{"id":53116,"date":"2024-05-06T06:57:06","date_gmt":"2024-05-06T04:57:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=53116"},"modified":"2024-05-06T06:57:06","modified_gmt":"2024-05-06T04:57:06","slug":"james-rothwell-ukrajina-se-pripravuje-na-mirove-rozhovory-s-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/06\/james-rothwell-ukrajina-se-pripravuje-na-mirove-rozhovory-s-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"James Rothwell: Ukrajina se p\u0159ipravuje na m\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory s Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Ukrajina se p\u0159ipravuje na\u00a0m\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory s Ruskem<\/a>, proto\u017ee \u201ena boji\u0161ti samotn\u00e9m nelze zv\u00edt\u011bzit\u201c, prohl\u00e1sil z\u00e1stupce \u0161\u00e9fa kyjevsk\u00e9 \u0161pion\u00e1\u017ee.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1lmajor Vadym Skibitsky, z\u00e1stupce \u0161\u00e9fa ukrajinsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky HUR, uvedl, \u017ee ob\u011b strany v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b bojuj\u00ed o \u201enejv\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pozici\u201c p\u0159ed mo\u017en\u00fdmi jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi v roce 2025.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b jako prakticky u v\u0161ech v\u00e1lek budou jedn\u00e1n\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dnou f\u00e1z\u00ed konfliktu,\u00a0\u0159ekl listu Economist<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Vyhl\u00eddka na m\u00edrovou dohodu s Ruskem se znovu objevila v dob\u011b, kdy ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly \u2013 s nedostatkem \u017eiv\u00e9 s\u00edly a munice \u2013 utrp\u011bly na boji\u0161ti jeden ne\u00fasp\u011bch za druh\u00fdm.<\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1lmajor Skibickij podle Economistu uvedl, \u017ee nevid\u00ed zp\u016fsob, jak by Ukrajina mohla vyhr\u00e1t v\u00e1lku pouze na boji\u0161ti. Pokud by se Ukrajin\u011b poda\u0159ilo zatla\u010dit rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly zp\u011bt k hranic\u00edm, je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by t\u00edm v\u00e1lka skon\u010dila, a dodal, \u017ee takov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky \u201emohou skon\u010dit pouze smlouvami\u201c.<\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1lmajor Skibickij p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee k m\u00edrov\u00fdm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm by mohlo doj\u00edt koncem roku 2025, proto\u017ee\u00a0o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 zbrojn\u00ed v\u00fdroba se po\u010d\u00e1tkem n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edho roku ust\u00e1l\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0kv\u016fli nedostatku \u017eenist\u016f a z\u00e1sob.<\/p>\n

Podle n\u011bj se tak\u00e9 o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy v severoz\u00e1padn\u00edch oblastech Charkov a Sumy.<\/p>\n

Ukrajina a jej\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed partne\u0159i se p\u0159edh\u00e1n\u011bj\u00ed v distribuci zbran\u00ed do rukou kyjevsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edch t\u00fddnech, aby zabr\u00e1nili Rusku obsadit dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1lmajor Skibickij uvedl, \u017ee Rusko se sna\u017e\u00ed vyu\u017e\u00edt sv\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e9 p\u0159evahy ve v\u00fdzbroji a \u017eiv\u00e9 s\u00edle a pl\u00e1nuje na leto\u0161n\u00ed l\u00e9to velkou ofenz\u00edvu.<\/p>\n

\u201eN\u00e1\u0161 probl\u00e9m je velmi jednoduch\u00fd: Nem\u00e1me \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zbran\u011b,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/p>\n

D\u00e1le vykreslil pon\u011bkud chmurn\u00fd obraz vyhl\u00eddek Ukrajiny na boji\u0161ti, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e se ob\u00e1val zejm\u00e9na o Chasiv Jar, m\u011bsto zab\u00edraj\u00edc\u00ed vyv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9 m\u00edsto pobl\u00ed\u017e Bachmutu, kter\u00e9ho by se Rusko mohlo\u00a0brzy zmocnit<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Dobyt\u00ed Chasiva Jaru by rusk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m umo\u017enilo postupovat p\u0159es dal\u0161\u00ed m\u011bsta v Don\u011bck\u00e9 oblasti.<\/p>\n

\u0158ekl, \u017ee je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu, kdy Chasiv Jar padne, \u201esamoz\u0159ejm\u011b ne dnes nebo z\u00edtra, ale v\u0161e z\u00e1vis\u00ed na na\u0161ich rezerv\u00e1ch a z\u00e1sob\u00e1ch\u201c.<\/p>\n

Gener\u00e1lmajor Skibickij varoval, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ji\u017e nen\u00ed tou neorganizovanou ch\u00e1trou, kterou Ukrajina v po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edch f\u00e1z\u00edch v\u00e1lky s takov\u00fdm \u00fasp\u011bchem odr\u00e1\u017eela z n\u011bkter\u00fdch region\u016f.<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed je \u201ejednotn\u00fdm t\u011blesem s jasn\u00fdm pl\u00e1nem a pod jednotn\u00fdm velen\u00edm\u201c, \u0159ekl.<\/p>\n

