{"id":40216,"date":"2023-11-15T06:07:56","date_gmt":"2023-11-15T05:07:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=40216"},"modified":"2023-11-15T06:07:56","modified_gmt":"2023-11-15T05:07:56","slug":"osa-zdroju-valka-v-gaze-znamena-katastrofu-pro-energetickou-bezpecnost-evropy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/11\/15\/osa-zdroju-valka-v-gaze-znamena-katastrofu-pro-energetickou-bezpecnost-evropy\/","title":{"rendered":"Osa zdroj\u016f: V\u00e1lka v Gaze znamen\u00e1 katastrofu pro energetickou bezpe\u010dnost Evropy"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"perex\">Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee izraelsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka v Gaze p\u0159eroste v celoregion\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii, kter\u00e1 je od p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00ed rusk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek hlavn\u00edm zdrojem ropy a plynu pro Evropu. Jak\u00fdkoli region\u00e1ln\u00ed po\u017e\u00e1r zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed, zejm\u00e9na pokud konflikt pronikne do vodn\u00edch cest Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.<\/p>\n<p>Po vypuknut\u00ed konfliktu na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 dv\u011bma lety Evropan\u00e9 uvalili na Rusko, kter\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed \u0161est procent sv\u011btov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy a v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch 24 procent sv\u011btov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob plynu, omezen\u00e9 embargo.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"clanek-obsah\">Toto strategick\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed p\u0159inutilo Evropu urychlen\u011b hledat alternativn\u00ed zdroje energie, mimo jin\u00e9 v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii a severn\u00ed Africe, tedy v regionech, kter\u00e9\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.oilfieldtechnology.com\/digital-oilfield\/21122022\/the-latest-developments-in-the-mena-region\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">dohromady obsahuj\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 57 procent sv\u011btov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob ropy a 41 procent prok\u00e1zan\u00fdch sv\u011btov\u00fdch z\u00e1sob plynu.<\/p>\n<p>Nahrazen\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu jin\u00fdm, dra\u017e\u0161\u00edm a logisticky problemati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00edm dovozem plynu p\u0159i\u0161lo Evropany draho. Dnes v\u0161ak mohou b\u00fdt i tyto druhotn\u00e9 zdroje energie v\u00e1\u017en\u011b ohro\u017eeny, pokud se nevyb\u00edrav\u00e9 bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed Palestinc\u016f v Gaze ze strany Izraele bude d\u00e1le stup\u0148ovat a zaplete do n\u011bj dal\u0161\u00ed zem\u011b v energeticky bohat\u00e9m regionu.<\/p>\n<h2>Energie v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii a severn\u00ed Africe<\/h2>\n<p>Z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie a severn\u00ed Afrika jsou ji\u017e dlouho kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdmi hr\u00e1\u010di na sv\u011btov\u00e9 energetick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u011b. Podle \u00fadaj\u016f\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/commentaries\/how-producers-in-the-middle-east-and-north-africa-can-free-up-more-natural-gas-for-exports\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00fdch<\/a>\u00a0Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed energetickou agenturou v roce 2022 se tento region pod\u00edlel zhruba 50 % na celosv\u011btov\u00e9m v\u00fdvozu ropy a 15 % na v\u00fdvozu zemn\u00edho plynu.<\/p>\n<p>Proto kdy\u017e se Evropsk\u00e1 unie rozhodla sn\u00ed\u017eit svou z\u00e1vislost na rusk\u00e9m plynu, pova\u017eovala producenty ze\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/europe-woos-qatar-as-alternative-to-russian-gas-11648649463\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/euobserver.com\/world\/156263\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">severn\u00ed Afriky<\/a>\u00a0za potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed zachr\u00e1nce p\u0159i uspokojov\u00e1n\u00ed energetick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb kontinentu.<\/p>\n<p>V roce 2021 se jako nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdvozci ropy v regionu z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie a severn\u00ed Afriky\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.investopedia.com\/articles\/company-insights\/082316\/worlds-top-10-oil-exporters.