{"id":4708,"date":"2021-09-13T03:37:12","date_gmt":"2021-09-13T01:37:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=4708"},"modified":"2021-09-13T03:37:12","modified_gmt":"2021-09-13T01:37:12","slug":"nemohou-nereagovat-aneb-treti-vlna-prichazi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/09\/13\/nemohou-nereagovat-aneb-treti-vlna-prichazi\/","title":{"rendered":"Nemohou nereagovat aneb T\u0159et\u00ed vlna p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p>Tak je to tady. V\u010dera poprv\u00e9 se po\u010dat naka\u017een\u00fdch koronavirem zhruba zdvojn\u00e1sobil oproti minul\u00e9mu t\u00fddnu. Pokud se trend v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dnech potvrd\u00ed, m\u00e1me tu kr\u00e1sn\u00fd exponenci\u00e1ln\u00ed r\u016fst a dlouho o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00e1 podzimn\u00ed vlna je mezi n\u00e1mi. T\u00edm se potvrzuje prvn\u00ed moje p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f &#8211; \u017ee se v\u0161echno d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 stane je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed volbami.<\/p>\n<p>A naopak kles\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobnost m\u00e9 druh\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi, \u017ee Babi\u0161 jako vrchol sv\u00e9 kampan\u011b vyhl\u00e1s\u00ed sejmut\u00ed okov\u016f.<br \/>\nPokud se pod\u00edv\u00e1te na Masterovy grafy, zjist\u00edte, \u017ee n\u00e1r\u016fst se v t\u00e9to chv\u00edli t\u00fdk\u00e1 v podstat\u011b jen pozitivn\u00edch test\u016f. N\u00e1r\u016fst hospitalizac\u00ed se zat\u00edm nekon\u00e1, ba naopak, ten dokonce zlehka kles\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>M\u016f\u017ee v\u00e1s m\u00e1st k\u0159ivka z\u00e1va\u017en\u00fdch hospitalizac\u00ed, ale tam se zat\u00edm ned\u00e1 nic \u0159\u00edct, proto\u017ee kdy\u017e m\u00e1te \u010dty\u0159i t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edpady a pak jich je \u0161est, tak jsou to p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 n\u00edzk\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla na jakoukoliv predikci.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee&#8230; v t\u00e9to chv\u00edli za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1me m\u00edt epidemii pozitivn\u00edch test\u016f. Za\u010d\u00e1tek tohoto n\u00e1r\u016fstu bude je\u0161t\u011b zv\u00fdrazn\u011bn\u00fd, proto\u017ee naka\u017een\u00fdch je relativn\u011b m\u00e1lo, hygiena st\u00edh\u00e1 trasovat a dohled\u00e1vat kontakty a kdy\u017e se hled\u00e1, tak se zpravidla i najde, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd PCR test dnes zajist\u00ed pozitivn\u00ed test i z\u00edtra u n\u011bjak\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edbuzn\u00e9ho \u010di kamar\u00e1da. N\u00e1r\u016fst proto m\u016f\u017ee vypadat pom\u011brn\u011b d\u011bsiv\u011b, ale bude d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 sledovat p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1r\u016fst hospitalizovan\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f. Hospitalizace te\u010f v dob\u011b promtn\u00edho testov\u00e1n\u00ed jdou se zhruba t\u00fddenn\u00edm odstupem za potvrzen\u00fdmi testy, tak\u017ee pokud tento t\u00fdden vid\u00edme n\u00e1r\u016fst pozitivn\u00edch o 500 kus\u016f denn\u011b a p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed t\u00fdden uvid\u00edme denn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst v nemocnic\u00edch o 50 lid\u00ed, tak se bohu\u017eel oproti lo\u0148sku nic nezm\u011bnilo.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00e1 se \u010dekat, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dnech a t\u00fddnech se politici budou muset k cel\u00e9 v\u011bci postavit. Nemohou nereagovat. Vzhledem k tomu, jak to vypadlo loni, nemohou prost\u011b str\u010dit hlavu do p\u00edsku, nemohou \u010dekat, a\u017e se to n\u011bjak vyvine. Zd\u00e1 se tedy, \u017ee covid do volebn\u00ed kampan\u011b je\u0161t\u011b zas\u00e1hne a je mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee se na posledn\u00ed chv\u00edli stane op\u011bt dominantn\u00edm t\u00e9matem.