{"id":46577,"date":"2024-02-09T00:35:02","date_gmt":"2024-02-08T23:35:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=46577"},"modified":"2024-02-08T14:45:30","modified_gmt":"2024-02-08T13:45:30","slug":"douglas-macgregor-bombardovat-ci-nebombardovat-iran-to-je-otazka","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/02\/09\/douglas-macgregor-bombardovat-ci-nebombardovat-iran-to-je-otazka\/","title":{"rendered":"Douglas MacGregor: Bombardovat \u010di nebombardovat \u00cdr\u00e1n, to je ot\u00e1zka"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery mus\u00ed b\u00fdt \u00fam\u011brn\u00e9 o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdm zisk\u016fm a o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Antony Blinken v pond\u011bl\u00ed \u0159ekl, \u017ee to byla \u201eneuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u011b nestabiln\u00ed doba na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b\u201c. Sv\u011bt, \u0159ekl Blinken, \u201enevid\u011bl situaci tak nebezpe\u010dnou, jako je ta, kterou nyn\u00ed v regionu za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1me, p\u0159inejmen\u0161\u00edm od roku 1973 a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed t\u00edm.<\/span><\/p>\n

V reakci na Blinkenovo bystr\u00e9 hodnocen\u00ed prezident Biden signalizuje washingtonsk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 stran\u011b, \u017ee i on je p\u0159ipraven nesmysln\u011b bombardovat c\u00edle na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Pokud by se tak stalo, ve Washingtonu by to vypadalo jako slab\u00e9, a to je n\u011bco, co prezidenti \u010dasto usuzuj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u016fdce nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 supervelmoci nem\u016f\u017ee ud\u011blat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1n dal jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee jak\u00fdkoli \u00fatok na jeho \u00fazem\u00ed p\u0159edstavuje \u010dervenou linii a \u017ee bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed jak\u00e9koli \u010d\u00e1sti \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed \u201ese setk\u00e1 s odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed reakc\u00ed\u201c. Nenechte se m\u00fdlit, strategick\u00e1 bombardovac\u00ed kampa\u0148 proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu vys\u00edl\u00e1 jasnou a nezam\u011bnitelnou zpr\u00e1vu: Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty americk\u00e9 jsou ve v\u00e1lce s \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm st\u00e1tem, jeho lidem a jeho ozbrojen\u00fdmi silami.<\/span><\/p>\n

A\u0165 u\u017e Biden odstran\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n ze sv\u00e9ho c\u00edlov\u00e9ho seznamu, nebo ne, Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 by m\u011bli b\u00fdt st\u00e1le opatrn\u00ed. V guvernor\u00e1tu nen\u00ed nouze o bombov\u00e9 aktivisty, kte\u0159\u00ed jsou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni, \u017ee v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem je jedin\u00fdm \u0159e\u0161en\u00edm nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu v\u016f\u010di Izraeli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed diplomacie, ale politici je maj\u00ed r\u00e1di, proto\u017ee p\u016fsob\u00ed dojmem, \u017ee podnikaj\u00ed v\u011bcn\u00e9 kroky. Bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed nen\u00ed ani strategie, ani jednoduch\u00e9 cvi\u010den\u00ed v signalizaci ctnosti. Bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed je v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdm aktem. Bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed nezahrnuje konflikt a ani bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed neodrazuje nep\u0159\u00edtele od budouc\u00edch akc\u00ed. Bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e zvy\u0161uje nap\u011bt\u00ed a vede k tot\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lce.<\/span><\/p>\n