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">uk\u00e1zaly<\/a>\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie (14,5 % celosv\u011btov\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu ropy), Ir\u00e1k (7,57 %), Spojen\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 emir\u00e1ty (6,15 %) a Kuvajt (4,21 %). Co se t\u00fd\u010de\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.statista.com\/statistics\/1324515\/middle-east-availability-of-gas-for-export-by-country\/#:~:text=In%202022%2C%20Qatar%20had%20the,for%20export%20in%20that%20year.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">v\u00fdvozu zemn\u00edho plynu<\/a>\u00a0v roce 2022, mezi nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010de pat\u0159ily Katar (136,3 m3\/rok), Al\u017e\u00edrsko (38,4 m3\/rok), \u00cdr\u00e1n (17,7 m3\/rok), Om\u00e1n (11 m3\/rok) a Egypt (8,9 m3\/rok).<\/p>\n<p>Konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b vedl k\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.transportenvironment.org\/discover\/new-oil-map-eu-replaces-russian-oil-barrel-for-barrel-as-continent-fails-to-cut-demand\/#:~:text=Europe's%20oil%20consumption%20is%202,to%20cut%20down%20on%20oil.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">n\u00e1r\u016fstu<\/a>\u00a0spot\u0159eby ropy v Evrop\u011b o 2 % ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se spot\u0159ebou v p\u0159edv\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed. \u00dadaje o dovozu ropy do EU ve druh\u00e9m \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2023 uk\u00e1zaly, \u017ee hlavn\u00edmi v\u00fdvozci ropy do Evropsk\u00e9 unie byly Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, Libye, Ir\u00e1k a Al\u017e\u00edrsko, kter\u00e9 dohromady dod\u00e1valy v\u00edce ne\u017e \u010dtvrtinu pot\u0159eb Unie.<\/p>\n<p>Naopak spot\u0159eba plynu v Evrop\u011b ve stejn\u00e9m obdob\u00ed\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.transportenvironment.org\/discover\/new-oil-map-eu-replaces-russian-oil-barrel-for-barrel-as-continent-fails-to-cut-demand\/#:~:text=Europe's%20oil%20consumption%20is%202,to%20cut%20down%20on%20oil.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">klesla o 15 %<\/a>. Z \u00fadaj\u016f o dovozu plynu do EU ve druh\u00e9m \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed roku 2023 vypl\u00fdv\u00e1, \u017ee hlavn\u00edmi dodavateli plynu do EU, a\u0165 u\u017e v kapaln\u00e9 nebo potrubn\u00ed form\u011b, byly Al\u017e\u00edrsko, Katar, Om\u00e1n, Libye, Turecko a Egypt. Tyto zem\u011b dohromady pokr\u00fdvaly v\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159etinu pot\u0159eb Unie v oblasti plynu.<\/p>\n<h2>Zranitelnost Evropy v\u016f\u010di v\u00e1lce v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii<\/h2>\n<p>Z historick\u00e9ho hlediska m\u00e1 ka\u017ed\u00e9 v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed nebo v\u00e1lka v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii dopad na energetick\u00e9 trhy t\u00edm, \u017ee sni\u017euje region\u00e1ln\u00ed dod\u00e1vky ropy a zvy\u0161uje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ceny energi\u00ed. Nap\u0159\u00edklad v roce 2019, kdy se jemensk\u00e9 s\u00edly veden\u00e9 hnut\u00edm Ansarallah\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.middleeastmonitor.com\/20190920-was-iran-really-behind-the-attack-on-saudi-aramco-facilities\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">zam\u011b\u0159ily<\/a>\u00a0na za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed spole\u010dnosti Aramco v Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bii, se sa\u00fadsk\u00fd v\u00fdvoz ropy propadl o t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 5,7 milionu barel\u016f denn\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Po zah\u00e1jen\u00ed z\u00e1plavov\u00e9ho \u00fatoku palestinsk\u00e9ho hnut\u00ed odporu Al-Aks\u00e1 na Izrael 7. \u0159\u00edjna\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/openknowledge.worldbank.org\/server\/api\/core\/bitstreams\/d458fda1-20b0-4d57-b651-351f8612f559\/content\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">vzrostly<\/a>\u00a0ceny zemn\u00edho plynu v Evrop\u011b o 35 %. Tento prudk\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst byl\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2023\/10\/10\/energy\/israel-gas-field-shutdown-explainer\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">zp\u016fsoben uzav\u0159en\u00edm<\/a>\u00a0plynov\u00e9ho pole u okupovan\u00e9ho palestinsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed z bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f a v\u00fdbuchem plynovodu v Baltsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i. Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno, ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt a v\u00e1lka v Palestin\u011b se st\u0159etly, co\u017e m\u011blo nep\u0159\u00edzniv\u00fd dopad na ceny energi\u00ed v Evrop\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>V n\u00e1vaznosti na povode\u0148 v Al-Aks\u00e1 provedla Sv\u011btov\u00e1 banka\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/openknowledge.worldbank.org\/server\/api\/core\/bitstreams\/d458fda1-20b0-4d57-b651-351f8612f559\/content\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">studii<\/a>\u00a0anal\u00fdzy geopolitick\u00fdch rizik, aby posoudila dopad tohoto palestinsko-izraelsk\u00e9ho konfliktu na sv\u011btov\u00e9 ceny ropy. Studie rozd\u011blila eskalaci nap\u011bt\u00ed do t\u0159\u00ed \u00farovn\u00ed: mal\u00e9, st\u0159edn\u00ed a velk\u00e9.<\/p>\n<p>Ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i \u201emal\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed\u201c podobn\u00e9ho v\u00e1lce v Libyi v roce 2011 Sv\u011btov\u00e1 banka p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00edch dod\u00e1vek ropy o 0,5 a\u017e 2 miliony barel\u016f denn\u011b, co\u017e povede k po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu ceny ropy o 3 a\u017e 13 % \u2013 mezi 93 a 102 dolary za barel.<\/p>\n<p>Ve sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i \u201est\u0159edn\u00edho nap\u011bt\u00ed\u201c, kter\u00fd se podob\u00e1 v\u00e1lce v Ir\u00e1ku v roce 2003, Sv\u011btov\u00e1 banka p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed celosv\u011btov\u00e9 nab\u00eddky ropy o 3 a\u017e 5 milion\u016f barel\u016f denn\u011b, co\u017e vyvol\u00e1 po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1r\u016fst ceny ropy o 21 a\u017e 35 procent, neboli n\u00e1klady v rozmez\u00ed 109 a\u017e 121 dolar\u016f za barel.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1375\" height=\"165\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1375px) 100vw, 1375px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A kone\u010dn\u011b v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e \u201evysok\u00e9ho nap\u011bt\u00ed\u201c, kter\u00fd by p\u0159ipom\u00ednal nap\u0159\u00edklad arabsk\u00e9 ropn\u00e9 embargo z roku 1973, Sv\u011btov\u00e1 banka p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed celosv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy o 6 a\u017e 8 milion\u016f barel\u016f denn\u011b, co\u017e by vedlo k po\u010d\u00e1te\u010dn\u00edmu n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen ropy o 56 a\u017e 75 procent a k prudk\u00e9mu zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1klad\u016f na 140 a\u017e 157 dolar\u016f za barel.<\/p>\n<p>Jak\u00e9koli takov\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen ropy by znamenalo katastrofu pro Evropu, kter\u00e1 se ji\u017e nyn\u00ed pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s b\u0159emenem n\u00e1kupu energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f za nadsazen\u00e9 ceny, aby kompenzovala sn\u00ed\u017een\u00fd dovoz z Ruska.<\/p>\n<p>Studie se sice nezab\u00fdvala dopadem eskalace nap\u011bt\u00ed na ceny zemn\u00edho plynu v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii, zd\u016fraznila v\u0161ak vz\u00e1jemnou prov\u00e1zanost energetick\u00fdch zdroj\u016f. S poklesem dod\u00e1vek ropy se vlnov\u00fd efekt roz\u0161i\u0159uje na dal\u0161\u00ed zdroje energie, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e ceny plynu jsou ovlivn\u011bny obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b.<\/p>\n<h2>Zm\u011bna z\u00e1vislosti na plynu<\/h2>\n<p>Evropa vystupuje jako kontinent, kter\u00fd s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed zaznamen\u00e1 v\u00fdrazn\u00fd n\u00e1r\u016fst cen plynu v d\u016fsledku odklonu od rusk\u00e9ho potrubn\u00edho plynu, co\u017e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/new.thecradle.co\/articles\/beggaring-europe-switching-cheap-russian-gas-for-expensive-american-lng\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">povede<\/a>\u00a0k podstatn\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed z\u00e1vislosti na zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9m zemn\u00edm plynu (LNG) p\u0159epravovan\u00e9m z USA.