{"id":50319,"date":"2024-03-26T00:39:54","date_gmt":"2024-03-25T23:39:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=50319"},"modified":"2024-03-25T18:45:58","modified_gmt":"2024-03-25T17:45:58","slug":"jiri-paroubek-slovenske-prezidentske-volby-skoncily-prekvapenim","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/03\/26\/jiri-paroubek-slovenske-prezidentske-volby-skoncily-prekvapenim\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Slovensk\u00e9 prezidentsk\u00e9 volby skon\u010dily p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Prvn\u00ed kolo slovensk\u00fdch prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb skon\u010dilo p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b vysok\u00fdm rozd\u00edlem ve v\u00fdsledc\u00edch dvou hlavn\u00edch kandid\u00e1t\u016f. Kandid\u00e1t st\u0159edopravicov\u00e9ho spektra, Kor\u010dok, z\u00edskal 42,5% hlas\u016f a naopak reprezentant vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran, p\u0159esn\u011bji Smeru a Hlasu, Pellegrini, zaostal s 37% z\u00edskan\u00fdch hlas\u016f za Kor\u010dokem o neb\u00fdval\u00fdch 5,5%.<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u0159izn\u00e1m se, \u017ee jsem takov\u00fd rozd\u00edl ne\u010dekal. Podle pr\u016fzkum\u016f ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, kter\u00e9 na Slovensku prob\u00edhaly, byl rozd\u00edl mezi ob\u011bma kandid\u00e1ty mnohem vyrovnan\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Dokonce n\u011bkter\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumy je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed n\u011bkolika t\u00fddny p\u0159edv\u00eddaly v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Pellegriniho.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00e9 jsou p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny Kor\u010dokova v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v\u00a0I. kole:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee svou roli sehr\u00e1la matn\u00e1 volebn\u00ed kampa\u0148 p\u0159edsedy slovensk\u00e9ho parlamentu Pellegriniho. Ten a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 spol\u00e9hal na svou vl\u00eddnou tv\u00e1\u0159 a na p\u0159irozenou publicitu, kterou z\u00edsk\u00e1val jako p\u0159edseda parlamentu. A b\u00fdval\u00fd p\u0159edseda slovensk\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy, tedy jako \u010dlov\u011bk, kter\u00e9ho zn\u00e1 vlastn\u011b ka\u017ed\u00fd. Kor\u010dokova zn\u00e1most mezi ob\u010dany se se zn\u00e1most\u00ed Pellegriniho ned\u00e1 srovnat.<\/li>\n
  2. Kor\u010dok vedl, by\u0165 zat\u00edm v\u00a0omezen\u00e9m rozsahu, dost agresivn\u00ed, americkou volebn\u00ed kampa\u0148. Lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee te\u010f je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159itvrd\u00ed.<\/li>\n
  3. Ficova vl\u00e1da jako by spol\u00e9hala na svou vysokou popularitu, kdy\u017e se pustila do \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed n\u011bkter\u00fdch politick\u00fdch probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 vy\u017eaduj\u00ed jist\u011b \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, ale jeho\u017e na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed bylo nevhodn\u00e9. M\u00e1m na mysli nap\u0159. \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed jednostrann\u00e9ho zpravodajstv\u00ed Slovensk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejnopr\u00e1vn\u00ed televize, kter\u00e9 jen dodalo munici opozi\u010dn\u00edmu t\u00e1boru, kter\u00fd vykresluje R. Fica a jeho kabinet jako nebezpe\u010d\u00ed pro demokracii. To, \u017ee sami bez uzard\u011bn\u00ed \u0159adu let vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed jednostrann\u00e9 zpravodajstv\u00ed ve\u0159ejnopr\u00e1vn\u00ed televize, je pro n\u011b vcelku samoz\u0159ejmou v\u011bc\u00ed.<\/li>\n
  4. \u010c\u00e1st voli\u010d\u016f Smeru nen\u00ed st\u00e1le je\u0161t\u011b dostate\u010dn\u011b identifikov\u00e1na s\u00a0kandidaturou Pellegriniho na prezidenta a R. Fico bude muset v\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b vystupovat velmi razantn\u011b v\u00a0jeho prosp\u011bch.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Existuje je\u0161t\u011b mo\u017enost zvratu ve prosp\u011bch Pellegriniho?<\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

