{"id":4953,"date":"2021-09-23T11:20:26","date_gmt":"2021-09-23T09:20:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=4953"},"modified":"2021-09-23T11:23:26","modified_gmt":"2021-09-23T09:23:26","slug":"jan-campbell-po-volbach-v-ruske-federaci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/09\/23\/jan-campbell-po-volbach-v-ruske-federaci\/","title":{"rendered":"Jan Campbell: Po volb\u00e1ch v Rusk\u00e9 federaci"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Volby do St\u00e1tn\u00ed Dumy (SD) prob\u011bhly poprv\u00e9 v historii Rusk\u00e9 federace a po zm\u011bn\u011b \u00dastavy RF b\u011bhem t\u0159\u00ed dn\u016f (od 17. do 19.z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b).<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Hlavn\u00ed ud\u00e1lost\u00ed voleb p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed podle osobn\u00edho hodnocen\u00ed: 1) vstup p\u00e1t\u00e9 a nov\u00e9 politick\u00e9 strany do SD \u2013 Nov\u00ed lid\u00e9. 2) \u00fasp\u011bch KSRF (Komunistick\u00e9 strany Rusk\u00e9 federace), 3) nejhor\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek Liber\u00e1ln\u011b demokratick\u00e9 strany Ruska (\u017dirinovsk\u00e9ho) od roku 2007 a 4) absolutn\u00ed propad neoliber\u00e1l\u016f a podobn\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f liber\u00e1ln\u00edho z\u00e1padn\u00edho my\u0161leni, hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho, politick\u00e9ho a hodnotov\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1m, \u017ee od roku 2003 byly ve Statn\u00ed Dum\u011b (SD) zastoupeny \u010dty\u0159i politick\u00e9 strany: Jednotn\u00e9 Rusko, Komunistick\u00e1 strana RF, Liber\u00e1ln\u011b demokratick\u00e1 strana Ruska a Spravedliv\u00e9 Rusko. V roce 1999 bylo ve SD zastoupeno \u0161est politick\u00fdch stran: Komunistick\u00e1 strana RF, blok Jedin\u00fdch, blok Vlastenci Ruska, blok \u017dirinovskeho, blok Jabloko a Svaz prav\u00fdch sil. Posledn\u00ed dva jmenovan\u00e9 bloky se nedostaly do SD v roce 2003.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nov\u00ed lid\u00e9 ve Statn\u00ed Dum\u011b<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Tato nov\u00e1 politick\u00e1 strana byla zalo\u017eena v roce 2020. Z\u00edskala ke dni pr\u00e1ce na tomto p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvku (21. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed) to jest t\u0159i dny p\u0159ed vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00edm ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u00fdsledk\u016f voleb (24. 9.) 5, 33 % hlas\u016f. Strana Nov\u00ed lid\u00e9 byla zalo\u017eena pod veden\u00edm Andreje Necajeva, zakladatele spole\u010dnosti Faberlic, nepopirateln\u011b s pomoc\u00ed starostky Jakutska, Sardany Vladimirovny Avksentejevove (1950).<\/p>\n<p>Stranu Nov\u00ed lid\u00e9 hodnot\u00edm osobn\u011b jako 1) stranu staronov\u00fdch znam\u00fdch osobnost\u00ed. 2) Jako v\u00fdsledek popt\u00e1vky po nov\u00e9 politick\u00e9 stran\u011b. Bylo to jasn\u011b vid\u011bt a c\u00edtit b\u011bhem volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b hladem po vyu\u017eit\u00ed principu novinka, p\u0159\u00edstupem k medi\u00edm, finan\u010dn\u00edm a administrativn\u00edm zdroj\u016fm, v\u0161e dohromady zabezpe\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed kontinualitu a neru\u0161enou volebn\u00ed kampa\u0148. 3) Jako praktickou fili\u00e1lku v\u00edt\u011bzn\u00e9 politick\u00e9 strany Jednotn\u00e9 Rusko (JR) ji\u017e z d\u016fvodu bl\u00edzkosti veden\u00ed strany Nov\u00ed lid\u00e9 ke Kremlu a prvn\u00edmu nam\u011bstkovi prezidenta RF Sergeji Kirilenko. S heslem \u2013 Nejsme takov\u00ed, jako ostatn\u00ed, nov\u00e1 strana hlasy LDSR Vladimira \u017dirinovskeho a JR.