<\/p>\n<p>Krom\u011b bezprost\u0159edn\u00edch d\u016fsledk\u016f eskalace nap\u011bt\u00ed a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/new.thecradle.co\/articles\/the-us-is-fueling-not-avoiding-a-regional-war\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">hroz\u00edc\u00ed region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky<\/a>, kter\u00e9 zvy\u0161uj\u00ed ceny ropy a plynu na cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, \u010del\u00ed Evropa mnoha dal\u0161\u00edm faktor\u016fm, kter\u00e9 by mohly z\u00e1sadn\u011b ovlivnit v\u00fdvoz energie z arabsk\u00e9ho sv\u011bta.<\/p>\n<p>Rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd region\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt, do n\u011bho\u017e by byly zapojeny zem\u011b Osy odporu, jako jsou \u00cdr\u00e1n, Jemen, Ir\u00e1k, S\u00fdrie a Libanon, by mohl m\u00edt neblah\u00e9 d\u016fsledky. V\u0161echny tyto zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstup k mo\u0159\u00edm a \u00fa\u017ein\u00e1m, by mohly potenci\u00e1ln\u011b naru\u0161it obchodn\u00ed cesty do Evropy, v\u010detn\u011b pohybu ropy a zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho plynu.<\/p>\n<p>Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, kter\u00fd se nach\u00e1z\u00ed mezi Om\u00e1nem a \u00cdr\u00e1nem, m\u00e1 nesm\u00edrn\u00fd v\u00fdznam jako hlavn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd energetick\u00fd koridor, kter\u00fdm proch\u00e1z\u00ed v\u00edce ne\u017e\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/strait-hormuz-worlds-most-important-oil-artery-2023-10-20\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">p\u011btina celosv\u011btov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy<\/a>\u00a0a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/carnegie-mec.org\/2023\/05\/24\/why-china-is-emerging-as-main-promoter-of-stability-in-strait-of-hormuz-pub-89829#:~:text=The%20Strait%20of%20Hormuz%20is,passes%20through%20the%20narrow%20strait.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">t\u0159etina celkov\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Na tento pr\u016fjezd\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/business\/energy\/strait-hormuz-worlds-most-important-oil-artery-2023-10-20\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">spol\u00e9haj\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0hlavn\u00ed zem\u011b vyv\u00e1\u017eej\u00edc\u00ed ropu, v\u010detn\u011b Sa\u00fadsk\u00e9 Ar\u00e1bie, \u00cdr\u00e1nu, Spojen\u00fdch arabsk\u00fdch emir\u00e1t\u016f, Kuvajtu a Ir\u00e1ku. Krom\u011b toho Katar, nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00fd v\u00fdvozce LNG, p\u0159epravuje v\u011bt\u0161inu sv\u00e9ho v\u00fdvozu LNG p\u0159es pr\u016fliv. Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee \u00fa\u017einou ro\u010dn\u011b proch\u00e1z\u00ed zhruba 20 % celosv\u011btov\u00fdch tok\u016f LNG, mohlo by jak\u00e9koli uzav\u0159en\u00ed \u00fa\u017einy \u00cdr\u00e1nem nebo jeho spojenci v\u00e1\u017en\u011b ovlivnit dod\u00e1vky ropy a plynu do Evropy.<\/p>\n<h2>Jak Palestina krv\u00e1c\u00ed, Evropa to poc\u00edt\u00ed na vlastn\u00ed k\u016f\u017ei<\/h2>\n<p>Dal\u0161\u00ed mo\u017en\u00fd sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 zahrnuje\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/carnegieendowment.org\/sada\/84558\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">uzav\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu Bab al-Mandab<\/a>, strategick\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu p\u0159es Jemen, kter\u00fd funguje jako spojovac\u00ed \u010dl\u00e1nek n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed obchodn\u00ed trasy spojuj\u00edc\u00ed St\u0159edozemn\u00ed mo\u0159e a Indick\u00fd oce\u00e1n p\u0159es Rud\u00e9 mo\u0159e a Suezsk\u00fd pr\u016fplav.<\/p>\n<p>Touto trasou proch\u00e1z\u00ed v\u011bt\u0161ina v\u00fdvozu zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho zemn\u00edho plynu z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu a v roce 2017 tudy\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eia.gov\/todayinenergy\/detail.php?id=41073\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">pro\u0161lo<\/a>\u00a0t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 9 % ve\u0161ker\u00e9 ropy a rafinovan\u00fdch produkt\u016f p\u0159epravovan\u00fdch po mo\u0159i, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e polovina z nich sm\u011b\u0159ovala do Evropy. Uzav\u0159en\u00ed pr\u016flivu Bab al-Mandab by mohlo tankery z Persk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu donutit k odklonu kolem ji\u017en\u00edho c\u00edpu Afriky, co\u017e by vedlo k prodlou\u017een\u00ed tranzitn\u00edch \u010das\u016f a n\u00e1klad\u016f na p\u0159epravu.