{"id":43139,"date":"2023-12-23T03:30:05","date_gmt":"2023-12-23T02:30:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=43139"},"modified":"2023-12-23T03:30:05","modified_gmt":"2023-12-23T02:30:05","slug":"toto-bude-mimo-jakekoli-grafy-ekonom-predpovida-pro-rok-2024-nejvetsi-krach-v-historii","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/12\/23\/toto-bude-mimo-jakekoli-grafy-ekonom-predpovida-pro-rok-2024-nejvetsi-krach-v-historii\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201eToto bude mimo jak\u00e9koli grafy\u201c: Ekonom p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 pro rok 2024 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed krach v historii"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ekonom, kter\u00fd se zam\u011b\u0159uje na anal\u00fdzu spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f, vydal stra\u0161n\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed obrovskou ekonomickou kriz\u00ed v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eOd roku 2009 je to na 100% um\u011bl\u00e9, bezprecedentn\u00ed tla\u010den\u00ed pen\u011bz a obrovsk\u00e9 deficity \u2013 27 bilion\u016f dolar\u016f za 15 let, abych byl p\u0159esn\u00fd.\u00a0Toto bude mimo jak\u00e9koli grafy, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee se nach\u00e1z\u00edme v nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 situaci,\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u0159ekl 19. prosince 2023 pro port\u00e1l Fox Business ekonom Harry Dent.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eMysl\u00edm si, \u017ee rok 2024 bude rokem nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edho ekonomick\u00e9ho krachu, jak\u00fd v \u017eivot\u011b uvid\u00edme.\u00a0Toto bude lekce, kterou bychom si u\u017e nikdy v\u00edc nem\u011bli zopakovat.\u00a0Nemysl\u00edm si, \u017ee je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bkdy v \u017eivot\u011b uvid\u00edme prasknut\u00ed podobn\u00e9 bubliny,\u201c \u0159ekl.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

Podle n\u011bj za\u017eijeme, \u017ee n\u011bkter\u00e9 druhy majetku ztrat\u00ed a\u017e 90 % jejich sou\u010dasn\u00e9 hodnoty.\u00a0Pro firmy z indexu S&P 500 odhaduje propad 86%, pro firmy z indexu NASDAQ a\u017e 92%.\u00a0U nemovitost\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 50% pokles.<\/span><\/p>\n

Jak uv\u00e1d\u00ed Jack Phillips na port\u00e1lu\u00a0<\/span>The Epoch Times<\/span><\/a><\/em>\u00a0, pan Dent, kter\u00fd vlastn\u00ed spole\u010dnost HS Dent Investment Management, \u0159ekl, \u017ee americk\u00e9 trhy se v sou\u010dasnosti nach\u00e1zej\u00ed v bublin\u011b, kter\u00e1 se za\u010dala vytv\u00e1\u0159et koncem roku 2021, tedy uprost\u0159ed pandemie Covidu-19.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eV\u011bci se nevr\u00e1t\u00ed do norm\u00e1lu je\u0161t\u011b p\u00e1r let.\u00a0Mo\u017en\u00e1 u\u017e nikdy neuvid\u00edme sou\u010dasn\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b (akciov\u00fdch index\u016f a cen nemovitost\u00ed).\u00a0A tento p\u00e1d nebude jen klasickou korekc\u00ed,\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u0159ekl.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Bude to na \u00farovni Velk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krize v letech 1929 a\u017e 1932. A ka\u017ed\u00fd, kdo to p\u0159e\u017eije, by nejrad\u011bji zast\u0159elil sv\u00e9ho obchodn\u00edka s cenn\u00fdmi pap\u00edry,“<\/span><\/em>\u00a0\u0159ekl pan Dent a pouk\u00e1zal na krach akciov\u00e9ho trhu v roce 1929, kter\u00fd vedl k Velk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krizi ve 30. letech 20. stolet\u00ed.<\/span><\/p>\n

„Pokud m\u00e1m pravdu \u0159\u00edci, bude to nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed krach na\u0161eho \u017eivota, v\u011bt\u0161ina z toho se stane v roce 2024. Uvid\u00edte, jak to za\u010dne av kv\u011btnu to u\u017e bude jasn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed.“<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

\u201eTak\u017ee, pokud opust\u00edte akciov\u00fd trh na 6 a\u017e 12 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f a j\u00e1 se m\u00fdl\u00edm a ceny akci\u00ed z\u016fstanou na sou\u010dasn\u00fdch \u00farovn\u00edch, tak p\u0159ijdete o trochu zisku.\u00a0Pokud v\u0161ak m\u00e1m pravdu, p\u0159edejdete obrovsk\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m a za rok nebo rok a p\u016fl budete schopni reinvestovat zachr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00e9 pen\u00edze, znovu nakoupit akcie za neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9 ceny a nesrovnateln\u011b zv\u011bt\u0161it sv\u00e9 zisky.\u201c<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

P\u0159edpov\u011bdi pana Denta o krachu akciov\u00e9ho trhu nejsou ni\u010d\u00edm nov\u00fdm.\u00a0V roce 2009 napsal knihu \u201eThe Great Depression Ahead\u201c (Velk\u00e1 krize p\u0159ed n\u00e1mi), kter\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bla v\u00fdznamn\u00fd\u00a0<\/span>krach<\/span><\/a>\u00a0trh\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

V posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika t\u00fddnech mnoz\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed analytici d\u011blaj\u00ed podobn\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi o v\u00fdznamn\u00e9m krachu akciov\u00e9ho trhu v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti.<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u201eNa z\u00e1klad\u011b p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edho tr\u017en\u00edho v\u00fdvoje p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1me v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch 10 a\u017e 12 letech pro firmy z S&P 500 n\u00edzk\u00e9 celkov\u00e9 v\u00fdnosy, kter\u00e9 budou ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s dluhopisy pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b jedny z nejhor\u0161\u00edch v historii a \u017ee na konci cyklu ztrat\u00ed trh \u0159\u00e1dov\u011b 63% sv\u00e9 hodnoty.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

To by bylo v souladu s p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00edmi hodnocen\u00edmi a stoletou histori\u00ed trhu,\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0napsal v \u0159\u00edjnu v pozn\u00e1mce prezident investi\u010dn\u00edho fondu\u00a0<\/span>Hussman Investment Trust<\/span><\/em>\u00a0John Hussman, kter\u00fd p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl krach v roce 2008.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nespr\u00e1vn\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f?<\/span><\/h2>\n

V ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b v\u0161ak investi\u010dn\u00ed banka Goldman Sachs zv\u00fd\u0161ila sv\u016fj c\u00edl pro index S&P 500 pro rok 2024 o 8% na hodnotu 5 100, co\u017e pro americk\u00e9 akcie p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 klesaj\u00edc\u00ed inflaci a klesaj\u00edc\u00ed \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201eP\u0159i pohledu do budoucna by nov\u00fd trend zlep\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edho se r\u016fstu a klesaj\u00edc\u00edch \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb m\u011bl podpo\u0159it akcie se slab\u0161\u00edmi v\u00fdsledky, zejm\u00e9na ty, kter\u00e9 jsou citliv\u00e9 na ekonomick\u00fd r\u016fst,\u201c<\/span><\/em>\u00a0napsala firma koncem minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159edseda americk\u00e9ho Feder\u00e1ln\u00edho rezervn\u00edho syst\u00e9mu (FED) Jerome Powell minul\u00fd t\u00fdden uvedl, \u017ee dosavadn\u00ed zp\u0159\u00eds\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed m\u011bnov\u00e9 politiky (zvy\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb) centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky USA je pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b ukon\u010deno, proto\u017ee inflace kles\u00e1 rychleji, ne\u017e se o\u010dek\u00e1valo, a \u017ee \u201ev \u00favahu p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed diskuse o sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed referen\u010dn\u00edch sazeb\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Toto prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed FEDu pomohlo posunout index S&P 500 bl\u00edzko rekordn\u00edho maxima a zp\u016fsobilo p\u00e1d v\u00fdnos\u016f dluhopis\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n

Strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 Goldman Sachsu o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee FED sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed sazby o 25 bazick\u00fdch bod\u016f (0,25%) na ka\u017ed\u00e9m ze sv\u00fdch p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch zased\u00e1n\u00ed v b\u0159eznu, dubnu a kv\u011btnu 2024, po kter\u00fdch bude n\u00e1sledovat \u010dtvrtletn\u00ed sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed, kter\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed referen\u010dn\u00ed sazby diskontn\u00ed sazby na \u00farove\u0148 v rozp\u011bt\u00ed od 4% do 4,25% do konce roku 2024 ze sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho rozp\u011bt\u00ed 5,25% a\u017e 5,5%.<\/span><\/p>\n

Optimistick\u00fd v\u00fdhled od Goldman Sachsu p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed v dob\u011b, kdy ostatn\u00ed firmy zv\u00fd\u0161ily sv\u00e1 o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ke sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb Feder\u00e1ln\u00edm rezervn\u00edm syst\u00e9mem.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nap\u0159\u00edklad\u00a0<\/span>Bank of America Global Research<\/span><\/em>\u00a0moment\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee FED v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed sazby o 100 bazick\u00fdch bod\u016f (1%), po\u010d\u00ednaje sn\u00ed\u017een\u00edm o 25 bazick\u00fdch bod\u016f (0,25%) v b\u0159eznu 2024 v porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s p\u0159edchoz\u00edm odhadem 75 bazick\u00fdch bod\u016f (0 ,75%).<\/span><\/p>\n

Americk\u00e1 centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banka zv\u00fd\u0161ila sazby ve snaze kompenzovat nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed inflaci za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed.\u00a0\u00dadaje poskytnut\u00e9\u00a0<\/span>Bureau of Labor Statistics<\/span><\/em> (Statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad USA) ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee index spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch cen, kter\u00fd m\u011b\u0159\u00ed inflaci, vzrostl v listopadu 2023 o 0,1% na sez\u00f3nn\u011b upraven\u00e9 b\u00e1zi a meziro\u010dn\u011b vzrostl o 3,1%.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zdroj:\u00a0<\/span>naturalnews.com<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

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 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ekonom, kter\u00fd se zam\u011b\u0159uje na anal\u00fdzu spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f, vydal stra\u0161n\u00e9 varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed obrovskou ekonomickou kriz\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":43140,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2207,1203,371,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43139"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43139"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43139\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43139"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43139"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43139"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}