{"id":44873,"date":"2024-01-17T00:37:12","date_gmt":"2024-01-16T23:37:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=44873"},"modified":"2024-01-16T18:19:57","modified_gmt":"2024-01-16T17:19:57","slug":"zijeme-ve-svete-valky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/01\/17\/zijeme-ve-svete-valky\/","title":{"rendered":"\u017dijeme ve sv\u011bt\u011b v\u00e1lky"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
\n
\n

Kdy\u017e se francouzsk\u00e9ho spisovatele Michela Houellebecqa zeptali, jak si p\u0159edstavuje sv\u011bt po roce 2020, trefn\u011b \u0159ekl: \u201eBude to stejn\u00e9, jen o trochu hor\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Nemus\u00edte b\u00fdt jasnovidec, abyste p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee tomu tak bude i v roce 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rok 2023 byl rokem, kdy po\u010det ozbrojen\u00fdch konflikt\u016f na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b vzrostl nejv\u00edce od roku 1945: v roce 2024 se situace je\u0161t\u011b zhor\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0\u017dijeme, kdy\u017e ne ve sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, tak ve sv\u011bt\u011b ve v\u00e1lce, ve velk\u00e9 postglobaliza\u010dn\u00ed bitv\u011b o rozd\u011blen\u00ed ko\u0159isti d\u0159\u00edve unipol\u00e1rn\u00edho americk\u00e9ho imp\u00e9ria.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed analytici jsou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni, \u017ee tato bitva bude stejn\u011b epoch\u00e1ln\u00ed, jako byl konec 40. let pro Brit\u00e1nii nebo rok 1991 pro Rusko.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na rozd\u00edl od dvou sv\u011btov\u00fdch v\u00e1lek soupe\u0159\u00edc\u00ed velmoci p\u0159\u00edmo nevyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed velmoc \u2013 alespo\u0148 zat\u00edm.\u00a0M\u00edsto toho je podle UnHerd americk\u00e1 hegemonie nep\u0159\u00edmo zpochyb\u0148ov\u00e1na, kdy\u017e rivalov\u00e9 hlodaj\u00ed okraje imp\u00e9ria a zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed se na slab\u0161\u00ed klientsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, proto\u017ee jsou p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dnes nemaj\u00ed ani logistickou kapacitu, ani dom\u00e1c\u00ed politickou stabilitu, aby prosadily sv\u016fj sv\u011btov\u00fd \u0159\u00e1d. .<\/span><\/p>\n

V 90. a 20. stolet\u00ed, na vrcholu sv\u00e9ho unipol\u00e1rn\u00edho okam\u017eiku, si Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ud\u011blaly t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 cel\u00fd sv\u011bt svou klientelou a vypisovaly \u0161eky pro svou bezpe\u010dnost, kter\u00e9 dnes jen s obt\u00ed\u017eemi propl\u00e1cej\u00ed: stejn\u011b jako bankrot p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed \u00fapadek pomalu, pak n\u00e1hle.<\/span><\/p>\n