Zazn\u011blo to v dob\u011b, kdy se ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed lord Cameron\u00a0setkal<\/a>\u00a0v Kyjev\u011b s ukrajinsk\u00fdm prezidentem Volodymyrem Zelensk\u00fdm, kter\u00e9ho ujistil, \u017ee jeho s\u00edly maj\u00ed pr\u00e1vo pou\u017e\u00edt zbran\u011b dodan\u00e9 Brity k \u00fader\u016fm uvnit\u0159 rusk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco Ukrajina se zpo\u010d\u00e1tku pokou\u0161ela o m\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory s Ruskem, nap\u0159\u00edklad v Turecku a na b\u011blorusk\u00e9 hranici, Moskva se o n\u011b od anexe \u010dty\u0159 ukrajinsk\u00fdch oblast\u00ed v roce 2022 pokou\u0161\u00ed mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/p>\n

Pan Zelenskyj od t\u00e9 doby prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee m\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory s Ruskem pod jeho sou\u010dasn\u00fdm veden\u00edm jsou \u201enemo\u017en\u00e9\u201c, a v listopadu 2023 uvedl, \u017ee \u201enen\u00ed p\u0159ipraven\u201c na rozhovory s Moskvou, pokud se jej\u00ed vojska nest\u00e1hnou z Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

V z\u00e1kulis\u00ed ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed a z\u00e1padn\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lka nakonec s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed skon\u010d\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm. Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed ot\u00e1zkou je, kter\u00e1 strana bude v t\u00e9 chv\u00edli na boji\u0161ti vystupovat nejsiln\u011bji a poskytne tak nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed p\u00e1ku.<\/p>\n

V \u010dervnu se m\u00e1 ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku konat zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fd summit o Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00fd pan Zelenskyj ozna\u010dil za \u201eprvn\u00ed skute\u010dnou \u0161anci za\u010d\u00edt obnovovat spravedliv\u00fd m\u00edr\u201c.<\/p>\n

Mluv\u010d\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho ministerstva zahrani\u010d\u00ed v p\u00e1tek uvedl, \u017ee Moskva je p\u0159ipravena zv\u00e1\u017eit \u201eseri\u00f3zn\u00ed\u201c n\u00e1vrhy na urovn\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00e9koli urovn\u00e1n\u00ed by muselo zohlednit bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed obavy Kremlu, v\u010detn\u011b toho, \u017ee se Ukrajina mus\u00ed zav\u00e1zat, \u017ee v budoucnu z\u016fstane vojensky neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed.<\/p>\n

\u0160v\u00fdcarsko zd\u016fraznilo, \u017ee \u201em\u00edrov\u00fd proces bez Ruska nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd\u201c.<\/p>\n

V p\u00e1tek Dmitrij Medved\u011bv, b\u00fdval\u00fd rusk\u00fd prezident a v\u011brn\u00fd Putin\u016fv spojenec, zve\u0159ejnil na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch v\u00fdmluvnou tir\u00e1du, v n\u00ed\u017e pana Zelensk\u00e9ho ozna\u010dil za \u201ebastarda\u201c, \u201epolodementa\u201c a \u201ekret\u00e9na\u201c kv\u016fli pl\u00e1n\u016fm na m\u00edrovou konferenci.<\/p>\n

Pan Medved\u011bv odm\u00edtl \u0161v\u00fdcarsk\u00e9 rozhovory jako produkt \u201eimpotentn\u00edch\u201c z\u00e1padn\u00edch elit, kter\u00e9 \u201eprovedly bolestivou sebekracii vlastn\u00edho potenci\u00e1lu zastavit vojensk\u00fd konflikt\u201c.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdznamn\u00fdm faktorem pro dosa\u017een\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody mezi Ukrajinou a Ruskem jsou tak\u00e9 americk\u00e9 volby letos v listopadu, kter\u00e9 by mohly v\u00e9st k n\u00e1vratu Donalda Trumpa do B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu.<\/p>\n

Zdroj bl\u00edzk\u00fd Trumpov\u011b kampani sd\u011blil den\u00edku The Telegraph, \u017ee podrobn\u00fd ukrajinsko-rusk\u00fd m\u00edrov\u00fd pl\u00e1n byl ji\u017e vypracov\u00e1n, ale ve snaze zachovat si vliv nebude zat\u00edm p\u0159ed jeho kon\u00e1n\u00edm detailn\u011b zve\u0159ejn\u011bn.<\/p>\n

Pan Trump se podle nich bude stylizovat do role jedin\u00e9ho kandid\u00e1ta, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e1lku ukon\u010dit, s jednoduch\u00fdm sloganem \u201ena n\u00e1razn\u00edku\u201c.<\/p>\n

\u201eChce zastavit zab\u00edjen\u00ed,\u201c \u0159ekl zdroj. \u201eTo je n\u00e1lepka na n\u00e1razn\u00edk:\u00a0Trump zastav\u00ed zab\u00edjen\u00ed<\/i>.\u201c<\/p>\n

\n

Ukraine is preparing for peace talks with Russia<\/a> vy\u0161el 5.5.2024 na ICH. P\u0159eklad\u00a0Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ukrajina se p\u0159ipravuje na\u00a0m\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory s Ruskem, proto\u017ee \u201ena boji\u0161ti samotn\u00e9m nelze zv\u00edt\u011bzit\u201c, prohl\u00e1sil z\u00e1stupce…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22962,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[565,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53116"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53116"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53116\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22962"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53116"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53116"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53116"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}