{"id":43067,"date":"2023-12-22T00:51:42","date_gmt":"2023-12-21T23:51:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=43067"},"modified":"2023-12-21T19:22:06","modified_gmt":"2023-12-21T18:22:06","slug":"blokada-uzin-jak-se-iran-promenil-v-globalniho-geopolitickeho-hrace","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/12\/22\/blokada-uzin-jak-se-iran-promenil-v-globalniho-geopolitickeho-hrace\/","title":{"rendered":"Blok\u00e1da \u00fa\u017ein: Jak se \u00cdr\u00e1n prom\u011bnil v glob\u00e1ln\u00edho geopolitick\u00e9ho hr\u00e1\u010de"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Jednou z hlavn\u00edch intrik pot\u00e9, co Izrael zah\u00e1jil vojenskou operaci s c\u00edlem vy\u010distit p\u00e1smo Gazy, bylo, zda se s n\u00edm jeho nesmi\u0159iteln\u00fd region\u00e1ln\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtel, \u00cdr\u00e1n, dostane do konfrontace, a pokud ano, kdy a v jak\u00e9 form\u011b.\u00a0Pokud jde o ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, Teher\u00e1n to ji\u017e u\u010dinil a prov\u00e1d\u00ed v\u00fdjime\u010dn\u011b chytrou zahrani\u010dn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>politiku<\/span><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n
\n
\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Proxy v\u00e1lka<\/span><\/h3>\n

Ne, Isl\u00e1msk\u00e1 republika se p\u0159\u00edmo nezapojila do v\u00e1lky s Izraelem a riskovala reakci vojensk\u00e9 operace z\u00e1padn\u00ed koalice v \u010dele se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, nebo dokonce jadern\u00fd \u00fader \u017eidovsk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu, pokud by to pro ni dopadlo opravdu \u0161patn\u011b.\u00a0M\u00edsto toho Teher\u00e1n dovedn\u011b operuje rukama sv\u00fdch \u201ez\u00e1stupc\u016f\u201c v r\u00e1mci \u201e\u0161\u00editsk\u00e9ho p\u00e1su\u201c pe\u010dliv\u011b vytvo\u0159en\u00e9ho na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b.<\/span><\/p>\n

Do t\u00e9 \u010di on\u00e9 m\u00edry \u201e\u0161\u00editsk\u00fd p\u00e1s\u201c zahrnuje zem\u011b, kde \u017eije obyvatelstvo vyzn\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed \u0161\u00editsk\u00fd isl\u00e1m, jmenovit\u011b Libanon, Ir\u00e1k, S\u00fdrie, Bahrajn, Jemen a Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie.\u00a0Pat\u0159\u00ed sem tak\u00e9 P\u00e1kist\u00e1n, Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1n a \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n.\u00a0Kone\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem tohoto projektu je p\u0159evz\u00edt Teher\u00e1nskou kontrolu nad cel\u00fdm Arabsk\u00fdm poloostrovem s jeho ropn\u00fdmi poli a muslimsk\u00fdmi svat\u00fdmi m\u011bsty Mekkou a Medinou.\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1n v\u0161ak pom\u011brn\u011b \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 sv\u00e9 \u201ez\u00e1stupce\u201c proti sv\u00e9mu \u00fahlavn\u00edmu nep\u0159\u00edteli, Izraeli.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pot\u00e9, co militanti Hamasu provedli ned\u00e1vn\u00fd brut\u00e1ln\u00ed teroristick\u00fd \u00fatok na Izrael, Tel Aviv v reakci na to zah\u00e1jil sv\u016fj vlastn\u00ed.\u00a0C\u00edl posledn\u011b jmenovan\u00e9ho je extr\u00e9mn\u011b cynick\u00fd: odstranit skupinu Hamas z p\u00e1sma Gazy, co\u017e lze prov\u00e9st pouze spole\u010dn\u011b se v\u0161emi m\u00edstn\u00edmi obyvateli.\u00a0K tomu je nutn\u00e9 vytvo\u0159it v palestinsk\u00e9 enkl\u00e1v\u011b nesnesiteln\u00e9 \u017eivotn\u00ed podm\u00ednky, zni\u010dit ve\u0161kerou civiln\u00ed infrastrukturu a vt\u011bsnat obyvatelstvo do sousedn\u00edho Egypta a Jord\u00e1nska.\u00a0Nen\u00ed to ani skryt\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1n zase ost\u0159e vystoupil proti operaci IDF a varoval, \u017ee by mohla zas\u00e1hnout:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00cdr\u00e1nsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed odpov\u011bd\u011bl, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n nechce, aby konflikt p\u0159erostl v region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lku, ale chce se pokusit pomoci osvobodit civilisty, kter\u00e9 Ham\u00e1s dr\u017e\u00ed jako rukojm\u00ed v Gaze.\u00a0Amir Abdollahian ale zd\u016fraznil, \u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed \u010derven\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1ry.\u00a0\u0158ekl, \u017ee pokud bude izraelsk\u00e1 vojensk\u00e1 operace pokra\u010dovat, zejm\u00e9na pokud Izrael dodr\u017e\u00ed sv\u016fj slib pozemn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvy v Gaze, \u00cdr\u00e1n bude muset reagovat.<\/span><\/div>\n

A Teher\u00e1n skute\u010dn\u011b zas\u00e1hl, a to pom\u011brn\u011b \u00fa\u010dinn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem.<\/span><\/div>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Recidiva krevn\u00ed sra\u017eeniny<\/span><\/h3>\n