    Kor\u010dok\u016fv n\u00e1skok 5,5% je pom\u011brn\u011b vysok\u00fd. Stejn\u011b tak 42,5% hlas\u016f, kter\u00e9 obdr\u017eel v\u00a0prvn\u00edm kole je impozantn\u00ed v\u00fdsledek. P. Pellegrini a zejm\u00e9na R. Fico se nyn\u00ed mus\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159it na z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed voli\u010d\u016f dal\u0161\u00edho z\u00a0kandid\u00e1t\u016f Harabina, kter\u00fd skon\u010dil t\u0159et\u00ed na p\u00e1sce s\u00a011,5% hlas\u016f. Harab\u00ednovy hlasy tak mohou rozhodnout o v\u00fdsledku prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb. Zat\u00edm v\u00edce ne\u017e dv\u011b t\u0159etiny Harab\u00ednov\u00fdch voli\u010d\u016f z\u00a0prvn\u00edho kola jsou ochotny podpo\u0159it ve druh\u00e9 kole Pellegriniho. To by sice matematicky sta\u010dilo, ale tak\u00e9 by to sta\u010dit nemuselo. Prost\u011b p\u0159ed II. kolem prezidentsk\u00e9 volby mus\u00ed zd\u016fraznit Pellegrini s\u00a0Ficem sty\u010dn\u00e9 body Pellegriniho programu s\u00a0Harab\u00ednov\u00fdm programem.<\/p>\n

    Je to ur\u010dit\u011b m\u00edr na Ukrajin\u011b. Konec dod\u00e1vek zbran\u00ed Ukrajin\u011b. A tak\u00e9 zd\u016frazn\u011bn\u00ed slovensk\u00e9 suverenity. A \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 poklonkov\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0 Bruselu a Ameri\u010dan\u016fm.<\/p>\n

    Dal\u0161\u00edm faktorem, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee rozhodnout, jsou hlasy ma\u010farsk\u00e9 men\u0161iny. Nen\u00ed sporu o tom, \u017ee velkou \u010d\u00e1st slovensk\u00fdch Ma\u010far\u016f bude zaj\u00edmat n\u00e1zor ma\u010farsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra Orb\u00e1na. Ten ov\u0161em sv\u016fj \u201ez\u00e1sah\u201c do slovensk\u00fdch voleb mus\u00ed ud\u011blat velmi citliv\u011b, aby nebyl obvin\u011bn z\u00a0ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed jejich v\u00fdsledku. Jestli\u017ee Slov\u00e1ci nemaj\u00ed r\u00e1di poru\u010dn\u00edkov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00e9ho star\u0161\u00edho bratra z\u00a0Prahy, n\u011bco podobn\u00e9ho a mo\u017en\u00e1 v\u00a0zes\u00edlen\u00e9 m\u00ed\u0159e, by poci\u0165ovali p\u0159i neobratn\u00e9m vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed ma\u010farsk\u00e9ho premi\u00e9ra. P\u0159itom je z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee V. Orb\u00e1n m\u00e1 z\u00e1jem na tom, aby Ficova vl\u00e1da byla co nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a aby na bratislavsk\u00e9m hrad\u011b sed\u011bl Pellegrini.<\/p>\n

    U\u017e dnes se se\u0161el P. Pellegrini s\u00a0jedn\u00edm z\u00a0ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fdch kandid\u00e1t\u016f prezidentsk\u00e9 volby, Kubi\u0161em. Ten jako n\u011bkdej\u0161\u00ed ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed a v\u00fdznamn\u00fd diplomat, m\u011bl v\u017edy bl\u00edzko ke stran\u011b Smer \u2013 soci\u00e1lna demokracia. Ona 2% hlas\u016f, kter\u00e1 Kubi\u0161e podpo\u0159ila v\u00a0I. kole, jsou sice hrou mal\u00fdch \u010d\u00edsel, ale 1 \u2013 1,5% hlas\u016f by mohlo putovat do volebn\u00edch uren ve prosp\u011bch Pellegriniho.<\/p>\n

