{"id":4459,"date":"2021-09-01T03:47:42","date_gmt":"2021-09-01T01:47:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=4459"},"modified":"2021-09-01T03:47:42","modified_gmt":"2021-09-01T01:47:42","slug":"varovani-z-moskvy-pouceni-z-padu-kabulu-pro-postsovetskou-eurasii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/09\/01\/varovani-z-moskvy-pouceni-z-padu-kabulu-pro-postsovetskou-eurasii\/","title":{"rendered":"Varov\u00e1n\u00ed z Moskvy. Pou\u010den\u00ed z p\u00e1du K\u00e1bulu pro postsov\u011btskou Eurasii"},"content":{"rendered":"
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P\u00e1d proamerick\u00e9ho re\u017eimu v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu a \u201cevakuace\u201d podobn\u00e1 \u00fat\u011bku slou\u017e\u00ed jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed pro postsov\u011btsk\u00e9 elity. USA skute\u010dn\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed k politice tvrd\u00e9ho geopolitick\u00e9ho pragmatismu a rychle a cynicky se zbavuj\u00ed \u201ckufr\u016f s utr\u017een\u00fdmi dr\u017eadly\u201d. Na tomto pozad\u00ed hroz\u00ed, \u017ee politika \u201cmultivektorismu\u201d a flirtov\u00e1n\u00ed s radik\u00e1ly povede k p\u00e1du politick\u00fdch re\u017eim\u016f v postsov\u011btsk\u00e9 Eurasii. O pou\u010den\u00ed z \u201ck\u00e1bulsk\u00e9ho precedentu\u201d a varov\u00e1n\u00ed Moskvy b\u00fdval\u00fdm sov\u011btsk\u00fdm republik\u00e1m viz profesor Dmitrij Evstafjev z Vysok\u00e9 \u0161koly ekonomick\u00e9.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00fdvoj situace v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu bude je\u0161t\u011b dlouho zdrojem r\u016fzn\u00fdch hodnocen\u00ed, od konspira\u010dn\u00edch teori\u00ed a\u017e po\u00a0moralistick\u00e9 trakt\u00e1ty o\u00a0boji za lidsk\u00e1 pr\u00e1va a\u00a0proti korupci. Zhroucen\u00ed proz\u00e1padn\u00edho, otev\u0159en\u011b loutkov\u00e9ho re\u017eimu v\u0161ak lze jen st\u011b\u017e\u00ed pova\u017eovat za p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed. Ji\u017e od jara 2020 se hovo\u0159ilo o\u00a0tom, \u017ee se k\u00a0moci nevyhnuteln\u011b dostane Taliban* (organizace, kterou Rusko uzn\u00e1v\u00e1 jako teroristickou).<\/p>\n

Politick\u00fd \u0161ok z\u00a0toho, co se stalo, byl v\u0161ak takov\u00fd, \u017ee se ani liber\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00e9dia orientovan\u00e1 na americkou administrativu neodv\u00e1\u017eila podpo\u0159it prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed B\u00edl\u00e9ho domu o\u00a0\u201camerick\u00e9m v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu\u201d. USA nedok\u00e1\u017e\u00ed tradi\u010dn\u00edmi metodami informa\u010dn\u00ed manipulace zakr\u00fdt sv\u016fj \u0161ok a\u00a0politickou skl\u00ed\u010denost. D\u016fvodem je, \u017ee kolaps v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu vynesl na povrch v\u0161echny ty tendence, kter\u00e9 si elity zem\u00ed \u201ckolektivn\u00edho Z\u00e1padu\u201d uv\u011bdomovaly, ale ve\u0159ejn\u011b je nep\u0159izn\u00e1valy a\u00a0po\u00a0Bidenov\u011b n\u00e1stupu je vytla\u010dila hesla o\u00a0obnoven\u00ed \u201catlantick\u00e9 solidarity\u201d.<\/p>\n

Situace v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu viditeln\u011b uk\u00e1zala propastn\u00fd rozd\u00edl mezi slovy a\u00a0\u010diny USA a\u00a0\u201ckolektivn\u00edho Z\u00e1padu\u201d. Tento efekt nelze neutralizovat medi\u00e1ln\u00ed manipulac\u00ed, jak tomu bylo v\u00a0minulosti, v\u010detn\u011b pr\u016fb\u011bhu kriz\u00ed na Ukrajin\u011b a\u00a0v\u00a0B\u011blorusku.<\/p>\n

