{"id":51880,"date":"2024-04-19T00:38:45","date_gmt":"2024-04-18T22:38:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=51880"},"modified":"2024-04-18T16:36:53","modified_gmt":"2024-04-18T14:36:53","slug":"udrzujte-ukrajince-v-boji","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/04\/19\/udrzujte-ukrajince-v-boji\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201eUdr\u017eujte Ukrajince v boji\u201c"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Minist\u0159i zahrani\u010d\u00ed G7 hledaj\u00ed mo\u017enosti, jak odvr\u00e1tit v\u00e1le\u010dnou por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny. Odborn\u00edci se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko by mohlo brzy dos\u00e1hnout pr\u016flomu p\u0159es frontu.<\/span><\/h3>\n
\n

P\u0159ed dne\u0161n\u00edm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm ministr\u016f zahrani\u010d\u00ed G7 na Capri zazn\u00edvaj\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b i v z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00edch otev\u0159en\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed ukrajinskou por\u00e1\u017ekou ve v\u00e1lce. Kyjev je ve \u201ev\u00e1\u017en\u00e9m nebezpe\u010d\u00ed\u201c, \u017ee prohraje v\u00e1lku koncem tohoto roku, \u0159ekl o v\u00edkendu vysok\u00fd britsk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd p\u0159edstavitel. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edci ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve varovali, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly by mohly b\u00fdt brzy schopny \u201ena n\u011bkter\u00fdch m\u00edstech rozb\u00edt frontu\u201c. Rusk\u00fd pochod do velk\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1st\u00ed v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a dokonce i st\u0159edn\u00ed Ukrajiny u\u017e nen\u00ed vylou\u010den. Experti kritizuj\u00ed, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad \u201eod za\u010d\u00e1tku glosoval situaci na Ukrajin\u011b\u201c. Ukrajin\u0161t\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edci si st\u011b\u017euj\u00ed, \u017ee dopad z\u00e1padn\u00edch zbran\u00ed je v jejich tradi\u010dn\u00edm sebev\u011bdom\u00ed \u010dasto p\u0159ece\u0148ov\u00e1n; Rusk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd person\u00e1l se nap\u0159\u00edklad nau\u010dil, jak porazit \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 st\u0159ely Storm Shadow nebo SCALP s vysokou m\u00edrou z\u00e1sah\u016f. Minist\u0159i zahrani\u010d\u00ed G7 nyn\u00ed hledaj\u00ed mo\u017enosti, jak zabr\u00e1nit kolapsu ukrajinsk\u00e9 fronty. Ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Baerbock navrhuje mo\u017en\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201emapov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u0161ech syst\u00e9m\u016f Patriot\u201c.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Rusko p\u0159ed ofenzivou<\/span><\/h3>\n

Hodnocen\u00ed, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00e1 vojska ji\u017e nebudou moci dr\u017eet sv\u00e9 pozice na front\u011b mnohem d\u00e9le a \u017ee rusk\u00fd pr\u016flom s mo\u017en\u00e1 dalekos\u00e1hl\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u00fddnech a m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch je docela mo\u017en\u00fd, se d\u011blaj\u00ed ji\u017e n\u011bkolik t\u00fddn\u016f. Nap\u0159\u00edklad na za\u010d\u00e1tku dubna Springer online port\u00e1l Politico citoval vysoce postaven\u00e9 ukrajinsk\u00e9 d\u016fstojn\u00edky, kte\u0159\u00ed \u0159ekli, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly budou brzy schopny \u201eproniknout frontovou lini\u00ed a na n\u011bkter\u00fdch m\u00edstech ji zni\u010dit.\u201c[1] Vrchn\u00ed velitel ukrajinsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil gener\u00e1lplukovn\u00edk Olexander Syrskij o v\u00edkendu potvrdil, \u017ee situace na front\u011b na v\u00fdchod\u011b zem\u011b je \u201ev posledn\u00edch dnech v\u00fdrazn\u011b napjat\u011bj\u0161\u00ed\u201c ne\u017e d\u0159\u00edve; Rusk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly toti\u017e po prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch v Rusku \u201ev\u00fdrazn\u011b\u201c roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ily sv\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 operace.[2] Z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 tak\u00e9 za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed mluvit otev\u0159en\u011bji. BBC citovala b\u00fdval\u00e9ho velitele spole\u010dn\u00fdch sil Richarda Barronse, kter\u00fd \u0159ekl, \u017ee Ukrajina je ve \u201ev\u00e1\u017en\u00e9m nebezpe\u010d\u00ed\u201c, \u017ee prohraje v\u00e1lku koncem tohoto roku.[3] Barrons nevylou\u010dil pr\u016flom rusk\u00fdch sil p\u0159es frontu a pot\u00e9 jejich nezadr\u017eiteln\u00fd postup do st\u0159edu Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

