{"id":51492,"date":"2024-04-13T05:39:06","date_gmt":"2024-04-13T03:39:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=51492"},"modified":"2024-04-13T05:39:06","modified_gmt":"2024-04-13T03:39:06","slug":"bradley-blankenship-proc-izrael-riskuje-dramatickou-eskalaci-s-iranem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/04\/13\/bradley-blankenship-proc-izrael-riskuje-dramatickou-eskalaci-s-iranem\/","title":{"rendered":"Bradley Blankenship: Pro\u010d Izrael riskuje dramatickou eskalaci s \u00cdr\u00e1nem"},"content":{"rendered":"
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I kdy\u017e se posledn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd n\u00e1let v S\u00fdrii jev\u00ed jako zcela nepochopen\u00fd, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee existuje jasn\u00e9 strategick\u00e9 my\u0161len\u00ed<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

1. dubna Izrael bombardoval a\u00a0<\/span>nakonec zni\u010dil budovu p\u0159\u00edstavby \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho konzul\u00e1tu,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kter\u00e1 se nach\u00e1z\u00ed vedle \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho velvyslanectv\u00ed v Dama\u0161ku v S\u00fdrii. \u00dader, p\u0159i kter\u00e9m zahynulo sedm vojensk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f, byl \u0161iroce odsouzen mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm spole\u010denstv\u00edm jako jasn\u00e9 poru\u0161en\u00ed suverenity S\u00fdrie, jako\u017e i V\u00edde\u0148sk\u00e9 \u00famluvy a zaveden\u00fdch norem mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Letm\u00fd pohled do historie<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ukazuje, \u017ee st\u00e1tn\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i prakticky nikdy ne\u00fato\u010dili na diplomatick\u00e9 mise jin\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, s v\u00fdjimkou obdob\u00ed tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Nejrelevantn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edkladem je, kdy\u017e USA v roce 1999 bombardovaly \u010d\u00ednskou ambas\u00e1du v B\u011blehrad\u011b, dne\u0161n\u00edm Srbsku, o \u010dem\u017e tvrdily, \u017ee \u0161lo o nehodu. I kdy\u017e, jist\u011b, Peking nev\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee tomu tak je,\u00a0<\/span>navzdory omluv\u00e1m<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ze strany administrativy prezidenta Billa Clintona.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Takov\u00e1 situace je naprosto nep\u0159ijateln\u00e1 a vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed hrozn\u00fd precedens pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed vztahy. Izrael, stejn\u011b jako zem\u011b jako USA, nemaj\u00ed pr\u00e1vo prov\u00e1d\u011bt vojensk\u00e9 akce v S\u00fdrii bez v\u00fdslovn\u00e9ho souhlasu syrsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy uznan\u00e9 OSN. Takov\u00e9 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed je do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00edm poru\u0161en\u00edm Charty OSN.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b poru\u0161en\u00ed Charty OSN je \u00fatok na \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd konzul\u00e1t jasn\u00fdm poru\u0161en\u00edm V\u00edde\u0148sk\u00e9 \u00famluvy o diplomatick\u00fdch styc\u00edch z roku 1961 a V\u00edde\u0148sk\u00e9 \u00famluvy o konzul\u00e1rn\u00edch styc\u00edch z roku 1963.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro vl\u00e1du premi\u00e9ra Benjamina Netanjahua je to odv\u00e1\u017en\u00fd gambit, \u017ee se uch\u00fdlila k takov\u00e9 eskalaci. Nab\u00edz\u00ed se ot\u00e1zka, pro\u010d to Izrael ud\u011blal?<\/span><\/p>\n

