{"id":40000,"date":"2023-11-10T08:29:46","date_gmt":"2023-11-10T07:29:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=40000"},"modified":"2023-11-10T08:29:46","modified_gmt":"2023-11-10T07:29:46","slug":"jiri-paroubek-denni-pridel-spatnych-zprav","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/11\/10\/jiri-paroubek-denni-pridel-spatnych-zprav\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Denn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edd\u011bl \u0161patn\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Mezi zpr\u00e1vami o nep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 poda\u0159en\u00e9 africk\u00e9 cest\u011b premi\u00e9ra Fialy, kterou p\u0159edch\u00e1zel jeho rovn\u011b\u017e marketingov\u011b nepoda\u0159en\u00fd \u201eshopping\u201c v potravin\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 samoobsluze v N\u011bmecku, p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed do ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho prostoru jen statistick\u00e9 \u00fadaje, kter\u00e9 ni\u010d\u00ed zb\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed optimismus a povinn\u00e9 optimisty mezi provl\u00e1dn\u00edmi ekonomy. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee je to u\u017e 18 m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f, co soustavn\u011b kles\u00e1 spot\u0159eba obyvatelstva. Jinak \u0159e\u010deno, klesaj\u00ed objemy n\u00e1kup\u016f v maloobchodn\u00ed s\u00edti.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mezi t\u00edm se mihne zpr\u00e1va, \u017ee m\u00e1me v\u00a0republice milion chud\u00fdch a dva miliony lid\u00ed, kte\u0159\u00ed se t\u00e9to hranici bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed. Kdybychom v\u0161ak vzali za v\u00fdchodisko statistick\u00fd \u00fadaj charakterizuj\u00edc\u00ed \u201en\u011bmeck\u00e9ho chud\u00e9ho\u201c, mohlo by t\u011bch chud\u00fdch b\u00fdt n\u011bkde mezi 4 a\u017e 5 miliony. Je to zkr\u00e1tka smutn\u00e9 p\u0159edstaven\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da je v\u00a0prvn\u00ed \u0159ad\u011b v\u00e1lkychtiv\u00e1. A to naprosto nesmysln\u011b, velmi hloup\u011b se snad domn\u00edv\u00e1, \u017ee se t\u00edm zal\u00edb\u00ed na\u0161emu nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edmu spojenci \u2013 Spojen\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm. V\u00a0politice v\u017edy plat\u00ed, \u017ee po p\u00edsmenech A a B p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed p\u00edsmena C, D a E. Jinak \u0159e\u010deno, pokud ud\u011bl\u00e1m n\u011bjak\u00fd \u010din a n\u011bjak\u00e9 politick\u00e9 rozhodnut\u00ed, mus\u00edm v\u011bd\u011bt, jak\u00e9 to m\u00e1 d\u016fsledky \u2013 kladn\u00e9 i z\u00e1porn\u00e9. Dobr\u00fd politik se soust\u0159e\u010fuje na \u010diny, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b pozitivn\u00ed d\u016fsledky.<\/p>\n

Pokud se t\u00fdden p\u0159ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed cestou po Africe premi\u00e9r z\u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed proizraelsk\u00e9 demonstrace, vystupuje jako politick\u00fd aktivista a ne jako politik \u010di st\u00e1tn\u00edk, mus\u00ed po\u010d\u00edtat s\u00a0politick\u00fdmi d\u016fsledky. Pokud bagatelizuje bl\u00e1boly sv\u00e9 ministryn\u011b obrany, kter\u00e1 by nejrad\u011bji po p\u0159ijet\u00ed rezoluce ve Valn\u00e9m shrom\u00e1\u017ed\u011bn\u00ed OSN, vyz\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed k\u00a0p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed mezi Izraelem a Ham\u00e1sem, dohnala \u010cesko k\u00a0vystoupen\u00ed z\u00a0OSN, mus\u00ed po\u010d\u00edtat s\u00a0d\u016fsledky. Je b\u011b\u017enou prax\u00ed v\u0161ech zahrani\u010dn\u00edch diplomat\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed p\u016fsob\u00ed v\u00a0na\u0161\u00ed zemi, pod\u00e1vat re\u0161er\u0161e sv\u00fdm vl\u00e1d\u00e1m. A tak v\u0161em vl\u00e1d\u00e1m muslimsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a pochopiteln\u011b v\u00a0tom i arabsk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f do\u0161la re\u0161er\u0161e o v\u00fdst\u0159ednostech premi\u00e9ra a jeho ministryn\u011b obrany. A tak Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie, coby spoluautor rezoluce OSN o p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed zru\u0161ila okam\u017eit\u011b cestu ministra pr\u016fmyslu S\u00edkely do Rij\u00e1du.<\/p>\n