\u00datoky na elektr\u00e1rny<\/span><\/h3>\n

Zat\u00edmco se Rusko p\u0159ipravuje na ofenzivu, podniklo v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 \u00fatoky na ukrajinsk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 z\u00e1soby. Rusk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly u\u017e ne\u00fato\u010dily na rozvodny a transform\u00e1tory \u2013 jako loni v zim\u011b \u2013 ale sp\u00ed\u0161e na klasick\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny. Naposledy byla v noci z 10. na 11. dubna zcela zni\u010dena tepeln\u00e1 elektr\u00e1rna Trypillia, kter\u00e1 z\u00e1sobovala mimo jin\u00e9 Kyjevskou oblast; Kr\u00e1tce p\u0159edt\u00edm byla zni\u010dena tepeln\u00e1 elektr\u00e1rna Zmiiv, kter\u00e1 z\u00e1sobovala Charkovskou oblast energi\u00ed. Podle ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch informac\u00ed u\u017e nen\u00ed funk\u010dn\u00edch 80 procent ukrajinsk\u00fdch tepeln\u00fdch elektr\u00e1ren; Na rozd\u00edl od po\u0161kozen\u00fdch rozvoden a transform\u00e1tor\u016f bude oprava pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b trvat roky.[4] Experti z Science and Politics Foundation (SWP) hodnot\u00ed strategii \u00fatok\u016f Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b jde pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b o odvetu za ukrajinsk\u00e9 \u00fatoky na rusk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 rafin\u00e9rie. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b jde o to, d\u00e1t vl\u00e1d\u011b v Kyjev\u011b na v\u00fdb\u011br \u201ebu\u010f z\u00e1sobovat zbrojn\u00ed pr\u016fmysl, nebo obyvatelstvo\u201c; Oboj\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u011b u\u017e asi nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9.[5] Ne\u00fasp\u011bchy v obrann\u00e9m pr\u016fmyslu oslabily schopnost Ukrajiny br\u00e1nit se proti hroz\u00edc\u00ed rusk\u00e9 ofenz\u00edv\u011b.<\/p>\n