Podle New York Times jeden z \u00fatok\u016f zabil gener\u00e1la\u00a0<\/span>Mohammada Rezu Zahediho<\/span><\/a>\u00a0, o n\u011bm\u017e se v\u011b\u0159ilo, \u017ee m\u011bl na starosti vztahy Teher\u00e1nu s Hizball\u00e1hem v Libanonu a dal\u0161\u00edmi nest\u00e1tn\u00edmi skupinami v S\u00fdrii a b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho p\u016fsoben\u00ed ve velk\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e slou\u017eil na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. dr\u017eba.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Snad nejjednodu\u0161\u0161\u00edm vysv\u011btlen\u00edm \u00fatoku by mohlo b\u00fdt, \u017ee m\u011bl za c\u00edl potla\u010dit logistick\u00e9 operace\u00a0<\/span>\u201eOsy odporu\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0a jak\u00fdkoli potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00fatok proti Izraeli ze strany jednotn\u00e9 fronty.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159itom je to pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b daleko slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a mohlo by to souviset s t\u00edm, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00e1 americk\u00e1 politika carte blanche pro Izrael t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b nep\u0159e\u017eije do konce tohoto desetilet\u00ed. Pro vojensk\u00e9 v\u016fdce v Izraeli to nyn\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt jedin\u00fd \u010das, kdy mohou jednat v potenci\u00e1ln\u011b existenci\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed na Z\u00e1pad\u011b pro Izrael a jeho pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed zv\u011brstva v Gaze prudce kleslo, ale neza\u010dalo tam. V roce 2021, b\u011bhem t\u00fddn\u016f boj\u016f v Gaze toho roku, \u010dlenov\u00e9 Kongresu USA v\u016fbec poprv\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>za\u010dali<\/span><\/a>\u00a0kritizovat Izrael. N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed rok zve\u0159ejnily mainstreamov\u00e9 lidskopr\u00e1vn\u00ed organizace jako\u00a0\u00a0<\/span>Amnesty International<\/span><\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<\/span>Human Rights Watch<\/span><\/a>\u00a0ostr\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy obvi\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed Izrael z apartheidu.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

V polovin\u011b minul\u00e9ho m\u011bs\u00edce se administrativa prezidenta Joea Bidena zdr\u017eela hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed o rezoluci Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN po\u017eaduj\u00edc\u00ed okam\u017eit\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v Gaze. Biden tak\u00e9 osobn\u011b 4. dubna Netanjahuovi \u0159ekl, \u017ee mus\u00ed zm\u011bnit sv\u016fj p\u0159\u00edstup k rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed katastrof\u011b v Gaze. Navzdory t\u011bmto akc\u00edm USA tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee rezoluce Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN je nez\u00e1vazn\u00e1 a st\u00e1le poskytuje zbran\u011b pro izraelsk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, tak\u017ee jak\u00e1koli slova nebo zdr\u017een\u00ed se hlasov\u00e1n\u00ed jsou diskutabiln\u00ed.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e podpora USA m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt nejist\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v minulosti, je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee Washington je st\u00e1le nomin\u00e1ln\u011b na stran\u011b \u017eidovsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu \u2013 alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm. Bylo tedy vid\u011bt, \u017ee s\u00e1zky pro Izrael jsou extr\u00e9mn\u011b vysok\u00e9.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

