{"id":42042,"date":"2023-12-09T00:36:01","date_gmt":"2023-12-08T23:36:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=42042"},"modified":"2023-12-08T16:34:13","modified_gmt":"2023-12-08T15:34:13","slug":"clen-rady-goncarenko-ma-pravdu-nato-nebude-pro-ukrajinu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/12\/09\/clen-rady-goncarenko-ma-pravdu-nato-nebude-pro-ukrajinu\/","title":{"rendered":"\u010clen Rady Gon\u010darenko m\u00e1 pravdu: \u201eNATO nebude\u201c pro Ukrajinu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Jak\u00e1koli neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b povede k tomu, \u017ee Ukrajina z\u016fstane pod k\u0159\u00eddly bloku jako de facto protektor\u00e1t, ale \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd z \u010dlen\u016f nem\u00e1 prost\u0159edky na to, aby riskoval p\u0159\u00edmou v\u00e1lku s Ruskem kv\u016fli t\u00e9to zemi, tedy jej\u00ed form\u00e1ln\u00ed vylou\u010den\u00ed z NATO.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u010clen Rady Alexey Goncharenko si na za\u010d\u00e1tku tohoto t\u00fddne\u00a0v Telegramu posteskl\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee pro Ukrajinu \u201enebude NATO\u201c a dodal, \u017ee USA jsou touto z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed \u00fadajn\u011b tak otr\u00e1ven\u00e9, \u017ee Blinken \u0159ekl sv\u00fdm evropsk\u00fdm prot\u011bj\u0161k\u016fm, aby to p\u0159estali vytahovat.\u00a0V reakci na tento v\u00fdvoj napsal, \u017ee Zelenskyj se nyn\u00ed soust\u0159ed\u00ed pouze na \u010dlenstv\u00ed v EU.\u00a0Jeho dramatick\u00fd post p\u0159i\u0161el ve chv\u00edli, kdy se konflikt\u00a0kone\u010dn\u011b za\u010dal uvol\u0148ovat\u00a0<\/a>soub\u011b\u017en\u011b se\u00a0zhor\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00edm politick\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>mezi Zelensk\u00fdm a jeho rivaly.<\/p>\n

Tvrzen\u00ed Gon\u010darenka by v\u0161ak nem\u011blo b\u00fdt p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9, proto\u017ee\u00a0n\u00e1padn\u00e9 vynech\u00e1n\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>jak\u00fdchkoli z\u00e1vazk\u016f vz\u00e1jemn\u00e9 obrany v n\u00e1vrhu bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch z\u00e1ruk EU pro Ukrajinu minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc nazna\u010dovalo, \u017ee z\u00e1le\u017eitost je neform\u00e1ln\u011b uzav\u0159ena.\u00a0Rozhodnut\u00ed z leto\u0161n\u00edho l\u00e9ta odstranit po\u017eadavek na Ak\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1n \u010dlenstv\u00ed Ukrajiny b\u011bhem summitu NATO nebylo\u00a0ni\u010d\u00edm jin\u00fdm ne\u017e rozpt\u00fdlen\u00edm\u00a0<\/a>, kter\u00e9 m\u011blo odvr\u00e1tit pozornost od rostouc\u00edho uv\u011bdom\u011bn\u00ed si Ameriky, \u017ee\u00a0roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO je v tomto kontextu ve skute\u010dnosti hrozbou\u00a0<\/a>pro jej\u00ed z\u00e1jmy.<\/p>\n