A jak\u00e9 jsou konsekvence t\u011bchto politick\u00fdch deviac\u00ed? Vztahy s\u00a0Ruskem jsou, jak se zd\u00e1, nenapraviteln\u011b naru\u0161eny. Fialova vl\u00e1da se chce d\u0159\u00edve nebo pozd\u011bji vzd\u00e1t \u00fapln\u011b rusk\u00e9ho plynu i rusk\u00e9 ropy (to druh\u00e9 se j\u00ed zat\u00edm moc neda\u0159\u00ed). Pokud si je\u0161t\u011b znep\u0159\u00e1tel\u00ed Fialova dru\u017eina Sa\u00fady, co\u017e je rovn\u011b\u017e potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed dodavatel mocn\u00fdch proud\u016f ropy a zkapaln\u011bn\u00e9ho plynu do Evropy, co\u017e takt\u00e9\u017e plat\u00ed o Nig\u00e9rii, budeme se muset \u010dasem vybavit na zimu ne dv\u011bma svetry podle Pekarov\u00e9 Adamov\u00e9, ale t\u0159emi svetry. Tedy, abychom m\u011bli na sob\u011b v\u00a0zim\u011b p\u011bknou vrstvu oble\u010den\u00ed, kter\u00e1 nahrad\u00ed ub\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed podko\u017en\u00ed tuk.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Vl\u00e1da v\u016fbec nech\u00e1pe, pro\u010d bychom m\u011bli ukon\u010dit neproduktivn\u00ed konflikt na Ukrajin\u011b. Tento konflikt p\u0159inesl dramatick\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed cen prakticky v\u0161ech druh\u016f surovin, na jejich\u017e dovozu je na\u0161e zem\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1. A prosperita \u010ceska v\u00edce ne\u017eli jin\u00fdch zem\u00ed EU byla z\u00e1visl\u00e1 v\u00a0posledn\u00edch 30 letech na levn\u00fdch rusk\u00fdch surovin\u00e1ch. To se zm\u011bnilo po jeden\u00e1cti salv\u00e1ch sankc\u00ed v\u016f\u010di Rusku. A \u010desk\u00e1 diplomacie se nyn\u00ed pod\u00edl\u00ed na zpracov\u00e1n\u00ed ji\u017e dvan\u00e1ct\u00e9ho bal\u00edku t\u011bchto sankc\u00ed. P\u0159itom p\u0159es prost\u0159edn\u00edky v\u00a0Turecku, v\u00a0\u010c\u00edn\u011b \u010di Indii se do Ruska dostane prakticky jak\u00e9koliv z\u00e1padn\u00ed zbo\u017e\u00ed a zejm\u00e9na rusk\u00e9mu spot\u0159ebn\u00edmu pr\u016fmyslu zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9 sankce pomohly k\u00a0rozvoji a k\u00a0pos\u00edlen\u00ed odbytu na dom\u00e1c\u00edm, rusk\u00e9m trhu. Rusku se p\u0159itom da\u0159\u00ed v posledn\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch zvy\u0161ovat objemy pen\u011bz inkasovan\u00fdch z\u00a0prodeje energetick\u00fdch surovin. Fantaskn\u00ed p\u0159edstavy reprezentant\u016f EU o finan\u010dn\u00edch stropech na prodej rusk\u00e9 ropy prost\u011b nefunguj\u00ed. Inflace v\u00a0Rusku je podstatn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e inflace u n\u00e1s.<\/p>\n

Dokonce i \u010cNB pod nov\u00fdm veden\u00edm ud\u011blala prvn\u00ed velkou chybu, kdy\u017e p\u0159i o\u010dek\u00e1vateln\u00e9m poklesu \u010desk\u00e9ho hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed v\u00a0tomto roce nesn\u00ed\u017eila z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farokovou m\u00edru z\u00a0hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed retarduj\u00edc\u00edch 7%.<\/p>\n

Prost\u011b zd\u00e1 se, \u017ee na v\u0161ech \u00farovn\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 politiky a st\u00e1tn\u00ed spr\u00e1vy sed\u00ed bu\u010fto diletanti anebo lid\u00e9, kter\u00fdm se neda\u0159\u00ed (nebyl bych ale tak p\u0159\u00edsn\u00fd na veden\u00ed \u010cNB po J. Rusnokovi).<\/p>\n

Podle maloobchodu pad\u00e1 i pr\u016fmysl a index n\u00e1kupn\u00edch mana\u017eer\u016f kles\u00e1 ji\u017e n\u011bkolik m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f po sob\u011b. Jinak \u0159e\u010deno, \u010desk\u00e9 podniky nemaj\u00ed dostatek zak\u00e1zek. A to je v\u017edy \u0161patn\u011b. Nebude pr\u00e1ce pro lidi se v\u0161emi d\u016fsledky, co to bude m\u00edt.<\/p>\n

