{"id":47592,"date":"2024-02-22T00:32:29","date_gmt":"2024-02-21T23:32:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=47592"},"modified":"2024-02-21T16:40:49","modified_gmt":"2024-02-21T15:40:49","slug":"proc-netanjahu-nechce-primeri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/02\/22\/proc-netanjahu-nechce-primeri\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d Netanjahu nechce p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ani po p\u011bti cest\u00e1ch na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod od za\u010d\u00e1tku izraelsko-palestinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky 7. \u0159\u00edjna se americk\u00e9mu ministru zahrani\u010d\u00ed Bidenovi nepoda\u0159ilo dos\u00e1hnout dohody o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by mohla ukon\u010dit brut\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku. Jedn\u00edm z hlavn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d Bidenova administrativa investuje svou diplomatickou energii do p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, je to, \u017ee americk\u00fd prezident si nyn\u00ed uv\u011bdomuje, kolik ho m\u016f\u017ee st\u00e1t jeho neochv\u011bjn\u00e1 podpora brut\u00e1ln\u00edho zab\u00edjen\u00ed Palestinc\u016f Izraelem v prezidentsk\u00fdch volb\u00e1ch koncem tohoto roku. Kdy\u017e v\u00e1lka v \u0159\u00edjnu za\u010dala, Bidenova administrativa se na to nemusela d\u00edvat z volebn\u00ed perspektivy (proto\u017ee nev\u011b\u0159ila, \u017ee v\u00e1lka bude trvat tak dlouho). Skute\u010dnost, \u017ee se ji\u017e prot\u00e1hla a\u017e do \u00fanora a izrael\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159ili sv\u016fj z\u00e1m\u011br ji prodlou\u017eit, znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Izrael bude st\u00e1le zab\u00edjet Palestince, kdy\u017e budou Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 v listopadu hlasovat. To by mohl b\u00fdt Biden\u016fv p\u00e1d, proto\u017ee ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 pr\u016fzkumy ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee zhruba 76 procent demokratick\u00fdch voli\u010d\u016f podporuje p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed. Biden je tak\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b izolovan\u00fd \u2013 co\u017e by Trumpova kampa\u0148 ozna\u010dila za selh\u00e1n\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky USA za Bidena.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale zat\u00edmco Bidenova dom\u00e1c\u00ed omezen\u00ed nyn\u00ed vy\u017eaduj\u00ed politiku p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed, Netanjahu pot\u0159ebuje prav\u00fd opak, a proto nejen\u017ee odm\u00edtl snahy o dosa\u017een\u00ed dohody o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed podporovan\u00e9 USA, ale tak\u00e9 se sna\u017e\u00ed roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it svou ofenz\u00edvu na Rafah. Pro Netanjahua je ofenz\u00edva kl\u00ed\u010dem k udr\u017een\u00ed moci. Ned\u00e1vn\u00fd pr\u016fzkum uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee v\u016fdce Strany n\u00e1rodn\u00ed jednoty Benny Gantz by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nov\u00fdch voleb mohl snadno vytvo\u0159it koalici. P\u0159ed v\u00e1lkou jeho pozice nebyla tak siln\u00e1. Od 7. \u0159\u00edjna je ale Netanjahuova pozice ve voln\u00e9m p\u00e1du.<\/span><\/p>\n

Netanjahuovi p\u0159edchoz\u00ed koali\u010dn\u00ed partne\u0159i, mezi n\u011b\u017e pat\u0159\u00ed pravicov\u011b extremistick\u00e9 strany, jako je strana \u017didovsk\u00e1 s\u00edla, p\u0159itom ji\u017e pohrozili odchodem z koalice, pokud vl\u00e1da uzav\u0159e \u201ebezohlednou dohodu\u201c s Hamasem. To ukazuje na rostouc\u00ed nespokojenost s vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed koalic\u00ed a nut\u00ed Netanjahua podnikat pouze takov\u00e9 kroky, kter\u00e9 zlep\u0161\u00ed jeho politickou image a minimalizuj\u00ed n\u00e1klady. Tak\u017ee zat\u00edmco \u0159e\u010di o dohod\u011b s Hamasem, kter\u00e1 nezahrnuje okam\u017eit\u00e9 propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed v\u0161ech rukojm\u00edch, jsou prost\u011b nep\u0159ijateln\u00e9, projekce \u201etot\u00e1ln\u00edho v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c nad Hamasem d\u00e1vaj\u00ed politick\u00fd smysl.<\/span><\/p>\n

Netanjahuovy mo\u017enosti ale nejsou jednoduch\u00e9. Ka\u017ed\u00fd z nich m\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. Zat\u00edmco pravicov\u00ed extremist\u00e9 mimo jin\u00e9 odm\u00edtaj\u00ed jakoukoli dohodu s Hamasem, kter\u00e1 by nevedla k \u00fapln\u00e9mu zni\u010den\u00ed Palestiny a definitivn\u00edmu konci \u201e\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed dvou st\u00e1t\u016f\u201c, rodiny 136 izraelsk\u00fdch rukojm\u00edch zadr\u017eovan\u00fdch Hamasem cht\u011bj\u00ed Netanjahua zasazuje se o jejich propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed a nespol\u00e9h\u00e1 se pouze na vojensk\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed. Protestuj\u00ed pravideln\u011b a Netanjahu si uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee tyto demonstrace by se brzy mohly st\u00e1t mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm politick\u00fdm hnut\u00edm, zejm\u00e9na vzhledem k jeho sou\u010dasn\u00e9 n\u00edzk\u00e9 popularit\u011b. Ne\u017e 7. \u0159\u00edjna vypukla v\u00e1lka, prob\u011bhly v Izraeli masivn\u00ed protesty proti Netanjahuov\u011b vl\u00e1d\u011b kv\u016fli jej\u00ed revizi soudn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu. V\u00e1lka vytvo\u0159ila jakousi jednotu, kter\u00e1 se nyn\u00ed ukazuje jako velmi k\u0159ehk\u00e1 a m\u016f\u017ee se re\u017eimu kdykoli vr\u00e1tit.<\/span><\/p>\n

