{"id":40831,"date":"2023-11-24T01:04:43","date_gmt":"2023-11-24T00:04:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=40831"},"modified":"2023-11-23T15:12:51","modified_gmt":"2023-11-23T14:12:51","slug":"larry-johnson-nekteri-neoconi-pomalu-chapou-realitu-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/11\/24\/larry-johnson-nekteri-neoconi-pomalu-chapou-realitu-na-ukrajine\/","title":{"rendered":"Larry Johnson: N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed neoconi pomalu ch\u00e1pou realitu na Ukrajin\u011b"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Cenu \u201eNo Shit Analysis\u201c tento t\u00fdden z\u00edskal Eugene B. Rumer za jeho op-ed pro Wall Street Journal,\u00a0Je \u010das ukon\u010dit magick\u00e9 my\u0161len\u00ed o rusk\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017ece<\/a>\u00a0.\u00a0Trvalo mu pouh\u00fdch 22 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, ne\u017e na to p\u0159i\u0161el.\u00a0Mo\u017en\u00e1 se pomalu u\u010d\u00ed, ale dejte mu za pravdu, kone\u010dn\u011b se probudil ze sv\u00e9ho vysn\u011bn\u00e9ho sv\u011bta a za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 ch\u00e1pat, \u017ee projekt Ukrajina v\u00ed\u0159\u00ed na z\u00e1chod\u011b.<\/p>\n

Eugene B. Rumer<\/a>\u00a0je vedouc\u00edm pracovn\u00edkem Institutu n\u00e1rodn\u00edch strategick\u00fdch studi\u00ed Univerzity n\u00e1rodn\u00ed obrany ve Washingtonu DC.\u00a0P\u0159edt\u00edm slou\u017eil na ministerstvu zahrani\u010d\u00ed, ve \u0161t\u00e1bu N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady a ve spole\u010dnosti RAND.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Navzdory sv\u00e9mu p\u016fvodu se sna\u017e\u00ed uznat realitu a st\u00e1le c\u00edt\u00ed pot\u0159ebu sp\u0159\u00e1dat nesmysly.\u00a0Zde je p\u0159\u00edklad:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Putin m\u00e1 d\u016fvod v\u011b\u0159it, \u017ee \u010das je na jeho stran\u011b.\u00a0Na frontov\u00e9 linii nic nenasv\u011bd\u010duje tomu, \u017ee Rusko prohr\u00e1v\u00e1 to, co se stalo opot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lkou.\u00a0Rusk\u00e1 ekonomika byla zasa\u017eena, ale nen\u00ed v trosk\u00e1ch.\u00a0Putinovo dr\u017een\u00ed moci bylo paradoxn\u011b pos\u00edleno po \u010dervnov\u00e9m ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9m povst\u00e1n\u00ed Jevgenije Prigo\u017eina.\u00a0Podpora lidu pro v\u00e1lku z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 pevn\u00e1 a elitn\u00ed podpora Putina se nezlomila.<\/em><\/p>\n

Ano.\u00a0Rusk\u00e1 ekonomika je tak ot\u0159esen\u00e1, \u017ee sm\u011b\u0159uje ke 4% r\u016fstu, jej\u00ed obrann\u00fd pr\u016fmysl nevyr\u00e1b\u00ed Evropu a Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty dohromady, vyr\u00e1b\u00ed nov\u00e9, smrteln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed drony a obchody po cel\u00e9m Rusku jsou pln\u00e9 a\u017e po okraj.\u00a0Pokud je to \u201eotlu\u010den\u00e9\u201c, dejte mi n\u011bjak\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Chud\u00e1k Rumer prost\u011b nem\u016f\u017ee p\u0159iznat, \u017ee Rusko vyhr\u00e1v\u00e1, a proto vol\u00ed trapnou fr\u00e1zi: \u201e\u00a0\u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 n\u00e1znaky, \u017ee Rusko prohr\u00e1v\u00e1.\u00a0<\/em>“ Ani n\u00e1hodou.\u00a0Pr\u00e1v\u011b naopak.\u00a0Mnoho indici\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko v\u00edt\u011bz\u00ed.\u00a0Moskevsk\u00fd syst\u00e9m protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany zma\u0159il mnohon\u00e1sobn\u00e9, bezohledn\u00e9 pokusy Ukrajiny zp\u016fsobit v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 \u0161kody na rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch aktivech a rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da je v procesu roz\u0159ez\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00fdch obr\u00e1nc\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed se sna\u017e\u00ed udr\u017eet na Avdeece.<\/p>\n

