{"id":53006,"date":"2024-05-04T00:37:44","date_gmt":"2024-05-03T22:37:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=53006"},"modified":"2024-05-03T18:14:02","modified_gmt":"2024-05-03T16:14:02","slug":"jiri-vyvadil-ukrajina-na-hrane","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/05\/04\/jiri-vyvadil-ukrajina-na-hrane\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil: Ukrajina na hran\u011b\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Realitu nelze pop\u00edrat. To d\u011blaj\u00ed prostodu\u0161\u00ed protiru\u0161t\u00ed fanatici typu Fialy \u010di \u010cernochov\u00e9, ale tam kde jde o \u017eivoty dal\u0161\u00edch statis\u00edc\u016f ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f se mus\u00ed naj\u00edt st\u0159\u00edzliv\u00e9 vid\u011bn\u00ed situace. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee i ve veden\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb situace nezr\u00e1la. A velmi jasn\u011b a pr\u016flomov\u011b\u2026<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201eUkrajina na hran\u011b\u201c \u2013 s t\u00edmto titulkem \u010casopis Economist zve\u0159ejnil rozhovor s Vadimem Skibitsk\u00fdm, p\u0159edstavitelem Hlavn\u00edho zpravodajsk\u00e9ho \u0159editelstv\u00ed (GUR) ministerstva obrany.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1stupce GUR u\u010dinil \u0159adu rezonuj\u00edc\u00edch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed:<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Skibitsky \u201enevid\u00ed mo\u017enost, aby Ukrajina vyhr\u00e1la v\u00e1lku pouze na bitevn\u00edm poli\u201c.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Jedn\u00e1n\u00ed jsou podle n\u011bj nevyhnuteln\u00e1 a dosa\u017een\u00ed hranic z roku 1991 \u201ese st\u00e1v\u00e1 st\u00e1le vzd\u00e1len\u011bj\u0161\u00ed perspektivou\u201c a v\u00e1lku by neukon\u010dilo.<\/p>\n

    Pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f se ob\u011b strany p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdmi jedn\u00e1n\u00edmi p\u0159edh\u00e1n\u011bj\u00ed o \u201enejv\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pozici\u201c. Mohou ale za\u010d\u00edt a\u017e ve druh\u00e9 polovin\u011b roku 2025. Do t\u00e9 doby bude Rusko \u010delit v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm protiv\u011btr\u016fm. Rusk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd v\u00fdrobn\u00ed potenci\u00e1l se podle jeho n\u00e1zoru zv\u00fd\u0161il, ale na za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2026 se kv\u016fli nedostatku materi\u00e1l\u016f a in\u017een\u00fdr\u016f dostane na plo\u0161inu. Ob\u011bma stran\u00e1m m\u016f\u017ee nakonec doj\u00edt zbran\u011b. Ale pokud se nic jin\u00e9ho nezm\u011bn\u00ed, tak na Ukrajin\u011b to skon\u010d\u00ed rychleji.<\/p>\n

      \n
    1. V bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti bude Rusko pokra\u010dovat v realizaci sv\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu na dobyt\u00ed Donbasu. P\u00e1d Chasov Yar je \u201eot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu\u201c.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      „Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b ne dnes a ne z\u00edtra, ale v\u0161e z\u00e1vis\u00ed na na\u0161ich rezerv\u00e1ch a z\u00e1sob\u00e1ch,“ \u0159ekl Skibitsky.<\/p>\n

      \"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

      Rusko se tak\u00e9 p\u0159ipravuje na ofenzivu v Charkovsk\u00e9 a Sumsk\u00e9 oblasti, ale na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto \u00fatoku z\u00e1vis\u00ed na stabilit\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany na Donbasu. Skibitsky nazna\u010duje, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed rusk\u00fd \u00fatok za\u010dne \u201ena konci kv\u011btna nebo na za\u010d\u00e1tku \u010dervna\u201c.<\/p>\n

