{"id":47679,"date":"2024-02-23T00:36:18","date_gmt":"2024-02-22T23:36:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=47679"},"modified":"2024-02-22T17:11:15","modified_gmt":"2024-02-22T16:11:15","slug":"pred-ramadanem-izrael-vyhrozuje-valkou-libanonu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/02\/23\/pred-ramadanem-izrael-vyhrozuje-valkou-libanonu\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159ed ramad\u00e1nem Izrael vyhro\u017euje v\u00e1lkou Libanonu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

Bezohledn\u00fd americko-izraelsk\u00fd pokus vytla\u010dit Hizball\u00e1h z jeho hranic riskuje, \u017ee zat\u00e1hne region do tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky, kterou ani Tel Aviv ani Washington nemohou kontrolovat.\u00a0A to p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed, kdy\u017e se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed svat\u00fd muslimsk\u00fd postn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc ramad\u00e1n.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Rostouc\u00ed hrozby Tel Avivu zni\u010dit Bejr\u00fat i p\u00e1smo Gazy a rostouc\u00ed izraelsk\u00e1 ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 podpora agresivn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 akci proti Libanonu v posledn\u00edch dnech zv\u00fd\u0161ily nap\u011bt\u00ed na severn\u00ed bitevn\u00ed front\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nav\u00edc nejist\u00e1 hra ve Washingtonu \u2013 kter\u00e1 neud\u011blala absolutn\u011b nic, aby zabr\u00e1nila izraelsk\u00fdm okupa\u010dn\u00edm sil\u00e1m v zah\u00e1jen\u00ed \u00fatoku na Rafah a vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e milionu Palestinc\u016f z jejich posledn\u00edho \u00fato\u010di\u0161t\u011b na egyptsk\u00fdch hranic\u00edch \u2013 p\u0159iv\u00e1d\u00ed v\u00e1lku do nest\u00e1l\u00e9 a nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 hrany.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ji\u017e tak v\u00fdbu\u0161nou situaci d\u00e1le rozost\u0159uj\u00ed dva kritick\u00e9 faktory.\u00a0Za prv\u00e9, c\u00edlen\u00e9 \u00fatoky Izraele na libanonsk\u00e9 civilisty, jako byly ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 \u00fatoky v Nabatiyeh a Al-Sowanah, vyvolaly krutou reakci gener\u00e1ln\u00edho tajemn\u00edka Hizball\u00e1hu Hasana Nasrall\u00e1ha, kter\u00fd sl\u00edbil odvetu a prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u201ecena za krev civilist\u016f bude b\u00fdt krv\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Za druh\u00e9, ramad\u00e1n, svat\u00e9 obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 oslavuj\u00ed stovky milion\u016f muslim\u016f po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, je hned za rohem, co\u017e d\u00e1v\u00e1 tomuto v\u00fdvoji nadn\u00e1rodn\u00ed rozm\u011br.\u00a0Post\u00edc\u00ed se muslimov\u00e9 od Indon\u00e9sie po Maroko budou st\u00e1le v\u00edce frustrov\u00e1ni ne\u010dinnost\u00ed Washingtonu p\u0159i p\u0159edch\u00e1zen\u00ed genocid\u011b a vys\u00eddlen\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e dvou milion\u016f Palestinc\u016f v p\u00e1smu Gazy, z nich\u017e mnoz\u00ed jsou na pokraji hladomoru.<\/span><\/p>\n

Eskalace povedou k exodu<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory uji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed USA, \u017ee vyv\u00edj\u00ed tlak na Izrael, aby sn\u00ed\u017eil po\u010det ob\u011bt\u00ed, ne\u00fanavn\u00fd n\u00e1por vedl k ohromuj\u00edc\u00edmu po\u010dtu 300 mrtv\u00fdch denn\u011b, zabil t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 29 000 lid\u00ed a zni\u010dil p\u0159es 60 procent dom\u016f a infrastruktura byla zni\u010dena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e Nasrallah prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee \u201e[prezident USA Joe] Biden, [ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed USA Antony] Blinken a [ministr obrany USA Lloyd] Austin jsou prim\u00e1rn\u011b zodpov\u011bdn\u00ed za ka\u017edou kapku krve prolitou v Gaze a v cel\u00e9m regionu\u201c, jeho slova rezonovala nejen v isl\u00e1msk\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 s miliony lid\u00ed po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, kte\u0159\u00ed volali po ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky zastaven\u00edm p\u0159\u00edsunu americk\u00fdch zbran\u00ed do izraelsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed bylo opakovan\u011b upozor\u0148ov\u00e1no diplomaty v regionu na rostouc\u00ed z\u00e1\u0161\u0165 Washingtonu kv\u016fli jeho spolu\u00fa\u010dasti na izraelsk\u00e9 genocidn\u00ed kampani.