V \u010dervnu 1964 svolal ministr obrany Robert McNamara sch\u016fzku, aby projednal mo\u017en\u00e9 americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 reakce na ztr\u00e1tu dvou americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch letadel nad ji\u017en\u00edm Laosem, kam severovietnamsk\u00e9 s\u00edly p\u0159iv\u00e1\u017eely z\u00e1soby do Ji\u017en\u00edho Vietnamu. McNamara trval na tom, aby Washington reagoval na ztr\u00e1tu dvou americk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch letadel \u00fatokem na protiletadlovou baterii, kter\u00e1 letadla zni\u010dila.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ne v\u0161ichni na sch\u016fzce s McNamarou souhlasili. Nejm\u00e9n\u011b jeden \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk uvedl, \u017ee nevid\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd d\u016fkaz, \u017ee by n\u00e1let zlep\u0161il vojenskou situaci v Laosu nebo Ji\u017en\u00edm Vietnamu. Kdy\u017e se sch\u016fzky z\u00fa\u010dastnil prezident Lyndon Johnson, zpochybnil, zda zisky dosa\u017een\u00e9 \u00fatokem na protiletadlovou baterii byly dostate\u010dn\u011b od\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00e9, aby vyv\u00e1\u017eily nevyhnutelnou kritiku mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho spole\u010denstv\u00ed na poru\u0161en\u00ed \u017denevsk\u00fdch dohod Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Velvyslanec Averell Harriman, kter\u00fd se setk\u00e1n\u00ed tak\u00e9 z\u00fa\u010dastnil, zv\u00edt\u011bzil, kdy\u017e prezidentu Johnsonovi \u0159ekl, \u017ee n\u00e1let je jedin\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, jak \u201esignalizovat\u201c z\u00e1m\u011bry Washingtonu v\u016f\u010di Hanoji. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 v\u011bd\u00ed, co n\u00e1sledovalo. Washington signalizoval Hanoji, ale Hanoj \u200b\u200bnedeeskalovala.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ve Vietnamu, Laosu nebo Kambod\u017ei nebyly americk\u00e9 bombardovac\u00ed n\u00e1lety, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed operace nebo pozemn\u00ed \u00fatoky skute\u010dn\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u00e9 v odstra\u0161en\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtele nebo v zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed vypuknut\u00ed st\u00e1le ni\u010div\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Severn\u00ed Vietnamci jednodu\u0161e p\u0159ijali ztr\u00e1ty a zv\u00fd\u0161ili sv\u00e9 \u00fatoky v\u0161ude tam, kde byly americk\u00e9 s\u00edly na zemi nejslab\u0161\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e9 bombardovac\u00ed kampan\u011b nedosahuj\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e do\u010dasn\u00e9ho potla\u010den\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch sil, proto\u017ee jsou v\u017edy zalo\u017eeny na pochybn\u00e9m p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee samotn\u00e9 leteck\u00e9 \u00fatoky mohou donutit nep\u0159\u00edtele, aby se sklonil p\u0159ed politick\u00fdmi po\u017eadavky Washingtonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00datok na pozice v Ir\u00e1ku, \u00cdr\u00e1nu nebo S\u00fdrii by mohl v\u00e9st Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty do v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, i kdy\u017e to nen\u00ed zam\u00fd\u0161leno. Ot\u00e1zky z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro vojensk\u00e9 metody a strategii mus\u00ed b\u00fdt podrobn\u011b prozkoum\u00e1ny a zodpov\u011bzeny. Zd\u00e1 se nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by tato pe\u010dliv\u00e1 pr\u00e1ce zam\u011bstnanc\u016f byla provedena v t\u00e9to ran\u00e9 f\u00e1zi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Co je c\u00edlem Ameriky? Jak m\u016f\u017ee \u00fader proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu ukon\u010dit v\u00e1lku v Gaze? Pro\u010d je st\u00e1vka na \u00cdr\u00e1n v n\u00e1rodn\u00edm z\u00e1jmu USA? Leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery mus\u00ed b\u00fdt \u00fam\u011brn\u00e9 o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdm zisk\u016fm a o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m. Zas\u00e1hnut\u00ed c\u00edle, ze kter\u00e9ho byla odp\u00e1lena raketa, nen\u00ed odvetou.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00e1 smysl, aby Washington ohrozil p\u0159e\u017eit\u00ed Izraele t\u00edm, \u017ee se uch\u00fdl\u00ed k n\u00e1let\u016fm, kter\u00e9 by mohly konflikt roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159it? M\u011bly by se americk\u00e9 s\u00edly p\u0159ipravit na dal\u0161\u00ed \u00fatoky, pokud po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed \u00fadery USA nep\u0159inesou po\u017eadovanou zm\u011bnu v chov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu, Ir\u00e1ku nebo S\u00fdrie? Maj\u00ed americk\u00e9 s\u00edly pot\u0159ebn\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed munice, platforem a n\u00e1hradn\u00edch d\u00edl\u016f k udr\u017een\u00ed operace, kter\u00e1 by se mohla t\u00e1hnout m\u011bs\u00edce? Mohou americk\u00e9 s\u00edly v regionu ochr\u00e1nit kritickou infrastrukturu p\u0159ed raketov\u00fdmi \u00fatoky?<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington v\u00ed, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n je odhodl\u00e1n bojovat, pokud na n\u011bj americk\u00e9 s\u00edly za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed. Amerikou veden\u00e1 strategick\u00e1 bombardovac\u00ed kampa\u0148 proti \u00cdr\u00e1nu spust\u00ed ohniv\u00fd d\u00e9\u0161\u0165 na 57 000 americk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edk\u016f, letc\u016f a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed p\u011bchoty na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 na dom\u00e1c\u00ed front\u011b mo\u017en\u00e1 necht\u011bj\u00ed, aby se americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 s\u00edla zapojila do velk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pou\u017eit\u00ed bezpilotn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f \u010din\u00ed pro Washington politicky atraktivn\u00ed proveden\u00ed \u00fatoku. Bezpilotn\u00ed syst\u00e9my slibuj\u00ed minimalizaci potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch ztr\u00e1t Ameriky p\u0159i leteck\u00e9 kampani. P\u0159i v\u00fdb\u011bru c\u00edl\u016f v\u0161ak ji\u017e americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed nab\u00edzej\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1nu a jeho region\u00e1ln\u00edm spojenc\u016fm velk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00edch infrastrukturn\u00edch c\u00edl\u016f d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch pro americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 operace, jako jsou p\u0159\u00edstavy, leti\u0161t\u011b a kryty.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dt\u00ed tv\u016frci politik nesm\u00ed m\u00edt mylnou p\u0159edstavu, \u017ee americk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 technologie je jedine\u010dn\u00e1 nebo lep\u0161\u00ed nebo \u017ee americk\u00e9 s\u00edly na sou\u0161i nebo na mo\u0159i jsou imunn\u00ed v\u016f\u010di rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm \u00fatok\u016fm na p\u0159esnost. Bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed nezastav\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n v budov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00e9 a lep\u0161\u00ed protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany. Historie ve skute\u010dnosti ukazuje, \u017ee bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed z velk\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161ky zvy\u0161uje odhodl\u00e1n\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtele kl\u00e1st odpor, sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e se vzd\u00e1t.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hypersonick\u00e9 zbran\u011b proniknou st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edmi syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany a za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed na americk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b na mo\u0159i. Tento a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup k rusk\u00fdm a \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm vesm\u00edrn\u00fdm zpravodajsk\u00fdm, sledovac\u00edm a pr\u016fzkumn\u00fdm kapacit\u00e1m hovo\u0159\u00ed pro p\u0159\u00edpravy, kter\u00e9 p\u0159esahuj\u00ed pot\u0159ebu n\u011bkolika vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch sil. \u00datoky na \u00cdr\u00e1n, Ir\u00e1k a S\u00fdrii by mohly vyvolat smrt\u00edc\u00ed reakci bun\u011bk, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e vstoupily do Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f p\u0159es na\u0161i otev\u0159enou hranici s Mexikem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se tak\u00e9 mohou br\u00e1nit my\u0161lence, \u017ee Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 v uniform\u00e1ch riskuj\u00ed sv\u00e9 \u017eivoty p\u0159i obran\u011b d\u011bsiv\u00e9 izraelsk\u00e9 kampan\u011b vyh\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed a zab\u00edjen\u00ed v Gaze, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud Biden dok\u00e1\u017ee zastavit kampa\u0148 v Gaze pouh\u00fdm telefon\u00e1tem. Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 si mus\u00ed uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee Izrael se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude moci ubr\u00e1nit tis\u00edc\u016fm raket Hizball\u00e1hu, nato\u017e \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdm p\u0159esn\u011b nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdm balistick\u00fdm st\u0159el\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n