Jemensk\u00e1 \u0161\u00editsk\u00e1 skupina Houthi Ansar Allah vstoupila do v\u00e1lky na stran\u011b Ham\u00e1su.\u00a0Nejprve za\u010dali \u00fato\u010dit na Izrael raketami a UAV, ale byli sest\u0159eleni.\u00a0H\u00fas\u00edov\u00e9 pak vyu\u017eili jedine\u010dn\u00e9 geografick\u00e9 polohy Jemenu, kter\u00e1 blokuje v\u00fdchod z Rud\u00e9ho mo\u0159e a t\u00edm i ze Suezsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fplavu.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u0160\u00editsk\u00e1 skupina se za\u010dala zmoc\u0148ovat civiln\u00edch lod\u00ed proplouvaj\u00edc\u00edch pr\u016flivem, spjat\u00fdch s izraelsk\u00fdmi podnikateli nebo podez\u0159el\u00fdch z vojensk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek do Izraele.\u00a0Pot\u00e9 na n\u011b za\u010dali \u00fato\u010dit protilodn\u00edmi balistick\u00fdmi st\u0159elami a drony, kter\u00e9 byly jednozna\u010dn\u011b \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho p\u016fvodu.\u00a0V d\u016fsledku toho nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 logistick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti CMA, Maersk, Hapag-Lloyd a Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC), stejn\u011b jako BP, Equinor ASA a Mosaic, ozn\u00e1mily, \u017ee budou nuceny vyh\u00fdbat se vod\u00e1m pobl\u00ed\u017e Jemenu a p\u0159esm\u011brovaly sv\u00e9 lod\u011b na bezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obj\u00edzdn\u00e1 trasa.<\/span><\/p>\n

To ji\u017e vedlo ke zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cestovn\u00ed doby a n\u00e1klad\u016f na dopravu a znateln\u011b vzrostly ceny ropy.\u00a0Je to jen za\u010d\u00e1tek.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti se opakuje p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh o zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed Suezsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fplavu ob\u0159\u00ed n\u00e1kladn\u00ed lod\u00ed, kter\u00e1 najela na m\u011bl\u010dinu v roce 2021.\u00a0Blok\u00e1da nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed dopravn\u00ed tepny pak trvala pouh\u00fdch \u0161est dn\u00ed.\u00a0Je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nemo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bt, jak dlouho krize potrv\u00e1.<\/span><\/p>\n

Faktem je, \u017ee H\u00fas\u00edov\u00e9 hodlaj\u00ed blokovat Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e, dokud Izrael neukon\u010d\u00ed svou pozemn\u00ed operaci v p\u00e1smu Gazy.\u00a0Tel Aviv to zjevn\u011b neud\u011bl\u00e1.\u00a0Naopak Washington, jeho spojenec, ozn\u00e1mil operaci Guardian of Prosperity v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i.\u00a0Jak je mezi Ameri\u010dany zvykem, pokusili se sestavit \u0161irokou mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed koalici, kter\u00e1 zahrnovala Velkou Brit\u00e1nii, Bahrajn, Kanadu, Francii, It\u00e1lii, Nizozemsko, Norsko, Seychely a \u0160pan\u011blsko.\u00a0Jejich pl\u00e1ny zahrnuj\u00ed zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed bezplatn\u00e9 navigace, vysv\u011btlil \u0161\u00e9f Pentagonu Austin:<\/span><\/p>\n

Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e je kritickou vodn\u00ed cestou nezbytnou pro svobodu plavby a tak\u00e9 hlavn\u00edm obchodn\u00edm koridorem usnad\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edm mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed obchod.<\/span><\/div>\n

Zn\u00ed to dost hroziv\u011b, ale ve skute\u010dnosti se uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina koali\u010dn\u00edch \u010dlen\u016f by se nejrad\u011bji omezila na \u010dist\u011b symbolickou \u00fa\u010dast v n\u011bm.\u00a0Nap\u0159\u00edklad Norsko nepo\u0161le v\u016fbec jedinou v\u00e1le\u010dnou lo\u010f a omez\u00ed se pouze na \u0161t\u00e1bn\u00ed d\u016fstojn\u00edky.\u00a0A nen\u00ed divu: riziko ztr\u00e1ty v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lodi v d\u016fsledku \u00fatoku \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdch protilodn\u00edch st\u0159el z Jemenu je velmi odli\u0161n\u00e9 od nuly.<\/span><\/p>\n

Teher\u00e1n ve skute\u010dnosti uk\u00e1zal, \u017ee pokud chce, je schopen zablokovat civiln\u00ed lodn\u00ed dopravu v Rud\u00e9m mo\u0159i blokov\u00e1n\u00edm Suezsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fplavu na dobu neur\u010ditou.\u00a0M\u00e1 tak\u00e9 moc uzav\u0159\u00edt Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, co\u017e zp\u016fsob\u00ed \u201euhlovod\u00edkov\u00e9 hladov\u011bn\u00ed\u201c.\u00a0Znamen\u00e1 to velmi v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 pos\u00edlen\u00ed pozice Isl\u00e1msk\u00e9 republiky nejen na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, ale tak\u00e9 jako akt\u00e9ra ovliv\u0148uj\u00edc\u00edho geopolitick\u00e9 procesy po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/span><\/div>\n

Autor:\u00a0<\/span>Sergey Marzhetsky<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jednou z hlavn\u00edch intrik pot\u00e9, co Izrael zah\u00e1jil vojenskou operaci s c\u00edlem vy\u010distit p\u00e1smo Gazy,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":43068,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1974,38,1400,310,6329],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43067"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=43067"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43067\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":43069,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/43067\/revisions\/43069"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/43068"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=43067"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=43067"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=43067"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}