{"id":44864,"date":"2024-01-17T00:31:11","date_gmt":"2024-01-16T23:31:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=44864"},"modified":"2024-01-16T17:55:21","modified_gmt":"2024-01-16T16:55:21","slug":"fred-reed-zrudy-idioti-a-rozmaniti-retardi-pripravuji-ve-washingtonu-dalsi-katastrofickou-valku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/01\/17\/fred-reed-zrudy-idioti-a-rozmaniti-retardi-pripravuji-ve-washingtonu-dalsi-katastrofickou-valku\/","title":{"rendered":"Fred Reed: Zr\u016fdy, idioti a rozmanit\u00ed retardi p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed ve Washingtonu dal\u0161\u00ed katastrofickou v\u00e1lku"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Od vojensk\u00fdch negramotn\u00fdch v Kongresu a politick\u00fdch gener\u00e1l\u016f z p\u011btistrann\u00e9ho aerodynamick\u00e9ho tunelu na Potomacu sly\u0161\u00edme zvuky o bl\u00ed\u017e\u00edc\u00ed se v\u00e1lce s \u010c\u00ednou.\u00a0M\u00e1 se za to, \u017ee tato v\u00e1lka bude p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed v\u00e1lkou, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 zved\u00e1n\u00ed budou prov\u00e1d\u011bt skupiny americk\u00fdch letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed.\u00a0St\u00e1le se v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee letadlov\u00e9 lod\u011b \u010c\u00ed\u0148any vyd\u011bs\u00ed.\u00a0Je lep\u0161\u00ed o tom p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trocha historie:<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Z\u00a0<\/span>Wikipedie:<\/span><\/em>\u00a0V roce 1967 m\u011bla porucha na palub\u011b nosi\u010de USS Forrestal za n\u00e1sledek ne\u00famysln\u00e9 odp\u00e1len\u00ed st\u0159ely Zuni z F4B Phantom, kter\u00e1 zas\u00e1hla vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1dr\u017e A-4 Skyhawk.\u00a0Palivo se roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ilo po letov\u00e9 palub\u011b, vzn\u00edtilo a zp\u016fsobilo \u0159et\u011bzovou reakci v\u00fdbuch\u016f, kter\u00e9 zabily 134 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edk\u016f a 161 zranily.\u00a0V t\u00e9 dob\u011b se Forrestal zapojil do bojov\u00fdch operac\u00ed v Tonkinsk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu b\u011bhem v\u00e1lky ve Vietnamu.\u00a0Lo\u010f p\u0159e\u017eila, ale \u0161koda dos\u00e1hla v\u00edce ne\u017e 72 milion\u016f $, bez letadla.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zuni je mal\u00e1 127mm st\u0159ela vzduch-zem\u011b, kter\u00e1 dok\u00e1\u017ee ni\u010dit v\u011bci jako n\u00e1kla\u010f\u00e1k.\u00a0Tato mal\u00e1 zbra\u0148 sama o sob\u011b zp\u016fsobila po\u0161kozen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 vy\u0159adilo letadlovou lo\u010f z provozu v oprav\u00e1rensk\u00e9m doku na v\u00edce ne\u017e rok.\u00a0Hlavice je zhruba velk\u00e1 jako v\u00fdbu\u0161nina ze sebevra\u017eedn\u00fdch dron\u016f, jak\u00e9 se pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Nic v\u00edc nebylo pot\u0159eba.<\/span><\/p>\n

Washington, kter\u00fd chce rozpoutat v\u00e1lku s \u010c\u00ednou, kter\u00e1 m\u00e1 obrovsk\u00e9 mno\u017estv\u00ed protilodn\u00edch st\u0159el, z nich\u017e mnoh\u00e9 jsou hypersonick\u00e9, by se m\u011bl zamyslet.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dalo by se \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee katastrofa na Forrestalu byla podivn\u00e1 nehoda.\u00a0To bylo taky.\u00a0Tato \u201eporucha\u201c znamen\u00e1, \u017ee obvody byly \u0161patn\u011b navr\u017eeny, \u0161patn\u011b udr\u017eov\u00e1ny nebo \u0161patn\u011b provozov\u00e1ny.\u00a0Pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b se to nebude opakovat.\u00a0T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ka\u017ed\u00e1 st\u0159ela z rakety nebo d\u011bla v\u0161ak m\u016f\u017ee protrhnout palivov\u00e9 n\u00e1dr\u017ee letadla.\u00a0Letadlov\u00e1 lo\u010f je velk\u00e1 bublina leteck\u00e9ho paliva obklopen\u00e1 vysoce v\u00fdbu\u0161n\u00fdmi v\u011bcmi.\u00a0M\u011bl bys o tom p\u0159em\u00fd\u0161let.<\/span><\/p>\n

