{"id":40016,"date":"2023-11-11T00:59:07","date_gmt":"2023-11-10T23:59:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=40016"},"modified":"2023-11-10T16:10:00","modified_gmt":"2023-11-10T15:10:00","slug":"proc-se-usa-zameruji-na-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/11\/11\/proc-se-usa-zameruji-na-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d se USA zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed na \u00cdr\u00e1n?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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26.\u00a0\u0159\u00edjna provedla americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u00fadery proti tomu, co naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1nem podporovan\u00e9 milice p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00ed v S\u00fdrii a Ir\u00e1ku\u00a0<\/span>.\u00a0<\/span><\/sup>Stalo se tak \u00fadajn\u011b v reakci na \u00fatoky na americk\u00e9 s\u00edly v S\u00fdrii a Ir\u00e1ku.\u00a027.\u00a0<\/span>\u0159\u00edjna<\/span><\/sup>\u00a0americk\u00fd prezident Joe Biden \u00fadajn\u011b poslal p\u0159\u00edmou zpr\u00e1vu \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9mu nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00edmu v\u016fdci ajatoll\u00e1hu Chamene\u00edmu, ve kter\u00e9m ho varoval p\u0159ed d\u016fsledky \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9 podpory skupin\u00e1m zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fdm na americk\u00e9 s\u00edly.\u00a0Tyto st\u0159ety a st\u00e1vky maj\u00ed geopolitick\u00fd kontext.\u00a0Ned\u00e1vno Joe Biden prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee hlavn\u00edm d\u016fvodem, pro\u010d Ham\u00e1s zah\u00e1jil v\u00e1lku s Izraelem, byl koordinovan\u00fd mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed pokus ohrozit ekonomick\u00fd koridor Indie-St\u0159edn\u00ed-v\u00fdchod-Evropa.\u00a0Ve stejn\u00e9m r\u00e1mci si Biden mysl\u00ed, \u017ee \u00fatoky milic\u00ed podporovan\u00fdch \u00cdr\u00e1nem na americk\u00e9 s\u00edly v S\u00fdrii a Ir\u00e1ku jsou sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00edho \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho pokusu o zah\u00e1jen\u00ed nov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky v regionu.\u00a0Ale to je nelogick\u00e1 pozice, kter\u00e1 skr\u00fdv\u00e1, v\u00edce ne\u017e odhaluje, skute\u010dn\u00e9 z\u00e1m\u011bry Washingtonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nyn\u00ed ji\u017e v\u00edme, \u017ee USA se dosud d\u016fsledn\u011b stav\u011bly proti jak\u00e9mukoli \u00fasil\u00ed o nastolen\u00ed \u00fapln\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v Gaze.\u00a0Naopak, nad\u00e1le h\u00e1j\u00ed izraelsk\u00e9 \u201epr\u00e1vo na sebeobranu\u201c, i kdy\u017e Washington velmi dob\u0159e v\u00ed, \u017ee uplat\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed tohoto \u201epr\u00e1va\u201c stoj\u00ed tis\u00edce nevinn\u00fdch \u017eivot\u016f.\u00a0Vzhledem k tomu Washington velmi dob\u0159e ch\u00e1pe d\u016fsledky takov\u00e9 slep\u00e9 podpory.\u00a0Jen m\u00e1lokdo pop\u00edr\u00e1, \u017ee to zhor\u0161\u00ed situaci v regionu a masov\u00e9 zab\u00edjen\u00ed donut\u00ed ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b p\u0159ijmout drastick\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed.\u00a0Washington svou bezduchou podporou Izraele proto vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed situaci, kdy se v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lka st\u00e1v\u00e1 velmi mo\u017enou, ne-li nevyhnutelnou a zcela nevyhnutelnou, s ni\u010div\u00fdmi n\u00e1sledky pro cel\u00fd region.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro\u010d je pro Washington d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd cel\u00fd region?\u00a0V posledn\u00edch n\u011bkolika letech vliv Washingtonu na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b zna\u010dn\u011b sl\u00e1bl.\u00a0To se stalo proti \u0161ir\u0161\u00edmu kontextu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho a rusk\u00e9ho o\u017eiven\u00ed z\u00e1rove\u0148.\u00a0USA se soustavn\u011b neda\u0159\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii, aby zv\u00fd\u0161ila t\u011b\u017ebu ropy a sn\u00ed\u017eila jej\u00ed cenu.\u00a0P\u0159es snahy USA o opak se Pekingu poda\u0159ilo zprost\u0159edkovat normalizaci mezi Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bi\u00ed a \u00cdr\u00e1nem.\u00a0A navzdory mnoha snah\u00e1m se Washingtonu nepoda\u0159ilo p\u0159im\u011bt Sa\u00fadskou Ar\u00e1bii, aby p\u0159ijala\u00a0<\/span>Abrahamovy dohody<\/span><\/em><\/a>\u00a0.<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n