Rumer si v tomto odstavci u\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 chv\u00edli jasnosti:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Putin se tak\u00e9 m\u016f\u017ee spokojen\u011b d\u00edvat na sv\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky.\u00a0Jeho investice do kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch vztah\u016f se vyplatily.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna a Indie poskytly rusk\u00e9 ekonomice d\u016fle\u017eitou pojistku t\u00edm, \u017ee zv\u00fd\u0161ily dovoz rusk\u00e9 ropy a dal\u0161\u00edch komodit.\u00a0M\u00edsto toho, aby se Putin tr\u00e1pil ztracen\u00fdmi trhy v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Evrop\u011b nebo neochotou Pekingu opovrhovat sankcemi USA a EU, rozhodl se Putin, \u017ee je kr\u00e1tkodob\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed jednodu\u0161e se st\u00e1t juniorsk\u00fdm partnerem \u010c\u00edny v ekonomick\u00e9 sf\u00e9\u0159e.\u00a0Zbo\u017e\u00ed z \u010c\u00edny tvo\u0159\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 50 % rusk\u00e9ho dovozu a p\u0159edn\u00ed rusk\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti jsou nyn\u00ed z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na prodeji do \u010c\u00edny.<\/em><\/p>\n

Pl\u00e1n Z\u00e1padu svrhnout Putina a rozd\u011blit Rusko je v trosk\u00e1ch.\u00a0A Rumer neochotn\u011b p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Putin nec\u00edt\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd tlak na ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky ani obavy o svou schopnost ji udr\u017eet v\u00edcem\u00e9n\u011b donekone\u010dna.\u00a0Jak se bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed zima, rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da zah\u00e1jila vlastn\u00ed omezenou pozemn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvu a jist\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed raketov\u00e9 a bezpilotn\u00ed \u00fatoky na ukrajinsk\u00e1 m\u011bsta, elektr\u00e1rny, pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 are\u00e1ly a dal\u0161\u00ed kritickou infrastrukturu.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b jako Wylie Coyote, kter\u00fd si olizuje r\u00e1ny po dal\u0161\u00edm ne\u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u00e9m pokusu chytit Road Runnera, Rumer zb\u011bsile listuje svou knihou pl\u00e1n\u016f ACME, kde hled\u00e1 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, jak se vypo\u0159\u00e1dat s t\u00edm podl\u00fdm Putinem.\u00a0Jeho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed?\u00a0Zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed!!<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed je v\u0161ak \u010das p\u0159ej\u00edt na dlouhodobou strategii, kter\u00e1 zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed a udr\u017e\u00ed tlak na zlot\u0159il\u00fd re\u017eim v Kremlu.\u00a0Nem\u011bli bychom si d\u011blat iluze, \u017ee jak\u00e1koli mo\u017en\u00e1 kombinace kr\u00e1tkodob\u00fdch krok\u016f bude dostate\u010dn\u00e1 k tomu, aby p\u0159inutila Putina opustit svou v\u00e1lku.<\/em><\/p>\n

To, co z\u00e1padn\u00ed v\u016fdci o\u010dividn\u011b neud\u011blali, je, \u017ee se s ve\u0159ejnost\u00ed vyrovnali o trval\u00e9 povaze hrozby od povzbudiv\u00e9ho, revizionistick\u00e9ho Ruska.\u00a0A\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 \u010dasto se odd\u00e1vali magick\u00e9mu my\u0161len\u00ed \u2013 s\u00e1zeli na sankce, \u00fasp\u011b\u0161nou ukrajinskou protiofenzivu nebo p\u0159esuny nov\u00fdch typ\u016f zbran\u00ed, aby donutili Kreml p\u0159ij\u00edt k jednac\u00edmu stolu.\u00a0Nebo doufali, \u017ee uvid\u00ed Putina svr\u017een\u00e9ho pal\u00e1cov\u00fdm p\u0159evratem.<\/em><\/p>\n

