{"id":39304,"date":"2023-10-31T04:35:10","date_gmt":"2023-10-31T03:35:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=39304"},"modified":"2023-10-31T04:35:10","modified_gmt":"2023-10-31T03:35:10","slug":"daniel-l-davis-s-pohledem-uprenym-na-izrael-a-gazu-ztraci-ukrajina-valecnou-dynamiku","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/10\/31\/daniel-l-davis-s-pohledem-uprenym-na-izrael-a-gazu-ztraci-ukrajina-valecnou-dynamiku\/","title":{"rendered":"Daniel L. Davis: S pohledem up\u0159en\u00fdm na Izrael a Gazu ztr\u00e1c\u00ed Ukrajina v\u00e1le\u010dnou dynamiku"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<section class=\"perex\">Den\u00edk Washington Post v \u00fater\u00fd\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/business\/2023\/10\/17\/israel-aid-white-house-ukraine\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">informoval<\/a>, \u017ee Bidenova administrativa se chyst\u00e1 p\u0159edlo\u017eit Kongresu bal\u00ed\u010dek po\u017eaduj\u00edc\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch 100 miliard dolar\u016f na prob\u00edhaj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b, novou v\u00e1lku v Izraeli a potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed budouc\u00ed v\u00e1lku v Indopacifiku.<\/p>\n<p>V \u010dl\u00e1nku bylo vynech\u00e1no jak\u00e9koliv hodnocen\u00ed toho, na co budou pen\u00edze pro Ukrajinu pou\u017eity nebo jak\u00fd dosa\u017eiteln\u00fd c\u00edl by m\u011bly zajistit.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<section class=\"clanek-obsah\">D\u016fvod je celkem jasn\u00fd: vl\u00e1da nem\u00e1 \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd pl\u00e1n a nev\u00ed, \u010deho chce dos\u00e1hnout.<\/p>\n<p>Americk\u00e1 Sn\u011bmovna reprezentant\u016f se zm\u00edt\u00e1 v chaosu a ji\u017e v\u00edce ne\u017e dva t\u00fddny je bez p\u0159edsedy, co\u017e je situace, kter\u00e1 byla \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zp\u016fsobena t\u00edm, \u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed \u010dlenov\u00e9 republik\u00e1nsk\u00e9 konference byli rozhodn\u011b proti poskytnut\u00ed dodate\u010dn\u00fdch finan\u010dn\u00edch prost\u0159edk\u016f v rozpo\u010dtu pro Ukrajinu a vyb\u00edjeli si to na poslanci Kevinu McCarthym (R-Kalif.) t\u00edm, \u017ee\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/10\/03\/us\/politics\/kevin-mccarthy-speaker.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">hlasovali<\/a>\u00a0pro uvoln\u011bn\u00ed jeho funkce p\u0159edsedy.<\/p>\n<p>Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee se tolik pozornosti up\u00edr\u00e1 na\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2023\/10\/18\/jim-jordans-house-speakership-bid-on-the-ropes-ahead-of-second-vote-.html#:~:text=Rep.%20Jim%20Jordan%27s%20bid%20to%20become%20speaker%20of%20the%20U.S.,candidate%20to%20lead%20the%20chamber.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">politick\u00fd chaos<\/a>\u00a0ve Washingtonu a v\u00fdbu\u0161nou situaci v Izraeli, n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed by mohli b\u00fdt rozpt\u00fdleni od toho, aby provedli rozumnou due diligence nutnou k ur\u010den\u00ed, zda m\u00e1 smysl poskytnout dal\u0161\u00ed pen\u00edze Ukrajin\u011b. To by byla chyba. Nen\u00ed pot\u0159eba mnoho anal\u00fdz, abychom si uv\u011bdomili, \u017ee by bylo po\u0161etil\u00e9 pos\u00edlat dal\u0161\u00ed pen\u00edze a zbran\u011b bez strategie ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky, po\u010d\u00ednaje diplomatickou strategi\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by odpov\u00eddala obrovsk\u00e9mu mno\u017estv\u00ed zbran\u00ed, raket a tank\u016f, kter\u00e9 tam ji\u017e pos\u00edl\u00e1me.