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Rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod je tedy ve form\u011b, kter\u00e1 se Washingtonu ned\u00e1 snadno zmanipulovat.\u00a0Pro USA je proto donutit tento Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod k z\u00e1niku jedn\u00edm z kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch zp\u016fsob\u016f, jak zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby se staly hlavn\u00edm spojencem \u010c\u00edny a Ruska.\u00a0Vojensk\u00fd konflikt s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, a\u0165 u\u017e v S\u00fdrii a Ir\u00e1ku, nebo ve form\u011b p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na \u00cdr\u00e1n, posune politiku nov\u00e9ho Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu o des\u00edtky let zp\u011bt.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco p\u0159\u00edm\u00e1 v\u00e1lka s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, tedy americk\u00fd \u00fatok na \u00cdr\u00e1n, se v tuto chv\u00edli zd\u00e1 nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1, alternativn\u00ed sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 je mo\u017en\u00fd.\u00a0Tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 zahrnuje zapojen\u00ed Hizball\u00e1hu proti Izraeli ve v\u00e1lce v Gaze.\u00a0\u00cdr\u00e1n\u0161t\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 opakovan\u011b varovali, \u017ee tento sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nen\u00ed nemo\u017en\u00fd a \u017ee pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed zab\u00edjen\u00ed bude nevyhnuteln\u00e9.\u00a0I kdy\u017e \u00cdr\u00e1n zat\u00edm nenazna\u010dil, \u017ee by byl Hizball\u00e1h ji\u017e zapojen, ani Izrael nebo dokonce Washington neobvinil \u00cdr\u00e1n z \u00fatoku na Izrael prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Hizball\u00e1hu, Izrael i Hizball\u00e1h sd\u00edlej\u00ed n\u00e1silnou minulost, kter\u00e1 je zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 pro vyhl\u00eddky na \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lku st\u0159edn\u00ed v\u00fdchod.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ale i kdy\u017e se to teprve stane, Washington jist\u011b vid\u00ed, \u017ee se Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod kv\u016fli v\u00e1lce vymkne z obvykl\u00e9ho sev\u0159en\u00ed.\u00a0Je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee si uv\u011bdomuje, \u017ee m\u00edrotvorba na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b\u00a0<\/span>se ji\u017e nebude vyr\u00e1b\u011bt v USA.\u00a0<\/span><\/a>Rusko a \u010c\u00edna se st\u00e1le v\u00edce zapojuj\u00ed do krize jako prost\u0159edn\u00edci.\u00a0Maj\u00ed tak\u00e9 podporu mnoha arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f.\u00a0Na ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m zased\u00e1n\u00ed Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN SAE, jinak signat\u00e1\u0159\u00a0<\/span>Abrahamov\u00fdch dohod,<\/span><\/em>\u00a0podpo\u0159ily rusk\u00fd n\u00e1vrh rezoluce a postavily se proti Washingtonu.\u00a0Ve spole\u010dn\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed mnoho bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00edch st\u00e1t\u016f \u2013 Egypt, Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, Jord\u00e1nsko, Bahrajn, Om\u00e1n, Katar, Kuvajt a Maroko \u2013 vyzvalo k okam\u017eit\u00e9mu a \u00fapln\u00e9mu p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed.\u00a0Prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed vyb\u00edzelo USA a jejich podporu Izraeli a kritizovalo, \u017ee \u201epr\u00e1vo Izraele na sebeobranu… neospravedl\u0148uje do o\u010d\u00ed bij\u00edc\u00ed poru\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00edho a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bl\u00edzk\u00fd v\u00fdchod zjevn\u011b nen\u00ed spokojen\u00fd s Washingtonem a zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee se od USA distancuje.