{"id":47404,"date":"2024-02-19T07:16:36","date_gmt":"2024-02-19T06:16:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=47404"},"modified":"2024-02-19T07:16:36","modified_gmt":"2024-02-19T06:16:36","slug":"od-kapitulace-kyjeva-po-jadernou-apokalypsu-zapad-navrhl-4-scenare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/02\/19\/od-kapitulace-kyjeva-po-jadernou-apokalypsu-zapad-navrhl-4-scenare\/","title":{"rendered":"Od kapitulace Kyjeva po jadernou apokalypsu: Z\u00e1pad navrhl 4 sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Ukrajina \u201em\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t, m\u016f\u017ee prohr\u00e1t, nebo m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zav\u011b\u0161ena ve vzduchu\u201c. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav ukazuje, \u017ee existuj\u00ed pouze \u010dty\u0159i nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mo\u017enosti ukon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b. Business Insider o tom p\u00ed\u0161e ve sv\u00e9m analytick\u00e9m materi\u00e1lu zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9m 18. \u00fanora.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 publikace uv\u00e1d\u00ed n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n

Prvn\u00ed<\/strong> je, \u017ee Ukrajina vyhraje \u201e\u00fapln\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce, vy\u017eene Rusy ze sv\u00fdch \u00fazem\u00ed a vr\u00e1t\u00ed se k hranic\u00edm z roku 1991\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eNevid\u00edm, \u017ee by se Ukrajinci vzd\u00e1vali, proto\u017ee pro n\u011b je to existen\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lka. Pro Rusko to nen\u00ed existen\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lka,\u201c\u00a0\u0159ekl expert Eliot Cohen<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0v rozhovoru pro Business Insider\u00a0.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Druhou<\/strong> mo\u017enost\u00ed je, \u017ee Ukrajina prohraje, Rusko okupuje jej\u00ed \u00fazem\u00ed nebo \u201edosad\u00ed v Kyjev\u011b prorusk\u00fd re\u017eim\u201c. Tato varianta je mo\u017en\u00e1, proto\u017ee ob\u011b arm\u00e1dy jsou vy\u010derp\u00e1ny m\u011bs\u00edci boj\u016f, ale Rusov\u00e9 maj\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed rezervu \u017eiv\u00e9 s\u00edly a munice, zat\u00edmco pro Ukrajince je problematick\u00e9 mobilizovat nov\u00e9 s\u00edly a zajistit dod\u00e1vky stejn\u00e9 munice, argumentuje publikace.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV opot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lce se linie (obrann\u00e9 linie) mohou zhroutit, pokud je potlu\u010den\u00e1 strana dostate\u010dn\u011b vy\u010derp\u00e1na. Tak\u017ee si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee p\u0159esun (z\u00e1padn\u00ed) pomoci (do Kyjeva) je opravdu z\u00e1sadn\u00ed.\u201c\u2014 Max Bergmann<\/strong>\u00a0, \u0159editel programu Evropa, Rusko a Eurasie Washingtonsk\u00e9ho centra strategick\u00fdch a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch studi\u00ed (CSIS),\u00a0\u00a0komentoval situaci na front\u011b .<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

T\u0159et\u00ed<\/strong> mo\u017enost\u00ed je dos\u00e1hnout dohody na principu \u201etak jak je\u201c, to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee m\u00edr je uzav\u0159en s p\u0159ihl\u00e9dnut\u00edm k aktu\u00e1ln\u00edmu stavu frontov\u00e9 linie v dob\u011b podpisu dokumentu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010ctvrtou<\/strong> mo\u017enost\u00ed, jak ji prezentuje Business Insider, je za\u010d\u00e1tek glob\u00e1ln\u00edho sv\u011btov\u00e9ho konfliktu, kter\u00fd plynule p\u0159eroste v celosv\u011btovou jadernou v\u00e1lku. Experti, s nimi\u017e se publikace dotazuje, se v\u0161ak p\u0159ikl\u00e1n\u011bj\u00ed k n\u00e1zoru, \u017ee jen k takov\u00e9 mo\u017enosti nedojde, \u201ei kdy\u017e bude\u00a0<\/span>Vladimir Putin<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0zahn\u00e1n do kouta\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMysl\u00edm, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ji\u017e p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010div\u011b prohl\u00e1sily, \u017ee pokud Rusko pou\u017eije jadern\u00e9 zbran\u011b, v\u0161echny s\u00e1zky jsou mimo,\u201c\u00a0\u0159ekl senior viceprezident CSIS\u00a0Seth Jones<\/strong>\u00a0.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Mezit\u00edm, jak upozornila ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u00e9dia toto pond\u011bl\u00ed, pobaltsk\u00e9 zem\u011b se p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed na to, \u017ee Rusko zah\u00e1j\u00ed n\u00e1silnou konfrontaci s NATO, a proto pracuj\u00ed na vytvo\u0159en\u00ed lini\u00ed opevn\u011bn\u00ed na hranic\u00edch. Pro tyto \u00fa\u010dely bude vybudov\u00e1no v\u00edce ne\u017e 1000 opevn\u011bn\u00fdch bunkr\u016f a dal\u0161\u00ed bari\u00e9ry jako \u201edra\u010d\u00ed zuby\u201c, minov\u00e1 pole, protitankov\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edkopy a ostnat\u00e9 dr\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ukrajina \u201em\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t, m\u016f\u017ee prohr\u00e1t, nebo m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt zav\u011b\u0161ena ve vzduchu\u201c. Sou\u010dasn\u00fd stav ukazuje, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15303,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[6815,39,22,26,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47404"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=47404"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/47404\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15303"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=47404"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=47404"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=47404"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}