{"id":46628,"date":"2024-02-09T00:48:12","date_gmt":"2024-02-08T23:48:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=46628"},"modified":"2024-02-08T19:19:23","modified_gmt":"2024-02-08T18:19:23","slug":"jiri-vyvadil-ruska-nadvlada-stavi-usa-a-ukrajinu-na-rozcesti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/02\/09\/jiri-vyvadil-ruska-nadvlada-stavi-usa-a-ukrajinu-na-rozcesti\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil: Rusk\u00e1 nadvl\u00e1da stav\u00ed USA a Ukrajinu na rozcest\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Velice r\u00e1d si \u010das od \u010dasu p\u0159e\u010dtu \u010dl\u00e1nky port\u00e1lu americk\u00e9ho port\u00e1lu Quincy, Institutu pro zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 st\u00e1tnictv\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na, pokud je jejich spoluautorem\u00a0George Beebe \u0159editel pro strategii, proto\u017ee v ur\u010dit\u00e9m smyslu je my\u0161lenkov\u00fdm \u017e\u00e1kem Henryho Kissingera\u2026<\/b><\/p>\n

Ano, toho Henryho Kissingera, z\u0159ejm\u011b nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edho strategick\u00e9ho m\u00edrotvorce, kter\u00fd, v\u011bren sv\u00e9 filosofii o zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed \u00faloze supervelmoc\u00ed odstartoval nejenom nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd zlom sbl\u00ed\u017een\u00edm \u010c\u00edny a USA, ale pozd\u011bji\u00a0 i prosadil \u00a0\u00a0politiku detente mezi Sov\u011btsk\u00fdm svazem a jeho blokem a USA a Z\u00e1padem. \u017de z\u00e1rove\u0148 byl mnoh\u00fdmi ozna\u010dov\u00e1n za v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho zlo\u010dince ohledn\u011b \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch situac\u00ed je ov\u0161em rovn\u011b\u017e nesporn\u00e9. A aby to bylo vtipn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, obdr\u017eel rovn\u011b\u017e Nobelovu cenu m\u00edru za ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky ve Vietnamu..<\/p>\n

Ten posledn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edklad \u00a0uv\u00e1d\u00edm se zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm zadostiu\u010din\u011bn\u00edm, proto\u017ee ukazuje rozpornost v\u011bc\u00ed. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee sv\u011btov\u00e9 velmoci USA a Rusko, dv\u011b v\u016fd\u010d\u00ed zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 se um\u011bly p\u0159es z\u00e1sadn\u00ed rozd\u00edlnost sv\u00fdch syst\u00e9m\u016f spojit vcelku pravideln\u011b poru\u0161uj\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo, ov\u0161em dokud se navz\u00e1jem kontrolovaly a hl\u00eddaly a vl\u00e1dl glob\u00e1ln\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd m\u00edr.<\/p>\n

Ten skon\u010dil s\u00a0\u00e9rou Joa Bidena, kter\u00fd na rozd\u00edl od v\u0161ech americk\u00fdch prezident\u016f od roku 1945 v\u010detn\u011b Baracka Obamy tento realistick\u00fd\u00a0 pohled opustil a za\u010dal rozd\u011blovat sv\u011bt jinak, a to na st\u00e1ty tzv. autokratick\u00e9 a tzv. demokratick\u00e9 a nav\u00edc i na rozd\u00edl od Obamy sn\u00ed\u017eil rang Ruska na oby\u010dejnou provin\u010dn\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed velmoc, na kterou nen\u00ed t\u0159eba br\u00e1t zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed ohled.<\/p>\n

A v\u00fdsledek vid\u00edme nyn\u00ed v\u00a0pln\u00e9 nahot\u011b. Kdyby mimochodem tak jako Biden uva\u017eovali i p\u0159edchoz\u00ed ameri\u010dt\u00ed prezidenti, u\u017e d\u00e1vno by sv\u011bt skon\u010dil v\u00a0jadern\u00e9m rozvratu. Mimochodem p\u0159edstavte si J.F. Kennedyho , kdyby zareagoval na rozm\u00ed\u0161ku a Chru\u0161\u010dovem obdobn\u011b. Pak bych j\u00e1 osobn\u011b tak\u00e9 nemusel b\u00fdt a asi mnoh\u00fd z\u00a0V\u00e1s.<\/p>\n

