{"id":52448,"date":"2024-04-26T05:35:06","date_gmt":"2024-04-26T03:35:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=52448"},"modified":"2024-04-26T05:35:06","modified_gmt":"2024-04-26T03:35:06","slug":"sergej-mirkin-zapad-tlaci-ukrajinu-do-posledni-bitvy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/04\/26\/sergej-mirkin-zapad-tlaci-ukrajinu-do-posledni-bitvy\/","title":{"rendered":"Sergej Mirkin: Z\u00e1pad tla\u010d\u00ed Ukrajinu do posledn\u00ed bitvy"},"content":{"rendered":"
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V prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b dubna Volodymyr Zelenskyj prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee m\u00e1 pl\u00e1n nov\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy. Pozorovatel\u00e9 se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee dal sv\u00fdm lobbist\u016fm v USA z\u00e1ruku \u2013 na podzim 2024, v r\u00e1mci americk\u00fdch voleb, dojde k nov\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edv\u011b ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem bude v l\u00e9t\u011b mobilizov\u00e1no 100 000 a\u017e 300 000 mu\u017e\u016f. Pot\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zah\u00e1j\u00ed ofenzivu na n\u011bkolika sm\u011brech a do boje bude k dosa\u017een\u00ed v\u00fdsledku vrhnuto velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed p\u011bchoty. A nikdo nebude br\u00e1t v \u00favahu ztr\u00e1ty.<\/p>\n

Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b hlavn\u011b d\u00edky t\u011bmto slib\u016fm p\u0159edseda americk\u00e9ho Kongresu Michael Johnson souhlasil s t\u00edm, aby se o projektu p\u0159id\u011blen\u00ed pen\u011bz Ukrajin\u011b hlasovalo, a to i p\u0159es odm\u00edtav\u00fd postoj \u010d\u00e1sti jeho republik\u00e1nsk\u00fdch koleg\u016f k tomuto rozhodnut\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Johnson se sna\u017e\u00ed lav\u00edrovat mezi r\u016fzn\u00fdmi skupinami americk\u00e9 politiky, aby si udr\u017eel sv\u016fj post. Zast\u00e1nci p\u0159id\u011blen\u00ed pen\u011bz Ukrajin\u011b jsou magn\u00e1ti americk\u00e9ho vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho komplexu, kte\u0159\u00ed dostanou po\u0159\u00e1dnou \u010d\u00e1st financ\u00ed na vyzbrojen\u00ed Ukrajiny a dopln\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. Ameri\u010dt\u00ed novin\u00e1\u0159i na\u0161li v okol\u00ed p\u0159edsedy parlamentu lobbisty americk\u00e9ho obrann\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, co\u017e nen\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se v\u0161ak, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed z\u00e1jem na tom, aby Ukrajina dostala pen\u00edze, m\u00e1 B\u00edl\u00fd d\u016fm. Biden\u016fv t\u00fdm z\u0159ejm\u011b nenapadlo nic lep\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e pokusit se resuscitovat star\u00fd pl\u00e1n souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s ukrajinskou protiofenz\u00edvou. D\u0159\u00edve pl\u00e1n B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu zn\u011bl takto: na ja\u0159e \u2013 v l\u00e9t\u011b 2023 zah\u00e1j\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly protiofenz\u00edvu na jihu, prolom\u00ed frontu rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy a za p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed dojdou a\u017e k hranic\u00edm Krymu. Pot\u00e9 je poloostrov pod palebnou kontrolou d\u011blost\u0159electva a raket Ukrajinc\u016f. D\u00e1le se na pozad\u00ed t\u00e9to por\u00e1\u017eky pl\u00e1novalo rozkol\u00eds\u00e1n\u00ed vnit\u0159n\u00ed situace v Rusku.<\/p>\n

Maxim\u00e1ln\u00edm \u00fakolem bylo p\u0159iv\u00e9st k moci liber\u00e1ln\u00ed vl\u00e1du pln\u011b kontrolovanou Z\u00e1padem, minim\u00e1ln\u00edm \u00fakolem bylo donutit Rusko p\u0159ijmout m\u00edr, kter\u00fd by byl diktov\u00e1n Z\u00e1padem.<\/p>\n

