{"id":39883,"date":"2023-11-08T05:45:48","date_gmt":"2023-11-08T04:45:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=39883"},"modified":"2023-11-08T05:45:48","modified_gmt":"2023-11-08T04:45:48","slug":"jacques-guillemin-ne-zadna-patova-situace-ruske-vitezstvi-se-pise-od-24-unora-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/11\/08\/jacques-guillemin-ne-zadna-patova-situace-ruske-vitezstvi-se-pise-od-24-unora-2022\/","title":{"rendered":"Jacques Guillemin: Ne, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 patov\u00e1 situace \u2013 rusk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed se p\u00ed\u0161e od 24. \u00fanora 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

\u201cPatov\u00e1 situace\u201d: vrchn\u00ed velitel ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny u\u010dinil ne\u010dekan\u00e9 p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed. Vrchn\u00ed velitel ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny Zalu\u017enyj uvedl, \u017ee ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt je ve slep\u00e9 uli\u010dce, \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd pr\u016flom nenastane.<\/p>\n

Ukrajinsk\u00fd konflikt se dostal do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky, a proto se ozbrojen\u00fdm sil\u00e1m Ukrajiny nepoda\u0159\u00ed dos\u00e1hnout pr\u016flomu, uvedl v rozhovoru pro\u00a0Economist<\/a>\u00a0vrchn\u00ed velitel ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny Valerij Zalu\u017enyj.<\/p>\n

\u201cStejn\u011b jako v prvn\u00ed sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lce jsme dos\u00e1hli \u00farovn\u011b technologick\u00e9ho rozvoje, kter\u00e1 n\u00e1s stav\u00ed do slep\u00e9 uli\u010dky <\u2026>. Z\u0159ejm\u011b nedojde k hlubok\u00e9mu a kr\u00e1sn\u00e9mu pr\u016flomu,\u201d<\/em>\u00a0\u0159ekl.<\/p>\n

Ne, nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 slep\u00e1 uli\u010dka.\u00a0Rusk\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed se p\u00ed\u0161e od 24. \u00fanora 2022 a \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd \u201emasivn\u00ed technologick\u00fd skok\u201c ve prosp\u011bch Kyjeva situaci nezm\u011bn\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mnoz\u00ed zapomn\u011bli, \u017ee Zelenskij cht\u011bl vyjedn\u00e1vat den po rusk\u00e9 ofenziv\u011b, ale bylo to NATO a zejm\u00e9na bojovn\u00fd anglosask\u00fd t\u00e1bor, kter\u00fd rozhodl jinak.<\/p>\n

Kdo ale po dvaceti m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159evezme odpov\u011bdnost za ukrajinskou por\u00e1\u017eku a statis\u00edce ob\u011bt\u00ed?<\/p>\n

Vrchn\u00ed velitel ukrajinsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy\u00a0Valerij Zalu\u017enyj\u00a0pr\u00e1v\u011b prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee v\u00e1lka je ve slep\u00e9 uli\u010dce kv\u016fli nedostatku dostate\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fdzbroje, co\u017e br\u00e1n\u00ed tomu, aby se z t\u00e9to pozi\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky ve stylu roku 1917, kter\u00e1 je p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e1 pro Moskvu, dostal.\u00a0Bez hojnosti high-tech zbran\u00ed podle n\u011bj Ukrajina nem\u016f\u017ee vyhr\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Zp\u016fsob, jak se zbavit jak\u00e9koli odpov\u011bdnosti za pl\u00e1novanou por\u00e1\u017eku Kyjeva. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, koalice 50 st\u00e1t\u016f veden\u00e1 Washingtonem nevyvinula dostate\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fasil\u00ed, aby Ukrajinu vybavila modern\u00edmi zbran\u011bmi.<\/p>\n