Jedn\u00edm z\u00a0nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch d\u016fsledk\u016f v\u00fdvoje situace v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu bude v\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b krize informa\u010dn\u011b-manipula\u010dn\u00ed strategie Z\u00e1padu. Zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud se v\u00a0relativn\u011b kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 dob\u011b nepoda\u0159\u00ed obnovit monolitn\u00ed podporu americk\u00e9 administrativy ze strany hlavn\u00edho proudu americk\u00fdch a\u00a0sv\u011btov\u00fdch m\u00e9di\u00ed. Jedn\u00e1 se o\u00a0jeden z\u00a0d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch projev\u016f krize ameriko-centrick\u00e9ho modelu mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f, kter\u00fd m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed vliv na osud \u201ckolektivn\u00edho Z\u00e1padu\u201d v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy monopol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt ji\u017e nen\u00ed geoekonomicky ani geopoliticky mo\u017en\u00fd.<\/p>\n

\u010cty\u0159i pou\u010den\u00ed z\u00a0p\u00e1du K\u00e1bulu<\/strong><\/p>\n

M\u011bli bychom si tak\u00e9 pov\u0161imnout n\u011bkolika st\u0159edn\u011bdob\u011b v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch aspekt\u016f situace v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd vliv na situaci v\u00a0postsov\u011btsk\u00e9 Eurasii.<\/p>\n

1. USA skute\u010dn\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed k\u00a0politice tuh\u00e9ho geopolitick\u00e9ho pragmatismu a\u00a0rychle a\u00a0cynicky se zbavuj\u00ed \u201ckufr\u016f s\u00a0utr\u017een\u00fdmi dr\u017eadly\u201d*).<\/strong><\/p>\n

To odr\u00e1\u017e\u00ed zdrav\u00e9 ch\u00e1p\u00e1n\u00ed omezen\u00fdch zdroj\u016f. Nejde ani tak o\u00a0neochotu Washingtonu podporovat navenek p\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e9 re\u017eimy v\u00a0krizov\u00e9 situaci. Takov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup byl u\u00a0nich doned\u00e1vna v\u017edy. Nyn\u00ed v\u0161ak USA nejsou schopny dlouhodob\u011b podporovat re\u017eimy, a\u00a0to ani v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b slibn\u00fdch projekt\u016f.<\/p>\n

Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 klasick\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem zem\u011b, jej\u00ed\u017e vztahy s\u00a0USA byly v\u00a0posledn\u00edch letech zalo\u017eeny na vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed \u201cperspektiv\u201d: v\u00a0oblasti logistiky, \u0159ady d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdch zdroj\u016f a\u00a0jako sou\u010d\u00e1st \u201cbezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho p\u00e1sma\u201d pro d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 spojence. To vedlo k\u00a0obt\u00ed\u017e\u00edm p\u0159i\u00a0rozhodov\u00e1n\u00ed o\u00a0ukon\u010den\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti, kter\u00e9 USA dok\u00e1zaly p\u0159ekonat a\u017e po\u00a0kritick\u00e9 zm\u011bn\u011b geopolitick\u00e9 situace.<\/p>\n

Od t\u00e9to chv\u00edle bude proces pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b mnohem snaz\u0161\u00ed. Dal\u0161\u00edmi kandid\u00e1ty na ztr\u00e1tu podpory USA jsou bezpochyby Ir\u00e1k a\u00a0Jord\u00e1nsko, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b n\u011bkter\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v\u00a0jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii. V\u00a0postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostoru jsou st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 funguj\u00ed podle stejn\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho sch\u00e9matu \u2013 prodeje \u201crozvojov\u00fdch perspektiv\u201d \u2013 Ukrajina, Gruzie<\/p>\n

a Kazachst\u00e1n. P\u0159ipome\u0148me, \u017ee to byla \u201cgeoekonomie slib\u016f\u201d, v\u010detn\u011b z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed podpory pro USA proti vzestupu \u010c\u00edny a\u00a0Ruska, kter\u00e1 podpo\u0159ila \u201cmultivektorismus\u201d pro v\u011bt\u0161inu Eurasie.<\/p>\n

2. Sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 \u201cchaotizace\u201d zem\u00ed a\u00a0region\u016f s\u00a0c\u00edlem zt\u00ed\u017eit konkurent\u016fm USA p\u0159\u00edstup do kritick\u00fdch prostor je nejen re\u00e1ln\u00fd, ale i\u00a0docela dob\u0159e provediteln\u00fd.<\/strong><\/p>\n

V Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu se zat\u00edm pln\u011b neosv\u011bd\u010dil kv\u016fli \u0159ad\u011b taktick\u00fdch chyb, k\u00a0nim\u017e do\u0161lo na m\u00edst\u011b. M\u011bli bychom si v\u0161ak v\u0161imnout po\u017eadavku Washingtonu na p\u0159esun z\u00e1stupc\u016f bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch agentur a\u00a0vl\u00e1dn\u00edch org\u00e1n\u016f podporuj\u00edc\u00edch Ameri\u010dany do st\u0159edoasijsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed, co\u017e se rovn\u00e1 \u201cimportu\u201d pohrani\u010dn\u00ed nestability (podobn\u011b jako tomu bylo v\u00a0po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edch f\u00e1z\u00edch arabsko-izraelsk\u00e9ho konfliktu v\u00a0letech 1949-1967). I\u00a0nyn\u00ed v\u0161ak z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 potenci\u00e1l \u201c\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9ho chaosu\u201d proti rusk\u00fdm a\u00a0\u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm z\u00e1jm\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Vnitroamerick\u00e9 politick\u00e9 d\u016fsledky sta\u017een\u00ed z\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu byly z\u00e1va\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dalo, ale p\u0159esto jsou zvl\u00e1dnuteln\u00e9. Nic nenasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee by se USA v\u00a0dohledn\u00e9 dob\u011b nemohly vr\u00e1tit ke strategii \u201cchaotizace prostoru\u201d prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu. Hlavn\u00ed je v\u0161ak pokusit se zopakovat \u201cafgh\u00e1nsk\u00fd gambit\u201d s\u00a0korekcemi v\u00a0jin\u00fdch regionech, jako je Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod nebo dokonce Latinsk\u00e1 Amerika, nemluv\u011b o\u00a0Eurasii, kter\u00e1 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pro USA nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a\u00a0zat\u00edm nejbezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm \u201cboji\u0161t\u011bm\u201d proti rostouc\u00edmu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9mu a\u00a0v\u00a0men\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e i\u00a0rusk\u00e9mu vlivu.<\/p>\n

3. EU, na jej\u00ed\u017e podporu se mnoz\u00ed v\u00a0postsov\u011btsk\u00e9m prostoru spol\u00e9haj\u00ed, ji\u017e nelze pova\u017eovat za d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho hr\u00e1\u010de v\u00a0glob\u00e1ln\u00edch a\u00a0region\u00e1ln\u00edch geopolitick\u00fdch procesech.<\/strong><\/p>\n

EU si udr\u017euje v\u00fdznamn\u00fd vliv pouze v\u00a0bezprost\u0159edn\u00ed bl\u00edzkosti sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed (nap\u0159\u00edklad ve St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed). To plat\u00ed nejen pro pou\u017eit\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 s\u00edly ve v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9m m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku (slabost silov\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed EU byla pochopena ji\u017e d\u00e1vno, nav\u00edc p\u0159ekvapila vojensk\u00e1 slabost Francie), ale i\u00a0na politick\u00e9 \u00farovni.<\/p>\n

Skute\u010dn\u00e1 politick\u00e1 role EU v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu byla v\u00a0posledn\u00edm p\u016fldruh\u00e9m roce nulov\u00e1. Mimo medi\u00e1ln\u00ed \u201cagendu\u201d byla EU zcela bezmocn\u00e1, nicm\u00e9n\u011b \u00fa\u010dast na informa\u010dn\u00edch procesech, zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00e9 f\u00e1zi \u201cevakuace\u201d, se omezila pouze na snahu vytvo\u0159it informa\u010dn\u00ed konsensus o\u00a0omezen\u00ed migrace. To plat\u00ed jak pro n\u00e1rodn\u00ed vl\u00e1dy \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f EU, tak pro celoevropsk\u00e9 struktury.<\/p>\n

4. USA ani dal\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i nejsou p\u0159ipraveni pod\u00edlet se na socioekonomick\u00e9m rozvoji, nato\u017e na soci\u00e1ln\u00ed modernizaci sp\u0159\u00e1telen\u00fdch re\u017eim\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tento z\u00e1v\u011br lze vyvodit ji\u017e z\u00a0posledn\u00edch p\u011bti let p\u0159\u00edtomnosti z\u00e1padn\u00ed koalice v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu. Rozpad vl\u00e1dn\u00edch struktur b\u011bhem odchodu z\u00e1padn\u00ed koalice v\u0161ak uk\u00e1zal rozsah jejich imita\u010dn\u00edch aktivit p\u0159i\u00a0pokusech o\u00a0soci\u00e1ln\u00ed konstrukci a\u00a0formov\u00e1n\u00ed syst\u00e9m\u016f st\u00e1tn\u00ed moci.<\/p>\n