\u201cZkr\u00e1\u0161len\u00fd od za\u010d\u00e1tku\u201d<\/span><\/h3>\n

S ohledem na bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se ruskou ofenz\u00edvu vojen\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ost\u0159e kritizuj\u00ed dosavadn\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed hodnocen\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b. To je n\u00e1zor nap\u0159\u00edklad Markuse Reisnera, d\u016fstojn\u00edka rakousk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil, kter\u00fd vyu\u010duje na Terezi\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 akademii ve Wiener Neustadtu a kter\u00fd se proslavil sv\u00fdmi rozbory v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b: \u201eSituaci v r. Ukrajina od za\u010d\u00e1tku.\u201c[6] \u201eZdroje, kter\u00e9 do zem\u011b proudily zven\u010d\u00ed\u201c byly \u201enedostate\u010dn\u00e9 pro opot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lku\u201c od za\u010d\u00e1tku, \u201ea to trv\u00e1 p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b od dubna 2022\u201c. Vytv\u00e1\u0159ely se i iluze o stavu rusk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil. Bylo mnoho zpr\u00e1v o \u00fatoku na rusk\u00e1 kas\u00e1rna, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m zahynulo mnoho rusk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f; Bylo to mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u00edky neopatrn\u00e9mu pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed soukrom\u00fdch mobiln\u00edch telefon\u016f ruskou arm\u00e1dou. Na Z\u00e1pad\u011b se n\u00e1sledn\u011b vytvo\u0159il dojem, \u017ee lehkomyslnost je \u201etrendem\u201c rusk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil \u2013 a\u010dkoli \u0161lo o \u201eojedin\u011bl\u00fd incident\u201c. \u201eVzali jsme jednu ud\u00e1lost a z n\u00ed odvodili stav rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Reisner; Ale nikdy byste nem\u011bli b\u00fdt \u201etak naivn\u00ed\u201c. V\u00fdsledkem byly chybn\u00e9 odhady bojov\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dinnosti rusk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbran\u011b p\u0159ece\u0148ovan\u00e9<\/span><\/h3>\n

Podle ukrajinsk\u00fdch d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f dotazovan\u00fdch port\u00e1lem Springer Politico se to t\u00fdk\u00e1 dod\u00e1vek z\u00e1padn\u00edch zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 byly tak\u00e9 v n\u011bmeck\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00edch ozna\u010dov\u00e1ny za zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 a do nich\u017e byly vkl\u00e1d\u00e1ny velk\u00e9 nad\u011bje \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad \u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 st\u0159ely Storm Shadow a Byly exportov\u00e1ny modely SCALP, kter\u00e9 byly vyvinuty Velkou Brit\u00e1ni\u00ed a Franci\u00ed. Ukrajinsk\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee byly pou\u017eity velmi \u201e\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b\u201c \u2013 ale \u201epouze na kr\u00e1tkou dobu\u201c.[7] Pak by rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da prozkoumala sv\u016fj zp\u016fsob akce a mo\u017enosti obrany proti n\u00ed – a na\u0161la by zp\u016fsoby, jak ji u\u010dinit z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti ne\u0161kodnou. Reisner uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00fdm ozbrojen\u00fdm sil\u00e1m se nyn\u00ed poda\u0159ilo \u201esest\u0159elit dobr\u00fdch 50 procent ukrajinsk\u00fdch raket elektronick\u00fdmi ru\u0161\u00edc\u00edmi syst\u00e9my\u201c; Zbytek \u201eby pak sest\u0159elila protiletadlov\u00e1 obrana.\u201c[8] Ukrajinsk\u00fdm ozbrojen\u00fdm sil\u00e1m se poda\u0159il \u201etu a tam velkolep\u00fd z\u00e1sah\u201c; Ale to nesta\u010d\u00ed, \u201eaby se protivn\u00edk vzdal\u201c. \u201eRusov\u00e9,\u201c cituje Politico ukrajinsk\u00e9 d\u016fstojn\u00edky, \u201ese neust\u00e1le u\u010d\u00ed. Ned\u00e1vaj\u00ed n\u00e1m druhou \u0161anci.\u201c[9] \u010clov\u011bk by nem\u011bl v\u011b\u0159it \u201ehypu\u201c, \u017ee \u201ejen pos\u00edlali voj\u00e1ky do ml\u00fdnku na maso\u201c: \u201eD\u011blaj\u00ed to tak\u00e9… ale u\u010d\u00ed se a zdokonaluj\u00ed\u201c sv\u00e9 v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Glob\u00e1ln\u00ed mapov\u00e1n\u00ed patriot\u016f<\/span><\/h3>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka je na programu jedn\u00e1n\u00ed ministr\u016f zahrani\u010d\u00ed G7, kter\u00e9 za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 tuto st\u0159edu na italsk\u00e9m ostrov\u011b Capri. Aby se zabr\u00e1nilo ukrajinsk\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece, je c\u00edlem hledat zp\u016fsoby, jak dodat Ukrajin\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed protiletadlov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my. N\u011bmeck\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany minulou sobotu ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee jeden z invent\u00e1\u0159e Bundeswehru poskytne. Ministryn\u011b zahrani\u010d\u00ed Annalena Baerbock se vyslovila pro diskusi o celoevropsk\u00e9m nebo dokonce glob\u00e1ln\u00edm \u201emapov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u0161ech syst\u00e9m\u016f Patriot\u201c na sch\u016fzce G7 a povzbuzen\u00ed st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 je maj\u00ed, aby je \u201erychle\u201c p\u0159edaly Kyjevu.[10] O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 se, \u017ee se sch\u016fzky z\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed i ukrajinsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Dmytro Kuleba a gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk NATO Jens Stoltenberg. Pokud nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 zabr\u00e1nit ukrajinsk\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece, pak nelze dos\u00e1hnout \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody, citoval italsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Antonio Tajani: C\u00edlem je dostat Rusko \u201ez Ukrajiny\u201c.[11] Jak se to poda\u0159\u00ed, z\u016fstalo nejasn\u00e9. Britsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed David Cameron ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve prohl\u00e1sil: \u201eNejlep\u0161\u00ed v\u011bc, kterou m\u016f\u017eeme letos ud\u011blat, je udr\u017eet Ukrajince v tomto boji.\u201c[12] Z\u00e1pad hraje va banque.<\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

