{"id":52325,"date":"2024-04-24T08:01:50","date_gmt":"2024-04-24T06:01:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=52325"},"modified":"2024-04-24T08:01:50","modified_gmt":"2024-04-24T06:01:50","slug":"michael-svatos-zasadni-zmena-na-vychodni-fronte-co-noveho-chysta-general-gerasimov-na-ukrajince","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/04\/24\/michael-svatos-zasadni-zmena-na-vychodni-fronte-co-noveho-chysta-general-gerasimov-na-ukrajince\/","title":{"rendered":"Michael Svato\u0161: Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed zm\u011bna na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed front\u011b! Co nov\u00e9ho chyst\u00e1 gener\u00e1l Gerasimov na Ukrajince?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Rusk\u00e9 letectvo pokra\u010duje ve sv\u00e9 bombardovac\u00ed kampani a v posledn\u00edch dnech dokonce zv\u00fd\u0161ilo po\u010det t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch bomb FAB, kter\u00e9 denn\u011b vrh\u00e1 na Ukrajince, ze 100, na 150 kus\u016f. A co h\u016f\u0159, bomby FAB u\u017e rusk\u00e1 letadla SU-34 nevrhaj\u00ed jen do vzd\u00e1lenosti 20 km od frontov\u00e9 linie na oby\u010dejn\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 p\u011b\u0161\u00e1ky, ale za\u010dala je nyn\u00ed metat hlavn\u011b na ukrajinsk\u00e1 velitelsk\u00e1 doupata, muni\u010dn\u00ed sklady a na shroma\u017edi\u0161t\u011b techniky, kter\u00e9 jsou rozm\u00edst\u011bny ve vzd\u00e1lenosti 20 a\u017e 40 km od frontov\u00e9 linie. Takov\u00e1 to zm\u011bna v leteck\u00e9 taktice zna\u010d\u00ed dvoj\u00ed. (1)<\/p>\n

Kyjevsk\u00e9 soldatesce do\u0161ly protiletadlov\u00e9 rakety, a rusk\u00e1 letadla tak mohou beztrestn\u011b l\u00e9tat bl\u00ed\u017ee k linii fronty, a klouzav\u00e9 tunov\u00e9 bomby tak mohou zasahovat d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed c\u00edle hloub\u011bji na ukrajinsk\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed. (2) Rusk\u00e1 letadla za\u010dala vedle c\u00edl\u016f v taktick\u00e9 hloubce ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany, (do 20km), jako jsou pevn\u016fstky oby\u010dejn\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, vozidla, d\u011bla a obrn\u011bn\u00e1 vozidla, napadat i c\u00edle v opera\u010dn\u00ed hloubce (20-40km) ukrajinsk\u00e9 obrany, jako jsou z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed z\u00e1kladny, shroma\u017edi\u0161t\u011b techniky, radarov\u00e9 a komunika\u010dn\u00ed uzly, a \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed nory, ve kter\u00fdch jsou poschov\u00e1v\u00e1ni vysoc\u00ed velitel\u00e9 soldatesky, a odkud oper\u00e1to\u0159i dron\u016f vedou sv\u00e9 \u00fatoky. Bombardovac\u00ed a raketov\u00e1 kampa\u0148 proti t\u011bmto opera\u010dn\u00edm c\u00edl\u016fm zna\u010d\u00ed jedin\u00e9 \u2013 \u010das Gerasimovy ofenz\u00edvy se p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eil v horizontu n\u011bkolika t\u00fddn\u016f.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrana na strategick\u00e9m sm\u011bru Don\u011bck-Avdijivka-O\u010deretino-Pokrovsk se v\u010dera ne\u010dekan\u011b zhroutila a Rusov\u00e9 O\u010deretino obsadili. Situace je navlas podobn\u00e1 p\u00e1du Soledaru 11. ledna 2023. Soledar tehdy br\u00e1nila nejelitn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 obrn\u011bn\u00e1 brig\u00e1da\u00a0Cholodnyj Jar<\/a>\u00a0a ta u\u017e byla tak vy\u010derpan\u00e1 a vyst\u0159\u00edlen\u00e1, \u017ee musela b\u00fdt nahrazena \u010derstvou rezervn\u00ed brig\u00e1dou vytvo\u0159enou z mobilizovan\u00fdch rekrut\u016f. Prigo\u017ein si v\u00fdm\u011bny jednotek br\u00e1n\u00edc\u00edch Soledar v\u0161iml a okam\u017eit\u011b, jako zku\u0161en\u00fd v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edk, na prom\u00edchan\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 jednotky za\u00fato\u010dil, a v nastal\u00e9m zmatku Soledar snadno dobyl. V\u010dera se to sam\u00e9 stalo v O\u010deretinu.<\/p>\n