<\/p>\n<p>Evropa by se ocitla p\u0159ed t\u011b\u017ekou volbou: p\u0159ijmout p\u0159emr\u0161t\u011bn\u00e9 ceny za nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00fd tok ropy a plynu, kter\u00fd zp\u016fsobuje v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed \u2013 nebo p\u0159ehodnotit sv\u016fj postoj k rusk\u00e9mu plynu, co\u017e bude na mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u00farovni vn\u00edm\u00e1no jako poni\u017euj\u00edc\u00ed \u00fastup.<\/p>\n<p>EU se p\u016fvodn\u011b obr\u00e1tila na z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii, aby nahradila klesaj\u00edc\u00ed dod\u00e1vky rusk\u00e9ho plynu, i kdy\u017e to znamenalo vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1klady. Rostouc\u00ed vyhl\u00eddky na to, \u017ee palestinsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka p\u0159eroste v konflikt v cel\u00e9m regionu, v\u0161ak nyn\u00ed v\u00e1\u017en\u011b zpochyb\u0148uj\u00ed spolehlivost z\u00e1padoasijsk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vek ropy a plynu do Evropy. Jak\u00e1koli eskalace konfliktu pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b povede k prudk\u00e9mu n\u00e1r\u016fstu cen energi\u00ed a zasad\u00ed zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed r\u00e1nu kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdm odv\u011btv\u00edm evropsk\u00e9 ekonomiky, zejm\u00e9na N\u011bmecku.<\/p>\n<p>V o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed hroz\u00edc\u00ed krize za\u010dal n\u011bmeck\u00fd kancl\u00e9\u0159 Olaf Scholz v tichosti hledat alternativn\u00ed zdroje energie: Minul\u00fd t\u00fdden\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dw.com\/en\/scholzs-africa-visit-germany-looks-to-boost-economic-ties\/a-67270177\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">nav\u0161t\u00edvil<\/a>\u00a0Ghanu a Nig\u00e9rii v nad\u011bji, \u017ee se mu poda\u0159\u00ed naj\u00edt nov\u00e9 zdroje energie pro Evropu.<\/p>\n<p>Jak Izrael zesiluje bombardov\u00e1n\u00ed Gazy americk\u00fdmi a evropsk\u00fdmi zbran\u011bmi, riskuje, \u017ee se objev\u00ed nov\u00e9 bojov\u00e9 fronty, kter\u00e9 otev\u0159ou vojensky vysp\u011blej\u0161\u00ed prvky osy odporu v regionu, co\u017e hroz\u00ed rozs\u00e1hlou eskalac\u00ed v cel\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii a m\u016f\u017ee Evropu uvrhnout do ekonomick\u00e9ho propadli\u0161t\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>Doby, kdy se Evropa t\u011b\u0161ila nep\u0159etr\u017eit\u00e9 prosperit\u011b, zat\u00edmco z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asie trp\u011bla d\u016fsledky z\u00e1padn\u00ed a izraelsk\u00e9 politiky, jsou d\u00e1vno pry\u010d. Osa odporu \u2013 ve spojen\u00ed s rostouc\u00edm vlivem multipol\u00e1rn\u00edch mocnost\u00ed, jako je Rusko a \u010c\u00edna \u2013 nyn\u00ed disponuje schopnostmi a mo\u017enostmi, kter\u00e9 by mohly zpochybnit z\u00e1padn\u00ed osu od Washingtonu po Brusel a Tel Aviv a z\u00e1sadn\u011b zm\u011bnit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed energetick\u00fd trh, jak ho zn\u00e1me.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Mohamad Hasan Sweidan<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/new.thecradle.co\/articles\/axis-of-resources-gaza-war-spells-disaster-for-europes-energy-security\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">Axis of Resources: Gaza war spells disaster for Europe\u2019s energy security<\/a> vy\u0161el 8.11.2023 na thecradle.co. P\u0159eklad\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/zvedavec.news\/komentare\/2023\/11\/9871-valka-v-gaze-znamena-katastrofu-pro-energetickou-bezpecnost-evropy.htm\">Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee izraelsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka v Gaze p\u0159eroste v celoregion\u00e1ln\u00ed konflikt v z\u00e1padn\u00ed Asii, kter\u00e1&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":38077,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[285,348,6271],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40216"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40216"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40216\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38077"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40216"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40216"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40216"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}