Pokud by se tak stalo, mohl si Biden\u016fv t\u00fdm p\u0159ipsat bezpodm\u00edne\u010dn\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nad Ruskem. To se v\u0161ak nestalo a administrativa B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu st\u00e1la p\u0159ed ot\u00e1zkou, jak se p\u0159ed voli\u010di ospravedlnit za v\u00edce ne\u017e 100 miliard dolar\u016f vhozen\u00fdch do projektu Majdan na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/p>\n

A Biden\u016fv t\u00fdm nenapadlo nic lep\u0161\u00edho ne\u017e donutit Kongres, aby do kyjevsk\u00e9 \u201e\u010dern\u00e9 d\u00edry\u201c p\u0159ihodil dal\u0161\u00ed des\u00edtky milion\u016f dolar\u016f a donutil ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly k dal\u0161\u00edmu postupu. I kdy\u017e mo\u017en\u00e1 na rozd\u00edl od roku 2023 jsou c\u00edle ofenzivy m\u00e9n\u011b ambici\u00f3zn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u016fm bude sta\u010dit, kdy\u017e se AFU zmocn\u00ed velk\u00e9ho m\u011bsta a udr\u017e\u00ed ho a\u017e do prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, aby propaganda B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu mohla tuto skute\u010dnost prezentovat sv\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti jako v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

A Ameri\u010dan\u016fm bude jedno, kolik Ukrajinc\u016f zem\u0159e, jak protiofenz\u00edva ovlivn\u00ed celkovou situaci AFU a zda bude ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da schopna odolat \u00faderu rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy po n\u00ed. Obecn\u011b se zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fd kurz B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu zu\u017euje na dva body: zabr\u00e1nit eskalaci na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a p\u0159il\u00edt olej do ukrajinsk\u00e9ho ohn\u011b.<\/p>\n

Rozd\u00edln\u00fd postoj Anglosas\u016f k Izraeli a Ukrajin\u011b velmi dob\u0159e ukazuj\u00ed ud\u00e1losti z noci na 14. dubna, kdy \u00cdr\u00e1n podnikl masivn\u00ed raketov\u00fd a bezpilotn\u00ed \u00fatok na Izrael. Na odra\u017een\u00ed \u00faderu se pod\u00edlelo americk\u00e9 a britsk\u00e9 letectvo. Pot\u00e9 Zelenskij nastolil ot\u00e1zku ochrany ukrajinsk\u00e9ho vzdu\u0161n\u00e9ho prostoru z\u00e1padn\u00edm letectvem. V reakci na to mluv\u010d\u00ed Pentagonu John Kirby a britsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed David Cameron uvedli, \u017ee k \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 takov\u00e9 obran\u011b nedojde. Kolektivn\u00ed Z\u00e1pad tak d\u00e1v\u00e1 najevo, \u017ee existuje hranice, kterou nehodl\u00e1 p\u0159ekro\u010dit. Konfrontace tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 mezi jednotkami NATO a rusk\u00fdmi voj\u00e1ky je pro n\u011bj tabu. Gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Jens Stoltenberg prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee Ukrajina by si m\u011bla voj\u00e1ky zajistit sama. Podle n\u011bj NATO poskytne Ukrajin\u011b zbran\u011b, ale ot\u00e1zku lid\u00ed mus\u00ed Kyjev vy\u0159e\u0161it s\u00e1m. To ukazuje, \u017ee my\u0161lenka francouzsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Emmanuela Macrona vyslat na Ukrajinu voj\u00e1ky ze zem\u00ed NATO byla zcela zavr\u017eena.<\/p>\n