Jak jsme te\u010f daleko od ot\u0159esn\u00fdch projev\u016f oznamuj\u00edc\u00edch nevyhnuteln\u00e9 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed Kyjeva d\u00edky drtiv\u00e9 technologick\u00e9 p\u0159evaze NATO tv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed v tv\u00e1\u0159 bos\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1d\u011b, tomu \u017ealostn\u00e9mu poz\u016fstatku star\u00e9, zcela zastaral\u00e9 sov\u011btsk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy.\u00a0A co na to na\u0161i francouz\u0161t\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed se dvacet m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f po\u0161klebovali nad zch\u00e1tralost\u00ed Putinovy \u200b\u200barm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

V\u0161ichni tito chytr\u00e1ci vyjad\u0159ovali sv\u016fj n\u00e1zor na ruskou arm\u00e1du posledn\u00ed generace, o kter\u00e9 nic nev\u011bd\u011bli, kter\u00e1 jim byla naprosto nezn\u00e1m\u00e1.\u00a0Tito skv\u011bl\u00ed strat\u00e9gov\u00e9 si neuv\u011bdomovali, \u017ee zat\u00edmco Evropa skl\u00edzela \u201em\u00edrov\u00e9 dividendy\u201c, Putin dvacet let p\u0159estavoval a budoval tu nejvelkolep\u011bj\u0161\u00ed arm\u00e1du, jakou si lze p\u0159edstavit \u2013 s patn\u00e1cti nebo dvaceti lety nap\u0159ed v technologii.<\/p>\n

Zalu\u017enyj p\u0159ipou\u0161t\u00ed, \u017ee dlouhodob\u00fdm v\u00edt\u011bzem v pozi\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lce bude Rusko:<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cZ mnoha subjektivn\u00edch i objektivn\u00edch d\u016fvod\u016f se sou\u010dasn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka postupn\u011b m\u011bn\u00ed v pozi\u010dn\u00ed formu v\u00e1lky, ze kter\u00e9 bylo z historick\u00e9ho hlediska v\u017edy t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 uniknout a to\u00a0jak pro ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly, tak pro st\u00e1t jako celek.\u00a0Prodlu\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00e1lky je p\u0159itom zpravidla ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f v\u00fdhodn\u00e9 pro jednu ze stran konfliktu.\u00a0V na\u0161em konkr\u00e9tn\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b mluv\u00edme o Rusk\u00e9 federaci, proto\u017ee j\u00ed d\u00e1v\u00e1 p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost doplnit a pos\u00edlit svou vojenskou s\u00edlu.\u00a0Ot\u00e1zky spojen\u00e9 s pochopen\u00edm p\u0159\u00ed\u010din t\u00e9to situace, hled\u00e1n\u00edm mo\u017en\u00fdch v\u00fdsledk\u016f a zm\u011bnou charakteru a pr\u016fb\u011bhu t\u00e9to v\u00e1lky ve prosp\u011bch Ukrajiny jsou proto v sou\u010dasn\u00fdch podm\u00ednk\u00e1ch obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n

Ale jak je \u0159e\u010deno v odkazu v\u00fd\u0161e, Zalu\u017enyj se m\u00fdl\u00ed.\u00a0Nejsou to ani drony, ani tanky, ani elektronick\u00e9 syst\u00e9my, ani letadla a jin\u00e1 protiletadlov\u00e1 obrana, kter\u00e9 by mohly zachr\u00e1nit Kyjev.\u00a0Ve\u0161ker\u00e1 tato masa v\u00fdzbroje spolknut\u00e1 v t\u00e9to nevyhrateln\u00e9 v\u00e1lce jen prodlou\u017eila agonii Ukrajiny a vykrv\u00e1cela jej\u00ed arm\u00e1du.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Rusko je neporaziteln\u00e9, proto\u017ee m\u00e1 v\u00fdhodu ve v\u0161ech oblastech<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Je to zem\u011b se 140 miliony obyvatel ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed se 44 miliony na Ukrajin\u011b (dnes ji\u017e mnohem m\u00e9n\u011b, pozn.red.).\u00a0 Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da m\u016f\u017ee postavit dva miliony voj\u00e1k\u016f, v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b v\u0161eobecn\u00e9 mobilizace dokonce dvacet milion\u016f.\u00a0 Zbrojn\u00ed pr\u016fmysl v ur\u010dit\u00fdch odv\u011btv\u00edch zdesetin\u00e1sobil sv\u00e9 v\u00fdrobn\u00ed kapacity.\u00a0Technologick\u00e1 p\u0159evaha nem\u00e1 ve sv\u011bt\u011b obdoby.\u00a0Schopnost rusk\u00e9 ekonomiky p\u0159izp\u016fsobit se z\u00e1padn\u00edm sankc\u00edm je p\u016fsobiv\u00e1.\u00a0A tato zem\u011b, na rozd\u00edl od toho, co tvrd\u00ed hloup\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed propaganda, zdaleka nen\u00ed izolovan\u00e1, m\u00e1 podporu glob\u00e1ln\u00edho Jihu s \u010c\u00ednou v \u010dele.<\/p>\n

