{"id":4872,"date":"2021-09-20T08:25:49","date_gmt":"2021-09-20T06:25:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=4872"},"modified":"2021-09-20T08:25:49","modified_gmt":"2021-09-20T06:25:49","slug":"studena-valka-se-presouva-do-indo-pacifickeho-regionu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/09\/20\/studena-valka-se-presouva-do-indo-pacifickeho-regionu\/","title":{"rendered":"Studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka se p\u0159esouv\u00e1 do indo-pacifick\u00e9ho regi\u00f3nu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Kdyby v EU nebylo Polsko a Pobaltsk\u00e9 zem\u011b, nemuseli bychom donekone\u010dna \u0159e\u0161it nov\u00e9 a nov\u00e9 rozdmych\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed protirusk\u00e9 \u00fadajn\u00e9 hrozby a mohl by b\u00fdt v Evrop\u011b alespo\u0148 v jednom sm\u011bru klid. Co s t\u00edm ale nad\u011bl\u00e1me? Nic. Tak to je a Pol\u00e1ci, Estonci, Litevci a Loty\u0161i si pokoj nedaj\u00ed. No je to tak a protirusk\u00e9 mohutn\u00e9 loby zde st\u00e1le bude, ale bude siln\u00e9 jen na to, aby otravovalo vzduch, ale u\u017e ne na to, aby z toho byl vojensk\u00fd konflikt.<\/div>\n
\n

\u00a0I doba barevn\u00fdch revoluc\u00ed kon\u010d\u00ed, i kdy\u017e se to Z\u00e1padu nel\u00edb\u00ed. A ob\u010dansk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b, kterou jsem hned na po\u010d\u00e1tku po vypuknut\u00ed euromajdanu p\u0159edv\u00eddal v\u00a0\u010cesk\u00e9 televizi (a\u010d samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nerad) skon\u010dila p\u0159em\u011bnou d\u0159\u00edve relativn\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9 zem\u011b ve zhroucen\u00fd st\u00e1t. A i kdy\u017e se i sou\u010dasn\u00fd prezident Zielensky sna\u017e\u00ed za ka\u017edou cenu znovu vojensky do konfliktu zat\u00e1hnout USA, pro Bidena je to ji\u017e bohud\u00edk uzav\u0159en\u00e1 kapitola a status quo, kdy je sice Ukrajina jako st\u00e1t a t\u00edm i hodnotn\u00fd spojenec v\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b nepou\u017eiteln\u00e1, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 a\u017e fanaticky protirusk\u00e1 je maximum, \u010deho m\u016f\u017ee USA dos\u00e1hnout. Tak\u00e9 b\u011blorusk\u00e1 barevn\u00e1 revoluce skon\u010dila fiaskem a Z\u00e1pad svou vlastn\u00ed chybou p\u0159itla\u010dil Luka\u0161enka je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce k\u00a0Rusku.<\/p>\n

Medi\u00e1ln\u00ed a virtu\u00e1ln\u00ed r\u00e9toriku bude Z\u00e1pad v\u00e9st do nekone\u010dna a \u010das od \u010dasu vymysl\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou tu novou sankci, vojensk\u00e1 cvi\u010den\u00ed se budou konat s\u00a0\u017eeleznou pravidelnost\u00ed, ale jinak v\u0161e v\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b v\u00a0pohod\u011b.<\/p>\n

A nemylme se. Tak m\u00e1lo to nen\u00ed. Nejv\u00edce sv\u011btov\u00fdch konflikt\u016f se vzedmulo pr\u00e1v\u011b z\u00a0Evropy. A bude jen dobr\u00e9, \u017ee i kdy\u017e slovo m\u00edr je dnes br\u00e1no jako nad\u00e1vka, je a m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt kr\u00e1snou realitou.<\/p>\n

Sv\u011bt je ov\u0161em znovu ideologicky a hlavn\u011b politicky rozd\u011blen. Z\u00e1pad jej definuje jako st\u0159et demokraci\u00ed (USA a jej\u00ed spojenci) a autokraci\u00ed (\u010c\u00edna, Rusko). To rozd\u011blen\u00ed znovu zapo\u010dalo za Trumpa a Biden se ho sna\u017e\u00ed dov\u00e9st na vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed level a to i institucion\u00e1ln\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jestli\u017ee jsme si \u0159ekli , \u017ee trval\u00e9 protirusk\u00e9 p\u016ftky, kter\u00e9 se ze strany Z\u00e1padu vedou proti Rusku, berou jako povinn\u00e1 v\u00fdbava, kdy ale USA a jeho spojenci cht\u011bj\u00ed sice zlobit, ale nikoliv re\u00e1ln\u011b a neodvratiteln\u011b rozzlobit, hlavn\u00ed st\u0159et, objektivn\u011b podm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd triumf\u00e1ln\u00edm ekonomick\u00fdm rozmachem \u010c\u00edny cht\u011bj\u00ed USA v\u00e9st v\u00fdlu\u010dn\u011b proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b, a to jak na ekonomick\u00e9, tak i vojensk\u00e9 b\u00e1zi. A v\u00a0tomto duchu stav\u00ed v\u011bc jako v\u011bc principu. Kdo chce b\u00fdt spojencem USA mus\u00ed pokl\u00e1dat \u010c\u00ednu po v\u0161ech str\u00e1nk\u00e1ch jako hrozbu.<\/p>\n

