{"id":4126,"date":"2021-08-17T05:42:09","date_gmt":"2021-08-17T03:42:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=4126"},"modified":"2021-08-17T05:42:09","modified_gmt":"2021-08-17T03:42:09","slug":"pad-saigonu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2021\/08\/17\/pad-saigonu\/","title":{"rendered":"P\u00e1d Saigonu\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a jejich spojenci za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed velkou blam\u00e1\u017e. Kdy\u017e spojeneck\u00e1 vojska napochodovala p\u0159ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dvaceti lety do Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, byl na Z\u00e1pad\u011b m\u00e1lokdo, kdo by s t\u00edm nesouhlasil. Vrahov\u00e9 z 11. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed m\u011bli na sv\u011bdom\u00ed n\u011bkolik tis\u00edc nevinn\u00fdch \u017eivot\u016f po \u00fatoc\u00edch na dvoj\u010data v New Yorku a na Pentagon, museli b\u00fdt potrest\u00e1ni. Je jen ot\u00e1zka, zda vojensk\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edtomnost Ameri\u010dan\u016f a jejich spojenc\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b na\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1dy, m\u011bla trvat tak dlouho.<\/strong><\/div>\n
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J\u00e1 si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee ne. N\u011bkdy p\u0159ed deseti lety byla vhodn\u00e1 chv\u00edle cel\u00e9 toto dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed uzav\u0159\u00edt. Bohu\u017eel, ani u n\u00e1s nebylo s\u00edly, kter\u00e1 by se toho n\u011bjak\u00fdm v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem dom\u00e1hala.<\/p>\n

Na\u0161e mainstreamov\u00e1 m\u00e9dia je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed p\u00e1r m\u011bs\u00edci uji\u0161\u0165ovala \u010deskou ve\u0159ejnost, abych pou\u017eil v\u00fdroku zcela dezorientovan\u00e9ho nadstr\u00e1\u017emistra Flanderky z\u00a0Osud\u016f dobr\u00e9ho voj\u00e1ka \u0160vejka, \u017ee\u2026 \u201eNa\u0161e arm\u00e1dy postupuj\u00ed v\u00edt\u011bzn\u011b vp\u0159ed\u201c.<\/p>\n

Vzpom\u00edn\u00e1m si, jak po vp\u00e1du Sov\u011bt\u016f do Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, hovo\u0159il na konci roku 1979 se sv\u00fdm \u0159editelem podniku RaJ \u00a0v\u00a0Praze 1 a n\u011bjak jsem se neudr\u017eel a tomuto soudruhovi (jen tak mimochodem to byl mu\u017e s\u00a0nev\u0161edn\u00edmi kulturn\u00edmi z\u00e1jmy, jemu\u017e vd\u011b\u010d\u00edme za vznik Violy) jsem sd\u011blil, \u017ee pro Sov\u011bty to bude nov\u00fd Vietnam.<\/p>\n

Soudruh \u0159editel pr\u00e1skl vztekle dve\u0159mi m\u00e9 kancel\u00e1\u0159e, ale \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 n\u00e1sledky jsem pot\u00e9 nepoc\u00edtil. Bohu\u017eel, na m\u00e1 slova po \u010dase do\u0161lo. A Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 se v\u016fbec nepou\u010dili.<\/p>\n