Chud\u00e1k Eugene.\u00a0Rozhodn\u011b to nen\u00ed origin\u00e1ln\u00ed ani hlubok\u00fd myslitel.\u00a0Doporu\u010duje n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed postup:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Dne\u0161n\u00ed politika omezov\u00e1n\u00ed by znamenala pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch sankc\u00ed, diplomatickou izolaci Ruska, zabr\u00e1n\u011bn\u00ed Kremlu v zasahov\u00e1n\u00ed do na\u0161\u00ed vlastn\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed politiky a pos\u00edlen\u00ed odstra\u0161ovac\u00edch a obrann\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed NATO, v\u010detn\u011b trval\u00fdch americko-evropsk\u00fdch reinvestic do na\u0161\u00ed obrann\u011b-pr\u016fmyslov\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny.\u00a0Znamenalo by to tak\u00e9 zm\u00edrnit v\u0161echny \u0161kody \u2013 diplomatick\u00e9, informa\u010dn\u00ed, vojensk\u00e9 i ekonomick\u00e9 \u2013 zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 Putinovou v\u00e1lkou.<\/em><\/p>\n

Tento \u010dl\u00e1nek je p\u0159\u00edkladem schizofrenie \u010dlenem zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politick\u00e9 t\u0159\u00eddy br\u00e1hman\u016f.\u00a0I kdy\u017e ji\u017e d\u0159\u00edve ve sv\u00e9m \u010dl\u00e1nku p\u0159ipustil, \u017ee Putinova zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika si z\u00edsk\u00e1v\u00e1 mnoho p\u0159\u00e1tel nejen s \u010c\u00ednou, ale i se zem\u011bmi glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu, Rumer st\u00e1le lp\u00ed na fantazii, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad m\u016f\u017ee Rusko \u201eizolovat\u201c.\u00a0P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1m, \u017ee projevuje definici \u0161\u00edlenstv\u00ed \u2013 d\u011bl\u00e1 tot\u00e9\u017e opakovan\u011b a o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1 jin\u00fd v\u00fdsledek.<\/p>\n

Rumer je uk\u00e1zkov\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edkladem kec\u016f, kter\u00e9 infikuj\u00ed guru zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky Washingtonu, kdy\u017e p\u00ed\u0161e:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Putinovo Rusko m\u00e1 jen m\u00e1lo z tvrd\u00e9 s\u00edly nebo ideologick\u00e9 p\u0159ita\u017elivosti, kter\u00e9 u\u010dinily Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz tak vlivn\u00fdm v r\u016fzn\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech sv\u011bta.<\/em><\/p>\n

Co?\u00a0Rusko nasadilo schopn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, vysp\u011blej\u0161\u00ed jadern\u00e9 ponorky, ne\u017e kdy m\u011bl Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz.\u00a0Rusko postavilo dv\u011b hypersonick\u00e9 st\u0159ely, zat\u00edmco Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty se st\u00e1le zm\u00edtaj\u00ed ve snaze jednu vyrobit.\u00a0Rusk\u00e9 syst\u00e9my protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany p\u0159ed\u010d\u00ed v\u0161e, co m\u016f\u017ee Z\u00e1pad nab\u00eddnout.\u00a0Rusko je jedinou velkou pr\u016fmyslovou zem\u00ed, kter\u00e1 je sob\u011bsta\u010dn\u00e1 s energi\u00ed a nerosty vz\u00e1cn\u00fdch zemin.\u00a0A Rusko nyn\u00ed vyr\u00e1b\u00ed sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed flotily komer\u010dn\u00edch leteck\u00fdch linek.\u00a0Ach jo, skoro zapomn\u011bl.\u00a0Rusk\u00fd vesm\u00edrn\u00fd program je lep\u0161\u00ed a robustn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e program Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

R\u00e1d bych vid\u011bl pr\u016fzkum zahrani\u010dn\u00edch hodnost\u00e1\u0159\u016f, kter\u00fd se jich zeptal, kter\u00fdm metrem byste jeli po 22:00 \u2013 newyorsk\u00fdm nebo moskevsk\u00fdm?\u00a0B\u00fdvaly doby, kdy z\u00e1padn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 \u00fasp\u011bchy p\u0159evy\u0161ovaly ty sov\u011btsk\u00e9, ale Rusko nen\u00ed Sov\u011btsk\u00fd svaz.\u00a0Za zm\u00ednku tak\u00e9 stoj\u00ed, \u017ee \u010c\u00ed\u0148an\u00e9 nemuseli \u017e\u00e1dat Putina, aby uklidil lidsk\u00e9 v\u00fdkaly z ulic Moskvy, ne\u017e poslali Si \u0164in-pchinga, aby si sednul k Vladimirovi.\u00a0Ani n\u00e1hodou.\u00a0To bylo San Francisco.<\/p>\n