\u00a0Navzdory jeho hluch\u00fdm pokus\u016fm o n\u00e1pravu sv\u00e9ho postoje a zd\u016frazn\u011bn\u00ed pot\u0159eby chr\u00e1nit palestinsk\u00e9 civilisty hroz\u00ed, \u017ee region\u00e1ln\u00ed odpor podkope americkou diplomacii, rozplete arabsk\u00e9 normaliza\u010dn\u00ed dohody s Izraelem a ohroz\u00ed obchodn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy USA v cel\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zdroje bl\u00edzk\u00e9 Axis of Resistance v Libanonu \u0159ekly The Cradle, \u017ee p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed dva t\u00fddny maj\u00ed potenci\u00e1l pro katastrofickou eskalaci, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud Izrael b\u011bhem ramad\u00e1nu zes\u00edl\u00ed sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 \u00fatoky a prosad\u00ed sv\u00e9 pl\u00e1ny na vyhn\u00e1n\u00ed Palestinc\u016f z Rafahu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed rizika nav\u00edc p\u0159edstavuje nespokojenost mezi izraelsk\u00fdmi osadn\u00edky vys\u00eddlen\u00fdmi libanonsk\u00fdmi odbojov\u00fdmi operacemi pod\u00e9l severn\u00ed hranice.\u00a0P\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 Tel Avivu zva\u017euj\u00ed drastick\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed k obnoven\u00ed klidu, v\u010detn\u011b mo\u017en\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 akce \u2013 co\u017e je p\u0159edzv\u011bst toho, \u010deho byli civilist\u00e9 na jihu Libanonu ned\u00e1vno sv\u011bdky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mezi osadn\u00edky na severu roste nespokojenost, proto\u017ee se pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s novou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed dynamikou po operaci Al-Aks\u00e1 7. \u0159\u00edjna pod veden\u00edm Hamasu.\u00a0V tomto hrani\u010dn\u00edm p\u00e1su, kter\u00fd se t\u00e1hne 100 kilometr\u016f od Naqoura k Shebaa Farms a je 5 a\u017e 10 kilometr\u016f hlubok\u00fd, byly vys\u00eddleny tis\u00edce rodin osadn\u00edk\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Izrael chce vyhnat Hizball\u00e1h ze sv\u00fdch hranic<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory p\u0159\u00edsn\u00fdm varov\u00e1n\u00edm vysok\u00fdch izraelsk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f, aby obnovili \u201eklid\u201c pod\u00e9l severn\u00ed hranice \u2013 v\u010detn\u011b p\u0159\u00edslibu ministra energetiky Eliho Cohena, \u017ee \u201enebudeme v\u00e1hat podniknout vojenskou akci, pokud tato hrozba nebude eliminov\u00e1na diplomatickou cestou\u201c \u2013 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 situace napjat\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pr\u016fzkum hebrejsk\u00e9ho listu Maariv uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee 71 procent Izraelc\u016f v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee Izrael by m\u011bl zah\u00e1jit rozs\u00e1hlou vojenskou operaci proti Libanonu, aby udr\u017eel Hizball\u00e1h daleko od hranic.\u00a0Sou\u010dasn\u011b si izraelsk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 veden\u00ed uv\u011bdomuje v\u00fdznam Nasrall\u00e1hova prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed z 13. \u00fanora, kdy trval na tom, \u017ee osadn\u00edci prchaj\u00edc\u00ed ze severu se \u201enevr\u00e1t\u00ed\u201c a \u017ee izraelsk\u00e9 \u00fa\u0159ady \u201eposkytnou p\u0159\u00edst\u0159e\u0161ky, hotely, \u0161koly a stany pro dva miliony P\u0159ipravte lid\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve dvou po sob\u011b jdouc\u00edch projevech Nasrall\u00e1h zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee \u201epouze ukon\u010den\u00edm v\u00e1lky v Gaze skon\u010d\u00ed fronta v Libanonu\u201c.\u00a0A p\u0159ipomn\u011bl Izraelc\u016fm, \u017ee od roku 1982 vojensky reagovali, pokud by jejich oblasti zas\u00e1hla i libanonsk\u00e1 kulka nebo raketa Ka\u0165u\u0161a, ale Tel Avivu se to zat\u00edm nepoda\u0159ilo, navzdory v\u00edce ne\u017e 2 000 raketov\u00fdm z\u00e1sah\u016fm odporu na kritick\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 c\u00edle. v\u00e9st v\u00e1lku v pln\u00e9m rozsahu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Libanonsk\u00fd politick\u00fd zdroj informuje The Cradle o dvoj\u00ed strategii Izraele: Zat\u00edmco okupa\u010dn\u00ed st\u00e1t vyv\u00edj\u00ed vojensk\u00fd tlak, aby podn\u011bcoval strach p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdmi \u00fatoky na ji\u017en\u00ed Libanon, sv\u00e9 nad\u011bje vkl\u00e1d\u00e1 tak\u00e9 do z\u00e1padn\u00edho diplomatick\u00e9ho \u00fasil\u00ed sm\u011brem k Bejr\u00fatu.