R\u00e1d bych p\u0159ipomn\u011bl v t\u00e9to souvislosti moudr\u00e1 Napoleonova slova: \u201eNa bod\u00e1c\u00edch se dlouho sed\u011bt ned\u00e1\u201c.<\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a jejich spojenci se, bohu\u017eel, op\u00edrali p\u0159i sv\u00e9m afgh\u00e1nsk\u00e9m dobrodru\u017estv\u00ed o ur\u010ditou \u010d\u00e1st politick\u00e9 elity Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu (pokud se to v\u016fbec elitou d\u00e1 nazvat), kter\u00e1 d\u00e1vala p\u0159ednost sv\u00fdm osobn\u00edm z\u00e1jm\u016fm, p\u0159ed z\u00e1jmy sv\u00e9 zem\u011b. A tak v\u00a0pal\u00e1ci jednoho z\u00a0gener\u00e1l\u016f, kter\u00fd podporoval afgh\u00e1nskou vl\u00e1du, Mas\u00fada, se te\u010f na\u0161el nepopsateln\u00fd luxus a bohatstv\u00ed. Zlat\u00e9 st\u011bny, zlat\u00e9 n\u00e1dob\u00ed, pozlacen\u00fd n\u00e1bytek a podobn\u00e9 excesy. Ot\u00e1zka zn\u00ed, jak Mas\u00fad mohl z\u00a0jedn\u00e9 z nejchud\u0161\u00edch zem\u00ed sv\u011bta vyt\u00e1hnout takov\u00e9 bohatstv\u00ed. Je to jednoduch\u00e9. \u010c\u00e1st zahrani\u010dn\u00ed pomoci kon\u010dila prost\u011b v\u00a0kaps\u00e1ch t\u011bch, kdo za pen\u00edze Z\u00e1padu bojovali proti islamist\u016fm z\u00a0Talib\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b Z\u00e1pad na sv\u00e9 stran\u011b m\u011bl jen minimum lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed byli schopni idealisticky pracovat pro rozvoj demokratick\u00e9ho a sekul\u00e1rn\u00edho Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n

Up\u0159\u00edmn\u011b, v\u00fdvojov\u00e9 etapy ve spole\u010dnosti se nedaj\u00ed p\u0159eskakovat. Jak rychle p\u0159ej\u00edt od kmenov\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed zem\u011b k\u00a0demokracii z\u00e1padn\u00edho typu? To je prost\u011b nesmysln\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Na\u0161i vojen\u0161t\u00ed experti, ti r\u016fzn\u00ed \u0160ediv\u00ed a Pavlov\u00e9 i dal\u0161\u00ed, l\u00ed\u010dili situaci po odchodu Ameri\u010dan\u016f a jejich spojenc\u016f z\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, jako sice slo\u017eitou, ale s t\u00edm, \u017ee by vl\u00e1da mohla vydr\u017eet je\u0161t\u011b n\u011bjakou dobu.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padem Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu oktrojovan\u00fd re\u017eim se ov\u0161em zhroutil za p\u00e1r t\u00fddn\u016f jako dome\u010dek z\u00a0karet. Zhroutila se t\u0159istatis\u00edcov\u00e1, arm\u00e1da, kterou po zuby vyzbrojil Z\u00e1pad modern\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi, kter\u00e1 neobst\u00e1la proti po\u010detn\u011b n\u011bkolikr\u00e1t slab\u0161\u00edmu Talib\u00e1nu. Talib\u00e1nu ov\u0161em,\u00a0 na rozd\u00edl od afgh\u00e1nsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, nechyb\u011blo zaujet\u00ed a z\u00a0toho plynouc\u00ed odvaha.<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e jsem v\u010dera \u010detl britsk\u00fd The Observer, kter\u00fd popisuje situaci plasti\u010dt\u011bji ne\u017eli na\u0161e ti\u0161t\u011bn\u00e1 m\u00e9dia, mus\u00edm \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee m\u011b j\u00edmala \u00fazkost. Z\u0159ejm\u011b nen\u00ed p\u0159ehnan\u00e9 to, co se ve v\u011bt\u0161inou seri\u00f3zn\u00edm The Observeru p\u00ed\u0161e o Talib\u00e1nu. \u017de jeho bojovn\u00edci \u2013 ostatn\u011b nejedn\u00e1 se o \u017e\u00e1dnou pravidelnou arm\u00e1du \u2013 postupuj\u00ed nyn\u00ed metodou \u201ec\u00edlen\u00e9ho vra\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed\u201c. Prost\u011b maj\u00ed seznamy sv\u00fdch nep\u0159\u00e1tel a ty hodlaj\u00ed nejsp\u00ed\u0161e v\u00a0kr\u00e1tk\u00e9 dob\u011b zlikvidovat. Jestli to budou tis\u00edce nebo desetitis\u00edce lid\u00ed, je vcelku lhostejn\u00e9, proto\u017ee Talib\u00e1n sv\u00fdm otev\u0159en\u00fdm terorem p\u0159im\u011bje k\u00a0poslu\u0161nosti i \u201ezbytek\u201c\u00a0 spole\u010dnosti. T\u00edm zbytkem ov\u0161em rozum\u00edme v\u011bt\u0161inu afgh\u00e1nsk\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b mluv\u00ed mluv\u010d\u00ed Talib\u00e1nu o \u0161irok\u00e9 amnestii pro sv\u00e9 odp\u016frce. V\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u00fddnech se uvid\u00ed, zda je to pravda. Zda m\u016f\u017eeme islamist\u016fm v\u011b\u0159it.<\/p>\n

