{"id":51210,"date":"2024-04-07T00:32:30","date_gmt":"2024-04-06T22:32:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=51210"},"modified":"2024-04-06T16:59:16","modified_gmt":"2024-04-06T14:59:16","slug":"stoupajici-hladina-more-30leta-studie-ukazuje-narust-pevniny-na-pobrezi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/04\/07\/stoupajici-hladina-more-30leta-studie-ukazuje-narust-pevniny-na-pobrezi\/","title":{"rendered":"Stoupaj\u00edc\u00ed hladina mo\u0159e? 30let\u00e1 studie ukazuje n\u00e1r\u016fst pevniny na pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici u\u017e des\u00edtky let varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed stoupaj\u00edc\u00ed hladinou mo\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 pr\u00fd pohlcuj\u00ed pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed oblasti a dokonce cel\u00e9 ostrovy. Jen\u017ee realita tomu n\u011bjak nehraje. Naopak: plocha 13 000 zkouman\u00fdch ostrov\u016f se ve skute\u010dnosti celkov\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ila. Ukazuje to anal\u00fdza satelitn\u00edch dat z let 1990 a\u017e 2020.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Neust\u00e1l\u00e9 stra\u0161en\u00ed klimatick\u00fdch fanatik\u016f jaksi neodpov\u00edd\u00e1 realit\u011b. Bez ohledu na to\u00a0<\/span>, zda existuj\u00ed tvrzen\u00ed o Arktid\u011b bez ledu, Alp\u00e1ch bez ledovc\u016f nebo ostrovn\u00edch r\u00e1j\u00edch zapu\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch do mo\u0159e \u2013 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z nich se nenaplnil<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0. Dokonce se zd\u00e1, \u017ee se situace v n\u011bkter\u00fdch oblastech zlep\u0161ila. Ukazuje to mimo jin\u00e9 studie\u00a0<\/span>zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e1 v b\u0159eznu 2024\u00a0<\/span><\/a>(Evolu\u010dn\u00ed dynamika ostrovn\u00edho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed v kontextu klimatick\u00fdch zm\u011bn: poznatky z rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdch empirick\u00fdch d\u016fkaz\u016f)<\/span><\/em> , kter\u00e1 se zab\u00fdvala zm\u011bnou pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed celkem 13 000 ostrov\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledek: Zat\u00edmco 88 procent ostrov\u016f nezaznamenalo mezi lety 1990 a 2020 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 zm\u011bny, pouze 12 procent zaznamenalo velk\u00e9 zm\u011bny. Celkov\u011b bylo podle anal\u00fdzy satelitn\u00edch dat 6 procent ostrov\u016f schopno roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it sv\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed oblasti, zat\u00edmco 7,5 procenta ztratilo pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed oblasti (hlavn\u011b kv\u016fli erozi).\u00a0<\/span>A co v\u00edc, v\u011bdci zjistili, \u017ee vzestup hladiny mo\u0159e nebyl prim\u00e1rn\u00edm ani p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edm p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinn\u00fdm faktorem pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed eroze.<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0Takto p\u00ed\u0161ou:<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eData nav\u00edc nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee vzestup hladiny mo\u0159e nebyl roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159enou p\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou eroze ostrovn\u00edho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed ve studovan\u00e9m regionu. V sou\u010dasnosti je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za jeden z faktor\u016f p\u0159isp\u00edvaj\u00edc\u00edch k pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed erozi, ale ne za dominantn\u00ed.<\/em><\/p>\n

„Na rozd\u00edl od p\u016fvodn\u00edch p\u0159edpoklad\u016f na\u0161e empirick\u00e1 data jasn\u011b nespojuj\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159enou erozi ostrovn\u00edch pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed s historick\u00fdm vzestupem hladiny mo\u0159e, co\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee lidsk\u00e9 aktivity mohou maskovat \u00fa\u010dinky vzestupu hladiny mo\u0159e.“<\/em><\/p>\n

A\u010dkoli do\u0161lo k \u010dist\u00e9 ztr\u00e1t\u011b -259,33 km\u00b2 v pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed rozloze na v\u00edce ne\u017e 13 000 zkouman\u00fdch ostrovech v desetilet\u00ed od roku 1990 do roku 2000, trend se pot\u00e9 v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch desetilet\u00edch obr\u00e1til s \u010dist\u00fdmi zisky 369,67 km\u00b2 od roku 2000 do roku 2010 a 32,67 km\u00b2 od roku 2010 do roku 2020,\u201c uv\u00e1d\u00ed studie.\u00a0<\/span>To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee od roku 2000 do\u0161lo ke kumulativn\u00edmu \u010dist\u00e9mu r\u016fstu o 402,33 km\u00b2, zat\u00edmco za cel\u00e9 obdob\u00ed 30 let to bylo 157,21 km\u00b2 \u010dist\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Tato data a zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed tak\u00e9 neodpov\u00eddaj\u00ed stra\u0161en\u00ed klimatick\u00fdmi hysteriky. Pokud by do\u0161lo k dramatick\u00e9mu vzestupu hladiny mo\u0159e, jak se neust\u00e1le tvrd\u00ed, m\u011blo by to (spolu s obvyklou eroz\u00ed) v\u00e9st ke kumulativn\u00ed ztr\u00e1t\u011b pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch a pevninsk\u00fdch oblast\u00ed. To se v\u0161ak ned\u011bje.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Klimati\u010dt\u00ed fanatici u\u017e des\u00edtky let varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed stoupaj\u00edc\u00ed hladinou mo\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 pr\u00fd pohlcuj\u00ed pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed oblasti…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":51211,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[5663,873,1144,2648],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51210"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51210"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51210\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/51211"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51210"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51210"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51210"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}