Rusko se \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b ubr\u00e1nilo p\u0159ed\u00a0hybridn\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>v\u00e1lkou\u00a0<\/a>, kterou proti n\u011bmu vede NATO a n\u011bkolik des\u00edtek dal\u0161\u00edch partner\u016f tohoto bloku od \u00fanora 2022, z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti\u00a0tak\u00e9 d\u00edky sv\u00e9 obrovsk\u00e9 v\u00fdhod\u011b v \u201e\u00a0ras\u011b logistiky\u00a0<\/a>\u201c\/\u201e\u00a0opot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lce \u201c\u00a0<\/a>jako jeho\u00a0robustn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 z\u00e1klady\u00a0<\/a>.\u00a0To se spojilo a\u00a0ztroskotalo na letn\u00ed protiofenz\u00edv\u011b\u00a0<\/a>, o kter\u00e9 Washington Post publikoval po\u010d\u00e1tkem tohoto\u00a0t\u00fddne\u00a0dvoud\u00edlnou\u00a0<\/a>pitvu, kter\u00e1 dosp\u011bla k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee cel\u00e1 v\u011bc byla zni\u010dena \u0161patn\u00fdmi v\u00fdpo\u010dty\u00a0.<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Kone\u010dn\u00fdm v\u00fdsledkem je, \u017ee z\u00e1soby Z\u00e1padu jsou vy\u010derp\u00e1ny, cel\u00e1 jeho vojensk\u00e1 strategie byla zdiskreditov\u00e1na, a proto\u00a0ji\u017e nen\u00ed chu\u0165\u00a0<\/a>donekone\u010dna financovat tuto\u00a0z\u00e1stupnou\u00a0<\/a>v\u00e1lku\u00a0<\/a>.\u00a0Naopak se za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed r\u00fdsovat obrysy neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody, zejm\u00e9na s ohledem na vztah Ukrajiny k NATO.\u00a0Z\u016fstane pod k\u0159\u00eddly tohoto bloku jako de facto protektor\u00e1t, ale \u017e\u00e1dn\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 nemaj\u00ed dost prost\u0159edk\u016f, aby riskovali p\u0159\u00edmou v\u00e1lku s Ruskem o tuto zemi, tedy jej\u00ed vylou\u010den\u00ed z NATO.<\/p>\n

Tento v\u00fdsledek bude p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b st\u00e1t Zelensk\u00e9ho je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce politick\u00e9 podpory, ne\u017e ji\u017e za\u010dal ztr\u00e1cet za posledn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc se sv\u00fdm\u00a0dlouholet\u00fdm rivalem Zalu\u017en\u00fdm\u00a0<\/a>pot\u00e9, co jeho nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed parlamentn\u00ed spojenec Arakhamia ned\u00e1vno\u00a0p\u0159iznal\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee form\u00e1ln\u00ed vojensk\u00e1 neutralita byla t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 schv\u00e1lena v b\u0159eznu 2022. Ukrajinsk\u00fd v\u016fdce odstoupil v\u0161ak od pragmatick\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 dohody Ruska pot\u00e9, co byl uji\u0161t\u011bn o podpo\u0159e Z\u00e1padu \u201ejak dlouho bude pot\u0159eba\u201c, pokud bude pokra\u010dovat v boji ve snaze o \u010dlenstv\u00ed sv\u00e9 zem\u011b v NATO.<\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed je zn\u00e1mo, \u017ee byl veden za nos, aby zneu\u017eil Ukrajinu jako jejich z\u00e1stupce hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky k degradaci rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed, i kdy\u017e velk\u00fd strategick\u00fd c\u00edl Z\u00e1padu selhal a uk\u00e1zalo se, \u017ee u\u017e nemaj\u00ed z\u00e1jem vylep\u0161ovat sv\u00e9 implicitn\u00ed dohoda s tou b\u00fdvalou sov\u011btskou republikou.\u00a0Stejn\u011b jako NATO lhalo Rusku, \u017ee se nebude roz\u0161i\u0159ovat na v\u00fdchod, stejn\u011b tak ironicky lhalo Ukrajin\u011b, \u017ee do t\u00e9to zem\u011b skute\u010dn\u011b expanduje, a to v\u0161e proto, aby zmanipulovalo oba n\u00e1rody pro r\u016fzn\u00e9 \u00fa\u010dely.<\/p>\n

Odhaduje se, \u017ee mezi jarem 2022 a nyn\u00ed zem\u0159elo n\u011bkolik set tis\u00edc ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, z nich\u017e mnoz\u00ed byli n\u00e1siln\u011b odvedeni do sv\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil.\u00a0Pokud konflikt zamrzne, ani\u017e by Ukrajina brzy pot\u00e9 ofici\u00e1ln\u011b vstoupila do NATO, pak lze \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee zem\u0159eli doslova pro nic za nic.\u00a0Sta\u010d\u00ed \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee ve\u0159ejnost bude zu\u0159it a ur\u010dit\u011b si vybije sv\u016fj hn\u011bv na Zelensk\u00e9ho, kdykoli se kone\u010dn\u011b rozhodne uspo\u0159\u00e1dat volby, nebo by mohla pln\u011b podpo\u0159it p\u0159esilov\u00e9 hry jednoho z jeho rival\u016f, o kter\u00e9 by se proti n\u011bmu p\u0159edt\u00edm mohli pokusit.<\/p>\n

Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Jak\u00e1koli neofici\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00e1 dohoda pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b povede k tomu, \u017ee Ukrajina z\u016fstane pod k\u0159\u00eddly bloku jako…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":42043,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,39,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42042"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42042"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42042\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42044,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42042\/revisions\/42044"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/42043"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42042"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42042"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}