\u00a0Co m\u016f\u017ee Washington ud\u011blat, aby zabr\u00e1nil \u2013 a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b \u2013 zvr\u00e1til tento stav v\u011bc\u00ed?\u00a0Obvi\u0148ovat \u00cdr\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Obvi\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00edm \u00cdr\u00e1nu mohou USA prom\u00edtat mnoho probl\u00e9m\u016f sou\u010dasn\u011b.\u00a0Za prv\u00e9, \u00cdr\u00e1n \u2013 sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e Izrael \u2013 se st\u00e1v\u00e1 zodpov\u011bdn\u00fdm za v\u00e1lku v Gaze (proto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n podporovan\u00fd \u010c\u00ednou a Ruskem cht\u011bl sabotovat zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00fd ekonomick\u00fd koridor).\u00a0Za druh\u00e9, t\u00edm, \u017ee Washington ozna\u010d\u00ed \u00cdr\u00e1n za p\u016fvodce probl\u00e9m\u016f, douf\u00e1, \u017ee p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010d\u00ed sunnitsk\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty, \u017ee normalizace s \u00cdr\u00e1nem znamen\u00e1 pot\u00ed\u017ee a \u017ee \u0161\u00editsk\u00e9mu \u00cdr\u00e1nu nelze v\u011b\u0159it kv\u016fli jeho expanzivn\u00ed politice a inherentn\u00edm ideologick\u00fdm rozd\u00edl\u016fm.\u00a0Za t\u0159et\u00ed, proto\u017ee \u00cdr\u00e1n m\u00e1 podporu \u010c\u00edny a Ruska a proto\u017ee tato \u201eosa\u201c zp\u016fsobuje probl\u00e9my na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, mus\u00ed sunnitsk\u00e9 arabsk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty p\u0159ezkoumat rozsah sv\u00e9ho z\u00e1vazku v\u016f\u010di Pekingu a Moskv\u011b.\u00a0T\u00edm, \u017ee v\u0161echny tyto probl\u00e9my \u201elogicky\u201c p\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed, Washington douf\u00e1, \u017ee p\u0159ebuduje geopolitiku Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu ve sv\u016fj prosp\u011bch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dok\u00e1\u017ee tohle Washington?\u00a0To je diskutabiln\u00ed ot\u00e1zka.\u00a0Ale z\u00e1m\u011bry Washingtonu maj\u00ed extr\u00e9mn\u011b pravicov\u00e9ho spojence v Jeruzal\u00e9m\u011b, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 vnitropolitick\u00e9 nutk\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0Joe Biden m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed dom\u00e1c\u00ed nutk\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0Nem\u016f\u017ee si politicky dovolit, aby p\u0159evl\u00e1dl dojem, \u017ee USA pod jeho veden\u00edm prohr\u00e1vaj\u00ed jak na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b, tak na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0To bude znamenat katastrofu pro jeho znovuzvolen\u00ed v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce.<\/span><\/p>\n

Salman Rafi Sheikh,<\/span><\/strong> v\u00fdzkumn\u00fd analytik mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch vztah\u016f a p\u00e1kist\u00e1nsk\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch a dom\u00e1c\u00edch z\u00e1le\u017eitost\u00ed, exkluzivn\u011b pro online magaz\u00edn \u201e\u00a0<\/em>New Eastern Outlook<\/em><\/a>\u00a0\u201c.<\/p>\n

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26.\u00a0\u0159\u00edjna provedla americk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u00fadery proti tomu, co naz\u00fdv\u00e1 \u00cdr\u00e1nem podporovan\u00e9 milice p\u016fsob\u00edc\u00ed v S\u00fdrii…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":40017,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[38,220,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40016"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40016"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40016\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40017"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40016"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40016"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40016"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}