Ve stejnou dobu, kdy Kyjev ztr\u00e1c\u00ed 20 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u011b, Moskva sleduje, jak 40 000 dobrovoln\u00edk\u016f odch\u00e1z\u00ed slou\u017eit sv\u00e9 zemi.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Tento konflikt nen\u00ed ve slep\u00e9 uli\u010dce, naopak.\u00a0Rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da m\u00e1 iniciativu v\u0161ude.\u00a0Tato pozi\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lka prosp\u00edv\u00e1 Rus\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed vybudovali nejfantasti\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obrannou linii za posledn\u00ed desetilet\u00ed.\u00a0Skute\u010dn\u00e1 nepr\u016fchodn\u00e1 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 ze\u010f:\u00a0Surovikinova linie<\/strong>, kter\u00e1 se stala h\u0159bitovem ukrajinsk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed denn\u011b ztr\u00e1cej\u00ed 1500 zabit\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch koleg\u016f.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1zra\u010dn\u00e1 protiofenz\u00edva, kter\u00e1 m\u011bla vypudit Rusy z Ukrajiny a z\u00edskat zp\u011bt Krym, je nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm vojensk\u00fdm fiaskem od roku 1945.\u00a0Za p\u011bt m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f bylo zabito t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 100 000 lid\u00ed, ani\u017e by znovu z\u00edskali sebemen\u0161\u00ed p\u00ed\u010f zem\u011b.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zalu\u017enyj se m\u00fdlil, kdy\u017e se domn\u00edval, \u017ee poraz\u00ed ruskou arm\u00e1du bez letectva a s d\u011blost\u0159electvem desetkr\u00e1t slab\u0161\u00edm ne\u017e to rusk\u00e9.\u00a0T\u0159et\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da od 4. \u010dervna rozt\u00e1la jako sn\u00edh na slunci.<\/p>\n

Je t\u0159eba \u0159\u00edci, \u017ee obyvatel\u00e9 Z\u00e1padu od p\u00e1du zdi v roce 1989 v\u016fbec nic nepochopili.<\/p>\n

Zat\u00edmco Amerika a jej\u00ed evrop\u0161t\u00ed pod\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed se pou\u0161t\u011bli do sv\u00fdch tot\u00e1ln\u00edch koloni\u00e1ln\u00edch v\u00e1lek a vedli asymetrick\u00e9 konflikty, kter\u00e9 cel\u00fd Z\u00e1pad prohr\u00e1l, Putin s nejlep\u0161\u00edmi in\u017een\u00fdry na planet\u011b trp\u011bliv\u011b p\u0159estavoval modern\u00ed arm\u00e1du ur\u010denou pro vysoce intenzivn\u00ed v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed.\u00a0V\u00fdsledek je jasn\u00fd: NATO je dvacet let pozadu, ale nejhor\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee si to z\u00e1padn\u00ed gener\u00e1lov\u00e9 neuv\u011bdomuj\u00ed.\u00a0Sta\u010d\u00ed p\u0159ipomenout chv\u00e1st\u00e1n\u00ed \u201evojensk\u00fdch expert\u016f\u201c v televizi.\u00a0Ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed!<\/p>\n

