{"id":48396,"date":"2024-03-02T00:51:16","date_gmt":"2024-03-01T23:51:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=48396"},"modified":"2024-03-02T05:29:34","modified_gmt":"2024-03-02T04:29:34","slug":"zbynek-fiala-podzemni-debata-o-realnych-bezpecnostnich-rizicich-ceska","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/03\/02\/zbynek-fiala-podzemni-debata-o-realnych-bezpecnostnich-rizicich-ceska\/","title":{"rendered":"Zbyn\u011bk Fiala: Podzemn\u00ed debata o re\u00e1ln\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch rizic\u00edch \u010ceska"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong>Vyslou\u017eil\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed zpravodajci krout\u00ed hlavou nad n\u00e1kladn\u00fdmi rozhodnut\u00edmi vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e1 ve skute\u010dnosti ohro\u017euj\u00ed na\u0161i obranyschopnost. Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edm rizikem se zd\u00e1 b\u00fdt financov\u00e1n\u00ed politick\u00fdch stan z t\u011bchto obchod\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b zaj\u00edmavou a informativn\u00ed debatu na t\u00e9ma re\u00e1ln\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch rizik \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky zah\u00e1jil b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0159editel kancel\u00e1\u0159e Rady vl\u00e1dy \u010cR pro zpravodajskou \u010dinnost a bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed analytik<strong>\u00a0Jan Schneider<\/strong>\u00a0v\u00fdzvou k\u00a0my\u0161len\u00e9mu experimentu:\u00a0<em>\u201eZkuste si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee do Strakovky nastoup\u00ed \u00fapln\u011b blb\u00e1 vl\u00e1da. Jak si porad\u00ed s\u00a0informacemi od sv\u00fdch zpravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eeb? Klasick\u00e1 pou\u010dka zn\u00ed: Zpravodajsk\u00e1 informace m\u00e1 takovou hodnotu, jak ji pochop\u00ed p\u0159\u00edjemce.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eM\u00e1m pocit, \u017ee politici dneska zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby v\u016fbec nepot\u0159ebuj\u00ed, oni maj\u00ed jasno od sam\u00e9ho za\u010d\u00e1tku,\u201c<\/em>\u00a0poznamenal k\u00a0tomu b\u00fdval\u00fd n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk Vojensk\u00e9 zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby<strong>\u00a0gener\u00e1l \u00c1ndor \u0160\u00e1ndor<\/strong>. Ale jak \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, za jeho aktivn\u00edho p\u016fsoben\u00ed p\u0159ed dvaceti lety tomu bylo jinak, a tak si ani neum\u00ed p\u0159edstavit situaci, kdy m\u00e1te jin\u00fd n\u00e1zor, kter\u00fd um\u00edte op\u0159\u00edt o n\u011bjak\u00e1 fakta, ale p\u0159ed v\u00e1mi stoj\u00ed n\u011bkdo, kdo to v\u016fbec nechce sly\u0161et.<\/p>\n<p>Uveden\u00e1 \u201epodzemn\u00ed\u201c debata se odehr\u00e1vala v suter\u00e9nn\u00edm konferen\u010dn\u00edm s\u00e1le Slovensk\u00e9ho domu v\u00a0Praze. M\u011bla mimo\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b kvalifikovan\u00e9 obsazen\u00ed. Vedle gener\u00e1la \u0160\u00e1ndora se j\u00ed z\u00fa\u010dastnil se je\u0161t\u011b dal\u0161\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00fd \u0159editel Vojensk\u00e9ho zpravodajstv\u00ed\u00a0<strong>gener\u00e1l Petr Pelz<\/strong>. A k\u00a0nim se p\u0159ipojil bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed analytik\u00a0<strong>Milo\u0161 Balab\u00e1n<\/strong>, autor knihy\u00a0<em>Bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed syst\u00e9m \u010cR: probl\u00e9my a v\u00fdzvy,\u00a0<\/em>kter\u00e1 vy\u0161la z\u00a0roku 2015 v\u00a0univerzitn\u00edm nakladatelstv\u00ed Karolinum.<\/p>\n<p>Debata byla dlouh\u00e1, a tak jsem z\u00a0n\u00ed vybral p\u00e1r kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch t\u00e9mat.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Pos\u00edl\u00ed na\u0161i bezpe\u010dnost n\u00e1kupy zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 dnes republika po\u0159izuje?