Provin\u010dn\u00ed pr\u00e1vn\u00edci v Kongresu, kte\u0159\u00ed cht\u011bj\u00ed v\u00e1lku se zem\u00ed, o kter\u00e9 toho v\u011bd\u00ed jen m\u00e1lo, by si m\u011bli o \u010c\u00edn\u011b v\u0161imnout n\u011bkolika v\u011bc\u00ed.\u00a0Nen\u00ed to primitivn\u00ed zem\u011b s pastevci koz, s nimi\u017e americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da r\u00e1da bojuje.\u00a0Je to obrovsk\u00e1 technologick\u00e1 a pr\u016fmyslov\u00e1 velmoc s masivn\u00edmi finan\u010dn\u00edmi zdroji, vysoce kvalitn\u00edmi univerzitami, velk\u00fdm po\u010dtem vynikaj\u00edc\u00edch in\u017een\u00fdr\u016f a efektivn\u00ed vl\u00e1dou.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna zah\u00e1jila automatizovanou vzorkovac\u00ed misi zp\u011bt z M\u011bs\u00edce a vyslala na Mars kombinovan\u00fd orbiter, lander a rover, co\u017e bylo na prvn\u00ed pokus \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9.\u00a0M\u00e1 vesm\u00edrnou stanici.\u00a0Amerika se zoufale sna\u017e\u00ed zastavit jejich program AI.\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u0161t\u00ed studenti dominuj\u00ed americk\u00fdm \u0161pi\u010dkov\u00fdm technologick\u00fdm univerzit\u00e1m.\u00a0Nen\u00ed to Guatemala.\u00a0V\u016fbec ne.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna po desetilet\u00ed vyv\u00edjela svou arm\u00e1du t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v\u00fdhradn\u011b za jedin\u00fdm \u00fa\u010delem: bojovat s Amerikou u jej\u00edho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed.\u00a0Vyvinula hypersonick\u00e9 protilodn\u00ed st\u0159ely.\u00a0Amerika \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 nem\u00e1.\u00a0Jeho n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo je v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvo Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, pokud jde o po\u010dty, ne-li ton\u00e1\u017e.\u00a0M\u00e1 vynikaj\u00edc\u00ed letectvo.\u00a0Mnoh\u00e9 z velk\u00fdch a \u010detn\u00fdch \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch raket jsou speci\u00e1ln\u011b navr\u017eeny jako zabij\u00e1ci letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed.\u00a0Vojen\u0161t\u00ed nad\u0161enci mohou diskutovat o tom, zda je Chengdu J-20 lep\u0161\u00ed letadlo ne\u017e st\u00e1rnouc\u00ed FA-18 nebo F-35, nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fd citron.\u00a0Nevad\u00ed.\u00a0\u010c\u00ednsk\u00e9 letectvo je na zemi, sto mil od Tchaj-wanu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 maj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 mystickou d\u016fv\u011bru v nad\u0159azenost jejich technologie.\u00a0Co se zd\u00e1, \u017ee nemaj\u00ed, je tato t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 mystick\u00e1 technologie.\u00a0Amerika trp\u00ed samolibost\u00ed a tendenc\u00ed pohl\u00ed\u017eet na zbrojn\u00ed programy jako na zp\u016fsob, jak do zbrojn\u00edho pr\u016fmyslu p\u0159iv\u00e9st pen\u00edze.\u00a0Washington mluv\u00ed o vysl\u00e1n\u00ed F-16 na Ukrajinu, jako by to byl d\u011bsiv\u00fd pt\u00e1k.\u00a0Ne.\u00a0P\u0159esto\u017ee se nejedn\u00e1 o dvouplo\u0161n\u00edk, prvn\u00ed let se uskute\u010dnil v roce 1976.\u00a0Rusk\u00fd SU-57 je nov\u00fd a skute\u010dn\u011b ur\u010den\u00fd pro bojov\u00e9 pou\u017eit\u00ed.\u00a0Kyjev m\u00e1 31 tank\u016f Abrams M1, kter\u00e9 jsou pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za neodolateln\u00e9.