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Jednotn\u00e9 Rusko (JR)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>V\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed strany JR charakterizuje v\u00fdhra ve 198 jednomand\u00e1tov\u00fdch okresech z celkov\u00fdch 217. To je ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s lednov\u00fdm o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm p\u0159edem zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9ho prvn\u00edho n\u00e1m\u011bstka prezidenta RF, Sergeje Kirilenka v\u00edce, ne\u017e on o\u010dek\u00e1val: 45 % hlas\u016f p\u0159i \u00fa\u010dasti 45 % voli\u010d\u016f. Tyto dv\u011b cifry by umo\u017enily JR z\u00edskat op\u011bt \u00fastavn\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161inu, to jest 110 mand\u00e1t\u016f ze seznamu a 190 v okresech.<\/p>\n<p>Celkov\u011b lze tvrdit, \u017ee JR z\u00edskalo m\u00e9n\u011b hlas\u016f, ne\u017e ve volb\u00e1ch v roce 2016. Tehdej\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek p\u0159edstavoval 343 mand\u00e1t\u016f a v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed ve 203 okresech a po seznamu 54, 2 %. Volby vyhr\u00e1lo JR, proto\u017ee veden\u00ed um\u011blo vyu\u017e\u00edt t\u0159\u00eddenn\u00ed volebn\u00ed proces k efektivn\u00ed mobilizaci voli\u010d\u016f, pln\u011b si uv\u011bdomilo, \u017ee jednou z\u00edskanou moc a pozici nem\u016f\u017ee ztratit jen tak a bez boje ve volb\u00e1ch a \u017ee se nevyhne \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed soci\u00e1ln\u00edch probl\u00c9m\u016f a v\u00fdzev v rusk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Komunistick\u00e1 strana RF (KSRF)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Lze tvrdit, \u017ee KSRF dos\u00e1hla lep\u0161\u00edho v\u00fdsledku, ne\u017e v roce 2016 (18, 96 % ve srovnan\u00ed s 13, 3 %). Lep\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek ve volb\u00e1ch v roce 2011 (19, 2 %) byl dosa\u017een v dob\u011b siln\u00fdch protest\u016f. Osobn\u011b jsem presv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee KSRF nevyu\u017eila v\u0161ech dnes v RF se nab\u00edzej\u00edc\u00edch mo\u017enost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 si zaslou\u017e\u00ed podrobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed identifikaci a studium. To i proto, \u017ee KSRF p\u0159edb\u011bhla JR v Jakutsku, Chabarovksu a Nenenske autonomn\u00ed oblasti (NAO), kde existuje trval\u00fd protestn\u00ed potenci\u00e1l proti zm\u011bn\u00e1m \u00dastavy RF. KSRF m\u011bla podle m\u00e9ho osobn\u00edho hodnocen\u00ed nejkonzisten\u010dn\u00ed opozi\u010dn\u00ed program a agitaci ze v\u0161ech politick\u00fdch stran, kter\u00e9 se dostaly do SD.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Liber\u00e1ln\u011b demokratick\u00e1 strana Ruska (LDSR)<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Nen\u00ed pochyb, \u017ee LDSR obdr\u017eela nejm\u00e9n\u011b hlas\u016f od roku 2007 (8, 14 %, dnes 7,5 %). Hor\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdsledek dos\u00e1hla strana v roce 1999, kdy oslovila pouh\u00fdch 5, 98 % voli\u010d\u016f. Osobn\u011b si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee LDSR se prezentovala jako star\u00e1 politick\u00e1 strana, s unaven\u00fdm a sta\u0159e vyhl\u00ed\u017eej\u00edc\u00edm vzd\u011blan\u00fdm politick\u00fdm bavi\u010dem a l\u00eddrem Vladimirem \u017dirinovskym.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Spravedliv\u00e9 Rusko (SR) \u2013 Za Pravdu<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Toto sjednocen\u00ed t\u0159ech politick\u00fdch stran (SR, Za pravdu a Patrioti Ruska) zcela o\u010dividn\u011b nedos\u00e1hlo sv\u00e9ho c\u00edle. Proto bude nutn\u00e9 si uv\u011bdomit nejenom ve stran\u011b SR, ale i ve spole\u010dn\u00e9m veden\u00ed sjednocen\u00fdch stran, p\u0159\u00ed\u010diny ne\u00fasp\u011bchu. Presto\u017ee SR mohla v minulosti oslovit sama 6, 22 % volic\u016f, dnes oslovily spole\u010dn\u011b 7, 45 %. Osobn\u011b si dovoluji nab\u00eddnout p\u0159ipom\u00ednku, a to i pro \u010desk\u00e9 sjednocovatele politick\u00fdch stran, \u017ee 1+1 nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt v\u017edy 2, ale i mnohem v\u00edce, nebo i m\u00e9n\u011b.