{"id":50436,"date":"2024-03-28T00:33:54","date_gmt":"2024-03-27T23:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=50436"},"modified":"2024-03-27T16:47:23","modified_gmt":"2024-03-27T15:47:23","slug":"amerika-nema-pro-ukrajinu-jiny-plan-b-nez-dalsi-valku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/03\/28\/amerika-nema-pro-ukrajinu-jiny-plan-b-nez-dalsi-valku\/","title":{"rendered":"Amerika nem\u00e1 pro Ukrajinu jin\u00fd pl\u00e1n B ne\u017e dal\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lku"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

Zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fd establishment USA se slep\u011b zam\u011b\u0159uje na por\u00e1\u017eku Ruska na bitevn\u00edm poli a zni\u010den\u00ed jeho ekonomiky.\u00a0Ani jedno se nestane<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Minul\u00fd v\u00edkend se v jednu chv\u00edli se\u0161lo n\u011bkolik des\u00edtek b\u00fdval\u00fdch \u010dlen\u016f kabinetu, vysok\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch d\u016fstojn\u00edk\u016f, akademik\u016f a analytik\u016f think tank\u016f, aby zhodnotili sv\u011btovou vojenskou situaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mohu \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee jsem se tak neb\u00e1l od podzimu 1983, kdy jsem jako mlad\u00fd smluvn\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00edk p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostn\u011b pracoval v N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rad\u011b pro tehdej\u0161\u00edho zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edho asistenta prezidenta Normana A. Baileyho.\u00a0Byl vrcholem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky a a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 realistick\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed Able Archer 83 m\u00e1lem vyvolalo jadernou v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dnes zahrani\u010dnopolitick\u00fd establishment USA s\u00e1z\u00ed svou d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost na pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed Ruska posunut\u00edm hranic NATO na n\u011bkolik set kilometr\u016f od Moskvy a z\u00e1rove\u0148 zni\u010den\u00edm moskevsk\u00e9 ekonomiky prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sankc\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vyt\u00e1hla v\u0161echny p\u00e1ky, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 k dispozici, s evropsk\u00fdmi vl\u00e1dami a zmobilizovala sv\u00e9 legie novin\u00e1\u0159\u016f, think-tank\u016f a placen\u00fdch politik\u016f, aby podpo\u0159ila z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b s c\u00edlem degradovat rusk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly a nakonec vynutit zm\u011bnu re\u017eimu v Rusku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00ed \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci \u2013 b\u00fdval\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 kabinetu odpov\u011bdn\u00ed za obranu a n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost \u2013 vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili n\u00e1zor, \u017ee NATO je i nad\u00e1le odhodl\u00e1no vyhr\u00e1t za ka\u017edou cenu.\u00a0\u201eOt\u00e1zkou je, zda m\u00e1 Rusko schopnost vybudovat strategick\u00e9 rezervy,\u201c \u0159ekl jeden z \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f.\u00a0„Jeho d\u016fstojnick\u00fd sbor je zapln\u011bn jen z 50 procent a u\u017e tam nejsou \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed podd\u016fstojn\u00edci.“<\/span><\/p>\n

„Rusov\u00e9 trp\u00ed masivn\u00edmi ztr\u00e1tami 25 000 a\u017e 30 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b,“ dodal b\u00fdval\u00fd d\u016fstojn\u00edk.\u00a0\u201eNemohou si udr\u017eet v\u016fli bojovat na bitevn\u00edm poli.\u00a0Rusov\u00e9 \u010del\u00ed zkou\u0161ce.\u00a0Mohou zachovat svou n\u00e1rodn\u00ed v\u016fli?\u00a0Ne, pokud [zmanipulovan\u00e9 volby Vladim\u00edra Putina tento m\u011bs\u00edc] byly n\u011bjak\u00fdm znamen\u00edm.\u00a0Va\u0161e ekonomika je zraniteln\u00e1.\u00a0Mus\u00edme zdvojn\u00e1sobit sankce a finan\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1kaz dod\u00e1vek do Ruska.\u00a0Rusov\u00e9 maj\u00ed Pot\u011bmkin\u016fv obraz s\u00edly.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u0161echna tato tvrzen\u00ed jsou prokazateln\u011b nepravdiv\u00e1 a report\u00e9rovi zn\u00e1m\u00e1.\u00a0Tvrzen\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko trp\u00ed 25 000 a\u017e 30 000 ob\u011b\u0165mi m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, je sm\u011b\u0161n\u00e9.\u00a0Asi 70 procent ob\u011bt\u00ed na obou stran\u00e1ch je zp\u016fsobeno d\u011blost\u0159electvem a podle v\u0161ech odhad\u016f Rusko vyp\u00e1l\u00ed p\u011btkr\u00e1t a\u017e desetkr\u00e1t v\u00edce gran\u00e1t\u016f ne\u017e Ukrajina.\u00a0Rusko se pe\u010dliv\u011b vyh\u00fdb\u00e1 front\u00e1ln\u00edm \u00fatok\u016fm, aby \u0161et\u0159ilo lidskou s\u00edlu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm faktem o znovuzvolen\u00ed Putina je, \u017ee volilo 88 procent Rus\u016f, co\u017e je mnohem vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast ne\u017e v jak\u00e9koli z\u00e1padn\u00ed demokracii.\u00a0Rusov\u00e9 mo\u017en\u00e1 nem\u011bli \u0161irok\u00fd v\u00fdb\u011br kandid\u00e1t\u016f, ale m\u011bli mo\u017enost volit nebo nevolit.\u00a0Vysok\u00e1 volebn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast je v souladu s 85procentn\u00edm souhlasem Putina zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdm v nez\u00e1visl\u00e9m pr\u016fzkumu Levada.<\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\"\"
Putin\u016fv souhlas nebo nesouhlas v pr\u016fzkumu Levada.\u00a0Zdroj: Statista<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n