Nu\u017ee poj\u010fme po tomto m\u00e9m \u00favodu, kter\u00fd jsem si, promi\u0148te, neum\u011bl odpustit, k vlastn\u00edmu \u010dl\u00e1nku, kter\u00fd je jist\u011b ps\u00e1n americk\u00fdm odborn\u00edky, kter\u00fd si p\u0159ej\u00ed m\u00edr s Ruskem, ale d\u00edvaj\u00ed se na n\u011bj o\u010dima p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161liv\u00fdch \u00a0Ameri\u010dan\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed si z\u00e1rove\u0148 nep\u0159ej\u00ed, aby\u00a0 jejich zem\u011b nebyla znovu, tak jako v Ir\u00e1ku \u010di Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu pora\u017eena .<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 nadvl\u00e1da stav\u00ed USA a Ukrajinu na rozcest\u00ed
\n<\/strong><\/em><\/span>George Beebe a Anatol Lieven,\u00a0ledna 2024<\/em><\/span>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd pokrok ve v\u00e1lce na Ukrajin\u011b tla\u010d\u00ed Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty k bolestiv\u00e9 volb\u011b.<\/p>\n

Takov\u00fdm podnadpisem za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed\u00a0 auto\u0159i sv\u016fj v podstat\u011b p\u0159elomov\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek\u2026a hned v \u00favodu konstatuj\u00ed, ani\u017e by vylu\u010dovali potencion\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny v \u00a0Evropsk\u00e9 unii, (co\u017e ov\u0161em zjevn\u011b je v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch dvaceti letech\u00a0 realisticky nenastane, \u017ee ov\u0161em nem\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt spojencem NATO nebo USA a \u017ee tato neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed Ukrajina mus\u00ed m\u00edt ov\u011b\u0159iteln\u00e9 limity na typy a mno\u017estv\u00ed zbran\u00ed, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 a m\u016f\u017ee dr\u017eet. Konstatuj\u00ed, \u017ee pokud odm\u00edtneme (jako Ameri\u010dani) souhlasit s t\u011bmito podm\u00ednkami, Rusko pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b prom\u011bn\u00ed Ukrajinu v nefunk\u010dn\u00ed trosku neschopnou se znovu vybudovat, spojit se Z\u00e1padem nebo p\u0159edstavovat vojenskou hrozbu pro Rusko.<\/p>\n

A pokra\u010duj\u00ed : By\u0165 rusk\u00fd postup je\u0161t\u011b nen\u00ed patrn\u00fd na map\u011b, kde se bitevn\u00ed linie za posledn\u00ed rok znateln\u011b neposunuly, ukrajinsk\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva nedok\u00e1zala prorazit ruskou obranu a Rusko nezatla\u010dilo ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly v\u00fdrazn\u011b na z\u00e1pad. Pozorovatel porovn\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fazemn\u00ed dr\u017een\u00ed v lednu 2023 s lednem 2024 by mohl rozumn\u011b doj\u00edt k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee v\u00e1lka se stala patovou situac\u00ed.\u00a0Ale tento obr\u00e1zek je zav\u00e1d\u011bj\u00edc\u00ed. Kreml t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u011b o takov\u00fd pr\u016flom neusiluje, alespo\u0148 zat\u00edm.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Sp\u00ed\u0161e metodicky omezuje schopnost Ukrajiny nejen v\u00e9st v\u00e1lku, ale tak\u00e9 rekonstituovat pov\u00e1le\u010dnou arm\u00e1du t\u00edm, \u017ee zab\u00edj\u00ed a zra\u0148uje obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f a vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e9 a z\u00e1padn\u00ed arzen\u00e1ly zbran\u00ed a st\u0159eliva. Ukrajin\u011b doch\u00e1zej\u00ed d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00e9 gran\u00e1ty a USA a Evropa nemohou vyrobit nov\u00e9 dostate\u010dn\u011b rychle, aby uspokojily pot\u0159eby Ukrajiny. Rusk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edvaly d\u00e1lkov\u00fdch vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch a raketov\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f st\u00e1le v\u00edce p\u0159et\u011b\u017euj\u00ed kapacitu ukrajinsk\u00e9 PVO a Z\u00e1pad prost\u011b postr\u00e1d\u00e1 schopnost nad\u00e1le poskytovat rakety Patriot nebo jin\u00e9 pokro\u010dil\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany.<\/p>\n