A kone\u010dn\u011b, nepopirateln\u00fdm faktorem je, \u017ee p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed sou\u010dasn\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy je hlavn\u00ed hnac\u00ed silou tohoto \u00fatoku. V\u016fdce sen\u00e1tn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161iny Chuck Schumer, nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u017eidovsk\u00fd volen\u00fd p\u0159edstavitel ve Washingtonu, 14. b\u0159ezna osobn\u011b vyzval premi\u00e9ra Netanjahua\u00a0<\/span>v projevu<\/span><\/a>\u00a0k Sen\u00e1tu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Obvinil v\u016fdce, \u017ee\u00a0<\/span>\u201edovolil, aby jeho politick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed m\u011blo p\u0159ednost p\u0159ed nejlep\u0161\u00edmi z\u00e1jmy Izraele\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Sen\u00e1tor vyzval k vyps\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch voleb a dodal, \u017ee Izrael\u00a0<\/span>\u201enem\u016f\u017ee doufat, \u017ee usp\u011bje jako vyd\u011bd\u011bnec, proti kter\u00e9mu stoj\u00ed zbytek sv\u011bta\u201c.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Izrael, nejl\u00e9pe vybaven\u00e1 arm\u00e1da na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, je ve stavu tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky s partyz\u00e1nskou skupinou Ham\u00e1s, kter\u00e1 srovnateln\u011b bojuje s holemi a kameny. Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee dosud nedos\u00e1hla sv\u00e9ho c\u00edle vym\u00fdtit Ham\u00e1s a osvobodit rukojm\u00ed, kter\u00e9 zajala 7. \u0159\u00edjna lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku, je pro Netanjahuovu vl\u00e1du mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b zahanbuj\u00edc\u00ed. Nav\u00edc t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jednotn\u00fd mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed odpor proti Izraeli za jeho vojensk\u00e9 akce v Gaze u\u010dinil situaci neudr\u017eitelnou \u2013 a\u010dkoli \u00fastup by pro stranu Likud znamenal tak\u00e9 politickou sebevra\u017edu.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r pot\u0159ebuje v\u00fdjezd. Z\u0159ejm\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem by bylo vyprovokovat \u00edr\u00e1nskou vl\u00e1du k velk\u00e9 eskalaci, odv\u00e9st mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pozornost od izraelsk\u00fdch zlo\u010din\u016f v Gaze a m\u00edsto toho donutit Washington a jeho spojence, aby se postavili za \u017eidovsk\u00fd st\u00e1t ve zjevn\u00e9 sebeobran\u011b. Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, \u017ee se zd\u00e1lo, \u017ee Biden vytvo\u0159il prostor pro takovou strategii b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho posledn\u00edho hovoru s Netanjahuem, kdy\u017e tak\u00e9 dodal, \u017ee USA se budou br\u00e1nit\u00a0<\/span>\u201eve\u0159ejn\u00fdm \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm hrozb\u00e1m<\/span><\/em><\/a>\u00a0\u00a0proti Izraeli a izraelsk\u00e9mu lidu\u201c.<\/span><\/em>\u00a0Izrael ze sv\u00e9 strany\u00a0<\/span>varoval \u00cdr\u00e1n,<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u017ee by mohl v\u011bci posunout na\u00a0<\/span>\u201enovou \u00farove\u0148\u201c,<\/span><\/em>\u00a0pokud by odvetil n\u00e1let v Dama\u0161ku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Soud\u011b podle reakce zevnit\u0159 \u00cdr\u00e1nu, evidentn\u00ed z ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed a zpr\u00e1v ze st\u00e1tn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed, je jasn\u00e9, \u017ee hlavn\u00ed sektory ob\u010dansk\u00e9 a elitn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti v Teher\u00e1nu po\u017eaduj\u00ed odvetu za tento \u00fatok. Podle anonymn\u00edch zpr\u00e1v z\u00e1padn\u00edch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb citovan\u00fdch sd\u011blovac\u00edmi prost\u0159edky Bloomberg\u00a0<\/span>je takov\u00fd \u00fatok velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00fd.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

Je ale tak\u00e9 pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee p\u0159esn\u011b to chce izraelsk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, kter\u00e1 douf\u00e1, \u017ee prudk\u00e1 pot\u0159eba pomsty \u2013 krom\u011b emoc\u00ed vyvolan\u00fdch situac\u00ed v Gaze \u2013 by mohla vynutit strategick\u00fd chybn\u00fd krok \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy a umo\u017enit Izraeli vynalo\u017eit posledn\u00ed \u00fasil\u00ed k zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed americk\u00e9 podpory pro sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed a tak\u00e9 zajistit Netanjahuovo politick\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bradley<\/strong>\u00a0Blankenship<\/strong>\u00a0, americk\u00fd novin\u00e1\u0159, publicista a politick\u00fd koment\u00e1tor<\/em><\/p>\n

\"Bradley<\/a><\/div>\n
\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

I kdy\u017e se posledn\u00ed izraelsk\u00fd n\u00e1let v S\u00fdrii jev\u00ed jako zcela nepochopen\u00fd, zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":50939,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,38,107,4045],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51492"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51492"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51492\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50939"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51492"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51492"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51492"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}