{"id":39939,"date":"2023-11-09T01:17:19","date_gmt":"2023-11-09T00:17:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=39939"},"modified":"2023-11-08T17:37:39","modified_gmt":"2023-11-08T16:37:39","slug":"andrew-korybko-nejnovejsi-zpravy-naznacuji-ze-mezi-usa-a-ruskem-probihaji-tajne-rozhovory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/11\/09\/andrew-korybko-nejnovejsi-zpravy-naznacuji-ze-mezi-usa-a-ruskem-probihaji-tajne-rozhovory\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee mezi USA a Ruskem prob\u00edhaj\u00ed tajn\u00e9 rozhovory"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Je p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 spekulovat o podrobnostech jejich diskus\u00ed, ale zpr\u00e1vy sd\u00edlen\u00e9 v t\u00e9to anal\u00fdze nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee by se mohly t\u00fdkat obnoven\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f a mo\u017en\u00fdch cest, jak se tam dostat, v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 vedou kolem Zelensk\u00e9ho nebo se ho dokonce zbav\u00ed, pokud z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 jeho osoba p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusko-americk\u00e9 vztahy dos\u00e1hly nejni\u017e\u0161\u00edho bodu od kub\u00e1nsk\u00e9 raketov\u00e9 krize v d\u016fsledku\u00a0z\u00e1stupn\u00e9\u00a0<\/a>v\u00e1lky NATO\u00a0<\/a>proti Rusku prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Ukrajiny, ale nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee mezi nimi prob\u00edhaj\u00ed tajn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed.\u00a0NBC\u00a0<\/a>4. listopadu informovala, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad tla\u010d\u00ed na Ukrajinu, aby znovu zah\u00e1jila m\u00edrov\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s Ruskem, co\u017e p\u0159i\u0161lo t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 p\u0159esn\u011b \u010dty\u0159i m\u011bs\u00edce pot\u00e9, co 6. \u010dervence ozn\u00e1mila, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0b\u00fdval\u00ed ameri\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 vedli tajn\u00e1 jedn\u00e1n\u00ed o Ukrajin\u011b s prominentn\u00edmi Rusy\u00a0<\/a>\u201c.<\/p>\n

Tato posledn\u011b zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va z l\u00e9ta n\u00e1sledovala po t\u0159ech vystoupen\u00edch prezidenta Putina p\u0159ed m\u011bs\u00edcem v polovin\u011b \u010dervna, kdy d\u016frazn\u011b nazna\u010dil, \u017ee politick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed tohoto konfliktu je st\u00e1le mo\u017en\u00e9, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e podrobnosti byly zdokumentov\u00e1ny a analyzov\u00e1ny zde v t\u00e9\u00a0dob\u011b\u00a0<\/a>. .\u00a0Mezi t\u00edm a posledn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vou NBC poskytl Zelenskyj rozhovor The Economist, kde byl p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 defenzivn\u00ed.\u00a0Bylo to analyzov\u00e1no\u00a0zde\u00a0<\/a>s t\u00edm, \u017ee to bylo zp\u016fsobeno t\u00edm, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v\u00edce mluvil s Ruskem.<\/p>\n

Ve stejn\u00fd den, kdy byla jejich zpr\u00e1va zve\u0159ejn\u011bna, upozornily New York Times na rostouc\u00ed rivalitu Zelenskij-Zalu\u017enyj, jej\u00ed\u017e podrobnosti\u00a0zde byly analyzov\u00e1ny\u00a0<\/a>spolu s p\u0159idru\u017een\u00fdmi zpr\u00e1vami.\u00a0To je relevantn\u00ed pro argumentaci o existenci tajn\u00fdch americko-rusk\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f, proto\u017ee by mohly v nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b poslou\u017eit ke zmrazen\u00ed konfliktu d\u0159\u00edve, ne\u017e dojde k nejhor\u0161\u00edmu p\u0159\u00edpadu vzpoury podobn\u00e9 Prigo\u017einovi.\u00a0N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy, kter\u00fdch se nyn\u00ed dotkneme, dod\u00e1vaj\u00ed tomuto p\u0159\u00edpadu dal\u0161\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost.<\/p>\n