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1rove\u0148 bychom u\u017e m\u011bli b\u00fdt o dost d\u00e1l, ohledn\u011b zdravotnick\u00fdch kapacit i ohledn\u011b sb\u00edran\u00fdch informac\u00ed. Vl\u00e1da by m\u011bla teoreticky m\u00edt k dispozici celou \u0159adu \u00fadaj\u016f a srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s lo\u0148skem, kter\u00e9 by m\u011bly uk\u00e1zat, jak na tom doopravdy jsme. Letos u\u017e neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 omluva, \u017ee jsme nev\u011bd\u011bli, neznali a nerozum\u011bli. Letos u\u017e neprojde, aby se co t\u00fdden m\u011bnila pravidla, aby jeden \u010dlen vl\u00e1dy \u0159\u00edkal jedno a druh\u00fd n\u011bco jin\u00e9ho. Letos u\u017e neprojde improvizov\u00e1n\u00ed, neprojdou v\u00fdmluvy. Letos u\u017e vl\u00e1da v\u0161echny informace m\u00e1. A jestli je nem\u00e1, nebo jestli se tam mezi odborn\u00edke i po roce epidemie r\u016fzn\u011b ml\u017e\u00ed, l\u017ee a neexistuje shoda, tak na to doplat\u00ed vl\u00e1da i odborn\u00edci.<\/p>\n<p>D\u00e1le pak m\u00e1me p\u0159\u00edmo fenomen\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost porovnat situaci o\u010dkovan\u00fdch a neo\u010dkovan\u00fdch. Ono je jich zhruba stejn\u011b. Tak\u017ee se velmi brzy dozv\u00edme, jak\u00fd pod\u00edl o\u010dkovan\u00fdch a neo\u010dkovan\u00fdch le\u017e\u00ed v nemocnic\u00edch. Dozv\u00edme se to je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed volbami. Stejn\u011b tak se p\u0159ed volbami dozv\u00edme reakce v\u0161ech politik\u016f, kandid\u00e1t\u016f, aktivist\u016f, Vidl\u00e1k\u016f i jin\u00fdch bloger\u016f.<\/p>\n<p>Za Vidl\u00e1ka \u0159\u00edk\u00e1m, \u017ee nev\u00edm, co n\u00e1s \u010dek\u00e1. J\u00e1 osobn\u011b jsem zalo\u017een\u00edm optimista, proto se je\u0161t\u011b minim\u00e1ln\u011b t\u00fdden budu dr\u017eet sv\u00e9ho p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee sledujeme p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm epidemii pozitivn\u00edch test\u016f, ale samoz\u0159ejm\u011b to nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 dogma je docela dob\u0159e mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed t\u00fdden u\u017e budu mluvit jinak, proto\u017ee uvid\u00edm n\u00e1r\u016fst hospitalizovan\u00fdch.<\/p>\n<p>Nev\u00edm co bude. Ale v\u00edm, \u017ee se to uk\u00e1\u017ee do voleb. V\u00edm, \u017ee do voleb budeme m\u00edt jasno, kdo je zbab\u011blec, kdo je naopak state\u010dn\u00fd, kdo to s n\u00e1mi mysl\u00ed dob\u0159e a kdo je naprosto mimo m\u00edsu. S covidem se u\u017e toti\u017e v kampan\u00edch moc nepo\u010d\u00edtalo&#8230; teda krom\u011b Lubo\u0161ka Voln\u00e9ho a SPD. Tak\u017ee uvid\u00edme i kreativitu v\u0161ech t\u011bch M\u00e1r\u016f Prchal\u016f, jak s t\u00edm pracovat.<\/p>\n<p>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee nejde nereagovat. Nejde to nechat b\u00fdt, nejde to ud\u011blat jako loni s krajsk\u00fdmi volbami. Nejde prost\u011b po\u010dkat a\u017e do voleb a pak teprve se o n\u011bco sna\u017eit. J\u00e1 jsem p\u0159edpov\u00eddal, \u017ee se je\u0161t\u011b t\u011bsn\u011b p\u0159ed volbami kv\u016fli covidu odva\u0159\u00ed lecjak\u00fd politik a to se z\u0159ejm\u011b vypln\u00ed tak\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Dovedu si p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee u\u017e od tohoto v\u00edkendu uvid\u00edme ze strany ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u00edst tlak na urychlen\u00ed o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed. Vid\u011bl bych to tak, \u017ee v p\u00e1tek vystoup\u00ed zdravotn\u00ed statistik Du\u0161ek a pov\u00ed n\u00e1m n\u011bco o tom, kolik o\u010dkovan\u00fdch a neo\u010dkovan\u00fdch le\u017e\u00ed v nemocnic\u00edch. (<em>Skoro si dovedu p\u0159edstavit, co \u0159ekne &#8211; pozitivn\u011b testovan\u00ed jsou p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm neo\u010dkovan\u00ed t\u0159ic\u00e1tn\u00edci a v nemocnic\u00edch le\u017e\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm neo\u010dkovan\u00ed \u0161edes\u00e1tn\u00edci&#8230; schv\u00e1ln\u011b, jestli to bude jinak).