V\u0161e se stalo nesm\u00edrn\u011b jednoduch\u00fdm a z\u0159ejm\u00fdm. Ukrajina mus\u00ed zaplatit \u201ekrvavou da\u0148\u201c kolektivn\u00edmu Z\u00e1padu. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed politici se netaj\u00ed t\u00edm, \u017ee ze z\u00e1kona \u201eO mobilizaci\u201c bylo kv\u016fli nespokojenosti Z\u00e1padu vylou\u010deno ustanoven\u00ed o demobilizaci voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou ji\u017e dlouho na front\u011b. \u0158\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee pos\u00edlat dom\u016f mu\u017ee s bojov\u00fdmi zku\u0161enostmi bude vypadat, jako by se Ukrajina chystala kapitulovat, tak\u017ee nem\u00e1 smysl j\u00ed pom\u00e1hat. Ve skute\u010dnosti je v\u0161e jednodu\u0161\u0161\u00ed: Z\u00e1pad na\u0159\u00eddil vrhnout v\u0161echny mu\u017ee, kter\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee majdansk\u00fd re\u017eim shrom\u00e1\u017edit, do nov\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy.<\/p>\n

Co se v\u0161ak stane, kdy\u017e se to nepoda\u0159\u00ed? A to je p\u0159esn\u011b to, co se podle na\u0161ich informac\u00ed stane. Ukrajina zmobilizuje mu\u017ee, kter\u00e9 mohou chytit vojen\u0161t\u00ed komisa\u0159i, Z\u00e1pad d\u00e1 pen\u00edze a zbran\u011b a munici, kter\u00e9 vy\u0161kr\u00e1be z vlastn\u00ed pokladny, n\u011bco se koup\u00ed bokem. A to v\u0161e bude nam\u00ed\u0159eno proti Rusku. T\u00fdm ZE vrhne desetitis\u00edce Ukrajinc\u016f na jatka kv\u016fli p\u0159\u00edzra\u010dn\u00e9 nad\u011bji na sv\u00e9 politick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed, drony a rakety poskytnut\u00e9 Z\u00e1padem budou nam\u00ed\u0159eny proti rusk\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e. Zejm\u00e9na Zelenskij hovo\u0159il o tom, \u017ee v r\u00e1mci t\u00e9to protiofenz\u00edvy zas\u00e1hne Krymsk\u00fd most.<\/p>\n

Nebude to samoz\u0159ejm\u011b snadn\u00e9, ale existuje jistota, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da a spole\u010dnost takov\u00fd \u00fader ustoj\u00ed. Vydr\u017e\u00ed v\u0161ak por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajina? To je velmi pochybn\u00e9; zde se mo\u017en\u00e1 nejedn\u00e1 o likvidaci projektu \u201eMajdan Ukrajina\u201c, ale o zmizen\u00ed st\u00e1tu z politick\u00e9 mapy sv\u011bta. Je\u0161t\u011b jeden ne\u00fasp\u011bch, zejm\u00e9na p\u0159ed volbami, by mohl b\u00fdt pro Bidena a americk\u00e9 demokraty osudn\u00fd. Masivn\u00ed por\u00e1\u017eka ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy a z\u00e1padn\u00edch politik\u016f a vojensko-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9ho komplexu, kter\u00fd za n\u00ed stoj\u00ed, bude jasn\u00fdm d\u016fkazem konce dominance Z\u00e1padu a bude d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm faktorem nezvratn\u00e9 zm\u011bny geopolitick\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u011bta z unipol\u00e1rn\u00edho na multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed. Nov\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva, do n\u00ed\u017e Z\u00e1pad tla\u010d\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly, by mohla b\u00fdt posledn\u00ed bitvou pro Ukrajinu, Bidena a z\u00e1padocentrick\u00fd sv\u011btov\u00fd syst\u00e9m.<\/p>\n

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\u0417\u0430\u043f\u0430\u0434 \u0442\u043e\u043b\u043a\u0430\u0435\u0442 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0438\u043d\u0443 \u043d\u0430 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435\u0434\u043d\u044e\u044e \u0431\u0438\u0442\u0432\u0443<\/a> vy\u0161el 22.4.2024 na vz.ru. P\u0159eklad\u00a0Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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V prvn\u00ed polovin\u011b dubna Volodymyr Zelenskyj prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee m\u00e1 pl\u00e1n nov\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy. Pozorovatel\u00e9 se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":49913,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1177,2751,26,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52448"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52448"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52448\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/49913"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52448"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52448"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52448"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}