[1] Jamie Dettmer: Ukrajin\u011b hroz\u00ed velk\u00e9 riziko zhroucen\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00edch lini\u00ed. politico.eu 3. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[2] Tom Balmforth: Velitel ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00fdchodn\u00ed fronta je pod intenzivn\u00edm rusk\u00fdm \u00fatokem. Reuters.com 13. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[3] Frank Gardner: Ukrajina by mohla \u010delit por\u00e1\u017ece v roce 2024. Takto by to mohlo vypadat. bbc.co.uk 14. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[4], [5] Christian M\u00f6lling, Andr\u00e1s R\u00e1cz: Pro\u010d Rusko ni\u010d\u00ed dod\u00e1vky energie. zdf.de 11. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[6] Hauke \u200b\u200b\u200b\u200bFriederichs, Maxim Kireev: \u201eP\u0159ehl\u00e9dli jsme situaci na Ukrajin\u011b\u201c. zeit.de 15. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[7] Jamie Dettmer: Ukrajin\u011b hroz\u00ed velk\u00e9 riziko zhroucen\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00edch lini\u00ed. politico.eu 3. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[8] Hauke \u200b\u200b\u200b\u200bFriederichs, Maxim Kireev: \u201eP\u0159ehl\u00e9dli jsme situaci na Ukrajin\u011b\u201c. zeit.de 15. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[9] Jamie Dettmer: Ukrajin\u011b hroz\u00ed velk\u00e9 riziko zhroucen\u00ed p\u0159edn\u00edch lini\u00ed. politico.eu 3. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[10] I p\u0159es omezen\u00e9 z\u00e1soby: N\u011bmecko dod\u00e1v\u00e1 na Ukrajinu dal\u0161\u00ed syst\u00e9m Patriot. berliner-zeitung.de 13. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[11] Crispian Balmer, Angelo Amante: V\u00e1lky ovl\u00e1dnou rozhovory G7, zat\u00edmco minist\u0159i zahrani\u010d\u00ed hledaj\u00ed cestu k m\u00edru. ca.news.yahoo.com 15. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

[12] Mark Landler: Cameron, na US Trip, riskuje a setk\u00e1v\u00e1 se s Trumpem. nytimes.com 9. dubna 2024.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Minist\u0159i zahrani\u010d\u00ed G7 hledaj\u00ed mo\u017enosti, jak odvr\u00e1tit v\u00e1le\u010dnou por\u00e1\u017eku Ukrajiny. Odborn\u00edci se domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":32824,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[323,1503,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51880"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51880"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51880\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51881,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51880\/revisions\/51881"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32824"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51880"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51880"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51880"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}