\u00a0Tv\u016fj c\u00edl?\u00a0Vynutit si odstran\u011bn\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu nejen z hranic, ale tak\u00e9 z oblast\u00ed za \u0159ekou Litani.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hizball\u00e1h se nenechal odradit z\u00e1padn\u00edm tlakem<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nasrall\u00e1h vypr\u00e1v\u011bl v\u00fdmluvnou anekdotu z rozhovor\u016f se z\u00e1padn\u00edmi vyslanci, jejich\u017e jedin\u00fdm c\u00edlem bylo zatla\u010dit Hizball\u00e1h na sever od \u0159eky Litani.\u00a0Tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 tomuto n\u00e1poru nelogick\u00fdch po\u017eadavk\u016f jeden libanonsk\u00fd \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk vtipkoval: „Je snaz\u0161\u00ed p\u0159esunout \u0159eku k hranici, ne\u017e zatla\u010dit Hizball\u00e1h na sever.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Zkr\u00e1tka i proz\u00e1padn\u00ed libanon\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 ch\u00e1pou nemo\u017enost tohoto sna\u017een\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed hlavn\u00edho americk\u00e9ho energetick\u00e9ho diplomata Amose Hochsteina jen potvrzuje to, co u\u017e Hizball\u00e1h v\u00ed: C\u00edlem Washingtonu nen\u00ed konflikt ukon\u010dit, ale zvl\u00e1dnout.\u00a0Zapojen\u00ed Z\u00e1padu s Bejr\u00fatem, uvedl politick\u00fd zdroj, znamen\u00e1 jen o m\u00e1lo v\u00edce ne\u017e doru\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed zpr\u00e1v, kter\u00e9 prim\u00e1rn\u011b sd\u011bluj\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 po\u017eadavky a hrozby, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby umo\u017e\u0148ovaly skute\u010dn\u00e9 zprost\u0159edkov\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0Tento nedostatek v\u00e1\u017enosti p\u0159i \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed z\u00e1va\u017enosti situace v ji\u017en\u00edm Libanonu nez\u016fstal bez pov\u0161imnut\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dokonce i premi\u00e9r Najib Mikati, zn\u00e1m\u00fd sv\u00fdm klidn\u00fdm vystupov\u00e1n\u00edm, vyj\u00e1d\u0159il 12. ledna frustraci z tohoto povrchn\u00edho p\u0159\u00edstupu:<\/span><\/p>\n

Informovali jsme v\u0161echny mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed deleg\u00e1ty, kte\u0159\u00ed nav\u0161t\u00edvili Libanon, \u017ee je nelogick\u00e9 mluvit pouze o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v Libanonu… p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mus\u00ed b\u00fdt v Gaze dosa\u017eeno co nejd\u0159\u00edve, soub\u011b\u017en\u011b s v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm v Libanonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jin\u00fd politick\u00fd zdroj v t\u00e9to souvislosti odhaluje obsah dokumentu p\u0159edlo\u017een\u00e9ho Franci\u00ed libanonsk\u00fdm p\u0159edstavitel\u016fm, kter\u00fd navrhuje zastaven\u00ed palby na hranic\u00edch a vytvo\u0159en\u00ed monitorovac\u00edho v\u00fdboru, v n\u011bm\u017e by krom\u011b libanonsk\u00fdch a izraelsk\u00fdch deleg\u00e1t\u016f byli i z\u00e1stupci Ameriky a Francie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dokument v\u0161ak po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1 i s t\u0159\u00edf\u00e1zov\u00fdm procesem: p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, sta\u017een\u00ed odboj\u00e1\u0159\u016f a jejich vojensk\u00fdch za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed 10 km severn\u011b od hranice a n\u00e1sledn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o vytvo\u0159en\u00ed n\u00e1razn\u00edkov\u00e9 z\u00f3ny bez odporu.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA a Izrael stoj\u00ed p\u0159ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdm rozhodnut\u00edm<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nasrall\u00e1h bere takov\u00e9 n\u00e1vrhy se \u0161petkou soli a m\u00edsto toho zd\u016fraz\u0148uje, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli jedn\u00e1n\u00ed se mus\u00ed zam\u011b\u0159it na z\u00e1kladn\u00ed princip osvobozen\u00ed libanonsk\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 v sou\u010dasnosti okupuje Izrael.