Elitn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 47. brig\u00e1da,\u00a0kter\u00e1 je jako jedin\u00e1 vyzbrojen\u00e1 tanky Abrams a vozidly Bradley<\/a>, byla u\u017e n\u011bkolika m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edmi boji tak oslaben\u00e1 ztr\u00e1tami a demoralizovan\u00e1 neust\u00e1l\u00fdm bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee gener\u00e1l Syrskyj rozhodnul ji vym\u011bnit za 115. brig\u00e1du rekrut\u016f bez t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 v\u00fdzbroje. Takovou p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost si nejlep\u0161\u00ed rusk\u00fd gener\u00e1l Mordvi\u010dev nenechal uj\u00edt a okam\u017eit\u011b na O\u010deretino vrhnul ost\u0159\u00edlen\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00edky sv\u00e9 155. brig\u00e1dy n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty, 10. tankov\u00e9ho pluku, a 36. samostatn\u00e9 motost\u0159eleck\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy. A p\u0159esn\u011b jako v Soledaru v lednu 2023, tak i v\u010dera v O\u010deretinu prom\u00edchan\u00ed, dezorganizovan\u00ed a demoralizovan\u00ed Ukrajinci bez boje prchli.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Anal\u00fdzy fiaska Ukrajinc\u016f v O\u010deretinu v\u0161ak odhalily mnohem hlub\u0161\u00ed probl\u00e9my. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 47. brig\u00e1da\u00a0v okam\u017eiku rusk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku nem\u011bla k dispozici ani munici 25mm do vozidel Bradley, ani 120mm do tank\u016f Abrams<\/a>. V\u011bt\u0161ina t\u011bchto americk\u00fdch vozidel byla nav\u00edc u\u017e bu\u010f zni\u010den\u00e1, nebo rozbit\u00e1. \u0158ada proti-putinovsk\u00fdch analytik\u016f po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b se kv\u016fli tomu vztek\u00e1.\u00a0Proto\u017ee ve stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b, kdy USA nedok\u00e1zaly z\u00e1sobit Ukrajinu ani munic\u00ed, ani obrn\u011bn\u00fdmi vozidly, dodaly 500 vozidel Bradley s \u00faplnou v\u00fdzbroj\u00ed Maroku, a dal\u0161\u00ed munici za miliardy Izraeli<\/a>. Podle v\u011bt\u0161iny t\u011bchto anal\u00fdz, je ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da dezorganizovan\u00e1 a vy\u010derpan\u00e1, a je t\u0159eba o\u010dek\u00e1vat relativn\u011b rychl\u00fd rusk\u00fd postup vp\u0159ed.<\/p>\n

Michael Svato\u0161<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusk\u00e9 letectvo pokra\u010duje ve sv\u00e9 bombardovac\u00ed kampani a v posledn\u00edch dnech dokonce zv\u00fd\u0161ilo po\u010det t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdch…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12147,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,1917,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52325"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=52325"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52325\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":52326,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52325\/revisions\/52326"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12147"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52325"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=52325"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=52325"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}