Zelenskyj v rozhovoru pro NBC\u00a0p\u0159ipustil\u00a0<\/a>, \u017ee jeho z\u00e1padn\u00ed patroni pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b mluv\u00ed s Ruskem, b\u011bhem t\u00e9to doby tak\u00e9 \u0159ekl, \u017ee\u00a0te\u010f nen\u00ed \u010das na volby\u00a0<\/a>, a pot\u00e9\u00a0prosil USA o p\u016fj\u010dku\u00a0<\/a>, kterou sl\u00edbil splatit po skon\u010den\u00ed konfliktu.\u00a0Ve stejn\u00fd den, kdy byl odvys\u00edl\u00e1n jeho rozhovor, zve\u0159ejnil Washington Post \u010dl\u00e1nek o tom, jak \u201e\u00a0podporovatel\u00e9 Ukrajiny pot\u0159ebuj\u00ed p\u0159ehodnotit svou teorii v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>\u201c, kter\u00fd obsahoval n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed rady:<\/p>\n

\u201eUkrajinsk\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva m\u011bla udr\u017eet politickou podporu Kyjevu t\u00edm, \u017ee dok\u00e1zala, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee znovu dob\u00fdt ztracen\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed.\u00a0P\u0159\u00edznivci Ukrajiny nyn\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1 budou muset vyslovit opa\u010dn\u00fd argument: Ukrajina nedob\u00fdv\u00e1 zp\u011bt podstatn\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed a pomoc je pot\u0159ebn\u00e1 na neur\u010dito, aby se p\u0159ede\u0161lo zni\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed por\u00e1\u017ece.<\/em><\/p>\n

To je na hony vzd\u00e1leno tvrzen\u00edm o domn\u011bl\u00e9m bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed nad Ruskem, kter\u00fdm se kryly str\u00e1nky t\u011bchto novin, co\u017e ukazuje, jak dramaticky se ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed narativ o tomto konfliktu posunul od ne\u00fasp\u011bchu\u00a0kyjevsk\u00e9 p\u0159ehnan\u011b medializovan\u00e9 a ultra drah\u00e9 protiofenz\u00edvy\u00a0<\/a>.\u00a0N\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed den ukrajinsk\u00fd ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed varoval, \u017ee jeho zem\u011b se\u00a0ji\u017e nem\u016f\u017ee spol\u00e9hat pouze\u00a0<\/a>na USA, pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b v reakci na rozhovor Zelensk\u00e9ho a zejm\u00e9na jeho p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee USA pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b mluv\u00ed s Ruskem.<\/p>\n

Od ned\u011ble do \u00fater\u00fd pak n\u00e1sledovalo \u0159\u00e1d\u011bn\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00fdch prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed rusk\u00fdch p\u0159edstavitel\u016f. Mluv\u010d\u00ed Kremlu\u00a0Peskov\u00a0<\/a>, ministr zahrani\u010d\u00ed\u00a0Lavrov\u00a0<\/a>a rusk\u00fd velvyslanec v Americe\u00a0Antonov\u00a0<\/a>\u0159ekli, \u017ee dialog s USA je mo\u017en\u00fd za ur\u010dit\u00fdch podm\u00ednek, toti\u017e \u017ee respektuj\u00ed rusk\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy.\u00a0Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty pot\u00e9 potvrdily, \u017ee\u00a0pozvaly Rusko k \u00fa\u010dasti\u00a0<\/a>na summitu APEC tento m\u011bs\u00edc v San Francisku, co\u017e p\u0159ekvapilo mnoh\u00e9, kdo si mysleli, \u017ee by tohoto rusk\u00e9ho kolegu ze z\u0159ejm\u00fdch politick\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f urazily.<\/p>\n

\u010cten\u00e1\u0159 by si tak\u00e9 m\u011bl b\u00fdt v\u011bdom toho, co \u0159ekl prezident Putin minul\u00fd t\u00fdden b\u011bhem sv\u00e9ho\u00a0setk\u00e1n\u00ed se \u010dleny Ob\u010dansk\u00e9 komory\u00a0<\/a>, kde odhalil, \u017ee \u201e[Ameri\u010dan\u00e9] nyn\u00ed pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed zm\u011bnu elit \u2013 jak ekonomick\u00fdch, tak politick\u00fdch\u201c.\u00a0Poznamenal tak\u00e9, \u017ee Z\u00e1pad zm\u011bnil sv\u016fj postoj k por\u00e1\u017ece Ruska na bitevn\u00edm poli,\u00a0ale upozornil,\u00a0<\/a>\u017ee \u201eTo neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee bychom se m\u011bli chovat agresivn\u011b\u201c, \u010d\u00edm\u017e nazna\u010dil, \u017ee st\u00e1le pevn\u011b v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd konflikt lze vy\u0159e\u0161it politick\u00fdmi prost\u0159edky.<\/p>\n

