zni\u010den\u00e1 houfnice Bohdana pod Charkovem,\u00a0najdete zde<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Houfnice Casear 155mm spole\u010dn\u011b objednali pro A\u010cR hlavn\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edk hnut\u00ed ANO Metnar (52 kus\u016f<\/a>),a hlavn\u00ed v\u00e1le\u010dnice ODS \u010cernochov\u00e1 (10 kus\u016f). Celkov\u00e1 hodnota objedn\u00e1vky je 10.3 miliardy CZK, a d\u011bla maj\u00ed b\u00fdt A\u010cR dod\u00e1na do roku 2026. Podle komunik\u00e9 MO z prosince 2022\u00a0projevovala \u010cernochov\u00e1 radost, \u017ee tato modern\u00ed d\u011bla nakoupila<\/a>, a arm\u00e1dn\u00ed podn\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk plukovn\u00edk K\u0159enek se dokonce holedbal, \u017ee d\u011bla \u201cvytvo\u0159\u00ed na\u0161i nezpochybnitelnou taktickou v\u00fdhodu<\/a>\u201d nad budouc\u00edm protivn\u00edkem, a nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed velen\u00ed arm\u00e1dy k tomu v\u0161emu tvrdilo, \u017ee \u201cspr\u00e1vnost rozhodnut\u00ed o volb\u011b d\u011bla CAESAR pro A\u010cR potvrzuje pr\u00e1v\u011b pr\u016fb\u011bh konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b<\/a>.\u201d. D\u011bla Caesar jsou p\u0159itom na Ukrajin\u011b ni\u010dena stejn\u011b rychle jako d\u011bla Bohdana.<\/p>\n

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Podle rusk\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed \u010cernochov\u00e1 za dva roky sv\u00e9ho p\u016fsoben\u00ed ve funkci ministryn\u011b obrany \u010cR\u00a0p\u0159edala Ukrajin\u011b 60% v\u0161\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 v\u00fdzbroje<\/a>, a s p\u0159ehledn\u00fdm n\u00e1skokem tak zv\u00edt\u011bzila v kl\u00e1n\u00ed ministr\u016f obrany zem\u00ed NATO o nejv\u00fdkonn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho dodavatele. Zd\u00e1 se tak, \u017ee na konci volebn\u00edho obdob\u00ed Fialova kabinetu bude mo\u017en\u00e9 A\u010cR rozpustit a voj\u00e1ky poslat dom\u016f a na dovolenou, proto\u017ee u\u017e nebudou m\u00edt ani \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 \u201cstar\u00e9 zbran\u011b\u201d, a nov\u00e9 zbran\u011b je\u0161t\u011b nebudou tou dobou ani vyrobeny, ani dod\u00e1ny. Kolik bude \u010cechy znovuvyzbrojen\u00ed A\u010cR st\u00e1t, si z\u0159ejm\u011b nikdo z politik\u016f rad\u011bji ani nep\u0159edstavuje. Neb kdyby to prasklo, lid by mohl za\u010d\u00edt volit nov\u00e9 politiky.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u00dasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd \u00fatok Lapinovy skupiny vojsk \u201cSever\u201d na Charkov (35 000 mu\u017e\u016f)\u00a0v\u010dera vyvolal prvn\u00ed p\u0159esuny ukrajinsk\u00fdch sil<\/a>. \u017dlut\u00e1 \u0161ipka \u2013 79. \u00fadern\u00e1 v\u00fdsadkov\u00e1 brig\u00e1da (2 000 mu\u017e\u016f) v\u010dera dostala na\u0159\u00edzeno vyklidit\u00a0sv\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 pozice proti ji\u017en\u00edmu k\u0159\u00eddlu ofenz\u00edvy gener\u00e1la Mordvi\u010deva u Don\u011bcka<\/a>, a rychle se p\u0159esunout proti \u00fatoku gener\u00e1la Lapina na Charkov. Oran\u017eov\u00e1 \u0161ipka \u2013 93. elitn\u00ed obrn\u011bn\u00e1 brig\u00e1da Cholodnyj Jar, v\u010dera dostala na\u0159\u00edzeno vyklidit sv\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 pozice proti severn\u00edmu k\u0159\u00eddlu ofenz\u00edvy gener\u00e1la Mordvi\u010deva u Bachmutu, a rychle se p\u0159esunout proti \u00fatoku gener\u00e1la Lapina na Charkov. U\u017e druh\u00fd den \u00fatoku na Charkov tak do\u0161lo ke spln\u011bn\u00ed jeho celkov\u00e9ho z\u00e1myslu \u2013 oslabit ukrajinsk\u00e1 vojska vzdoruj\u00edc\u00ed postupu gener\u00e1la Mordvi\u010deva od Don\u011bcka na Z\u00e1pad.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Oslaben\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany u m\u011bsta \u010casyv Jar z\u00e1padn\u011b od Bachmutu v\u010dera vyu\u017eil gener\u00e1l Mordvi\u010dev a op\u011bt postupoval vp\u0159ed \u2013 \u010derven\u00e9 pln\u00e9 \u0161ipky. \u017dlut\u00e9 kolo se \u0161ipkou \u2013 p\u0159esun 93. brig\u00e1dy Cholodnyj Jar sm\u011brem k Charkovu. Z p\u0159esunu je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee Ukrajinci se hodlaj\u00ed st\u00e1hnout na z\u00e1padn\u00ed modro-oran\u017eovou-linii, kde maj\u00ed vybudovanou obranu je\u0161t\u011b z lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho jara, kdy se na n\u00ed br\u00e1nili proti \u00fatoku kucha\u0159e Prigo\u017eina. Pozd\u011bji v l\u00e9t\u011b Prigo\u017einovy jednotky zahnali zp\u011bt. Dlouh\u00e1 \u010derven\u00e1 \u0161ipka je sm\u011br postupu Rus\u016f ke Konstantinivce, na kterou z jihu \u00fato\u010d\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00e9 jednotky od Avdijivky. P\u00e1d \u010casyv Jar i Konstantinivky je ot\u00e1zkou bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti. P\u0159esun\u00a093. brig\u00e1dy z hroz\u00edc\u00edho pytle z\u00e1padn\u011b od Konstantinivky<\/a>\u00a0dokazuje, \u017ee gener\u00e1l Syrskyj si u\u017e dal\u0161\u00ed\u00a0 neudr\u017eitelnost ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany mezi Don\u011bckem a Bachmutem uv\u011bdomuje.