<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Gener\u00e1l \u0160\u00e1ndor<\/strong>\u00a0ty akvizice pova\u017euje za naprosto nelogick\u00e9 a poukazuje na nejviditeln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed chyby my\u0161len\u00ed na ministerstvu obrany:<\/p>\n<p>Filozofie \u010d\u00edslo jedna: Koup\u00edme nov\u00fd letoun F-35, proto\u017ee jej maj\u00ed skoro v\u0161echny evropsk\u00e9 zem\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Ale pro\u010d jsme tedy kupovali americk\u00e9 vrtuln\u00edky, kter\u00e9 naopak nem\u00e1 nikdo jin\u00fd ne\u017e n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchota Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f? Jak\u00e1 byla filozofie \u010d\u00edslo dv\u011b?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-40285 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/11pro-300x79.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"585\" height=\"154\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/11pro-300x79.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/11pro.png 363w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 585px) 100vw, 585px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Nebo na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b tvrd\u00edme, \u017ee mus\u00edme b\u00fdt v klubu t\u011bch nejlep\u0161\u00edch, proto chceme ty st\u00edha\u010dky F-35.<\/p>\n<p>Ale pro\u010d takto nepostupujeme u bojov\u00fdch vozidel p\u011bchoty, kdy si kupujeme 30 let starou \u0161v\u00e9dskou platformu?<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159itom nejsme schopni splnit jedin\u00fd skute\u010dn\u00fd slib NATO, \u017ee vytvo\u0159\u00edme t\u011b\u017ekou brig\u00e1du, to po\u0159\u00e1d odsouv\u00e1me.<\/p>\n<p>A kdyby v\u00e1lka skute\u010dn\u011b vypukla, budeme m\u00edt 100 bojov\u00fdch vozidel p\u011bchoty, ale kde m\u00e1me z\u00e1lohu za rozbit\u00e9 a zni\u010den\u00e9 vozy? To m\u00e1me \u010dekat dal\u0161\u00ed dva roky, a\u017e n\u00e1m je \u0160v\u00e9dov\u00e9 vyrob\u00ed?<\/p>\n<p>Cel\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup k \u010desk\u00e9 obran\u011b tak vykazuje podle gener\u00e1la \u0160\u00e1ndora \u0159adu flagrantn\u00edch chyb a tak\u00e9 na\u0161i potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9 mus\u00ed vid\u011bt, \u017ee tady jsou jasn\u00e9 rozpory mezi t\u00edm, co \u0159\u00edk\u00e1me, a t\u00edm, co d\u011bl\u00e1me. To n\u00e1s ohro\u017euje, pokud dok\u00e1\u017eou t\u011bchto na\u0161ich slabin vyu\u017e\u00edt.<\/p>\n<p>Ot\u00e1zkou je, pro\u010d ta politika je takto jednostrann\u011b zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1, pt\u00e1 se gener\u00e1l \u0160\u00e1ndor. Jestli v\u00fdsledkem nem\u00e1 b\u00fdt jen n\u011bjak\u00e1 fote\u010dka v B\u00edl\u00e9m dom\u011b\u2026<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Jsou st\u00edha\u010dky F-35 opravdu nejlep\u0161\u00ed?<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Tohle letadlo je vlastn\u011b i pro Ameri\u010dany, vojensk\u00e9 analytiky, kte\u0159\u00ed o tom p\u00ed\u0161ou, v\u017edycky symbol naprosto zka\u017een\u00e9ho, nepoda\u0159en\u00e9ho a tis\u00edckr\u00e1t p\u0159edra\u017een\u00e9ho projektu, konstatuje\u00a0<strong>gener\u00e1l Pelz<\/strong>. Ale to je je\u0161t\u011b to men\u0161\u00ed nebezpe\u010d\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>To v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed nebezpe\u010d\u00ed spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee ta p\u011btat\u0159ic\u00edtka je natolik vybavena um\u011blou inteligenc\u00ed a jej\u00ed sou\u010d\u00e1stky jsou tak pokro\u010dil\u00e9 a napojen\u00e9 na americk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my veden\u00ed boje, \u017ee nemohou \u00a0b\u00fdt obsluhov\u00e1ny nik\u00fdm jin\u00fdm ne\u017e Ameri\u010dany. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v t\u00e9to f\u00e1zi budeme cht\u011b necht\u011b slou\u017eit americk\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm.<\/p>\n<p>Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee my jim slou\u017e\u00edme u\u017e te\u010f, nem\u00e1 cenu to zakr\u00fdvat, ale tady u\u017e to bude p\u0159\u00edmo dan\u00e9 typem zbran\u011b.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Milo\u0161 Balab\u00e1n<\/strong>\u00a0p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee v\u00fdb\u011bru letounu nep\u0159edch\u00e1zela \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 seri\u00f3zn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed debata. Byla to sp\u00ed\u0161 reklamn\u00ed kampa\u0148.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0159itom se nebraly do \u00favahy ani \u0161patn\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti z minulosti. Proto\u017ee, kdy\u017e si po\u0159izujeme letadlo za 320 miliard korun, a ta cena bude mo\u017en\u00e1 je\u0161t\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, tak to samoz\u0159ejm\u011b mus\u00ed postihnout ostatn\u00ed slo\u017eky arm\u00e1dy z hlediska jejich rozvoje. V 90. letech jsme si po\u0159\u00eddili letoun L-159, co\u017e bylo velice neproz\u00edrav\u00e9. Zastavilo to rozvoj pozemn\u00edho vojska skoro na dek\u00e1du.<\/p>\n<p>Debata o F-35 se nevedla v souvislosti s hrozbami a obranou zem\u011b. P\u0159itom prvn\u00ed F-35 dostaneme n\u011bkdy roku 2031, kdy\u017e to dob\u0159e p\u016fjde.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-47634 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Pozvanka_Praha-_23.3.24-300x229.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"724\" height=\"553\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Pozvanka_Praha-_23.3.24-300x229.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/Pozvanka_Praha-_23.3.24.jpg 595w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 724px) 100vw, 724px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee kdyby hypoteticky do\u0161lo k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu konfliktu, t\u0159eba s\u00a0Ruskem, jak \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 gener\u00e1l \u0158ehka, tak n\u00e1m nepom\u016f\u017eou. Nem\u00e1me ani silnou protivzdu\u0161nou obranu, kterou bychom mohli pot\u0159ebovat i na z\u00e1klad\u011b zku\u0161enost\u00ed z Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n<p>Jak p\u0159itom Balb\u00e1n d\u016frazn\u011b sd\u011bluje,\u00a0<em>\u201ealiance po n\u00e1s po\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed F-35 necht\u011bla, to prost\u011b nen\u00ed pravda. Aliance po n\u00e1s chce vytvo\u0159en\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 brig\u00e1dy a t\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 brig\u00e1da dosud vytvo\u0159en\u00e1 nen\u00ed. Ta t\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 brig\u00e1da je prim\u00e1rn\u011b ur\u010dena k tomu, aby zasahovala, kdy\u017e pou\u017eijeme \u010dl\u00e1nek 5 Severoatlantick\u00e9 smlouvy o vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 obran\u011b. To jsou v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 v\u011bci, pro\u010d ten akvizi\u010dn\u00ed proces je v podstat\u011b \u0161patn\u00fd. A mo\u017en\u00e1 m\u00e1me t\u00edm zp\u016fsobem ohro\u017eenou bojeschopnost arm\u00e1dy.\u201c<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Jsme opravdu ve v\u00e1lce?<\/strong><\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Kdy\u017e politici si takhle pou\u0161t\u00ed hubu na \u0161pac\u00edr, \u017ee jsme ve v\u00e1lce, je t\u0159eba se docela p\u0159\u00edzemn\u011b zeptat, co se d\u011bl\u00e1 v oblasti civiln\u00ed obrany, \u0159\u00edk\u00e1\u00a0<strong>Jan Schneider<\/strong>. Kdy\u017e jsme tedy ve v\u00e1lce, co se d\u011bl\u00e1 pro obyvatelstvo?