Rostouc\u00ed rivalita mezi Zelensk\u00fdm a Zalu\u017en\u00fdm a odm\u00edt\u00e1n\u00ed prvn\u00edho jmenovan\u00e9ho uspo\u0159\u00e1dat volby roz\u0161i\u0159uje d\u016fv\u011bryhodnost n\u00e1zoru rusk\u00e9ho v\u016fdce, \u017ee USA p\u0159ipravuj\u00ed zm\u011bnu ukrajinsk\u00fdch politick\u00fdch elit pot\u00e9, co se unav\u00ed Zelensk\u00fdm, kter\u00fd bezohledn\u011b riskuje vzpouru (proti sob\u011b)<\/em>\u00a0 podobnou Prigo\u017einovi a odm\u00edt\u00e1 vzdorovat m\u00edrov\u00fdm rozhovor\u016fm. \u0160\u00e9f Rusk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady Patru\u0161ev pak kr\u00e1tce pot\u00e9, ve stejn\u00fd den jako Zelensk\u00e9ho rozhovor pro NBC, nazna\u010dil, \u017ee \u201e\u00a0racion\u00e1ln\u00ed akt\u00e9\u0159i\u00a0<\/a>\u201c \u010dekaj\u00ed na p\u0159evzet\u00ed moci v Kyjev\u011b, jakmile se naskytne p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost.<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed zn\u00e1mo, zda m\u011bl na mysli Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho, \u200b\u200bZelensk\u00e9ho b\u00fdval\u00e9ho hlavn\u00edho poradce Arestovi\u010de, kter\u00fd\u00a0surov\u011b kritizoval\u00a0<\/a>sv\u00e9ho b\u00fdval\u00e9ho \u0161\u00e9fa za usv\u011bd\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed podrobnosti, kter\u00e9 o n\u011bm odhalil v\u00a0ned\u00e1vn\u00e9m tituln\u00edm p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu \u010dasopisu Time\u00a0<\/a>p\u0159ed\u00a0ozn\u00e1men\u00edm sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed prezidentsk\u00e9 kandidat\u016fry <\/a>, anebo n\u011bkoho jin\u00e9ho. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b jde o to, \u017ee Patru\u0161ev se d\u00edky v\u00fd\u0161e zm\u00edn\u011bn\u00e9mu kontextu c\u00edtil dostate\u010dn\u011b pohodln\u011b na to, aby ve\u0159ejn\u011b promluvil o zm\u011bn\u011b re\u017eimu na Ukrajin\u011b, kter\u00e1 p\u0159i\u0161la uprost\u0159ed d\u016fv\u011bryhodn\u00fdch zpr\u00e1v o tajn\u00fdch americko-rusk\u00fdch rozhovorech.<\/p>\n

Je p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 spekulovat o podrobnostech jejich diskus\u00ed, ale zpr\u00e1vy sd\u00edlen\u00e9 v t\u00e9to anal\u00fdze nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee by se mohly t\u00fdkat obnoven\u00ed m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f a mo\u017en\u00fdch cest, jak se tam dostat, v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch, kter\u00e9 vedou kolem Zelensk\u00e9ho nebo se ho dokonce zbav\u00ed, pokud z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017ekou.\u00a0Aby bylo jasno, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f ohledn\u011b jeho politick\u00e9 budoucnosti ani \u010dasov\u00e9 osy pro obnoven\u00ed rusko-ukrajinsk\u00fdch m\u00edrov\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f se nep\u0159edkl\u00e1d\u00e1, ale ud\u011blal by dob\u0159e, kdyby si hl\u00eddal z\u00e1da, pokud odm\u00edtne splnit p\u0159\u00edkaz sv\u00fdch patron\u016f.<\/p>\n

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Andrew Korybko, PhD<\/a><\/div>\n
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Je p\u0159ed\u010dasn\u00e9 spekulovat o podrobnostech jejich diskus\u00ed, ale zpr\u00e1vy sd\u00edlen\u00e9 v t\u00e9to anal\u00fdze nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30182,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,1060,29,22,37,1000],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39939"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39939"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39939\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39940,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39939\/revisions\/39940"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30182"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}