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Ostatn\u00ed politick\u00e9 strany<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Podle p\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00fdch volebn\u00edch v\u00fdsledk\u016f ke dni pr\u00e1ce na tomto p\u0159isp\u011bvku, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z dev\u00edti politick\u00fdch stran nep\u0159ekrocila 3 % voli\u010d\u016f. Uveden\u00e1 t\u0159i procenta dovoluj\u00ed obdr\u017eet n\u00e1hradu v\u00fddaj\u016f na volebn\u00ed kampa\u0148. Nejbl\u00ed\u017ee t\u00e9to hranici se p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017eila Strana d\u016fchodc\u016f, ve kter\u00e9 kandidoval i m\u016fj p\u0159\u00edtel z univerzity v Jekaterinburgu, Stanislav Nekrasov. Syn rodiny s komunistickou tradic\u00ed del\u0161i, ne\u017e 100 let. Jeho post\u0159ehy k volebn\u00ed kampani, jej\u00edmu pr\u016fb\u011bhu a samotn\u00fdm volb\u00e1m, nevylu\u010duji odd\u011blen\u011b zve\u0159ejnit.<\/p>\n<p>Skute\u010dnost je takov\u00e1, \u017ee 9 politick\u00fdch stran, kter\u00e9 se nedostaly do SD nabralo celkem 8, 85 % voli\u010d\u016f. Nab\u00edz\u00ed se tedy z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e1 ot\u00e1zka.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Co vypl\u00fdv\u00e1 z voleb do Statni Dumy v RF pro \u010cR?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Do politiky vstoupila nov\u00e1 politick\u00e1 strana, ne jako ideologick\u00e1 s\u00edla, ale jako projekt podporujic\u00ed vladnouc\u00ed JR a Kreml. V \u010cR lze pozorovat podobn\u00fd trend.<\/p>\n<p>Z oficialn\u00ed politiky RF zcela zmizela neoliberaln\u00ed politick\u00e1 s\u00edla, v\u010detn\u011b r\u016fzn\u00fdch NGO a podobn\u00fdch z\u00e1padn\u00edch projekt\u016f. Moc tzv. rusk\u00fdch oligarch\u016f bude nad\u00e1le oslabovat p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm ve strategicky d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch oblastech pro RF, tj. i pro EU v\u010detn\u011b \u010cR v oblasti energi\u00ed a p\u0159\u00edstupu k p\u0159\u00edrodn\u00edm zdroj\u016fm.<\/p>\n<p>Pro \u010cR by bylo nanejv\u00fd\u0161 v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 zak\u00e1zat protiruske aktivity n\u011bkolika zn\u00e1m\u00fdch NGO a za\u010d\u00edt vytv\u00e1\u0159et podm\u00ednky pro znovuobnoven\u00ed vyjedn\u00e1vajic\u00edho potenci\u00e1lu vl\u00e1dy a MZV s vl\u00e1dou a MZV RF ji\u017e proto, \u017ee kvalita \u010dasu a d\u011bn\u00ed ve sv\u011bt\u011b a sousedstv\u00ed objektivn\u011b nehraj\u00ed ve prosp\u011bch sou\u010dasn\u00e9 politiky \u010cR, v\u010detn\u011b obchodn\u00ed a kulturn\u00ed politiky.<\/p>\n<p>\u0158e\u0161en\u00ed komplexn\u00edch soci\u00e1ln\u00edch ot\u00e1zek spole\u010dnosti bylo volbami potvrzeno jako priorita a proto z\u016fstane i prioritou Kremlu. Nov\u00e1 vl\u00e1da RF pod veden\u00edm premi\u00e9ra Mysustina se bude v\u00edce v\u011bnovat jejich \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed spole\u010dn\u011b se strategick\u00fdm rozvojem Sibi\u0159e, D\u00e1ln\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu a Arktidy. Souhlasu net\u0159eba.<\/p>\n<p>Jan Campbell<br \/>\n22.09.2021<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-650\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Jan-cambell-300x146.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"146\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Jan-cambell-300x146.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/Jan-cambell.jpg 632w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Volby do St\u00e1tn\u00ed Dumy (SD) prob\u011bhly poprv\u00e9 v historii Rusk\u00e9 federace a po zm\u011bn\u011b \u00dastavy&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4909,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[29,22,27],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4953"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4953"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4953\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4909"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4953"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4953"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4953"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}