{"id":49679,"date":"2024-03-19T00:35:36","date_gmt":"2024-03-18T23:35:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=49679"},"modified":"2024-03-18T16:55:24","modified_gmt":"2024-03-18T15:55:24","slug":"lucas-leiroz-vstup-do-nato-je-pro-svedsko-strategickou-sebevrazdou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/03\/19\/lucas-leiroz-vstup-do-nato-je-pro-svedsko-strategickou-sebevrazdou\/","title":{"rendered":"Lucas Leiroz: Vstup do NATO je pro \u0160v\u00e9dsko strategickou sebevra\u017edou"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Tradi\u010dn\u011b neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0160v\u00e9dsko se nyn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9ho glob\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu a podporuje NATO proti Rusk\u00e9 federaci.<\/p>\n

Po t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dvou letech byl proces p\u0159ij\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed \u0160v\u00e9dska do NATO kone\u010dn\u011b dokon\u010den.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed je zem\u011b form\u00e1ln\u011b sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 aliance, podl\u00e9h\u00e1 z\u00e1vazk\u016fm bloku a teoreticky chr\u00e1n\u011bna sv\u00fdm obrann\u00fdm de\u0161tn\u00edkem.\u00a0N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici myln\u011b tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee p\u0159ijet\u00ed \u0160v\u00e9dska je jak\u00fdmsi \u201ev\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00edm\u201c Z\u00e1padu nad Ruskem, ale podrobn\u00e9 zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpadu nazna\u010duje, \u017ee takov\u00e1 anal\u00fdza je neobjektivn\u00ed, proto\u017ee tento krok nem\u00e1 pro Moskvu \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u00fdznam \u2013 a pro \u0160v\u00e9dy dokonce vypad\u00e1 jako skute\u010dn\u00e1 \u201estrategick\u00e1 sebevra\u017eda\u201c.<\/p>\n

O za\u010dlen\u011bn\u00ed \u0160v\u00e9dska se diskutuje od roku 2022.\u00a0Po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace na Ukrajin\u011b po\u017e\u00e1daly \u0160v\u00e9dsko a Finsko o vstup do vojensk\u00e9 aliance ze strachu a protirusk\u00e9 paranoie \u017eiven\u00e9 USA.\u00a0Finsko bylo rychle p\u0159ijato, ale \u0160v\u00e9dsko \u010delilo n\u011bkolika p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m, jako je odpor Turecka a pozd\u011bji Ma\u010farska.\u00a0Po n\u011bkolika jedn\u00e1n\u00edch Turecko povolilo p\u0159ipojen\u00ed \u0160v\u00e9dska, stejn\u011b jako Ma\u010fa\u0159i byli nuceni st\u00e1hnout sv\u00e9 n\u00e1mitky pot\u00e9, co se dostali pod p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd tlak sv\u00fdch evropsk\u00fdch partner\u016f.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed, kdy\u017e v bloku neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 vnit\u0159n\u00ed opozice, se \u0160v\u00e9dsko kone\u010dn\u011b stalo \u010dlenem NATO \u2013 ale nezd\u00e1 se, \u017ee by to byl p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 d\u016fvod k oslav\u00e1m.<\/p>\n

Za prv\u00e9, \u0160v\u00e9dsko vstupuje do NATO v nejhor\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enou dobu.\u00a0\u010clensk\u00e9 zem\u011b aliance se nach\u00e1zej\u00ed v obdob\u00ed nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed provokace v\u016f\u010di Rusku a vztahy mezi Moskvou a Z\u00e1padem jsou na pokraji otev\u0159en\u00e9ho konfliktu.\u00a0V\u0161ichni odborn\u00edci se shoduj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lka mezi NATO a Ruskem, pokud nepovede ke glob\u00e1ln\u00edmu jadern\u00e9mu konfliktu, by p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm vy\u00fastila v bezprecedentn\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed katastrofu s mnoha lidsk\u00fdmi ob\u011b\u0165mi na boji\u0161ti.\u00a0V tomto smyslu se \u0160v\u00e9dsko jednodu\u0161e dobrovoln\u011b stav\u00ed do pozice legitimn\u00edho c\u00edle, pokud k takov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce skute\u010dn\u011b dojde \u2013 co\u017e \u010din\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed zem\u011b vstoupit do NATO skute\u010dnou strategickou sebevra\u017edou.<\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e se nap\u011bt\u00ed v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti zm\u00edrn\u00ed a mezi Ruskem a NATO nedojde k p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9mu konfliktu, vztahy mezi ob\u011bma stranami jsou v\u00e1\u017en\u011b naru\u0161eny a nebude snadn\u00e9 je obnovit.\u00a0Rusko ji\u017e dalo jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b pova\u017euje za z\u00e1stupnou v\u00e1lku vedenou NATO, a proto pova\u017euje v\u0161echny \u010dleny aliance za p\u0159isp\u011bvatele k agresi.\u00a0\u0160v\u00e9dsko se od nyn\u011bj\u0161ka dobrovoln\u011b stav\u00ed do pozice agresivn\u00ed zem\u011b v\u016f\u010di Rusku, co\u017e vede k bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed diplomatick\u00e9 krizi, kter\u00e1 se sama rychle nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Je t\u0159eba tak\u00e9 zd\u016fraznit, \u017ee pro Rusko se v d\u016fsledku \u0161v\u00e9dsk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstupu nic nem\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0Moskva opakovan\u011b prohl\u00e1sila, \u017ee vstup \u0160v\u00e9dska do NATO nepova\u017euje za \u010dervenou \u010d\u00e1ru ve vztaz\u00edch se Z\u00e1padem.\u00a0Skandin\u00e1vsk\u00e9 zem\u011b jsou dlouhodob\u011b \u00fazce integrov\u00e1ny do NATO a \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed se spole\u010dn\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch projekt\u016f a cvi\u010den\u00ed.\u00a0V praxi bylo \u0160v\u00e9dsko ji\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u201ede facto\u201c \u010dlenem NATO, a proto se nezd\u00e1, \u017ee by se region\u00e1ln\u00ed geopolitika po formalizaci \u0161v\u00e9dsk\u00e9ho vstupu skute\u010dn\u011b zm\u011bnila.<\/p>\n