V\u00a0provin\u010dn\u00edch hlavn\u00edch m\u011bstech, kter\u00e9 Talib\u00e1n ji\u017e obsadil, ov\u0161em prob\u00edhaj\u00ed restrikce v\u016f\u010di \u017een\u00e1m. A tak ozbrojenci Talib\u00e1nu vstoupili nap\u0159. do bank a \u201epod hlavn\u011bmi zbran\u00ed\u201c (podle The Observer) donutili \u017eeny zam\u011bstnan\u00e9 v\u00a0bank\u00e1ch k\u00a0okam\u017eit\u00e9mu odchodu. V\u00a0Her\u00e1tu, co\u017e je dal\u0161\u00ed provin\u010dn\u00ed hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto, vyhnal Talib\u00e1n v\u0161echny mlad\u00e9 \u017eeny z\u00a0univerzity. P\u0159itom zhruba polovina student\u016f her\u00e1tsk\u00e9 univerzity byly \u017eeny.<\/p>\n

I kdy\u017e bych p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee informace z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed o teroru Talib\u00e1nu jsou pon\u011bkud p\u0159ehnan\u00e9 (ale j\u00e1 si to nemysl\u00edm), \u010dekaj\u00ed Afgh\u00e1nce, kte\u0159\u00ed \u017eili pod kontrolou vl\u00e1dn\u00edch vojsk velik\u00e9 zm\u011bny v\u00a0\u017eivot\u011b.<\/p>\n

P\u0159itom z\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu u\u017e se ned\u00e1 uniknout ani po sou\u0161i, proto\u017ee hrani\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159echody m\u00e1 pod kontrolou Talib\u00e1n a jen obt\u00ed\u017en\u011b letecky. V\u0161echny komer\u010dn\u00ed lety z\u00a0K\u00e1bulu byly zru\u0161eny.<\/p>\n

Zbytek vl\u00e1dy, proto\u017ee prezident i viceprezident uprchli ze zem\u011b, vyjedn\u00e1v\u00e1 s\u00a0Talib\u00e1nem o klidn\u00e9m p\u0159evodu moci. Ostatn\u011b nic jin\u00e9ho nezb\u00fdv\u00e1. Br\u00e1nit \u010dty\u0159milionov\u00fd K\u00e1bul by vyvolalo jen dal\u0161\u00ed ob\u011bti na lidsk\u00fdch \u017eivotech. A zcela zbyte\u010dn\u00e9 ob\u011bti.<\/p>\n

Zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00ed kapitolu tvo\u0159\u00ed spolupracovn\u00edci zahrani\u010dn\u00edch vojsk v\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu. Pokud se Talib\u00e1n rozhodne k\u00a0jejich likvidaci, co\u017e je v\u00edce ne\u017e pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, nikdo tomu nezabr\u00e1n\u00ed. Ka\u017ed\u00fd z\u00e1padn\u00ed st\u00e1t by se proto m\u011bl um\u011bt postarat o tyto lidi a jejich rodiny, kte\u0159\u00ed dnes \u017eij\u00ed ve velk\u00e9m strachu o sv\u00e9 \u017eivoty a o sv\u00e9 d\u011bti.<\/p>\n

V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky se jedn\u00e1 o des\u00edtky osob a jejich rodiny. Nem\u00e1 smysl se stra\u0161it t\u00edm, \u017ee jsou to lid\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed k\u00a0n\u00e1m p\u0159inesou islamistick\u00fd teror a metody Talib\u00e1nu. Jsou to jeho odp\u016frci, kte\u0159\u00ed mohou relativn\u011b dob\u0159e zapadnout do z\u00e1padn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n