K\u00a0prosazen\u00ed tzv. konsolida\u010dn\u00edho bal\u00ed\u010dku chyb\u00ed u\u017e jen podpis prezidenta. Nepochybuji o tom, \u017ee prezident \u201ebal\u00ed\u010dek\u201c podep\u00ed\u0161e a vytvo\u0159\u00ed tak pr\u00e1vn\u00ed r\u00e1mec pro zm\u011bnu cca 60 dal\u0161\u00edch, navazuj\u00edc\u00edch z\u00e1kon\u016f. Bude to legislativn\u00ed zem\u011bt\u0159esen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 brzy za\u017eijeme.<\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b p\u0159ich\u00e1zej\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy o nespokojenosti jednotliv\u00fdch zam\u011bstnaneck\u00fdch skupin s\u00a0poklesem re\u00e1ln\u00fdch mezd. Obecn\u011b se p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee letos bude pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 inflace kolem 11%. V\u00a0minul\u00e9m roce to bylo pr\u00fd 15,1%. J\u00e1 bych si dovolil s\u00a0ob\u011bma t\u011bmi \u010d\u00edsly nesouhlasit. Mysl\u00edm, \u017ee inflace u skute\u010dn\u011b pro \u017eivot podstatn\u00fdch produkt\u016f, po\u010d\u00ednaje potravinami, byla v\u00a0posledn\u00edch dvou letech podstatn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

A tak trv\u00e1 m\u016fj odhad, \u017ee za posledn\u00ed dva roky poklesne re\u00e1ln\u00e1 mzda \u010cech\u016f v\u00a0souhrnu o \u010dtvrtinu, v\u00a0nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u201ejen\u201c o p\u011btinu. A pokud \u010cesk\u00e1 bankovn\u00ed asociace vydala dnes povinn\u011b optimistick\u00e9 vyj\u00e1d\u0159en\u00ed o tom, \u017ee inflace v\u00a0p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce bude u\u017e jen na \u00farovni 2,6%, je pot\u0159eba se jen pousm\u00e1t. D\u00edky konsolida\u010dn\u00edmu bal\u00ed\u010dku bude infla\u010dn\u00ed tlak d\u00e1le pokra\u010dovat. Pokud porostou ceny energi\u00ed, jako, \u017ee vl\u00e1da ned\u011bl\u00e1 nic proti tomu, aby nerostly, vyvol\u00e1 to dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fsty cen v\u00a0cel\u00e9 \u0159ad\u011b dal\u0161\u00edch obor\u016f. Pochopiteln\u011b v\u00a0obchodech, kdy ke chlazen\u00ed zbo\u017e\u00ed v\u00a0samoobsluh\u00e1ch je pot\u0159eba elektrick\u00e1 energie, jej\u00ed\u017e ceny z\u0159ejm\u011b v\u00fdrazn\u011b porostou a to se prom\u00edtne prakticky v\u0161ude. V\u00a0pr\u016fmyslu, v\u00a0zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed, prost\u011b v\u0161ude. A proto\u017ee na\u0161e ekonomika m\u00e1 v\u00a0z\u00e1sad\u011b oligopoln\u00ed charakter, tedy o cen\u00e1ch a tr\u017en\u00edch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch rozhoduj\u00ed oligopoly (v energetice, v\u00a0obchod\u011b, v\u00a0bankovnictv\u00ed atd.), m\u016f\u017eeme opr\u00e1vn\u011bn\u011b o\u010dek\u00e1vat dal\u0161\u00ed infla\u010dn\u00ed r\u00e1nu jako z\u00a0praku.<\/p>\n

Jistou nad\u011bj\u00ed bude, pokud odbory a dal\u0161\u00ed profesn\u00ed organizace, po\u010d\u00ednaje l\u00e9ka\u0159i, u\u010diteli, kovod\u011bln\u00edky, za\u010dnou st\u00e1vkovat. Zejm\u00e9na pokud se p\u0159ipoj\u00ed zam\u011bstnanci v doprav\u011b, tak se \u010desk\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed zastav\u00ed. Bu\u010f na hodiny anebo dokonce na den \u010di dny. A vl\u00e1da bude muset zm\u011bnit pod tlakem lid\u00ed svou politiku. \u017de toho nen\u00ed schopna? Tak\u00e9 si mysl\u00edm. Ale pod tlakem lid\u00ed a klesaj\u00edc\u00edch preferenc\u00ed jednotliv\u00fdch vl\u00e1dn\u00edch stran, bude nucena svou politiku modifikovat.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mezi zpr\u00e1vami o nep\u0159\u00edli\u0161 poda\u0159en\u00e9 africk\u00e9 cest\u011b premi\u00e9ra Fialy, kterou p\u0159edch\u00e1zel jeho rovn\u011b\u017e marketingov\u011b nepoda\u0159en\u00fd…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":31206,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[29,371,122,99],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40000"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40000"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40000\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31206"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40000"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40000"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40000"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}