<\/p>\n<p>Plytk\u00e9 kecy v lep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, hodnot\u00ed to Schneider d\u00e1l. Sp\u00ed\u0161e si v\u0161ak mysl\u00ed, \u017ee je to dost nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9, kdy\u017e obrana a vojenskopr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex za pomoci sp\u0159\u00edzn\u011bn\u00fdch zpravodajc\u016f bud\u00ed hr\u016fzu a d\u011bs\u00ed obyvatelstvo. Poslanci pak hlasuj\u00ed pro zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00fd obrann\u00fd rozpo\u010det, a ani nev\u011bd\u00ed, za co to utratit.<\/p>\n<p>\u201e<em>V pozad\u00ed jde samoz\u0159ejm\u011b o obrovsk\u00e9 odvody na financov\u00e1n\u00ed politick\u00fdch stran<\/em>,\u201c dod\u00e1v\u00e1 Schneider a pova\u017euje to za nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed riziko v\u00a0tomto st\u00e1t\u011b od roku 1990.<\/p>\n<p>\u0158e\u010di o v\u00e1lce maj\u00ed i dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fsledky.<\/p>\n<p>Kdy\u017e si vojenskopr\u016fmyslov\u00fd komplex zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f takhle na sebe vyd\u011bl\u00e1, nast\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze. Politici, kte\u0159\u00ed to zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed rozpo\u010dtu podporovali, za\u010dnou t\u011bm fejk\u016fm a f\u00e1m\u00e1m o v\u00e1lce v\u011b\u0159it. \u017de n\u00e1s n\u011bkdo chce napadnout.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee oni za\u010dnou v\u011b\u0159it sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm kec\u016fm &#8211; a najednou to jsou ti gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 a lid\u00e9 z vojensk\u00e9ho pr\u016fmyslu, kdo je mus\u00ed brzdit. \u0158\u00edct, v\u017edy\u0165 vy v\u016fbec nev\u00edte, jak vypad\u00e1 v\u00e1lka! V\u017edy\u0165 vy v\u016fbec nev\u00edte, o \u010dem mluv\u00edte!<\/p>\n<p>Tahle f\u00e1ze nast\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u0159ejm\u011b te\u010f, kdy se pr\u00fd \u010cernochov\u00e1 tro\u0161i\u010dku distancovala od gener\u00e1la \u0158ehky, \u017ee to s\u00a0tou v\u00e1lkou p\u0159ep\u00edsknul. Ale to nen\u00ed osv\u00edcenost\u00ed \u010cernochov\u00e9, sp\u00ed\u0161 j\u00ed to n\u011bkdo \u0159ekl. N\u011bkdo ji tro\u0161i\u010dku p\u0159itahuje uzdu.<\/p>\n<p>To je nev\u00fdhoda demokracie, \u017ee je tam 4 roky bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed riziko, kdy\u017e tam p\u0159ijdou lidi, kter\u00fd jsou \u00fapln\u011b blb\u00ed a neznal\u00ed. Prost\u011b nev\u011bd\u00ed o tom nic a jsou nepou\u010diteln\u00ed, uzav\u0159el Schneider v\u00a0n\u00e1vaznosti na to, co zazn\u011blo na za\u010d\u00e1tku.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00a0\u010demu jsou v\u00e1m slu\u017eby a jejich zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed, kdy\u017e to nechcete sly\u0161et? Nebo kdy\u017e je to nad va\u0161e ch\u00e1p\u00e1n\u00ed?<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/vasevec.info\/komentare\/podzemni-debata-o-realnych-bezpecnostnich-rizicich-ceska\">Zbyn\u011bk Fiala<\/a><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-18520\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/zbynek-fiala-300x208.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"208\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/zbynek-fiala-300x208.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/11\/zbynek-fiala.jpg 318w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vyslou\u017eil\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed zpravodajci krout\u00ed hlavou nad n\u00e1kladn\u00fdmi rozhodnut\u00edmi vl\u00e1dy, kter\u00e1 ve skute\u010dnosti ohro\u017euj\u00ed na\u0161i obranyschopnost&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":45983,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1284,29,122,40,99],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48396"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48396\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45983"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}