{"id":48780,"date":"2024-03-07T00:47:18","date_gmt":"2024-03-06T23:47:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=48780"},"modified":"2024-03-06T19:05:22","modified_gmt":"2024-03-06T18:05:22","slug":"jiri-paroubek-zdrazovani-zpomalilo-ale-pokles-ceske-ekonomiky-trva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/03\/07\/jiri-paroubek-zdrazovani-zpomalilo-ale-pokles-ceske-ekonomiky-trva\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed zpomalilo, ale pokles \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky trv\u00e1\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Premi\u00e9r Fiala se po zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed v\u00fdsledk\u016f inflace za m\u011bs\u00edc leden nadouval p\u0159ed televizn\u00edmi kamerami jako p\u00e1v. Ano. Inflace se v lednu zv\u00fd\u0161ila \u201ejen\u201c o dal\u0161\u00ed 2,3%. P\u0159esn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed by ale bylo \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee k t\u00e9 enormn\u011b vysok\u00e9 inflaci p\u0159edchoz\u00edch dvou let je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ibyla dal\u0161\u00ed 2,3%.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tedy, pravda je, \u017ee zdra\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed zpomalilo, ale ne v\u0161ude. Elekt\u0159ina meziro\u010dn\u011b zdra\u017eila o 13,3%. Vodn\u00e9 o 10,9%, sto\u010dn\u00e9 o 10,5%, bytov\u00e9 n\u00e1jemn\u00e9 o 7%, v\u00fdrobky a slu\u017eby pro b\u011b\u017enou \u00fadr\u017ebu bytu o 5,3%. Nad\u00e1le tedy poci\u0165ujeme d\u016fsledky hr\u016fzn\u00e9ho v\u00fdvoje posledn\u00edch dvou let, kter\u00fd dolehl na \u010desk\u00e9 dom\u00e1cnosti, celou ekonomiku i ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 finance st\u00e1tu. Vl\u00e1dou ignorovan\u00fd r\u016fst cen za energie, zejm\u00e9na elekt\u0159iny, jej\u00ed\u017e n\u00edzk\u00e9 v\u00fdrobn\u00ed n\u00e1klady byly nesmysln\u011b nafukov\u00e1ny p\u0159es Lipskou burzu, n\u00e1s ekonomicky srazil. A to tak, \u017ee jsme st\u00e1le pod \u00farovn\u00ed, na kter\u00e9 byla \u010desk\u00e1 ekonomika p\u0159ed n\u00e1stupem covidov\u00e9 pandemie. M\u016f\u017ee za to i prudk\u00fd propad re\u00e1ln\u00e9 mzdy, kde bohu\u017eel dopl\u00e1c\u00edme mj. na nete\u010dnost St\u0159edulov\u00fdch odbor\u016f.<\/p>\n

Ale nejt\u00ed\u017eiv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed d\u011bdictv\u00ed tohoto obrovsk\u00e9ho selh\u00e1n\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 politiky m\u00e1 podobu prudk\u00e9ho r\u016fstu st\u00e1tn\u00edho zadlu\u017een\u00ed, jen za prvn\u00ed dva m\u011bs\u00edce leto\u0161n\u00edho roku o v\u00edce ne\u017e 100 miliard korun. To bude dlouhodob\u00fd probl\u00e9m. Jde o p\u016fj\u010den\u00e9 pen\u00edze a z\u00a0t\u011bch se plat\u00ed \u00farok. \u010cNB zah\u00e1jila sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 m\u00edry a v \u00fanoru sestoupila na 6,25 procenta z\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00fdch 7,0 procenta. Jen\u017ee v\u00a0oslaben\u00e9 ekonomice kles\u00e1 i kurz koruny, za rok u\u017e o 8 procent, a sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9ho odstupu od euroz\u00f3ny to m\u016f\u017ee jen urychlit. To znamen\u00e1 zdra\u017een\u00ed nejen dov\u00e1\u017een\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed, ale hlavn\u011b zahrani\u010dn\u00edho dluhu.<\/p>\n