Poprv\u00e9 v\u00a0pov\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 historii se USA nepoda\u0159ilo zanechat sp\u0159\u00e1telen\u00fd re\u017eim se schopn\u00fdmi a\u00a0relativn\u011b loaj\u00e1ln\u00edmi mocensk\u00fdmi strukturami. Dokonce i\u00a0ve Vietnamu z\u016fstala m\u00edstn\u00ed arm\u00e1da, policie a\u00a0zpravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby funk\u010dn\u00ed je\u0161t\u011b t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dva roky po\u00a0americk\u00e9m sta\u017een\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b, \u017ee \u201cdekorativn\u00ed modernizace\u201d d\u0159\u00edve vyhovovala naprost\u00e9 v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b postsov\u011btsk\u00fdch elit, zejm\u00e9na pokud m\u011bly p\u0159\u00edstup k\u00a0finan\u010dn\u00edm zdroj\u016fm, kter\u00e9 na ni byly vy\u010dlen\u011bny. Dnes v\u0161ak ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b postsov\u011btsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed roste odcizen\u00ed mezi elitami a\u00a0spole\u010dnost\u00ed. Do vznikl\u00fdch \u201cmezer\u201d se aktivn\u011b za\u010dle\u0148uje soci\u00e1ln\u011b-politick\u00e1 archai\u010dnost, kter\u00e1 odv\u00e1d\u00ed nespokojenost spole\u010dnosti od elit. Situace v\u00a0Kazachst\u00e1nu je toho klasick\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem. K\u00e1bulsk\u00fd precedens v\u0161ak ukazuje, jak rychle m\u016f\u017ee relativn\u011b bezpe\u010dn\u00e9 odcizen\u00ed zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00e9 soci\u00e1ln\u00edm man\u00e9vrov\u00e1n\u00edm p\u0159er\u016fst v\u00a0pro elitu nebezpe\u010dn\u00fd politick\u00fd kolaps.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 logika a\u00a0varov\u00e1n\u00ed pro postsov\u011btsk\u00e9 elity<\/strong><\/p>\n

Chov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska v\u00a0souvislosti s\u00a0\u201ck\u00e1bulskou kriz\u00ed\u201d je vn\u00edm\u00e1no jako nezasahov\u00e1n\u00ed do konfliktu a\u00a0n\u011bkter\u00fdmi pozorovateli jako \u201chra s\u00a0USA\u201d p\u0159i\u00a0vytv\u00e1\u0159en\u00ed n\u00e1stroje n\u00e1tlaku na \u010c\u00ednu. Jedn\u00e1 se o\u00a0spekulativn\u00ed konstrukci, kter\u00e1 nebere v\u00a0\u00favahu hluboce se m\u011bn\u00edc\u00ed logiku rusk\u00e9ho chov\u00e1n\u00ed tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v\u00a0tv\u00e1\u0159 geopolitick\u00e9 nejistot\u011b.<\/p>\n

Vn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u201cneutralita\u201d Ruska, kter\u00e9 je neform\u00e1ln\u011b naklon\u011bno Talib\u00e1nu**), nazna\u010duje snahu zachovat si v\u016f\u010di nov\u00fdm afgh\u00e1nsk\u00fdm org\u00e1n\u016fm co nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed volnost. Rusko by se nem\u011blo podruh\u00e9 chytit do \u201cpasti roku 2001\u201d, kter\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u011b omezila jeho man\u00e9vrovac\u00ed prostor na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m a\u00a0St\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00fdchod\u011b. V\u010detn\u011b mo\u017enosti zapojen\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00fdch n\u00e1bo\u017eensko-politick\u00fdch skupin, jejich\u017e novou vlnu lze nyn\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1vat.<\/p>\n

Boj o\u00a0vedouc\u00ed postaven\u00ed v\u00a0r\u00e1mci koalice T\u00e1lib\u00e1nu bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b pokra\u010dovat a\u00a0zesilovat, co\u017e Rusku \u2013 jako \u201cneutr\u00e1ln\u00edmu politick\u00e9mu zprost\u0159edkovateli\u201d \u2013 poskytne dal\u0161\u00ed vlivov\u00e9 p\u00e1ky.<\/p>\n

Opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 Rusko p\u0159ijalo k\u00a0pos\u00edlen\u00ed hranic s\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nem spole\u010dn\u011b se st\u00e1ty ODKB***), jsou neodd\u011bliteln\u00e1 od \u0159ady ve\u0159ejn\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed rusk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f z\u00a0l\u00e9ta 2021. Spole\u010dn\u011b je t\u0159eba je vn\u00edmat jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed postsov\u011btsk\u00fdm elit\u00e1m p\u0159ed nebezpe\u010d\u00edm pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed politiky \u201cmultivektorismu\u201d a\u00a0koketov\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0radik\u00e1ln\u00edmi kruhy uvnit\u0159 i\u00a0vn\u011b jejich zem\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Pozornost bychom m\u011bli v\u011bnovat tak\u00e9 sond\u00e1\u017en\u00edm hodnocen\u00edm, kter\u00e1 se objevila v\u00a0procesu stahov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed koalice z\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu a\u00a0kter\u00e1 hovo\u0159\u00ed o\u00a0nutnosti z\u00e1sadn\u00ed restrukturalizace cel\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu v\u00a0postsov\u011btsk\u00e9 Eurasii a\u00a0o\u00a0nemo\u017enosti zajistit ji v\u00a0nov\u00fdch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch v\u00a0r\u00e1mci st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch form\u00e1ln\u00edch mo\u017enost\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Moskva si jasn\u011b uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee vytvo\u0159en\u00ed kvalitativn\u011b nov\u00e9ho bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edho prostoru v\u00a0Eurasii je mo\u017en\u00e9 pouze tehdy, pokud elity hlavn\u00edch postsov\u011btsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f zreviduj\u00ed nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postul\u00e1ty sv\u00e9 nejen zahrani\u010dn\u00ed, ale i\u00a0vnit\u0159n\u00ed politiky, na co\u017e nejsou p\u0159ipraveny. Bez toho je v\u0161ak zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti na \u201cvzd\u00e1len\u00fdch hranic\u00edch\u201d opera\u010dn\u011b nemo\u017en\u00e9 a\u00a0politicky nepraktick\u00e9.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Za t\u011bchto podm\u00ednek Moskva logicky pozastavila vztahy s\u00a0postsov\u011btsk\u00fdmi zem\u011bmi a\u00a0vytvo\u0159ila z\u00e1kladn\u00ed podm\u00ednky pro to, aby jejich elity dozr\u00e1ly k\u00a0pochopen\u00ed nevyhnutelnosti zm\u011bny politiky. Ani\u017e by do toho investovala v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 organiza\u010dn\u00ed a\u00a0finan\u010dn\u00ed prost\u0159edky. Nastal \u010das pro operativn\u00ed pauzu a\u00a0strategickou reflexi, kdy \u201cm\u00ed\u010d je na stran\u011b\u201d postsov\u011btsk\u00fdch elit, aby prok\u00e1zaly, \u017ee neztratily pud politick\u00e9 sebez\u00e1chovy.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Dmitrij Evstafjev<\/strong><\/em>
\n\u00a0Eurasia.expert<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

(p\u0159eklad St. Hroch)<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

*) Dmitri Evstafiev \u2013 profesor Vysok\u00e9 \u0161koly ekonomick\u00e9 v\u00a0Moskv\u011b<\/em><\/p>\n

**) V\u00a0Rusku frekventovan\u00fd n\u00e1zev pro v\u011bci, kter\u00fdch je l\u00edto se zbavit, ale vl\u00e1\u010det je s\u00a0sebou nelze.<\/em><\/p>\n

***) ODKB \u2013 Organizace dohody o\u00a0kolektivn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti. \u010cleny jsou: Arm\u00e9nie, B\u011bloruskol, Kazachst\u00e1n, Kyrg\u00edzie, Rusko a\u00a0T\u00e1d\u017eikist\u00e1n.<\/em><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

P\u00e1d proamerick\u00e9ho re\u017eimu v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu a \u201cevakuace\u201d podobn\u00e1 \u00fat\u011bku slou\u017e\u00ed jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed pro postsov\u011btsk\u00e9 elity….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":791,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[108,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4459"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4459"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4459\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/791"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4459"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4459"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4459"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}