Jestli\u017ee Trump cht\u011bl ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku proti Afganist\u00e1nu proto, \u017ee nen\u00e1vid\u011bl ty nekone\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, Biden si cht\u011bl p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm uvolnit ruce k\u00a0\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed jednak dom\u00e1c\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f, kter\u00e9 mu p\u0159er\u016fstaj\u00ed hlavu, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 k\u00a0nov\u00e9 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u201etot\u00e1ln\u00ed\u201c v\u00e1lce proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Kdo ze spojenc\u016f couv\u00e1, v\u00e1h\u00e1, dovol\u00ed si p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let i o variant\u00e1ch partnerstv\u00ed, co\u017e byl p\u0159\u00edpad Merkelov\u00e9 i Macrona, ale nap\u0159\u00edklad i Indie a Japonska se prost\u011b do tohoto strategick\u00e9ho proti\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho spojenectv\u00ed nehod\u00ed.<\/p>\n

A tak bez varov\u00e1n\u00ed, op\u011bt bez jak\u00fdchkoliv konzultac\u00ed, vytvo\u0159ena nov\u00e1 \u201ejest\u0159\u00e1b\u00ed\u201c aliance AUKUS USA, Velk\u00e1 Brit\u00e1nie, Austr\u00e1lie, s c\u00edlem vybavit Austr\u00e1lii ponorkami s jadern\u00fdm pohonem jak mobiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zbra\u0148 proti sice nejmenovan\u00e9mu, ale jasn\u00e9mu nep\u0159\u00edteli \u010c\u00edn\u011b. A jaksi mimochodem Austr\u00e1lie vypov\u011bd\u011bla smlouvu s Franci\u00ed i p\u0159ipravovan\u00e9 dod\u00e1vce turbodieselov\u00fdch ponorek.<\/p>\n

Efekt p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed, tot\u00e1ln\u00edho pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed Francie, ale nesporn\u011b i rozbit\u00ed i jasn\u00e9ho rovnov\u00e1\u017en\u00e9ho vztahu Austr\u00e1lie k\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b i USA, stejn\u011b jako odsunut\u00ed Indie \u010di Japonska, kte\u0159\u00ed na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b byli \u010dleny Quad veden\u00e9ho USA, ale na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b udr\u017eovali i plodn\u00e9 vztahy s\u00a0Ruskem. Pro lidi bruselsk\u00e9, vid\u00edc\u00ed v\u0161e jen eurounijn\u00ed optikou, to z\u00e1rove\u0148 byl i jasn\u00fd pokyn, \u017ee USA s\u00a0EU jako s geopolitick\u00fdm hr\u00e1\u010dem nepo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1. M\u011b to netr\u00e1p\u00ed a co si mysl\u00ed Borrell \u010di von der Leyen je mi jedno.<\/p>\n

Ov\u0161em reakce \u010c\u00edny byla pochopiteln\u011b bou\u0159liv\u00e1, nebo\u0165 to v\u00a0podstat\u011b znamenalo, \u017ee kolem n\u00ed p\u0159ipravuje uskupen\u00ed ne nepodobn\u00e9 obklopen\u00edm nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi NATO kolem Ruska.<\/p>\n

A tak p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 zapome\u0148me na dobu d\u00e9tente p\u0159ed rokem rokem 1989. Studen\u00e1 v\u00e1lka bude pokra\u010dovat, ale bohud\u00edk se od n\u00e1s odsune na velkou vzd\u00e1lenost na v\u00fdchod. A to by n\u00e1m nemuselo tolik vadit.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kdyby v EU nebylo Polsko a Pobaltsk\u00e9 zem\u011b, nemuseli bychom donekone\u010dna \u0159e\u0161it nov\u00e9 a nov\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":672,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[30,29,39,37,303],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4872"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4872"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4872\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/672"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4872"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4872"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4872"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}