Zdroj:\u00a0https:\/\/www.penize.cz\/nakupy\/452040-inflace-za-leden-2024-je-nizsi-nez-se-cekalo-uroky-dal-klesnou-kurz-koruny-oslabi<\/a><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e porovn\u00e1me pr\u016fm\u011br cen za 12 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f s\u00a0jejich pr\u016fm\u011brem o rok d\u0159\u00edve, m\u00e1me v\u0161echno zhruba o deset procent dra\u017e\u0161\u00ed. To je stejn\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo, o kter\u00e9 vzrostly p\u0159\u00edjmy st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu, tak\u017ee cel\u00fd vl\u00e1dn\u00ed \u201e\u00fasporn\u00fd bal\u00ed\u010dek\u201c se nese na infla\u010dn\u00ed vln\u011b a p\u0159ehazuje n\u00e1klady na dom\u00e1cnosti. Jen\u017ee dom\u00e1cnosti nemaj\u00ed kde br\u00e1t. Posledn\u00ed ucelen\u00e1 statistika re\u00e1ln\u00fdch mezd je za rok 2022, tam mzdy zaost\u00e1valy za r\u016fstem cen o 6,5 procenta. Na to pak na ja\u0159e 2023 nav\u00e1zal prudk\u00fd r\u016fst n\u00e1klad\u016f na bydlen\u00ed skoro o 22 procent.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.czso.cz\/csu\/czso\/prijmy-ceskych-domacnosti-realne-klesly<\/a><\/p>\n

I podle \u010desk\u00fdch pom\u011br\u016f pod\u00edl osob, kter\u00e9 se dr\u017eely pod hranic\u00ed ohro\u017een\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjmovou chudobou, setrv\u00e1val kolem deseti procent. Kdybychom v\u0161ak s\u00e1hli po mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed a pod\u00edvali se, kde je hranice chudoby v\u00a0N\u011bmecku, zjist\u00edme, \u017ee tato hranice odpov\u00edd\u00e1 na\u0161\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 mzd\u011b. Z\u00a0tohoto pohledu dv\u011b t\u0159etiny \u010desk\u00e9ho obyvatelstva v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 let po sametov\u00e9 revoluci p\u0159e\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed v\u00a0b\u00edd\u011b. Pro to jsme cinkali v\u00a0listopadu 1989 kl\u00ed\u010di? J\u00e1 tedy ne.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

I v\u00a0r\u00e1mci republiky je tlak drahoty nad\u00e1le t\u00ed\u017eiv\u00fd a lid\u00e9 se maj\u00ed h\u016f\u0159 ne\u017e o rok d\u0159\u00edve. Potvrzuj\u00ed to data \u010cS\u00da o v\u00fdvoji v\u00fddaj\u016f na kone\u010dnou spot\u0159ebu dom\u00e1cnost\u00ed, kter\u00e9 meziro\u010dn\u011b klesly o 0,5 procenta. Pak se nelze divit, \u017ee tak\u00e9 cel\u00fd hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt \u010ceska v\u00a0lo\u0148sk\u00e9m roce meziro\u010dn\u011b poklesl o 0,4 procenta a st\u00e1le se nem\u016f\u017eeme dostat nad \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159ed n\u00e1stupem covidu roku 2019. V\u00a0tom m\u00e1 \u010cesko unik\u00e1tn\u00ed postaven\u00ed, jsme jedin\u00ed v\u00a0EU, komu se to nepoda\u0159ilo.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.czso.cz\/csu\/czso\/cri\/tvorba-a-uziti-hdp-4-ctvrtleti-2023<\/a><\/p>\n

\u0160kody, kter\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u00e1 neschopn\u00e1 vl\u00e1da nad\u011blala, se budou p\u0159ekon\u00e1vat je\u0161t\u011b dlouho. V\u00a0polovin\u011b lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku p\u0159es\u00e1hla zadlu\u017eenost st\u00e1tu 3 biliony korun a nad\u00e1le se zadlu\u017eujeme o \u010dtvrt bilionu korun ro\u010dn\u011b. Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me na \u00farokov\u00e9 n\u00e1klady, obejdou n\u00e1s mr\u00e1koty, proto\u017ee na trhu u\u017e jsou st\u00e1tn\u00ed dluhopisy s\u00a0\u00faro\u010den\u00edm za 6 procent. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee jen z\u00a0p\u0159\u00edr\u016fstku schodku st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu za prvn\u00ed dva m\u011bs\u00edce roku po roce zaplat\u00edme 6 miliard korun \u00farok\u016f. Vzpome\u0148me si na to, \u017ee pro \u0161koln\u00ed kucha\u0159ky a \u0161koln\u00edky se neda\u0159\u00ed naj\u00edt 800 milion\u016f korun, aby se posunuli nad \u00fapln\u011b hladov\u00e9 mzdy.<\/p>\n