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Obdobn\u011b vyu\u017eil v\u010dera gener\u00e1l Mordvi\u010dev i oslaben\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany u Don\u011bcka v d\u016fsledk\u016f p\u0159esun\u016f sil k Charkovu a obnovil sv\u016fj postup na sever ke Konstantinivce, i na Z\u00e1pad do t\u00fdlu cel\u00e9 severn\u00ed skupiny vojsk Ukrajiny, kter\u00e1 se nach\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00fdchodn\u011b od Slavjanska.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Celkov\u00fd z\u00e1mysl sou\u010dasn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy: Ze severu postupuj\u00edc\u00ed skupina \u201cSever\u201d gener\u00e1la Lapina m\u00e1 za \u00fakol obsadit ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed podobn\u011b jako to u\u010dinila Lapinova vojska na ja\u0159e 2022, a dos\u00e1hnout \u010d\u00e1ry Izjum \u2013 Kupjansk. Z jihu postupuj\u00edc\u00ed zna\u010dn\u011b siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed skupina \u201cJih\u201d, zejm\u00e9na jej\u00ed \u00fadern\u00e1 skupina gener\u00e1la Mordvi\u010deva m\u00e1 za \u00fakol nejprve obkl\u00ed\u010dit ukrajinskou skupinu ji\u017en\u011b Bachmutu, a potom vyrazit vst\u0159\u00edc severn\u00ed skupin\u011b k Izjumu. Stejn\u011b jako p\u0159i osvobozov\u00e1n\u00ed aglomerace Lysi\u010dansk-Dn\u011bpropetrovsk v l\u00e9t\u011b 2022 maj\u00ed ob\u011b rusk\u00e1 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 kle\u0161t\u011b ob\u011b m\u011bsta obchv\u00e1tit, aby se zamezilo jejich zni\u010den\u00ed. Jak na map\u011b vid\u00edte \u2013 zelen\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed p\u0159edstavuje star\u00fd rusk\u00fd postup koncem l\u00e9ta 2022. Gener\u00e1l Gerasimov tak nyn\u00ed napl\u00e1noval stejnou operaci. Jen v opa\u010dn\u00fdch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch. Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je nyn\u00ed mnohem po\u010detn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e Ukrajinsk\u00e1. Zelenskyj u\u017e nem\u00e1 koho mobilizovat. Karty se \u00fapln\u011b obr\u00e1tily a p\u0159esuny ukrajinsk\u00fdch elitn\u00edch sil z hlavn\u00edho (don\u011bck\u00e9ho) na vedlej\u0161\u00ed (charkovsk\u00e9) boji\u0161t\u011b ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e9 z\u00e1lohy jsou vy\u010derp\u00e1ny. Ukrajinci budou muset ustoupit stejn\u011b jako ustoupili Rusov\u00e9 v l\u00e9t\u011b 2022. Zda dok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed zformovat novou obranou linii se teprve uk\u00e1\u017ee, stejn\u011b jako jestli maj\u00ed Rusov\u00e9 dostate\u010dn\u00e9 rezervy, aby sv\u016fj pl\u00e1n dot\u00e1hli do konce.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Anal\u00fdzy o gener\u00e1lu Averjanovi a dal\u0161\u00ed pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed expert\u016f vyjdou pozd\u011bji. Na \u010detn\u00e9 dotazy o sou\u010dasn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch pl\u00e1nech jsem ud\u011blal tuto anal\u00fdzu. Maily jsem \u010detl, ale odpov\u011bd\u011bl zas jen v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u011b, na v\u00edc nebyl \u010das. D\u011bkuji za pochopen\u00ed a d\u011bkuji na maily. Pros\u00edm napi\u0161te mi na kpv0249@gmail.com zda V\u00e1m byla dne\u0161n\u00ed anal\u00fdza srozumiteln\u00e1, sna\u017eil jsem se rusk\u00e9 \u00famysly zjednodu\u0161en\u011b vysv\u011btlit na map\u00e1ch, aby i lajk\u016fm bylo z\u0159ejm\u00e9, o co se ob\u011b strany nyn\u00ed sna\u017e\u00ed. M\u011bjte se a d\u00edk.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva u Charkova, jej\u00ed celkov\u00fd z\u00e1mysl a c\u00edle. P\u0159esuny ukrajinsk\u00fdch vojsk z Don\u011bcka na…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":53516,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,2752,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53515"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53515"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53515\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53517,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53515\/revisions\/53517"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53516"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53515"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53515"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53515"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}