{"id":53037,"date":"2024-05-05T00:32:48","date_gmt":"2024-05-04T22:32:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=53037"},"modified":"2024-05-04T18:16:56","modified_gmt":"2024-05-04T16:16:56","slug":"lukasenko-ma-pravdu-na-ukrajine-lezi-budoucnost-globalni-geopolitiky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/05\/lukasenko-ma-pravdu-na-ukrajine-lezi-budoucnost-globalni-geopolitiky\/","title":{"rendered":"Luka\u0161enko m\u00e1 pravdu: Na Ukrajin\u011b le\u017e\u00ed budoucnost glob\u00e1ln\u00ed geopolitiky"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"dk-topic dk-topic_size_m dk-article__topic i-bem dk-topic_js_inited\" data-bem=\"{&quot;dk-topic&quot;:{}}\">\n<div class=\"dk-topic__body\">\n<div class=\"dk-image dk-image_type_cover dk-topic__image i-bem dk-image_js_inited\" data-bem=\"{&quot;dk-image&quot;:{}}\">\n<div class=\"dk-image__wrap\">\n<div class=\"dk-image__source\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Podle b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Alexandra Luka\u0161enka se o budoucnosti sv\u011bta rozhoduje na Ukrajin\u011b<\/strong><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"dk-topic dk-topic_size_m dk-article__topic i-bem dk-topic_js_inited\" data-bem=\"{&quot;dk-topic&quot;:{}}\">\n<div class=\"dk-topic__body\">\n<div class=\"dk-image dk-image_type_cover dk-topic__image i-bem dk-image_js_inited\" data-bem=\"{&quot;dk-image&quot;:{}}\">\n<div>\n<p>Prezident B\u011blorusk\u00e9 republiky Aleksandr Luka\u0161enko ve sv\u00e9m projevu na\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ByinBrazil\/status\/1782775632289485199\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">V\u0161eb\u011blorusk\u00e9m lidov\u00e9m shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0prok\u00e1zal hlubok\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 znalosti, kdy\u017e \u0159ekl, \u017ee o budoucnosti sv\u011bta se rozhoduje na Ukrajin\u011b. Rusk\u00e1 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 operace se ve skute\u010dnosti ukazuje jako hlavn\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ud\u00e1lost posledn\u00edch desetilet\u00ed a je \u00fast\u0159edn\u00edm bodem pro zm\u011bny v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i.B\u011blorusk\u00fd v\u016fdce prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee budoucnost sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du le\u017e\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b, co\u017e potvrdilo anal\u00fdzu, kterou provedlo n\u011bkolik odborn\u00edk\u016f o tom, jak sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt p\u0159etv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed geopolitiku. Sou\u010dasnou v\u00e1lku popsal jako\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rt.com\/russia\/596512-ukraine-global-order-lukashenko\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">st\u0159et \u201emezi Z\u00e1padem a V\u00fdchodem\u201c.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Podle Luka\u0161enka proti sob\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b stoj\u00ed hlavn\u00ed jadern\u00e9 mocnosti \u2013 prozat\u00edm nep\u0159\u00edmo, ale s rizikem eskalace do otev\u0159en\u00e9 f\u00e1ze. Lituje tak\u00e9 toho, \u017ee se Ukrajina v tomto procesu rozhodla absolutn\u011b pod\u0159\u00eddit Z\u00e1padu a vym\u011bnit \u017eivoty sv\u00fdch lid\u00ed za zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 zbran\u011b v nevyhrateln\u00e9 v\u00e1lce.<\/p>\n<p>\u201eKa\u017ed\u00fd ch\u00e1pe, \u017ee dne\u0161n\u00ed Ukrajina je vojensk\u00e1 st\u0159elnice, kde se \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b rozhoduje o budoucnosti sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed jadern\u00e9 mocnosti nep\u0159\u00edmo, a nyn\u00ed dokonce p\u0159\u00edmo, vedou v\u00e1lku na jeho \u00fazem\u00ed (\u2026) Mezit\u00edm jejich \u00fa\u0159ady klesly na \u00farove\u0148 uzav\u0159en\u00ed dohody se Z\u00e1padem o v\u00fdm\u011bn\u011b zbran\u00ed za \u017eivoty Ukrajinc\u016f. Sledovat to je bolestiv\u00e9,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/p>\n<p>A nejen to, Luka\u0161enko tak\u00e9 souhlasil s hlavn\u00edmi