Ro\u010dn\u00ed v\u00fddaje na obsluhu cel\u00e9ho st\u00e1tn\u00edho dluhu se nezadr\u017eiteln\u011b bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ke 100 miliard\u00e1m korun. Kolik skute\u010dn\u011b zaplat\u00edme, bude z\u00e1viset i na kurzu koruny. V\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bru lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku jsme se dozv\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee zahrani\u010dn\u00ed dluh \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky ve t\u0159et\u00edm \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed 2023 stoupl o 126,3 miliardy na 4,546 bilionu korun. V meziro\u010dn\u00edm srovn\u00e1n\u00ed byl o 140,4 miliardy vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed. V\u00fd\u0161e zahrani\u010dn\u00edho dluhu ke konci z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed p\u0159edstavovala 62,9 procenta hrub\u00e9ho dom\u00e1c\u00edho produktu (HDP) zem\u011b, tedy celkov\u00e9ho v\u00fdkonu \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomiky.<\/p>\n

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P\u0159es 77 procent zahrani\u010dn\u00edho dluhu p\u0159ipadlo na soukrom\u00fd sektor a zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st, 22,7 procenta, byly z\u00e1vazky ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho sektoru, do kter\u00fdch spadaj\u00ed z\u00e1vazky vl\u00e1dn\u00edho sektoru, soukrom\u00fdch subjekt\u016f garantovan\u00e9 vl\u00e1dou a subjekt\u016f s majoritn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast\u00ed st\u00e1tu, uv\u00e1d\u00ed \u010cesk\u00e1 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed banka.<\/p>\n

https:\/\/www.ceskenoviny.cz\/zpravy\/2456769<\/a><\/p>\n

Jedn\u00e1 se tedy o \u00fadaj, kter\u00fd vykazujeme v\u00a0korun\u00e1ch, ale p\u0159i tehdej\u0161\u00edm kurzu. Od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku koruna klesla o dv\u011b procenta. Kdy\u017e to p\u0159evedeme na v\u00fdchoz\u00edch 4,5 bilionu korun zahrani\u010dn\u00edho zadlu\u017een\u00ed, r\u00e1zem n\u00e1m tam nasko\u010dilo dal\u0161\u00edch 90 miliard.<\/p>\n

N\u00e1klady inflace tak m\u00e1me jako na tal\u00ed\u0159i. Vysok\u00e9 ceny elekt\u0159iny sr\u00e1\u017eely ekonomiku a ta pak nesla tak\u00e9 t\u00edhu protiinfla\u010dn\u00edho boje v\u00a0podob\u011b vysok\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 m\u00edry. N\u00e1klady rostly, p\u0159\u00edjmy zaost\u00e1valy, dluh nar\u016fstal. Jen\u017ee kdy\u017e te\u010f m\u00edra inflace kles\u00e1, je t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 sahat na ty vysok\u00e9 \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby moc zhurta, proto\u017ee se o n\u011b op\u00edr\u00e1 kurz koruny. A pokles kurzu \u010desk\u00e9 m\u011bny znamen\u00e1 prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst korunov\u00e9 hodnoty zahrani\u010dn\u00edho zadlu\u017een\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zp\u016fsob, jak\u00fdm vl\u00e1da s\u00a0inflac\u00ed a zadlu\u017een\u00edm bojovala, spo\u010d\u00edval v\u00a0p\u0159en\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1klad\u016f na dom\u00e1cnosti. Dluhu to nepomohlo, to vid\u00edme. Ekonomika se tak\u00e9 vyv\u00edj\u00ed slab\u011bji, ne\u017e byly p\u0159edpov\u011bdi. Zato zisky energetick\u00fdch spole\u010dnost\u00ed, bank nebo telekomunikac\u00ed a z\u0159ejm\u011b i obchodn\u00edch \u0159et\u011bzc\u016f byly rekordn\u00ed. Ty v\u0161ak bohu\u017eel v\u011bt\u0161inou odplynuly do zahrani\u010d\u00ed. Prost\u011b naprost\u00fd debakl vl\u00e1dn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 politiky.<\/p>\n

A co je t\u0159eba ud\u011blat? O tom v\u00a0pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Premi\u00e9r Fiala se po zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00ed v\u00fdsledk\u016f inflace za m\u011bs\u00edc leden nadouval p\u0159ed televizn\u00edmi kamerami jako…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":11432,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,59,683,371],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48780"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48780"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48780\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48781,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48780\/revisions\/48781"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48780"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48780"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48780"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}