V tomto smyslu je jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch argument\u016f proz\u00e1padn\u00edch analytik\u016f, \u017ee Baltsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e se od nyn\u011bj\u0161ka stane jak\u00fdmsi \u201ejezerem NATO\u201c, vzhledem k siln\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti Aliance pod\u00e9l pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Baltsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.\u00a0N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed propagandist\u00e9 \u200b\u200bse domn\u00edvaj\u00ed, \u017ee jde o skute\u010dn\u00fd \u201estrategick\u00fd \u00fader\u201c proti Rusku, kter\u00fd d\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00edm zem\u00edm v\u00fdhodu na n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edm boji\u0161ti v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/p>\n

Ale ani tento argument neplat\u00ed.\u00a0Rusk\u00e1 nev\u00fdhoda v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i je star\u00e1 realita, kter\u00e1 nevznikla pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti m\u00e1 Moskva v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i men\u0161\u00ed moc ne\u017e v jin\u00fdch regionech, proto\u017ee v t\u00e9to oblasti je n\u011bkolik nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed.\u00a0Nejedn\u00e1 se v\u0161ak o \u201evelkou r\u00e1nu\u201c proti Rusku. P\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i by se vedla nejen po mo\u0159i, ale i na sou\u0161i a ve vzduchu, tedy v oblastech, kde maj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 s\u00edly nad nep\u0159\u00e1teli p\u0159evahu. .<\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho m\u00e1 Moskva v Arktid\u011b velkou vojenskou s\u00edlu, co\u017e j\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pot\u0159eby umo\u017e\u0148uje vytvo\u0159it pro sv\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b alternativn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed cestu.\u00a0Arktickou cestu do Baltsk\u00e9ho mo\u0159e ji\u017e rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo vyu\u017eilo p\u0159i cvi\u010den\u00edch, co\u017e dokazuje, \u017ee je mo\u017en\u00e9 operovat t\u00edmto sm\u011brem.<\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc je t\u0159eba vz\u00edt v \u00favahu vojensko-technickou p\u0159evahu Ruska.\u00a0Moskva by mohla sv\u00fdmi raketami dlouh\u00e9ho doletu a UAV zne\u0161kodnit v\u011bt\u0161inu n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed s\u00edly NATO v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i, ani\u017e by dokonce rozm\u00edstila hlavn\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed flotily \u2013 co\u017e definitivn\u011b vyvr\u00e1tilo tezi o \u201ejezeru NATO\u201c v regionu.<\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm pora\u017een\u00fdm ze vstupu do NATO je nakonec samotn\u00e9 \u0160v\u00e9dsko, na kter\u00e9 bude nyn\u00ed Moskva pohl\u00ed\u017eet jako na nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fd st\u00e1t a bude muset tak\u00e9 exponenci\u00e1ln\u011b nav\u00fd\u0161it sv\u016fj rozpo\u010det na obranu, aby dos\u00e1hl v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f atlantick\u00e9 aliance.\u00a0Ve sv\u011bt\u011b na pokraji v\u00e1lky se \u0160v\u00e9dsko dobrovoln\u011b rozhodlo st\u00e1t se c\u00edlem v nejhor\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

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Tradi\u010dn\u011b neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0160v\u00e9dsko se nyn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9ho glob\u00e1ln\u00edho konfliktu a podporuje NATO proti Rusk\u00e9 federaci….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15608,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1503,39,1942,4746],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49679"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15608"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}