\u00a0Pentagon dr\u017e\u00ed tyto Abramy mimo boji\u0161t\u011b, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b proto, \u017ee si v\u0161imli, \u017ee Rusko zni\u010dilo nejlep\u0161\u00ed britsk\u00e9 a n\u011bmeck\u00e9 tanky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Do hry vstupuje nezn\u00e1mo.\u00a0Mohlo by se Rusko postavit na stranu Pekingu a poslat svou flotilu?\u00a0Jako z\u00e1zrakem se mnou rusk\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161t\u00e1b v t\u00e9to v\u011bci nemluvil, ale Kreml by k tomu m\u011bl siln\u00e9 geopolitick\u00e9 d\u016fvody.\u00a0Co pak?\u00a0Kolik v\u00e1lky si Washington skute\u010dn\u011b mysl\u00ed, \u017ee chce?\u00a0Pentagon by mohl poslat strategick\u00e9 bombard\u00e9ry k \u00fatoku na pevninskou \u010c\u00ednu.\u00a0Tuto hru mohou hr\u00e1t dva lid\u00e9.\u00a0Rusko a \u010c\u00edna maj\u00ed ponorky s \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi st\u0159elami, pokud n\u011bkter\u00e9 z nich zas\u00e1hnou Pentagon, bude to docela \u0161ok.\u00a0Co pak?<\/span><\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed nezn\u00e1m\u00e1 vznik\u00e1 proto, \u017ee je\u0161t\u011b nikdo neza\u017eil, kdy\u017e se bitva mezi n\u00e1mo\u0159nictvem zalo\u017een\u00fdm na modelech letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce st\u0159etne se satelitem nav\u00e1d\u011bn\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi a protilodn\u00edmi st\u0159elami a podobn\u011b.\u00a0Americk\u00e1 flotila nevedla \u017e\u00e1dnou v\u00e1lku od roku 1945, letectvo od roku 1973. Nikdo nev\u00ed, co se stane.\u00a0Jak by Washington reagoval, kdyby n\u011bkter\u00e9 nosi\u010de byly nenahraditeln\u011b v plamenech, viz Forrestal, ka\u017ed\u00fd s n\u011bkolika tis\u00edci mrtv\u00fdch?<\/span><\/p>\n

\u010casy se m\u011bn\u00ed a arm\u00e1da \u010dasto ne.\u00a0Nevyu\u017eit\u00e9 s\u00edly uv\u00edzly v zastaral\u00e9 doktr\u00edn\u011b a trp\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdm p\u0159ekvapen\u00edm, kdy\u017e p\u0159ijde v\u00e1lka.\u00a0V rusko-japonsk\u00e9m konfliktu v letech 1904-1905 byla Evropa \u0161okov\u00e1na, kdy\u017e tito legra\u010dn\u00ed mal\u00ed \u017elut\u00ed lid\u00e9 s p\u0159i\u0159\u00edznut\u00fdma o\u010dima zni\u010dili ruskou flotilu.\u00a0B\u011bhem prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky byli arm\u00e1dn\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edci, kte\u0159\u00ed skute\u010dn\u011b v\u011b\u0159ili, \u017ee na kaval\u00e9rii z\u00e1le\u017e\u00ed.\u00a0V\u016fbec nebylo pochopen\u00ed pro \u00fa\u010dinek kulomet\u016f a arm\u00e1dy nem\u011bly tu\u0161en\u00ed, \u017ee konflikt bude letitou vra\u017eednou v\u00e1lkou opot\u0159ebov\u00e1n\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Znovu a znovu se v\u00e1lky nevyv\u00edjej\u00ed podle o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0M\u00e1lokdo tu\u0161il, \u017ee Vietnam bude hr\u00e1t takhle.\u00a0Tito legra\u010dn\u00ed mal\u00ed \u017elut\u00ed lid\u00e9 nem\u011bli ani nadzvukov\u00e1 letadla.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dne\u0161n\u00ed americk\u00e1 flotila je jen vylep\u0161enou verz\u00ed flotily z roku 1945, letadlov\u00fdch lod\u00ed obklopen\u00fdch eskortn\u00edmi lod\u011bmi.\u00a0Ty druh\u00e9 jsou zraniteln\u00e9, \u0161patn\u011b obrn\u011bn\u00e9.\u00a0Bitevn\u00ed lod\u011b druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky m\u011bly 40 cm panc\u00ed\u0159e a byly navr\u017eeny tak, aby utrp\u011bly v\u00edce z\u00e1sah\u016f a pokra\u010dovaly v boji.\u00a0Dne\u0161n\u00ed k\u0159i\u017en\u00edky t\u0159\u00eddy Ticonderoga a torp\u00e9doborce Arleigh Burke maj\u00ed tenk\u00e9 trupy a siln\u011b spol\u00e9haj\u00ed na f\u00e1zovan\u00e9 ant\u00e9ny n\u00e1chyln\u00e9 k ru\u0161en\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