Podle autor\u016f, \u00a0ameri\u010dt\u00ed politici pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed pochopit a \u010destn\u011b uznat, je, \u017ee bez kompromisn\u00edho m\u00edrov\u00e9ho urovn\u00e1n\u00ed bude muset masivn\u00ed m\u00edra pomoci pokra\u010dovat<\/strong> nejen v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edm roce, ale na neur\u010dito. Zkr\u00e1tka \u0161lo by o dal\u0161\u00ed v\u011b\u010dnou v\u00e1lku \u00a0Ir\u00e1ku \u010di Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu. Existuje proto jen velmi mal\u00e1 re\u00e1ln\u00e1 \u0161ance, \u017ee by Z\u00e1pad dok\u00e1zal p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt Rusko a donutit ho p\u0159ijmout m\u00edr za ukrajinsk\u00fdch podm\u00ednek<\/strong>. Kontroverze v Kongresu ohledn\u011b pomoci Ukrajin\u011b odr\u00e1\u017eej\u00ed tyto skute\u010dnosti a je nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by se zm\u00edrnily.<\/p>\n

Za takov\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed je ov\u0161em nemoudr\u00e9, a dokonce ne\u010destn\u00e9, aby Bidenova administrativa p\u0159isl\u00edbila americkou podporu Ukrajin\u011b \u201etak dlouho, jak to bude pot\u0159eba\u201c, aby porazila Rusko<\/strong>. Ve Washingtonu se v\u0161eobecn\u011b v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee ne\u00fasp\u011bch ukrajinsk\u00e9 protiofenzivy znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad nem\u00e1 jinou mo\u017enost, ne\u017e podporovat boj Ukrajiny proti Rusku po mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch let. Hled\u00e1n\u00ed kompromisu s Moskvou je pova\u017eov\u00e1no nejen za ne\u017e\u00e1douc\u00ed, ale tak\u00e9 za marn\u00e9. Proto\u017ee chyb\u00ed alternativy, mus\u00edme z\u016fstat sou\u010dasn\u00fdm kurzem a doufat, \u017ee \u010das zlep\u0161\u00ed pozici Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

Ale \u010das nen\u00ed na stran\u011b Ukrajiny, a\u0165 u\u017e vojensky nebo ekonomicky, a tak m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt pozice Ukrajiny v budouc\u00edch jedn\u00e1n\u00edch mnohem hor\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e v sou\u010dasnosti<\/strong>. Populace Ruska je nejm\u00e9n\u011b \u010dty\u0159ikr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e na Ukrajin\u011b a jej\u00ed HDP je 14kr\u00e1t v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je mnohem l\u00e9pe vedena a takticky zdatn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e byla na za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky, a z\u00e1padn\u00ed sankce nevykazuj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky toho, \u017ee by byly schopny ochromit ruskou ekonomiku, kter\u00e1 je st\u00e1le v\u00edce a v\u00edce zam\u011b\u0159ena na v\u00e1lku<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Auto\u0159i rovn\u011b\u017e pokl\u00e1daj\u00ed \u00a0za v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u011b nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9 , \u00a0\u017ee by se Ukrajina mohla ekonomicky rozv\u00edjet a zah\u00e1jit extr\u00e9mn\u011b obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fd proces vstupu do Evropsk\u00e9 unie.<\/p>\n