Z\u00a0cel\u00e9 operace z\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu jsou ov\u0161em mnoh\u00e1 pou\u010den\u00ed. Ur\u010dit\u011b nesouhlas\u00edm s\u00a0premi\u00e9rem Babi\u0161em, \u017ee odchod spojeneck\u00fdch vojsk z\u00a0Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu byl chybnou. Prost\u011b nem\u00e1 smysl prolongovat \u017eivotnost re\u017eimu, kter\u00fd nen\u00ed \u017eivotaschopn\u00fd.<\/p>\n

Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty by m\u011bly za\u010d\u00edt v\u00edce vn\u00edmat realitu ve sv\u011bt\u011b, jak se vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed. Chce to v\u00a0budoucnu postupovat v\u00edce ve spolupr\u00e1ci s\u00a0velmocemi, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed v\u00a0p\u0159\u00edslu\u0161n\u00e9m regionu sv\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy. A\u0165 je to\u00a0 v\u00a0tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u010c\u00edna, Rusko anebo t\u0159eba Indie.<\/p>\n

Te\u010f se zd\u00e1, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad narazil na meze sv\u00fdch mo\u017enost\u00ed. Prost\u011b za\u010d\u00ednat lok\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky bez rozumn\u00fdch a dosa\u017eiteln\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd smysl. K\u00a0\u010demu je nap\u0159. v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nad Sad\u00e1mem v\u00a0Ir\u00e1ku, kdy\u017e pak v\u00a0Ir\u00e1ku vznikla vl\u00e1dn\u00ed garnitura, kter\u00e1 je sice \u017ealudkem st\u00e1le ve Washingtonu, ale srdcem a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee i hlavou v\u00a0Teher\u00e1nu. Prost\u011b jestli USA cht\u011bly vyva\u017eovat rostouc\u00ed moc a vliv \u00cdr\u00e1nu v regionu, m\u011bly postupovat jin\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem.<\/p>\n

Z nov\u00e9ho\u00a0Saigonu se m\u011bli pou\u010dit i na\u0161i \u201einterventi\u201c, kte\u0159\u00ed tak r\u00e1di bojuj\u00ed (na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161e verb\u00e1ln\u011b) na nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch konc\u00edch sv\u011bta a doporu\u010duj\u00ed jedin\u011b spr\u00e1vn\u00e9 cesty uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed spole\u010dnosti v\u00a0tom kter\u00e9m st\u00e1t\u011b. Kone\u010dn\u011b si p\u0159ipus\u0165me, \u017ee to, co je zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 pro n\u00e1s, tedy pluralitn\u00ed demokracie, prost\u011b ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b rozvojov\u00fdch zem\u00ed Afriky a Asie zrovna velk\u00fd ohlas nem\u00e1. A tyto zem\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed j\u00edt jinou cestou.<\/p>\n

\u0158e\u0161en\u00ed v\u00e1lkou je to nejhor\u0161\u00ed, co m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt. A stejn\u011b scestn\u00e9 jsou i ekonomick\u00e9 sankce, kter\u00e9 Z\u00e1pad tak r\u00e1d uvaluje. D\u00edky t\u011bmto sankc\u00edm trp\u00ed nikoliv elity t\u011bchto zem\u00ed, ale oby\u010dejn\u00ed lid\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Ned\u00e1vno jsem vid\u011bl sn\u00edmky z\u00a0jedn\u00e9 kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 nemocnice. Nepochybuji o schopnostech kub\u00e1nsk\u00fdch l\u00e9ka\u0159\u016f, ale kdy\u017e nemaj\u00ed zdravotnick\u00fd materi\u00e1l, l\u00e9ky a v\u0161e, co je k\u00a0l\u00e9\u010den\u00ed lid\u00ed zapot\u0159eb\u00ed, je utrpen\u00ed obyvatelstva opravdu vysok\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Spol\u00e9hat na to, \u017ee se obyvatelstvo vzbou\u0159\u00ed, aby si dop\u0159\u00e1lo z\u00e1padn\u00ed svobody,\u00a0 je cesta vedouc\u00ed nikam.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 a jejich spojenci za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed dal\u0161\u00ed velkou blam\u00e1\u017e. Kdy\u017e spojeneck\u00e1 vojska napochodovala p\u0159ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dvaceti…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2342,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[118,29,39,37,365],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4126"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4126"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4126\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2342"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4126"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4126"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}