Milovn\u00edci vojensk\u00e9 historie si vzpomenou, co ud\u011blalo p\u00e1r francouzsk\u00fdch raket Exocet vyp\u00e1len\u00fdch z ir\u00e1ck\u00fdch trysk\u00e1\u010d\u016f Mirage s USS Stark, nebo co ud\u011blala raketa s izraelsk\u00fdm Eilatem nebo co ud\u011blal motorov\u00fd \u010dlun p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed v\u00fdbu\u0161niny s USS Cole.\u00a0Zbourali to.\u00a0To nev\u011bst\u00ed nic dobr\u00e9ho pro n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed v\u00e1lku v Asii.\u00a0Viz Wikipedie.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nikdy nepodce\u0148ujte dopad drav\u00e9 je\u0161itnosti v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitostech.\u00a0<\/span>Biden utrp\u011bl pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed kv\u016fli sv\u00e9mu zpackan\u00e9mu sta\u017een\u00ed z Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu.\u00a0Na Ukrajin\u011b hroz\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed pon\u00ed\u017een\u00ed.\u00a0\u201eZtr\u00e1ta \u010c\u00edny\u201c nen\u00ed n\u011bco, co by r\u00e1d m\u011bl na krku.\u00a0Washington je na pokraji ztr\u00e1ty mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed dominance a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ud\u011bl\u00e1 v\u0161e, aby tomu zabr\u00e1nil.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna delendam est.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Krom\u011b toho je arm\u00e1da stavem mysli i pragmatickou organizac\u00ed.\u00a0Kdy\u017e jsem p\u0159edt\u00edm referoval o ozbrojen\u00fdch sil\u00e1ch, \u010dasto se mi jevily jako testosteronem nabit\u00e9 12let\u00e9 d\u011bti zachv\u00e1cen\u00e9 chorobn\u00fdm optimismem.\u00a0D\u016fstojn\u00edci sob\u011b a hlavn\u011b sv\u00fdm pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00fdm \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee je v\u0161e v po\u0159\u00e1dku, \u017ee jsou nejl\u00e9pe vyzbrojeni, nejl\u00e9pe vycvi\u010deni atd., co\u017e nejsou.\u00a0<\/span>Dne\u0161n\u00ed arm\u00e1da, neschopn\u00e1 splnit sv\u00e9 n\u00e1borov\u00e9 c\u00edle, otr\u00e1ven\u00e1 soci\u00e1ln\u00edm in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00edm, neschopn\u00e1 splnit fyzick\u00e9 a du\u0161evn\u00ed standardy, \u0161patn\u011b veden\u00e1 d\u016fstojnick\u00fdm sborem pozitivn\u00ed diskriminace, si ve v\u00e1lce pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nepovede dob\u0159e.\u00a0<\/span><\/strong>Co pak?<\/span><\/p>\n

A samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, pokud v\u00e1lka dopadne \u0161patn\u011b, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se vr\u00e1t\u00ed dom\u016f a nechaj\u00ed Tchaj-wan na pokoji, jen sto mil od pevniny ve v\u00e1lce s \u010c\u00ednou a bez mo\u017enosti \u00faniku, jak se to d\u011bje ve v\u0161ech americk\u00fdch v\u00e1lk\u00e1ch.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Od vojensk\u00fdch negramotn\u00fdch v Kongresu a politick\u00fdch gener\u00e1l\u016f z p\u011btistrann\u00e9ho aerodynamick\u00e9ho tunelu na Potomacu sly\u0161\u00edme…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7325,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[30,29,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44864"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44864"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44864\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44864"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44864"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44864"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}