    V\u00a0ka\u017ed\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b mus\u00ed Pellegrini p\u0159itvrdit, proto\u017ee Kor\u010dok a jeho volebn\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b vol\u00ed naprosto jednozna\u010dn\u011b konfronta\u010dn\u00ed strategii volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b p\u0159ed II. kolem. Tato kampa\u0148 m\u00e1 spo\u010d\u00edvat na svol\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed velk\u00fdch shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed v\u00a0kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch slovensk\u00fdch m\u011bstech. Svou roli m\u016f\u017ee sehr\u00e1t\u00a0 v\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b a zejm\u00e9na okolo Velikonoc, kdy religi\u00f3zn\u00ed Slov\u00e1ci budou nav\u0161t\u011bvovat \u0159\u00edmskokatolick\u00e9 kostely, to, \u017ee zejm\u00e9na konzervativn\u00ed kn\u011b\u017e\u00ed a biskupov\u00e9 by jim mohli vysv\u011btlit, jak\u00fdm nebezpe\u010d\u00edm pro tradi\u010dn\u00ed\u00a0 slovenskou rodinu a k\u0159es\u0165ansk\u00e9 hodnoty jsou n\u00e1pady slovensk\u00fdch progresivist\u016f. \u0158ekl bych, \u017ee je to s\u00a0ohledem na mal\u00fd vliv katolick\u00e9 c\u00edrkve v\u00a0\u010desk\u00fdch zem\u00edch, kdy\u017e skute\u010dn\u011b religi\u00f3zn\u00edch v\u011b\u0159\u00edc\u00edch, kte\u0159\u00ed nav\u0161t\u011bvuj\u00ed kostely je u n\u00e1s n\u011bco mezi 1 \u2013 2%, je m\u00e1lo pochopiteln\u00e9.\u00a0 Ale na Slovensku je tomu podstatn\u011b jinak. A tak nap\u0159. voli\u010di KDH se mohou rozhodnout k\u00a0podpo\u0159e \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00e9ho kandid\u00e1ta pr\u00e1v\u011b pod vlivem kl\u00e9ru, ne\u017eli kter\u00e9ho podpo\u0159ili v\u00a0prvn\u00edm kole volby a kter\u00e9ho tak\u00e9 podporuje veden\u00ed KDH. Je pot\u0159eba si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee soci\u00e1ln\u011b maj\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 a voli\u010di KDH podobn\u00fd spole\u010densk\u00fd status jako voli\u010di Smeru i Hlasu. Jen s\u00a0t\u00edm mal\u00fdm rozd\u00edlem, \u017ee voli\u010di KDH chod\u00ed do kostela.<\/p>\n

    Jako kl\u00ed\u010dovou tedy vid\u00edm v z\u00e1v\u011bru volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b (volby budou 6. dubna) pr\u00e1v\u011b roli R. Fica. Ten m\u016f\u017ee oslovit svou jasnou r\u00e9torikou voli\u010de Harab\u00edna. M\u016f\u017ee mluvit s\u00a0V. Orb\u00e1nem jako jeho politick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edtel a m\u016f\u017ee tak\u00e9 hovo\u0159it se \u010dleny katolick\u00e9 slovensk\u00e9 biskupsk\u00e9 konference. Zkr\u00e1tka,\u00a0 bude t\u00edm rozhoduj\u00edc\u00edm faktorem v\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru prezidentsk\u00e9 volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b.<\/p>\n

    Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

    \"\"<\/p>\n

     <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Prvn\u00ed kolo slovensk\u00fdch prezidentsk\u00fdch voleb skon\u010dilo p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b vysok\u00fdm rozd\u00edlem ve v\u00fdsledc\u00edch dvou hlavn\u00edch kandid\u00e1t\u016f. Kandid\u00e1t…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":50320,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1503,203,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50319"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50319"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50319\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50320"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50319"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50319"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50319"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}