\u00a0Reakce Hizball\u00e1hu na takov\u00e9 diplomatick\u00e9 p\u0159edehry se dala o\u010dek\u00e1vat.\u00a0Pro\u010d by m\u011bla n\u011bco p\u0159izn\u00e1vat, kdy\u017e p\u016fsob\u00ed sv\u00e9mu nep\u0159\u00edteli bezprecedentn\u00ed bolest a v\u016fbec poprv\u00e9 koordinuje sv\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed s n\u011bkolika frontami odporu v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii, v\u010detn\u011b Gazy, Libanonu, Jemenu, S\u00fdrie a Ir\u00e1ku?<\/span><\/p>\n

Zdroje bl\u00edzk\u00e9 odboji uv\u00e1d\u011bj\u00ed, \u017ee ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9ho ministra obrany Yoava Gallanta, \u017ee jeho s\u00edly \u00famysln\u011b bombardovaly Bejr\u00fat, vedly Nasrall\u00e1ha k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 \u00fatoky Tel Avivu na civilisty v Nabatiyeh, Sowanah a Adshit byly \u201e\u00famysln\u00e9.\u201c a nikoli chyba.\u00a0D\u00e1le se jedn\u00e1 o izraelsk\u00fd pokus poru\u0161it pravidla anga\u017eovanosti platn\u00e1 od roku 1992, kter\u00e1, pokud nebudou respektov\u00e1na, by mohla v\u00fdrazn\u011b zm\u011bnit vojenskou hru pro Izrael \u2013 k jeho \u0161kod\u011b i ke \u0161kod\u011b Libanonu.\u00a0Pro za\u010d\u00e1tek, v\u016fdce Hizball\u00e1hu sl\u00edbil silnou reakci v p\u0159edn\u00edch lini\u00edch, zam\u011b\u0159\u00ed se p\u0159\u00edmo na nep\u0159\u00edtele, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e \u201ezam\u011b\u0159\u00ed m\u00edsta, \u0161pion\u00e1\u017en\u00ed za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a vozidla\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Informovan\u00e9 zdroje, kter\u00e9 hovo\u0159ily s The Cradle, \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee USA a Izrael budou v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dvou t\u00fddnech nuceny u\u010dinit n\u011bkter\u00e1 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed rozhodnut\u00ed, a to nejen proto, \u017ee se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed ramad\u00e1n, ale tak\u00e9 proto, \u017ee Tel Aviv nyn\u00ed p\u0159ekra\u010duje vojenskou hranici, kter\u00e1 p\u0159ekro\u010dila \u201eproporcionalitu\u201c. \u00fato\u010d\u00ed na libanonsk\u00e9 civilisty a vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 eskalaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm krokem by pro Izrael mohlo b\u00fdt zah\u00e1jen\u00ed v\u00e1lky proti Libanonu \u2013 a konkr\u00e9tn\u011b proti Hizball\u00e1hu \u2013 co\u017e by zp\u016fsobilo, \u017ee Osa odporu p\u0159ekalibruje sv\u00e9 strategie v cel\u00e9m regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tato rekalibrace by se mohla projevit mnoha zp\u016fsoby: zes\u00edlen\u00edm a odolnost\u00ed libanonsk\u00e9ho odporu, poru\u0161en\u00edm k\u0159ehk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed Kataib Hizball\u00e1hem a jeho ir\u00e1ck\u00fdmi spojenci odporu za\u00fato\u010dit na dal\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e9 c\u00edle, S\u00fdrie p\u0159eb\u00edr\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed roli, \u00fapravy sm\u011bru a s\u00edla jemensk\u00fdch raketov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f a operac\u00ed bezpilotn\u00edch letoun\u016f (za Rud\u00fdm mo\u0159em a Adensk\u00fdm z\u00e1livem) a posuny v mocensk\u00fdch centrech \u00cdr\u00e1nu ve prosp\u011bch konfrontace \u2013 co\u017e by byl v\u00fdznamn\u00fd odklon od jeho region\u00e1ln\u00edho p\u0159\u00edstupu za posledn\u00ed \u010dty\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce.<\/span><\/p>\n

K takov\u00fdm posun\u016fm m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt, pokud Netanjahu a Biden obr\u00e1t\u00ed sv\u016fj zrak pevn\u011b na sever.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bezohledn\u00fd americko-izraelsk\u00fd pokus vytla\u010dit Hizball\u00e1h z jeho hranic riskuje, \u017ee zat\u00e1hne region do tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":47680,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[6772,107,405,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47679"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/47680"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}