{"id":43951,"date":"2024-01-05T00:38:46","date_gmt":"2024-01-04T23:38:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=43951"},"modified":"2024-01-04T14:19:52","modified_gmt":"2024-01-04T13:19:52","slug":"pryc-od-reality-selhani-klimatickych-modelu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2024\/01\/05\/pryc-od-reality-selhani-klimatickych-modelu\/","title":{"rendered":"Pry\u010d od reality: Selh\u00e1n\u00ed klimatick\u00fdch model\u016f"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><strong><span>Varov\u00e1n\u00ed o \u00fadajn\u00e9m \u201ep\u0159eh\u0159\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c na\u0161\u00ed planety vych\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm z r\u016fzn\u00fdch klimatick\u00fdch model\u016f.\u00a0Ty ale maj\u00ed se skute\u010dn\u00fdmi m\u011b\u0159en\u00edmi pram\u00e1lo spole\u010dn\u00e9ho.\u00a0A skute\u010dn\u00e1 m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed teploty jsou \u010dasto zkreslen\u00e1 \u2013 nap\u0159\u00edklad kv\u016fli \u201eefektu m\u011bstsk\u00e9ho vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bkdy p\u0159i zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed ur\u010dit\u00fdch t\u00e9mat naraz\u00edte na zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy a grafiky.\u00a0Marlo Lewis publikoval dv\u011b takov\u00e9 velmi zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 grafiky na\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.globalwarming.org\/2019\/03\/12\/posting-two-john-christy-charts-illustrating-models-vs-observations\/\"><span>globalwarming.org<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0.\u00a0Prvn\u00ed obr\u00e1zek ukazuje srovn\u00e1n\u00ed mezi t\u0159emi skute\u010dn\u00fdmi m\u011b\u0159en\u00edmi s medi\u00e1nem 32 klimatick\u00fdch model\u016f AR5.\u00a0V\u00fdsledek je dob\u0159e viditeln\u00fd: modelov\u00e9 v\u00fdpo\u010dty v\u00fdrazn\u011b nadhodnocuj\u00ed v\u00fdvoj teplot v doln\u00ed troposf\u00e9\u0159e.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-111541 lazyloaded aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-global-lower-troposphere-figure-1.png\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1374px) 100vw, 1374px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-global-lower-troposphere-figure-1.png 1374w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-global-lower-troposphere-figure-1-768x537.png 768w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-global-lower-troposphere-figure-1-600x419.png 600w\" alt=\"\" width=\"826\" height=\"577\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-global-lower-troposphere-figure-1.png 1374w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-global-lower-troposphere-figure-1-768x537.png 768w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-global-lower-troposphere-figure-1-600x419.png 600w\" data-src=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-global-lower-troposphere-figure-1.png\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span>Druh\u00e1 grafika ukazuje v\u0161ech 32 v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f modelu krom\u011b st\u0159edn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1ry, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e relativn\u011b p\u0159esn\u00e1 z hlediska re\u00e1ln\u00fdch m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed z\u016fstala pouze tenk\u00e1 fialov\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1ra rusk\u00e9ho modelu INM-CM4.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Na z\u00e1klad\u011b pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fdch hodnot model\u016f by oteplen\u00ed za dek\u00e1du bylo 0,44 stupn\u011b Celsia.\u00a0Re\u00e1ln\u00fd pozorovac\u00ed trend ale ukazuje oteplen\u00ed v pr\u016fm\u011bru jen o 0,15 stupn\u011b Celsia ka\u017ed\u00fdch deset let.\u00a0A \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b je to pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zp\u016fsobeno takzvan\u00fdm \u201eefektem m\u011bstsk\u00e9ho vyt\u00e1p\u011bn\u00ed\u201c \u2013 tedy rozvojem tepeln\u00fdch ostrov\u016f v m\u011bstsk\u00fdch oblastech.\u00a0<\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/studie-globale-erwaermung-vor-allem-ein-urbanes-problem\/\"><span>Report24 o tom ji\u017e<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0informoval\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-111542 lazyloaded aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-temperatures-in-tropical-atmosphere-ppt-figure-2.jpg\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1271px) 100vw, 1271px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-temperatures-in-tropical-atmosphere-ppt-figure-2.jpg 1271w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-temperatures-in-tropical-atmosphere-ppt-figure-2-768x575.jpg 768w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-temperatures-in-tropical-atmosphere-ppt-figure-2-600x449.jpg 600w\" alt=\"\" width=\"941\" height=\"705\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-temperatures-in-tropical-atmosphere-ppt-figure-2.jpg 1271w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-temperatures-in-tropical-atmosphere-ppt-figure-2-768x575.jpg 768w, https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-temperatures-in-tropical-atmosphere-ppt-figure-2-600x449.jpg 600w\" data-src=\"https:\/\/report24.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/Christy-modeled-versus-observed-temperatures-in-tropical-atmosphere-ppt-figure-2.jpg\" \/><\/figure>\n<p><span>Ukazuje v\u0161ak tak\u00e9, \u017ee v\u0161echna varov\u00e1n\u00ed Mezivl\u00e1dn\u00edho panelu pro zm\u011bnu klimatu, Organizace spojen\u00fdch n\u00e1rod\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edch globalistick\u00fdch organizac\u00ed o \u00fadajn\u00e9m \u201ep\u0159eh\u0159\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c na\u0161\u00ed planety jsou do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry p\u0159ita\u017een\u00e1 za vlasy.\u00a0Tato varov\u00e1n\u00ed vych\u00e1zej\u00ed prim\u00e1rn\u011b z t\u011bchto modelov\u00fdch v\u00fdpo\u010dt\u016f a nikoli ze skute\u010dn\u00fdch nam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdch hodnot.\u00a0A i kdy\u017e pou\u017eijete skute\u010dn\u00e1 m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed, st\u00e1le mus\u00edte zapo\u010d\u00edtat vliv m\u011bstsk\u00fdch tepeln\u00fdch ostrov\u016f.\u00a0To je jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak z\u00edskat realistick\u00e1 \u010d\u00edsla.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>O to d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je v\u0161ak, aby si lid\u00e9 uv\u011bdomili tento manipulativn\u00ed typ zpr\u00e1v o klimatu.\u00a0Proto\u017ee klimatick\u00e9 fanatiky zaj\u00edmaj\u00ed m\u00e9n\u011b fakta ne\u017e v\u0161e, co podporuje jejich ideologii.\u00a0A pokud pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1te ne\u00fapln\u00e1 data jen k podpo\u0159e sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch teori\u00ed&#8230;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Varov\u00e1n\u00ed o \u00fadajn\u00e9m \u201ep\u0159eh\u0159\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed\u201c na\u0161\u00ed planety vych\u00e1z\u00ed p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm z r\u016fzn\u00fdch klimatick\u00fdch model\u016f.\u00a0Ty ale maj\u00ed se&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":36214,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2692,873,6123,1561],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43951"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43951"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43951\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36214"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43951"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43951"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43951"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}