M\u00edsto kolapsu se Rusko stalo centrem reorganizace glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dodavatelsk\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f a jejich financov\u00e1n\u00ed a jeho ekonomika sp\u00ed\u0161e roste, ne\u017e by se scvrkla na polovinu, jak prezident Biden v b\u0159eznu 2022 sl\u00edbil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ukrajin\u011b doch\u00e1zej\u00ed voj\u00e1ci a nem\u016f\u017ee se dohodnout na nov\u00e9m z\u00e1konu o brann\u00e9 povinnosti.\u00a0V\u00fdznamn\u00fd vojensk\u00fd historik vysv\u011btlil: \u201eV\u0161ude na Ukrajin\u011b vid\u00edte mlad\u00e9 mu\u017ee poflakovat se bez uniformy!\u00a0Ukrajina odm\u00edt\u00e1 poskytovat pln\u00fd v\u00fdkon.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko vyr\u00e1b\u00ed \u010dty\u0159ikr\u00e1t a\u017e sedmkr\u00e1t v\u00edce d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch gran\u00e1t\u016f ne\u017e Ukrajina.\u00a0Ukrajinsk\u00e1 protivzdu\u0161n\u00e1 obrana je vy\u010derpan\u00e1, proto\u017ee star\u00e9 protiletadlov\u00e9 rakety ze sov\u011btsk\u00e9 \u00e9ry byly vy\u0159azeny a z\u00e1soby raket Patriot v NATO se sni\u017euj\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko m\u00e1 nevy\u010derpateln\u00e9 z\u00e1soby velk\u00fdch pum ze sov\u011btsk\u00e9 \u00e9ry vybaven\u00fdch levn\u00fdmi nav\u00e1d\u011bc\u00edmi syst\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 p\u0159esn\u011b na ukrajinsk\u00e9 c\u00edle odpaluj\u00ed rusk\u00e1 letadla ze vzd\u00e1lenosti 60 mil (96,5 kilometr\u016f).\u00a0Rusko, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 p\u011btkr\u00e1t v\u00edce obyvatel ne\u017e Ukrajina, vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1 opot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lku.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fd zpravodaj na v\u00edkendov\u00e9 sch\u016fzce obvinil kancl\u00e9\u0159e Olafa Scholze a dal\u0161\u00ed evropsk\u00e9 v\u016fdce, \u017ee se p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed o \u201ejadern\u00fd pr\u00e1h\u201c \u2013 bod eskalace, kdy by Rusko mohlo pou\u017e\u00edt jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b.\u00a0Vyzval N\u011bmecko, aby Ukrajin\u011b dodalo \u0159\u00edzenou st\u0159elu dlouh\u00e9ho doletu Taurus s dosahem 1000 kilometr\u016f a dvoustup\u0148ovou hlavici schopnou zni\u010dit rozs\u00e1hlou infrastrukturu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edci n\u011bmeck\u00e9ho letectva diskutovali o pou\u017eit\u00ed 20 raket Taurus ke zni\u010den\u00ed Ker\u010dsk\u00e9ho mostu, kter\u00fd spojuje Krym s pevninsk\u00fdm Ruskem, v tajn\u011b zaznamenan\u00e9m rozhovoru minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc, kter\u00fd zve\u0159ejnila rusk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia.\u00a0Rozhovor tak\u00e9 odhalil p\u0159\u00edtomnost stovek britsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch voj\u00e1k\u016f NATO na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159en\u00e9st v\u00e1lku do Ruska a zni\u010dit kl\u00ed\u010dovou infrastrukturu je jedn\u00edm ze zp\u016fsob\u016f, jak prom\u011bnit z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku s Ukrajinou ve v\u0161eobecnou evropskou v\u00e1lku.\u00a0Dal\u0161\u00ed pos\u00edl\u00e1 voj\u00e1ky NATO na Ukrajinu, jak nam\u00edtl (ale t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b nezam\u00fd\u0161lel) francouzsk\u00fd prezident Emmanuel Macron.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pozoruhodn\u00e9 je, \u017ee nepadla ani zm\u00ednka o mo\u017en\u00e9m vyjednan\u00e9m \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed konfliktu.\u00a0V\u00fdsledek jedn\u00e1n\u00ed v tomto bod\u011b by Rusku p\u0159isoudil v\u00fdchodn\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 oblasti, kter\u00e9 anektovalo, a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b by mu poskytl n\u00e1razn\u00edkovou z\u00f3nu a\u017e po v\u00fdchodn\u00ed b\u0159eh Dn\u011bpru \u2013 n\u00e1sledovala by normalizace ekonomick\u00fdch vztah\u016f se z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evropou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko by vy\u0161lo jako v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00e9 a americk\u00e9 zdroje v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evrop\u011b by byly oslabeny.\u00a0Dopad na postaven\u00ed Ameriky ve sv\u011bt\u011b by byl zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed: Jak poznamenalo n\u011bkolik \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f, Tchaj-wan bedliv\u011b sleduje, co se stane s americk\u00fdmi proxy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pravidla sch\u016fze mi br\u00e1n\u00ed \u0159\u00edci mnohem v\u00edce, ale mohu nahl\u00e1sit, co jsem shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed \u0159ekl: Sankce proti Rusku \u017ealostn\u011b selhaly, proto\u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edstup k neomezen\u00e9mu mno\u017estv\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho (stejn\u011b jako indick\u00e9ho a jin\u00e9ho) dovozu, jak p\u0159\u00edmo, tak prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm r\u016fzn\u00fdch zprost\u0159edkovatel\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b Turecka a b\u00fdval\u00fdch sov\u011btsk\u00fdch republik.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ekonomick\u00e1 odolnost Ruska tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 \u00fadajn\u011b ni\u010div\u00fdm sankc\u00edm je v\u0161ak pouze odrazem velk\u00e9 zm\u011bny v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm obchodu.\u00a0\u010c\u00ednsk\u00fd v\u00fdvoz na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed jih se za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky zdvojn\u00e1sobil a \u010c\u00edna nyn\u00ed vyv\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v\u00edce na jih ne\u017e na rozvinut\u00e9 trhy.\u00a0Neb\u00fdval\u00fd exportn\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch \u010c\u00edny je zase zp\u016fsoben rychlou automatizac\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, kter\u00fd nyn\u00ed instaluje v\u00edce pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch robot\u016f ro\u010dn\u011b ne\u017e zbytek sv\u011bta dohromady.<\/span><\/p>\n