Hlavn\u00edm t\u00e9matem roku 2024, stejn\u011b jako roku 2023, bude imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed nadvl\u00e1da vedouc\u00ed k \u00fastupu z glob\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonie.\u00a0Od Rud\u00e9ho mo\u0159e po Donbas, od d\u017eungle Ji\u017en\u00ed Ameriky po D\u00e1ln\u00fd v\u00fdchod se americk\u00fd bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed establishment sna\u017e\u00ed udr\u017eet m\u00edstn\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1ry, kter\u00e9 hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed v lesn\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1ry.<\/span><\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed \u0161esti m\u011bs\u00edci Rusko energicky a ve\u0159ejn\u011b diskutovalo o nutnosti jadern\u00e9ho \u00faderu na Ukrajin\u011b, a\u0165 u\u017e jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed Z\u00e1padu, nebo proti Z\u00e1padu samotn\u00e9mu.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u00e1lada krize je celosv\u011btov\u011b i vnitrost\u00e1tn\u011b tak siln\u00e1, \u017ee nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jadern\u00e1 eskalace od studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky z\u016fstala do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry nepov\u0161imnuta.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u011bli bychom b\u00fdt vd\u011b\u010dn\u00ed, \u017ee tento okam\u017eik je za n\u00e1mi, ale skute\u010dnost, \u017ee je za n\u00e1mi, je sama o sob\u011b d\u016fkazem slabosti glob\u00e1ln\u00ed pozice Ameriky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jako nevyzpytateln\u00e1 \u0161achov\u00e1 partie se bitevn\u00ed linie na Ukrajin\u011b letos sotva pohnuly, ale o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ohledn\u011b v\u00fdsledku v\u00e1lky se zcela obr\u00e1tila.\u00a0Rusko m\u00e1 nov\u00fd ofenzivn\u00ed potenci\u00e1l a zdroje na jeho zaplacen\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Do roku 2023 Ukrajina a jej\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed podporovatel\u00e9 s\u00e1zeli na \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00fd konec v\u00e1lky, kdy jedin\u00fd \u00fatok na jihov\u00fdchod\u011b prolom\u00ed obranu Ruska, ohroz\u00ed jeho pozici na Krymu a pod\u00e9l pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e a p\u0159inut\u00ed pon\u00ed\u017een\u00e9ho Putina k m\u00edrov\u00fdm jedn\u00e1n\u00edm. .\u00a0Tato hra selhala a nyn\u00ed neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 sch\u016fdn\u00e1 cesta k rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 definici v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, kterou Zelensky p\u0159ijal.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pod\u00e9l severn\u00ed hranice a za sou\u010dasn\u00fdmi liniemi na v\u00fdchod\u011b ukrajinsk\u00e9 s\u00edly sp\u011b\u0161n\u011b vykop\u00e1vaj\u00ed obrann\u00e9 linie v nad\u011bji, \u017ee oslab\u00ed o\u017eivuj\u00edc\u00ed se ruskou \u00fato\u010dnou s\u00edlu.\u00a0Putin neprojevuje \u017e\u00e1dnou snahu vyjedn\u00e1vat o m\u00edru, ani\u017e by Ukrajina u\u010dinila \u00fazemn\u00ed a politick\u00e9 \u00fastupky, kter\u00e9 by se rovnaly kapitulaci.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale zat\u00edmco Kyjev bojuje, hegemon ji\u017e ztr\u00e1c\u00ed z\u00e1jem o Ukrajinu a je znovu rozptylov\u00e1n sv\u00fdmi desetilet\u00edmi trvaj\u00edc\u00edmi propletenci na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e ameri\u010dt\u00ed vyslanci pros\u00ed Izrael, aby omezil \u00fatoky v Gaze, premi\u00e9r Netanjahu okam\u017eit\u011b sl\u00edbil, \u017ee je zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0Zat\u00edmco ameri\u010dt\u00ed pl\u00e1nova\u010di se ob\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 jejich cenn\u00e9 z\u00e1soby munice, Izrael vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1soby darovan\u00e9 USA alarmuj\u00edc\u00edm tempem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud se Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm nepoda\u0159\u00ed zv\u00fd\u0161it produkci munice a doplnit sv\u00e9 zbrojnice, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee trvat roky, oslabuje ka\u017ed\u00fd gran\u00e1t vyst\u0159elen\u00fd do p\u00e1sma Gazy nebo na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Ukrajinu americk\u00fd odstra\u0161ovac\u00ed potenci\u00e1l.<\/span><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty budou m\u00edt t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 \u010dasy v\u00e9st vysoce intenzivn\u00ed a dlouhotrvaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lky.\u00a0Boj o moc ve Washingtonu nav\u00edc ur\u010d\u00ed nejen osud Ukrajiny, ale i NATO.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sv\u011bt za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nejnebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obdob\u00ed za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed a logika ud\u00e1lost\u00ed na v\u0161ech v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch sc\u00e9n\u00e1ch ukazuje na dal\u0161\u00ed eskalaci v tomto roce.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kdy\u017e se francouzsk\u00e9ho spisovatele Michela Houellebecqa zeptali, jak si p\u0159edstavuje sv\u011bt po roce 2020, trefn\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":44874,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[29,276,26,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44873"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44873"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44873\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44874"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44873"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44873"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44873"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}