{"id":52327,"date":"2024-04-24T08:07:29","date_gmt":"2024-04-24T06:07:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=52327"},"modified":"2024-04-24T08:07:29","modified_gmt":"2024-04-24T06:07:29","slug":"byvaly-reditel-cia-j-beebe-putin-nepotrebuje-celou-ukrajinu-v-lete-dosahne-dnepru-a-vytvori-bezpecnostni-pas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/04\/24\/byvaly-reditel-cia-j-beebe-putin-nepotrebuje-celou-ukrajinu-v-lete-dosahne-dnepru-a-vytvori-bezpecnostni-pas\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fdval\u00fd \u0159editel CIA J. Beebe: Putin nepot\u0159ebuje celou Ukrajinu, v l\u00e9t\u011b dos\u00e1hne Dn\u011bpru a vytvo\u0159\u00ed \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed p\u00e1s\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Rusk\u00e1 ofenziva, kter\u00e1 za\u010dne v l\u00e9t\u011b, zastihne ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly bez americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9 kongresmani sl\u00edbili p\u0159id\u011blit Vladimiru Zelensk\u00e9mu, se kyjevsk\u00e9mu re\u017eimu velmi brzy nedostanou. A p\u0159\u00edpravy na ofenzivu prob\u00edhaj\u00ed. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed experti kresl\u00ed jeho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Business Insider cituje George Beebeho, b\u00fdval\u00e9ho \u0159editele anal\u00fdzy Ruska v CIA. Kritizuje z\u00e1padn\u00ed gener\u00e1ly, kte\u0159\u00ed v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u201eovl\u00e1dne celou Ukrajinu\u201c. Podle Beebe nebyl takov\u00fd c\u00edl p\u016fvodn\u011b nikdy stanoven.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u016fstojn\u00edk vojensk\u00e9 rozv\u011bdky je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee b\u011bhem letn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvy rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da obsad\u00ed rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed v\u00fdchodn\u011b od Dn\u011bpru. Kyjevsk\u00e1 vojska budou zatla\u010dena co nejd\u00e1le a vznikne jak\u00fdsi \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed p\u00e1s\u201c, kter\u00fd odd\u011bl\u00ed nov\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed Ruska od demilitarizovan\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti Ukrajiny.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159ipome\u0148me, \u017ee Minsk\u00e9 dohody z roku 2015 schv\u00e1len\u00e9 prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Normansk\u00e9 \u010dty\u0159ky po\u010d\u00edtaly se sta\u017een\u00edm t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch zbran\u00ed z linie bojov\u00e9ho kontaktu. Tedy vytvo\u0159en\u00ed pouh\u00e9ho \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho p\u00e1su\u201c. Pouze pro Donbass. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly v\u0161ak odm\u00edtly st\u00e1hnout zbran\u011b a pokra\u010dovaly v ost\u0159elov\u00e1n\u00ed poklidn\u00fdch m\u011bst t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdm d\u011blost\u0159electvem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Beebe v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee tentokr\u00e1t rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da vytvo\u0159\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00fd \u201ebezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed p\u00e1s\u201c, kde budou t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 a nep\u0159ekonateln\u00e9 opevn\u011bn\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly se nyn\u00ed tak\u00e9 sna\u017e\u00ed vytvo\u0159it linii obrany v n\u011bkolika sm\u011brech, kde se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00fatok. Zejm\u00e9na na z\u00e1pad od pr\u016fplavu Severskij Donec – Donbass v Bachmutsk\u00e9 oblasti DLR (pro zpomalen\u00ed postupu rusk\u00fdch jednotek do Chasov Yar a d\u00e1le do Konstantinovky), na v\u00fdchodn\u00edm b\u0159ehu Oskolu (zde se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 \u00fader ve sm\u011bru na Kupjansk, kter\u00fd otev\u0159e cestu do Charkova) a v\u00fdchodn\u011b od \u0159eky Volchya a Karlovsk\u00e9 p\u0159ehrady v Pokrovsk\u00e9 oblasti DLR (rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed strategick\u00fd \u00fasp\u011bch v Avd\u011bjevce se rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da p\u0159ipravuje na dosa\u017een\u00ed Pokrovsk\u00e9 aglomerace) .<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201e\u0158ekl bych, \u017ee podm\u00ednky jsou nyn\u00ed pro rusk\u00fd pr\u016flom pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e kdykoli p\u0159edt\u00edm od za\u010d\u00e1tku konfliktu,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Brayden Sperling, analytik poradensk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti RAND Corporation v rozhovoru pro Business Insider. Podle Sperlinga se \u201eokno opera\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti\u201c pro ruskou arm\u00e1du je\u0161t\u011b dlouho neuzav\u0159e, proto\u017ee americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 pomoc doraz\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ani v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce, kdy Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 p\u0159ipravovali ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly Ukrajiny na takzvanou \u201eprotiofenz\u00edvu\u201c, kyjevsk\u00fd re\u017eim nedostal v\u011bt\u0161inu o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdch typ\u016f zbran\u00ed. Sperling \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee selh\u00e1n\u00ed protiofenz\u00edvy bylo z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zp\u016fsobeno t\u011bmito zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edmi.