To se odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed v nov\u00e9 dominanci \u010c\u00edny na glob\u00e1ln\u00edm automobilov\u00e9m trhu, ale m\u00e1 to tak\u00e9 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 d\u016fsledky.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee m\u00e1 automatizovan\u00e9 tov\u00e1rny schopn\u00e9 vyrobit 1 000 \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdch st\u0159el denn\u011b \u2013 co\u017e nen\u00ed nemo\u017en\u00e9, proto\u017ee \u010c\u00edna m\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9 vyrobit 1 000 elektrick\u00fdch vozidel denn\u011b nebo tis\u00edce z\u00e1kladnov\u00fdch stanic 5G.<\/span><\/p>\n

To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee \u010c\u00edna dok\u00e1\u017ee vyrobit ekvivalent 4 000 americk\u00fdch st\u0159el s plochou dr\u00e1hou letu za t\u00fdden, zat\u00edmco americk\u00fdm dodavatel\u016fm obrany trv\u00e1 roky, ne\u017e je sestav\u00ed ru\u010dn\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nikdo nezpochyb\u0148oval moje \u010d\u00edsla.\u00a0A nikdo nev\u011b\u0159il, \u017ee Rusko utrp\u011blo 25 000 ob\u011bt\u00ed m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b.\u00a0Probl\u00e9mem nebyla fakta: shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed hodnost\u00e1\u0159i, reprezentativn\u00ed pr\u016f\u0159ez intelektu\u00e1ln\u00edm a v\u00fdkonn\u00fdm veden\u00edm zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9ho establishmentu, si prost\u011b nedok\u00e1zali p\u0159edstavit sv\u011bt, ve kter\u00e9m u\u017e Amerika nevl\u00e1dne.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jsou zvykl\u00ed \u0159\u00eddit v\u011bci a ud\u011blaj\u00ed cokoliv, aby si udr\u017eeli sv\u00e9 postaven\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fd establishment USA se slep\u011b zam\u011b\u0159uje na por\u00e1\u017eku Ruska na bitevn\u00edm poli a zni\u010den\u00ed jeho…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22771,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[371,1505,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50436"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50436"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50436\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22771"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50436"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50436"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50436"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}