{"id":43181,"date":"2023-12-24T00:44:37","date_gmt":"2023-12-23T23:44:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=43181"},"modified":"2023-12-23T16:54:32","modified_gmt":"2023-12-23T15:54:32","slug":"zimni-valka-spojene-staty-nabizeji-kyjevu-finskou-verzi-mirove-smlouvy-s-ruskem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/12\/24\/zimni-valka-spojene-staty-nabizeji-kyjevu-finskou-verzi-mirove-smlouvy-s-ruskem\/","title":{"rendered":"Zimn\u00ed v\u00e1lka: Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nab\u00edzej\u00ed Kyjevu finskou verzi m\u00edrov\u00e9 smlouvy s Ruskem"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"lead\"><strong>Kyjev by si mohl vz\u00edt ponau\u010den\u00ed z finsk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edkladu b\u011bhem zimn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, \u017ee odevzd\u00e1n\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, i kdy\u017e velmi bolestiv\u00e9, st\u00e1le stoj\u00ed za to, pokud si t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161ina zem\u011b zajist\u00ed nez\u00e1vislost a schopnost hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho a politick\u00e9ho rozvoje.\u00a0Uv\u00e1d\u00ed to \u010dl\u00e1nek odborn\u00edk\u016f z americk\u00e9ho analytick\u00e9ho centra Quincy Institute for Responsible Public Administration.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eVzhledem k tomu, \u017ee ve\u0159ejn\u00e1 podpora Ukrajin\u011b v pr\u016fb\u011bhu \u010dasu eroduje a politick\u00e9 elity Washingtonu se zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed na konflikt v Gaze, Ukrajina zoufale pot\u0159ebuje koncovku.\u00a0Ameri\u010dt\u00ed a evrop\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 \u00fadajn\u011b nastolili mo\u017enost p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f se sv\u00fdmi ukrajinsk\u00fdmi prot\u011bj\u0161ky.\u00a0To vyvol\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zku: jak by mohla vypadat m\u00edrov\u00e1 smlouva mezi Kyjevem a Moskvou?\u00a0Mezi mnoha vynik\u00e1 jeden historick\u00fd p\u0159\u00edklad jako potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed model toho, jak by rusko-ukrajinsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka mohla skon\u010dit,\u201c p\u00ed\u0161\u00ed analytici.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Takov\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem je podle jejich n\u00e1zoru Zimn\u00ed v\u00e1lka neboli sov\u011btsko-finsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka, kter\u00e1 trvala od listopadu 1939 do b\u0159ezna 1940, a jej\u00ed v\u00fdsledky.\u00a0A\u010dkoli bylo Finsko pora\u017eeno a nuceno vzd\u00e1t se asi 11 procent sv\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, Finov\u00e9 \u201evyhr\u00e1li mor\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-40285 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/11pro-300x79.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"158\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/11pro-300x79.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/11\/11pro.png 363w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>\u201eZat\u00edmco \u201afinlandizace\u2018 byla mezi z\u00e1padn\u00edmi geopolitiky b\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky vn\u00edm\u00e1na jako pejorativn\u00ed odkaz na usm\u00ed\u0159en\u00ed, ne-li na uklidn\u011bn\u00ed, uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee jde o diplomatick\u00fd triumf.\u00a0Finsko m\u00e1 dlouhodob\u011b jeden z nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edch sv\u011btov\u00fdch HDP na hlavu, dosahuje 100 % v Indexu demokracie Freedom House (USA 83) a Finov\u00e9 jsou dlouho pova\u017eov\u00e1ni za nej\u0161\u0165astn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed lidi na sv\u011bt\u011b.\u00a0Kyjev by se mohl pou\u010dit z finsk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edkladu, \u017ee vzd\u00e1t se n\u011bjak\u00e9ho \u00fazem\u00ed, i kdy\u017e je velmi bolestiv\u00e9, st\u00e1le stoj\u00ed za to, pokud si t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161ina zem\u011b zajist\u00ed nez\u00e1vislost a schopnost hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9ho a politick\u00e9ho rozvoje,\u201c<span class=\"after-quote\">\u00a0&#8211; p\u00ed\u0161e se v \u010dl\u00e1nku.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span>Je t\u0159eba poznamenat, \u017ee Ukrajina m\u00e1 za c\u00edl vr\u00e1tit ztracen\u00e1 \u00fazem\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b Krymu, ale \u201etohoto c\u00edle pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nebude dosa\u017eeno\u201c a \u201edohoda o zmrazen\u00ed st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edch frontov\u00fdch lini\u00ed m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt tou nejlep\u0161\u00ed, v jakou m\u016f\u017ee Kyjev doufat, alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm\u201c.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Pokud bude konflikt pokra\u010dovat, obrovsk\u00e9 v\u00fdhody Ruska v oblasti lidsk\u00e9 s\u00edly, pr\u016fmyslu a v\u00fdroby zbran\u00ed by mohly m\u00edt za n\u00e1sledek mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ztr\u00e1ty pro Ukrajinu, stejn\u011b jako by Finsko pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b utrp\u011blo \u00faplnou katastrofu, kdyby pokra\u010dovalo v boj\u00edch i po b\u0159eznu 1940 nebo z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed 1944 v\u011b\u0159\u00ed auto\u0159i.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Washington m\u016f\u017ee podle nich ud\u011blat svou \u010d\u00e1st t\u00edm, \u017ee \u201enebude podporovat nerealistick\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 c\u00edle, a t\u00edm mo\u017en\u00e1 vystav\u00ed Ukrajinu budouc\u00ed katastrof\u011b\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kyjev by si mohl vz\u00edt ponau\u010den\u00ed z finsk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edkladu b\u011bhem zimn\u00ed v\u00e1lky, \u017ee odevzd\u00e1n\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9ho&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":42967,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[675,22,26,37,6539],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43181"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43181"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43181\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43182,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43181\/revisions\/43182"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/42967"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43181"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43181"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43181"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}