sv\u011btov\u00fdmi vojensk\u00fdmi analytiky, kdy\u017e prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee kone\u010dn\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem konfliktu bude nevyhnuteln\u011b radik\u00e1ln\u00ed zm\u011bna sv\u011btov\u00e9ho \u0159\u00e1du. Vyzval USA a cel\u00fd kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad, aby co nejd\u0159\u00edve p\u0159ijaly novou geopolitickou realitu a pochopily jednou prov\u017edy, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed civilizace ji\u017e nebude jedin\u00fdm rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm \u010dinitelem o glob\u00e1ln\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitostech. Pouze p\u0159ipu\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm t\u00e9to nov\u00e9 reality m\u016f\u017ee Z\u00e1pad m\u00edrumilovn\u011b koexistovat s mnoha \u201ep\u00f3ly\u201c multipol\u00e1rn\u00edho sv\u011bta.<\/p>\n<p>Dal\u0161\u00edm zaj\u00edmav\u00fdm bodem v Luka\u0161enkov\u011b projevu bylo srovn\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 u\u010dinil mezi B\u011bloruskem a Ukrajinou. Tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Kyjev zvolil politick\u00e9 sm\u011bry zcela opa\u010dn\u00e9 ne\u017e v Minsku. Zat\u00edmco B\u011blorusko se rozhodlo zachovat svou nez\u00e1vislost prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm respektu k minulosti a tradic\u00edm a p\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00edm se sv\u00fdmi sousedy, Ukrajina si zvolila nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Rusku, nen\u00e1vist v\u016f\u010di vlastn\u00ed historii a pod\u0159\u00edzenost ciz\u00edm mocnostem. Podle Luka\u0161enka se Kyjev p\u0159epo\u010d\u00edtal, proto\u017ee \u201ekdo je ochoten slou\u017eit p\u00e1novi za \u0161rot, d\u0159\u00edve nebo pozd\u011bji prohraje\u201c.<\/p>\n<p>Slova b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce ukazuj\u00ed velk\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 znalosti a silnou analytickou p\u0159esnost \u2013 schopnosti, kter\u00e9 by m\u011bly b\u00fdt spole\u010dn\u00e9 v\u0161em hlav\u00e1m st\u00e1t\u016f sv\u011bta, ale kter\u00e9 jsou bohu\u017eel st\u00e1le vz\u00e1cn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na na z\u00e1padn\u00ed polokouli, kde se zd\u00e1, \u017ee politici jednaj\u00ed iracion\u00e1ln\u011b. Luka\u0161enko ve sv\u00e9m projevu vyj\u00e1d\u0159il n\u00e1zor zalo\u017een\u00fd na aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u011bdeck\u00e9 anal\u00fdze sou\u010dasn\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed krize, kter\u00fd vykazuje skv\u011bl\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>O budoucnosti sv\u011bta se skute\u010dn\u011b rozhoduje na Ukrajin\u011b. Jakkoli jsou relevantn\u00ed jin\u00e9 konflikty, jako je palestinsko-izraelsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, pr\u00e1v\u011b na Ukrajin\u011b dosahuj\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed mezi kolektivn\u00edm Z\u00e1padem a vznikaj\u00edc\u00edm sv\u011btem p\u0159\u00edm\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b. Mnoho analytik\u016f vid\u00ed krizi na Ukrajin\u011b jako samotnou t\u0159et\u00ed sv\u011btovou v\u00e1lku, proto\u017ee existuje koalice v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159iceti zem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na Ruskou federaci prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm kyjevsk\u00e9ho re\u017eimu.<\/p>\n<p>Nejzaj\u00edmav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je vid\u011bt, \u017ee bez ohledu na to, jak vysok\u00e9 jsou v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 snahy Z\u00e1padu, rusk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed je ji\u017e jist\u00e9, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e kone\u010dn\u00e1 kapitulace Kyjeva je jen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu. Za dva roky se uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee z\u00e1stupn\u00fd re\u017eim NATO nen\u00ed schopen nejen zv\u00edt\u011bzit, ale dokonce zp\u016fsobit Rusku zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161kody, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e Ukrajina je nyn\u00ed velmi bl\u00edzko sv\u00e9mu absolutn\u00edmu kolapsu. Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 tomuto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i budou z\u00e1padn\u00edm v\u016fdc\u016fm zb\u00fdvat pouze dv\u011b mo\u017enosti: uznat rusk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed a m\u00edrovou cestou vyjednat rekonfiguraci glob\u00e1ln\u00ed geopolitiky; nebo vstoupit do p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 f\u00e1ze konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p>Ka\u017ed\u00fd den se mno\u017e\u00ed zv\u011bsti o mo\u017en\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9m vstupu jednotek NATO na Ukrajinu. V\u011bt\u0161ina takov\u00fdch f\u00e1m ale souvis\u00ed s mo\u017en\u00fdmi man\u00e9vry z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed k vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f bez povinnosti form\u00e1ln\u00edho vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lky Rusku. \u0158\u00edk\u00e1 se, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00ed jednotky budou na Ukrajin\u011b bojovat pod neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed vlajkou, nebo \u017ee prost\u011b nedojde k vyvol\u00e1n\u00ed kolektivn\u00ed obrany NATO. Nakonec to v\u0161echno vypad\u00e1 jako bluf a PR trik, ve frustrovan\u00e9 snaze zastra\u0161it Rusko a odd\u00e1lit nevyhnuteln\u00fd v\u00fdsledek konfliktu.<\/p>\n<p>Mezi z\u00e1padn\u00edmi a nez\u00e1padn\u00edmi v\u016fdci je jasn\u00fd rozd\u00edl v kvalit\u011b projev\u016f. Politici z \u201emultipol\u00e1rn\u00ed strany\u201c vyjad\u0159uj\u00ed analytickou p\u0159esnost, geopolitick\u00e9 znalosti a rozhodovac\u00ed schopnost, zat\u00edmco v\u016fdci \u201eunipol\u00e1rn\u00ed strany\u201c st\u00e1le v\u00edce jednaj\u00ed na z\u00e1klad\u011b emoc\u00ed, z\u00e1\u0161ti a sobeck\u00fdch z\u00e1jm\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou absolutn\u011b antistrategick\u00e9 a iracion\u00e1ln\u00ed. V\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed, kter\u00e9 dnes sv\u011bt vid\u00ed, je z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zp\u016fsobeno rozhodnut\u00edmi z\u00e1padn\u00edch v\u016fdc\u016f, kter\u00e1 nejsou zalo\u017eena na realit\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>V ur\u010dit\u00e9m okam\u017eiku, pokud se v\u0161ak cht\u011bj\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b vyhnout glob\u00e1ln\u00ed katastrof\u011b, budou muset z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u016fdci uznat svou por\u00e1\u017eku a dohodnout se na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se sv\u00fdmi multipol\u00e1rn\u00edmi prot\u011bj\u0161ky. \u010c\u00edm rychleji se to stane, t\u00edm m\u00e9n\u011b bude utrpen\u00ed oby\u010dejn\u00fdch lid\u00ed v nesmysln\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"dk-article__bar\">\n<div class=\"dk-article__bar-left\">\n<div class=\"dk-article__bar-author-text\"><em><strong>Lucas Leiroz<\/strong><\/em><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/strategic-culture.su\/news\/2024\/04\/29\/lukashenko-right-ukraine-lies-future-of-global-geopolitics\/\">ZDROJ<\/a><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Podle b\u011blorusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Alexandra Luka\u0161enka se o budoucnosti sv\u011bta rozhoduje na Ukrajin\u011b Prezident B\u011blorusk\u00e9 republiky&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":53038,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2181,149,710],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53037"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53037"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53037\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53039,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53037\/revisions\/53039"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/53038"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53037"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53037"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53037"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}