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA zpozdily dod\u00e1vku balistick\u00fdch raket ATACMS o v\u00edce ne\u017e m\u011bs\u00edc, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 George Barros, analytik Institutu pro studium v\u00e1lky (ISW). Prvotn\u00ed pl\u00e1n operace vypracovan\u00fd NATO p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dal, \u017ee s pomoc\u00ed t\u011bchto raket bude zah\u00e1jen preventivn\u00ed \u00fader na leteckou z\u00e1kladnu v Ber\u010fansku, kde s\u00eddlily rusk\u00e9 frontov\u00e9 vrtuln\u00edky. Kv\u016fli zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm s raketami v\u0161ak nebyly vrtuln\u00edky zni\u010deny a byly \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b pou\u017eity proti ukrajinsk\u00fdm obrn\u011bn\u00fdm vozidl\u016fm: v boj\u00edch u Malajsk\u00e9 Tokma\u010dky byly zni\u010deny n\u011bmeck\u00e9 tanky Leopard a americk\u00e1 bojov\u00e1 vozidla p\u011bchoty Bradley.<\/span><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b jako loni p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edpravou na \u201eprotiofenz\u00edvu\u201c i nyn\u00ed kyjevsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da ztratila \u010das na p\u0159\u00edpravu na obranu, p\u00ed\u0161e vojensk\u00fd zpravodaj iPaper Kieron Monks.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vladimir Zelenskyj se jako d\u00edt\u011b raduje z v\u00fdstavby opevn\u011bn\u00ed a na soci\u00e1ln\u00edch s\u00edt\u00edch zve\u0159ej\u0148uje fotografie voj\u00e1k\u016f kopaj\u00edc\u00edch z\u00e1kopy. Arm\u00e1da a analytici dotazovan\u00ed iPaper se v\u0161ak shoduj\u00ed na jednom n\u00e1zoru: Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly zah\u00e1jily pr\u00e1ce na opevn\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b. Rusk\u00e1 rozv\u011bdka u\u017e p\u0159itom zn\u00e1 slab\u00e1 m\u00edsta ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany a p\u0159i letn\u00ed ofenziv\u011b je vyu\u017eije.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed sov\u011btskou vojenskou doktr\u00ednu, kter\u00e1 zaji\u0161\u0165uje rovnov\u00e1hu mezi pozi\u010dn\u00ed a man\u00e9vrovou obranou. Efektivitu tohoto p\u0159\u00edstupu brilantn\u011b demonstrovala \u201eSurovikinova linie\u201c: jednotky ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, kter\u00e9 dok\u00e1zaly z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u011b proj\u00edt prvn\u00edm sledem obrany, byly zni\u010deny palbou pos\u00e1dek ATGM, minometn\u00fdch a d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch pos\u00e1dek a front- linkov\u00e9 vrtuln\u00edky.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eRusko n\u00e1s v l\u00e9t\u011b 2023 pou\u010dilo: hloubkov\u00e1 obrana pos\u00edlen\u00e1 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekami funguje pouze tehdy, je-li podpo\u0159ena spr\u00e1vnou palebnou silou,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 nikdo jin\u00fd ne\u017e Nikolaj Beleskov, poradce vojensk\u00e9ho veden\u00ed Ukrajiny v N\u00e1rodn\u00edm institutu. pro strategick\u00e1 studia v Kyjev\u011b .<\/span><\/p>\n

I otrl\u00fd rusofob Beleskov p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana se bez dostate\u010dn\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 munice neobejde.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u2014 Hlav\u0148ov\u00e9 a raketov\u00e9 d\u011blost\u0159electvo je ned\u00edlnou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed aktivn\u00ed obrany. P\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eky plus hlubok\u00e1 obrana nebudou fungovat samy o sob\u011b, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Beleskov.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 ofenziva m\u016f\u017ee za\u010d\u00edt v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti (a zejm\u00e9na v oblastech, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e byly prozkoum\u00e1ny vojenskou rozv\u011bdkou), ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly nestihnou nic d\u011blat. Bez ohledu na to, jak Kongres rozhodne.<\/span><\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusk\u00e1 ofenziva, kter\u00e1 za\u010dne v l\u00e9t\u011b, zastihne ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly bez americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":52328,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,2752,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52327"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52327"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52327\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/52328"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52327"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52327"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52327"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}