Rumer a jemu podobn\u00ed jsou st\u00e1le uv\u011bzn\u011bni v Kissingerov\u011b doktr\u00edn\u011b, kter\u00e1 tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak mohou b\u00fdt Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty nejlep\u0161\u00edm psem, je hr\u00e1t proti Rusku proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b.\u00a0Hodn\u011b \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed.\u00a0Tito chl\u00e1pci st\u00e1le odm\u00edtaj\u00ed uznat \u201e\u0158\u00e1d zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech\u201c ovl\u00e1dan\u00fd Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, vytvo\u0159en\u00fd po druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, um\u00edr\u00e1.\u00a0Objevuje se nov\u00e1 geopolitick\u00e1 realita a neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1ruka, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty budou schopny p\u0159edst\u00edrat, \u017ee jsou Kolosem, o kter\u00e9m si mysl\u00ed, \u017ee jsou.<\/p>\n

Politick\u00e1 t\u0159\u00edda Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f je uzav\u0159ena do sebezni\u010duj\u00edc\u00edho klamu, \u017ee Rusko je st\u00e1le komunistick\u00fdm st\u00e1tem usiluj\u00edc\u00edm o ovl\u00e1dnut\u00ed sv\u011bta.\u00a0Ka\u017ed\u00fd politik, kter\u00fd navrhne alternativu, tj. \u017ee je t\u0159eba jednat s Ruskem jako rovn\u00fd s rovn\u00fdm a \u017ee bychom m\u011bli p\u0159estat s Putinem a jeho vl\u00e1dou zach\u00e1zet jako s nep\u0159\u00edtelem, bude okam\u017eit\u011b zatracov\u00e1n jako Putin\u016fv obh\u00e1jce a ostrakizov\u00e1n.\u00a0Zde je tvrd\u00e1 pravda \u2013 politick\u00e1 elita v obou stran\u00e1ch vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 Rusko jako z\u00e1minku k tomu, aby se zapojila do stejn\u00fdch praktik, kter\u00e9 byly z\u00e1kladn\u00edm kamenem sov\u011btsk\u00e9 politiky b\u011bhem studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.\u00a0Jsou to Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, kter\u00e9 zamykaj\u00ed politick\u00e9 disidenty.\u00a0Je to vl\u00e1da Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e1 spolupracuje se spole\u010dnostmi soci\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed na potla\u010den\u00ed nesouhlasu proti vl\u00e1dnouc\u00ed t\u0159\u00edd\u011b.<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed vinou Ruska, \u017ee \u010dern\u00e9 d\u011bti ve \u0161kol\u00e1ch v centru m\u011bsta \u201eabsolvuj\u00ed\u201c st\u0159edn\u00ed \u0161kolu, ani\u017e by um\u011bly \u010d\u00edst nebo d\u011blat algebru.\u00a0Nen\u00ed vinou Ruska, \u017ee je ji\u017en\u00ed hranice Ameriky do\u0161iroka otev\u0159en\u00e1 a je zavalena miliony neleg\u00e1ln\u00edch migrant\u016f.\u00a0Nen\u00ed vinou Ruska, \u017ee mnoh\u00e1 z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch americk\u00fdch m\u011bst jsou zpusto\u0161ena z\u00e1vislost\u00ed na drog\u00e1ch, n\u00e1sil\u00edm a krimin\u00e1ln\u00ed \u010dinnost\u00ed.\u00a0Pod\u00edvejte se do zrcadla Amerika.\u00a0Ukli\u010fte sv\u016fj \u010din.\u00a0Pak mo\u017en\u00e1 budete m\u00edt mor\u00e1ln\u00ed autoritu pou\u010dovat ostatn\u00ed n\u00e1rody o lidsk\u00fdch pr\u00e1vech a svobod\u011b.\u00a0Ale Amerika, jak je nyn\u00ed, je zem\u011b rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00e1 a nevykazuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky n\u00e1pravy.<\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Cenu \u201eNo Shit Analysis\u201c tento t\u00fdden z\u00edskal Eugene B. Rumer za jeho op-ed pro Wall…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":22771,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[2181,2736,22,26,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40831"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40831"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40831\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22771"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40831"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40831"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40831"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}