      Rusko m\u00e1 na Ukrajin\u011b podle n\u011bj 514 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f, co\u017e je v\u00edce ne\u017e odhad 470 000, kter\u00fd minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc uvedl \u0161\u00e9f NATO Cavoli. Severn\u00ed skupina Ruska pobl\u00ed\u017e hranic s Charkovem \u010d\u00edt\u00e1 35 000 lid\u00ed, ale pl\u00e1nuje se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it na 50 000 a\u017e 70 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f.<\/p>\n

      Rusko tak\u00e9 vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed ve st\u0159edn\u00edm Rusku z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00ed divize o 15 000 a\u017e 20 000 mu\u017e\u00edch.<\/p>\n

      Podle n\u011bj to na operaci k dobyt\u00ed velk\u00e9ho m\u011bsta \u201enesta\u010d\u00ed\u201c, ale na men\u0161\u00ed \u00fakol to m\u016f\u017ee sta\u010dit.<\/p>\n

      \u201eRychl\u00e1 operace ke vstupu a v\u00fdstupu: mo\u017en\u00e1, ale operace k obsazen\u00ed Charkova nebo dokonce m\u011bsta Sumy je jin\u00fd rozkaz a my to v\u00edme,\u201c dodal Skibitsky.<\/p>\n

        \n
      1. Podle jeho n\u00e1zoru ji\u017e rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da nen\u00ed tou \u201earogantn\u00ed organizac\u00ed\u201c jako v roce 2022. A nyn\u00ed funguje jako \u201ejednotn\u00e9 t\u011blo, s jasn\u00fdm pl\u00e1nem a pod jedn\u00edm velen\u00edm\u201c.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

        -x-x-x-<\/p>\n

        Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee i tento n\u00e1zor dosud nezn\u00e1m\u00e9ho ukrajinsk\u00e9ho vojensk\u00e9ho experta je d\u016fsledkem nepopirateln\u00e9ho zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00e9ho \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9ho tlaku tlaku Ruska, ale i z\u0159ejm\u011b posledn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 nad\u011bje, \u017ee p\u0159ipravovan\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku o Rusku bez Ruska, kde z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici jist\u011b v\u00e1\u0161niv\u011b budou Ukrajinu proti Rusku propagandisticky podporovat a poskytne se tak alibi, \u017ee Zelensk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed kone\u010dn\u011b m\u016f\u017ee s\u00a0Ruskem jednat. To setk\u00e1n\u00ed bude v\u00a0podstat\u011b p\u0159ipom\u00ednat jakousi \u201emnichovskou dohodu\u201c, kdy ob\u011bt\u00ed by m\u011blo b\u00fdt Rusko. Ale Rusko nen\u00ed v\u00a0postaven\u00ed \u010ceskoslovenska z\u00a0roku 1938.<\/em><\/p>\n

        A nav\u00edc : Nen\u00ed v\u016fbec zaj\u00edmav\u00e9, co \u0159eknou z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici. Rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed bude postoj glob\u00e1ln\u00edho jihu a zejm\u00e9na strategick\u00e9ho spojence Ruska \u2013 \u010c\u00edny. Pokud ta by odsouhlasila tzv. Zelensk\u00e9ho formulku, bylo by to zl\u00e9. Ale to\u00a0 mysl\u00edm u\u017e te\u010f m\u016f\u017eeme vylou\u010dit.<\/em><\/p>\n

        V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b: Ledy se pohnuly\u2026<\/em><\/p>\n

        Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil<\/a><\/p>\n

        \"\"<\/p>\n

         <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

        Realitu nelze pop\u00edrat. To d\u011blaj\u00ed prostodu\u0161\u00ed protiru\u0161t\u00ed fanatici typu Fialy \u010di \u010cernochov\u00e9, ale tam kde…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":48018,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,220,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53006"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=53006"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53006\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48018"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=53006"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=53006"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=53006"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}