A co je nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty neotestovaly p\u0159edpoklad, \u017ee rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin nem\u00e1 z\u00e1jem mluvit. Je skute\u010dn\u011b velmi pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee Putin v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko m\u00e1 nyn\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce navrch a m\u016f\u017ee si dovolit \u010dekat.\u00a0Putin nicm\u00e9n\u011b opakovan\u011b trval na tom, \u017ee Rusko je p\u0159ipraveno hovo\u0159it a \u017ee kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed ve v\u00e1lce \u010din\u00ed Washington \u2013 nikoli Kyjev, a proto je na Washingtonu, aby se zapojil do rozhovor\u016f.<\/p>\n

Auto\u0159i zjevn\u011b \u00a0s\u00e1z\u00ed v\u0161e na co nejrychlej\u0161\u00ed jedn\u00e1n\u00ed Rusko-USA ov\u0161em zcela varuj\u00ed p\u0159ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00edm, \u017ee lze o\u010dek\u00e1vat, \u017ee by m\u00edr p\u0159inesl Trump.\u00a0Nu\u017ee v\u00a0tomto ohledu jsou jejich \u00favahy zcestn\u00e9<\/strong>. M\u00e1lokdo, t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nikdo nen\u00ed na americk\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u011b takov\u00fd odp\u016frce v\u00e1lek jako Trump. Ta v\u00e1lka je stravuj\u00edc\u00ed a u\u017e nyn\u00ed, republik\u00e1ni ve Sn\u011bmovn\u011b\u00a0 reprezentant\u016f ji\u017e zcela pod vlivem Trumpa d\u011blaj\u00ed v\u0161e proto, aby od\u0159\u00edzly od Ukrajiny v\u0161echny zdroje pro pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed konfliktu.<\/p>\n

Posledn\u00ed v\u00fdvoj, kdy nechali padnout pod st\u016fl dokonce sv\u016fj p\u016fvodn\u00ed po\u017eadavek na zafinancov\u00e1n\u00ed blokace migrace v\u00fdm\u011bnou za podporu pro Ukrajinu, jak by si nyn\u00ed p\u0159\u00e1l u\u017e i Biden dokazuje, \u017ee Trump u\u017e m\u00e1 pod palcem prakticky celou Republik\u00e1nskou stranu a Biden marn\u011b vol\u00e1 a ve\u0159ejn\u011b zu\u0159\u00ed , aby p\u0159estali poslouchat Trumpa a nep\u0159ipustili v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Vladim\u00edra Putina\u2026<\/p>\n

Kombinace objektivn\u00edch faktor\u016f, o kter\u00fdch p\u00ed\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd \u010dl\u00e1nek i t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 nezmi\u0148uje, toti\u017e tedy, rozb\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed se mohutn\u00fd konflikt na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, do kter\u00e9ho se Biden mohutn\u011b zapojil, a to nejen \u00fatoky proti Huthi\u00fam \u00a0jejich kv\u016fli pr\u016fplavu Rud\u00fdm mo\u0159em, ale \u00a0v\u00a0posledn\u00ed dob\u011b u\u017e i operacemi v\u00a0S\u00fdrii i Ir\u00e1ku proti proir\u00e1nsk\u00fdm milic\u00edm, za kter\u00e9 se naopak siln\u011b stav\u00ed Ir\u00e1n, Ir\u00e1k, spole\u010dn\u011b s\u00a0Ruskem i \u010c\u00ednou.<\/p>\n

Biden u\u017e p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt zp\u016fsobil\u00fd zvl\u00e1dat v\u0161echny sv\u011btov\u00e9 st\u0159ety, kter\u00e9 s\u00e1m vyvolal a hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159est\u00e1v\u00e1 b\u00fdt t\u00edm nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm sv\u011btov\u00fdm konfliktem.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Vyvadil<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Velice r\u00e1d si \u010das od \u010dasu p\u0159e\u010dtu \u010dl\u00e1nky port\u00e1lu americk\u00e9ho port\u00e1lu Quincy, Institutu pro zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10902,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[29,122,22,276,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46628"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46628"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46628\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":46629,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46628\/revisions\/46629"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46628"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46628"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46628"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}