Netanjahuovo dilema spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 v tom, \u017ee nem\u016f\u017ee pokra\u010dovat \u2013 a roz\u0161i\u0159ovat \u2013 v\u00e1lku, pokud m\u00e1 fungovat jeho strategie zp\u016fsobovat Palestinc\u016fm maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161kody, aby zachr\u00e1nili rukojm\u00ed. Existuje pro to n\u011bkolik d\u016fvod\u016f, ale nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je skute\u010dnost, \u017ee Netanjahuova nel\u00edtostn\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 operace nedok\u00e1zala porazit Ham\u00e1s a nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, zda lze Ham\u00e1s porazit t\u00edmto zp\u016fsobem. Na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b by izraelsk\u00e9 bezohledn\u00e9 zab\u00edjen\u00ed nevinn\u00fdch civilist\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b tis\u00edc\u016f d\u011bt\u00ed, mohlo pomoci Ham\u00e1su pos\u00edlit jeho lidovou podporu. Ned\u00e1vn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va americk\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb dosp\u011bla k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee i kdy\u017e masivn\u00ed izraelsk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva prozat\u00edm po\u0161kodila vojensk\u00e9 schopnosti Hamasu, m\u00e1 daleko k eliminaci skupiny jako takov\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

To je jeden z hlavn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d Netanjahu, kter\u00fd si stanovil za sv\u016fj hlavn\u00ed strategick\u00fd c\u00edl \u00fapln\u00e9 zni\u010den\u00ed Ham\u00e1su, nep\u0159ijme \u017e\u00e1dnou dohodu, kter\u00e1 by mu mohla zabr\u00e1nit v dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle. To je tak\u00e9 jeden z hlavn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f, pro\u010d krajn\u011b pravicov\u00e9 strany odm\u00edtaj\u00ed jakoukoli dohodu s Hamasem, a dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fvod, pro\u010d Netanjahu nem\u016f\u017ee jednodu\u0161e deeskalovat vojenskou mo\u017enost a hledat zp\u016fsoby, jak zajistit propu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed rukojm\u00edch. To by znamenalo pova\u017eovat Ham\u00e1s za rovnocenn\u00e9ho politick\u00e9ho.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kombinace t\u011bchto d\u016fvod\u016f znamen\u00e1, \u017ee si Netanjahu nedok\u00e1\u017ee p\u0159edstavit nic jin\u00e9ho ne\u017e dlouhou v\u00e1lku proti Palestinc\u016fm, kter\u00e1 mu dokonce umo\u017e\u0148uje odm\u00edtnout tlak USA. Pot\u00e9, co se nepoda\u0159ilo p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Netanjahua o st\u0159edn\u00ed cest\u011b, Blinken st\u00e1le douf\u00e1, \u017ee proces povede k lep\u0161\u00ed dohod\u011b. Kdy a jak to bude mo\u017en\u00e9, nev\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale trp\u011blivost \u2013 a podpora pro Izrael \u2013 by u\u017e mohla p\u0159ij\u00edt z B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu. Biden ned\u00e1vno \u0159ekl: „Jak v\u00edte, v\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee reakce v Gaze, v p\u00e1smu Gazy, byla p\u0159ehnan\u00e1.“ Pokud jde o Netanjahu\u016fv pl\u00e1n pro Rafah, mluv\u010d\u00ed N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady John Kirby \u0159ekl: \u201eBez zohledn\u011bn\u00ed ochrany civilist\u016f v p\u00e1smu Gazy v tomto rozsahu by vojensk\u00e9 operace v t\u00e9to dob\u011b byly pro tyto lidi katastrofou, a to nen\u00ed n\u011bco, co bychom cht\u011bli. by podpo\u0159ili.“<\/span><\/p>\n

Tyto koment\u00e1\u0159e v\u0161ak Netanjahua p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 netr\u00e1p\u00ed, nebo\u0165 mu jde p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm o udr\u017een\u00ed pozice premi\u00e9ra a veden\u00ed v\u00e1lky zp\u016fsobem, kter\u00fd ho udr\u017e\u00ed u moci. Mohl by b\u00fdt tak\u00e9 ochoten postavit se Joeu Bidenovi.<\/span><\/p>\n

*<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Salman Rafi Sheikh<\/strong>, analytik mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f a p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed a dom\u00e1c\u00ed politiky, exkluzivn\u011b pro internetov\u00fd magaz\u00edn New Eastern Outlook.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ani po p\u011bti cest\u00e1ch na Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod od za\u010d\u00e1tku izraelsko-palestinsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky 7. \u0159\u00edjna se americk\u00e9mu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":41712,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[4537,107,29,4199],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47592"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47592"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47592\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41712"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47592"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47592"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47592"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}