Encyklopedie o 10 svazc\u00edch by nesta\u010dila k tomu, abychom dali dohromady nesmysly, kter\u00e9 sly\u0161\u00edme na na\u0161ich televizn\u00edch kan\u00e1lech.<\/p>\n

Ve skute\u010dnosti strategie Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho, kterou nepochybn\u011b prosazoval Zelenskij, spo\u010d\u00edvala setrvat v nesplniteln\u00e9 misi.\u00a0Pro\u010d bylo nutn\u00e9 trvat na obran\u011b Mariupolu a Bachmutu, aby tam ztratili nejlep\u0161\u00ed voj\u00e1ky?<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d pos\u00edlat 100 000 voj\u00e1k\u016f, aby prolomili linii Surovikina, kdy\u017e je nepr\u016fchodn\u00e1?<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e se Rusov\u00e9 spo\u0159\u00e1dan\u011b st\u00e1hli z Charkova nebo Chersonu, aby se neocitli v obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed, v\u0161echna m\u00e9dia se t\u011bmto rusk\u00fdm por\u00e1\u017ek\u00e1m posm\u00edvala a chv\u00e1lila tato velk\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed.\u00a0Tolik \u0161patn\u00e9 v\u00edry se st\u00e1v\u00e1 groteskn\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1padn\u00ed tisk u\u017e vid\u011bl Zelensk\u00e9ho v Kremlu!<\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledek tohoto rozd\u00edlu vid\u00edme ve strategii.\u00a0Putin \u0161et\u0159\u00ed sv\u00e9 voj\u00e1ky, Zelenskij je ob\u011btuje, aby z\u00edskal st\u00e1le v\u00edce zbran\u00ed a pen\u011bz.\u00a0Zbran\u011b byly zni\u010deny nebo p\u0159eprod\u00e1ny, miliardy dolar\u016f \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zpronev\u011b\u0159ila kyjevsk\u00e1 mafie.<\/p>\n

A nakonec bylo zabito 400 a\u017e 500 tis\u00edc voj\u00e1k\u016f, je\u0161t\u011b v\u00edce bylo zran\u011bno a 50 tis\u00edc zmrza\u010deno.\u00a0Nemluv\u011b o stovk\u00e1ch tis\u00edc vdov a sirotk\u016f, hlavn\u00edch pora\u017een\u00fdch v t\u00e9to v\u00e1lce, kter\u00e9 se dalo p\u0159edej\u00edt.\u00a0Ke spokojenosti Putina sta\u010dilo respektovat minsk\u00e9 dohody a zav\u00e9st v Evrop\u011b bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Zalu\u017enyj se z\u0159\u00edk\u00e1 odpov\u011bdnosti t\u00edm, \u017ee obvin\u00ed NATO.\u00a0Ale ve skute\u010dnosti tuto v\u00e1lku zvl\u00e1dl \u0161patn\u011b.\u00a0Podle autora je pln\u011b zodpov\u011bdn\u00fd za katastrofu:<\/p>\n

\u201cZalu\u017enyj nejev\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 zn\u00e1mky uzn\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch chyb.\u00a0Pokud by se Zelenskij ne\u0159\u00eddil jeho vojensk\u00fdmi radami, musel by rezignovat.\u00a0Pokud schv\u00e1lil Zelensk\u00e9ho strategii, prost\u011b mu chyb\u011bla rozli\u0161ovac\u00ed schopnost.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 pozd\u011b na opravu jak\u00e9koli z t\u011bchto chyb.\u201d<\/p>\n

Jacques Guillemain<\/p>\n

Pro Pokec24 p\u0159elo\u017eila Janinna<\/em><\/p>\n

ZDROJ<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cPatov\u00e1 situace\u201d: vrchn\u00ed velitel ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny u\u010dinil ne\u010dekan\u00e9 p\u0159izn\u00e1n\u00ed. Vrchn\u00ed velitel ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Ukrajiny…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":39884,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,29,220,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39883"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39883"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39883\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39884"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}