Navzdory t\u011bmto bod\u016fm z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Netanjahu odhodl\u00e1n vyhnat nebo zni\u010dit palestinsk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo v p\u00e1smu Gazy. Dnes jeho politika z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 bezpodm\u00edne\u010dnou podporu Washingtonu. Bez ohledu na to, zda je pauza v boj\u00edch dohodnuta nebo ne, izraelsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka teprve za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sestup velmoci do pekla vlastn\u00edho stvo\u0159en\u00ed nen\u00ed nikdy rychl\u00fd. Jak u\u010dil C.S. Lewis, \u00fapadek je pozvoln\u00fd, pozvoln\u00fd, dokonce odm\u011b\u0159en\u00fd, dokud velmoc jako Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty najednou nezjist\u00ed, \u017ee sv\u00e9ho protivn\u00edka hrub\u011b podcenila.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zastra\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed, upl\u00e1cen\u00ed, bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed a sankcionov\u00e1n\u00ed protivn\u00edk\u016f nefungovalo dob\u0159e. D\u00edky s\u00e9rii strategick\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch ne\u00fasp\u011bch\u016f v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, Libyi, Ir\u00e1ku a na Ukrajin\u011b se Washington ve vztaz\u00edch se zbytkem sv\u011bta rychle \u0159\u00edt\u00ed do pekla.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n

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Leteck\u00e9 \u00fadery mus\u00ed b\u00fdt \u00fam\u011brn\u00e9 o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdm zisk\u016fm a o\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m. Ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed Antony Blinken v…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1655,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1128,38,29,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46577"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=46577"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/46577\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=46577"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=46577"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=46577"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}