\u00a0<\/em>\u00a0Pokud se zvedne z\u00e1jem o o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed, Babi\u0161 bude p\u0159ipraven tomuto z\u00e1jmu vyhov\u011bt.<\/p>\n<p>Stejn\u011b tak si dovedu p\u0159edstavit, \u017ee pokud o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed nefunguje, bude z\u00e1jem ze stejn\u00fdch ofici\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u00edst to co nejv\u00edce tutlat, proto\u017ee jak jsem p\u0159edpov\u00eddal, Babi\u0161 si prost\u011b prosadil svou a to tak\u00e9 znamen\u00e1, \u017ee na o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed vsadil svoj\u00ed politickou budoucnost. Kdyby se te\u010f do voleb m\u011blo uk\u00e1zat, \u017ee to v\u0161echno byly jen vyhozen\u00e9 pen\u00edze, \u017ee to v\u0161echno bylo zbyte\u010dn\u00e9&#8230; O\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed bezinfek\u010dnost, o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00ed nechr\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed p\u0159enosem, kdyby se te\u010f uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee nechr\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00edpady&#8230;\u00a0\u00a0M\u00e1ro Prchale, m\u00e1\u0161 o \u010dem p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let.<\/p>\n<p>Jednozna\u010dn\u011b r\u00e1d m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt Lubom\u00edr Voln\u00fd a z\u0159ejm\u011b i Okamura. N\u00e1r\u016fst pozitivn\u00edch test\u016f jim p\u0159ihazuje hlasy. P\u0159i t\u011bchto n\u00e1r\u016fstech si z\u0159ejm\u011b nikdo do voleb netroufne \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee o nic nejde a tak mohou zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed p\u00e1nov\u00e9 hladce pokra\u010dovat v kampani, Voln\u00e9mu to na sn\u011bmovnu z\u0159ejm\u011b bude sta\u010dit a Okamurovi neubere.\u00a0\u00a0Na druhou stranu, pokud Voln\u00fd blok bude pokra\u010dovat v tom, \u017ee o nic nejde, \u017ee jde jen o rou\u0161kovou totalitu a nemocnice se budou ut\u011b\u0161en\u011b\u00a0plnit, m\u016f\u017ee to dopadnout i naopak. Lidsk\u00fd strach je podobn\u00fd ohni. Dobr\u00fd sluha, ale \u0161patn\u00fd p\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>M\u016fj bratr po anal\u00fdze dat z ciziny \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee velikost vlny se o\u010dkov\u00e1n\u00edm uregulovat ned\u00e1. \u017de si dovede klidn\u011b p\u0159edstavit op\u011bt patn\u00e1ct tis\u00edc nov\u011b naka\u017een\u00fdch denn\u011b. Ale z proo\u010dkovan\u00fdch zem\u00ed se zat\u00edm ukazuje, \u017ee po\u010dty hospitalizovan\u00fdch a mrtv\u00fdch u\u017e nedosahuj\u00ed lo\u0148sk\u00fdch hodnot. Jak to bude u n\u00e1s, to se uvid\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vidlakovykydy.cz\/clanky\/nemohou-nereagovat\">VIDL\u00c1K<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tak je to tady. V\u010dera poprv\u00e9 se po\u010dat naka\u017een\u00fdch koronavirem zhruba zdvojn\u00e1sobil oproti minul\u00e9mu t\u00fddnu&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1434,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[23,115,1043,213],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4708"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4708"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4708\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1434"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}