<\/p>\n<p>V \u0159\u00edjnu a listopadu lo\u0148sk\u00e9ho roku Ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly (UAF) opl\u00fdvaly sebev\u011bdom\u00edm pot\u00e9, co u\u0161t\u011bd\u0159ily rusk\u00fdm \u00fato\u010dn\u00edk\u016fm dv\u011b velk\u00e9 taktick\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky: jednu ve m\u011bst\u011b Cherson a druhou v Charkovsk\u00e9 oblasti. Za necel\u00e9 dva m\u011bs\u00edce UAF znovu z\u00edskaly ohromuj\u00edc\u00edch\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/ukraine-has-retaken-6000-sq-km-land-zelenskiy-2022-09-12\/#:~:text=Sept%2012%20(Reuters)%20%2D%20President,the%20beginning%20of%20the%20month.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">6\u00a0000\u00a0km\u00b2 \u00fazem\u00ed<\/a>. Pen\u00edze, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e od za\u010d\u00e1tku v\u00e1lky proudily z Washingtonu do Kyjeva, byly obrovsk\u00e9. Budou se je\u0161t\u011b zv\u011bt\u0161ovat.<\/p>\n<p>Do prosince 2022\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.crfb.org\/blogs\/congress-approved-113-billion-aid-ukraine-2022\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">schv\u00e1lil<\/a>\u00a0americk\u00fd Kongres celkovou ekonomickou a vojenskou pomoc Ukrajin\u011b ve v\u00fd\u0161i 113 miliard dolar\u016f. Po\u010d\u00e1tkem ledna, povzbuzeni \u00fasp\u011bchy Kyjeva na boji\u0161ti, za\u010daly pravideln\u00e9 tran\u0161e zbran\u00ed na rok 2023, v\u010detn\u011b tohoto ozn\u00e1men\u00ed o dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch bojov\u00fdch vozidel p\u011bchoty Bradley, samohybn\u00fdch houfnic, vozidel MRAP a dal\u0161\u00edch ozbrojen\u00fdch transport\u00e9r\u016f, raket GMLRS, raket zem\u011b-vzduch, protip\u011bchotn\u00edch min, munice a dal\u0161\u00edch polo\u017eek ze z\u00e1sob ministerstva obrany ve v\u00fd\u0161i 3 miliard dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1375\" height=\"165\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1375px) 100vw, 1375px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Spolu s n\u00e1sledn\u00fdmi z\u00e1vazky ostatn\u00edch arm\u00e1d NATO ohledn\u011b tank\u016f Challenger 2, tank\u016f Leopard 2, lehk\u00fdch francouzsk\u00fdch tank\u016f a stovek dal\u0161\u00edch obrn\u011bn\u00fdch vozidel mnoz\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00ed vojen\u0161t\u00ed experti tvrdili, \u017ee Ukrajina by mohla zah\u00e1jit letn\u00ed ofenz\u00edvu, kter\u00e1 by mohla vyrazit k azovsk\u00e9mu pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed, rozetnout rusk\u00e9 obr\u00e1nce na polovinu a mohla by zp\u016fsobit\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=g5NS_rkFL8c\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">zhroucen\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0rusk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy. \u201eRusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da,\u201c\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/video\/lindsey-graham-russians-dying-best-085736703.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">h\u0159\u00edmal<\/a>\u00a0sen\u00e1tor Lindsey Graham, \u201ese chyst\u00e1 rozpoutat svat\u00e9 peklo!\u201c. \u0158\u00edzen\u00ed o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed by mo\u017en\u00e1 bylo lep\u0161\u00ed stopou.<\/p>\n<p>Jak se uk\u00e1zalo, ukrajinsk\u00e1 ofenziva\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.19fortyfive.com\/2023\/08\/the-hard-reality-ukraines-last-gasp-offensive-has-failed\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">nedos\u00e1hla<\/a>\u00a0c\u00edl\u016f, kter\u00e9 Kyjev deklaroval. Nedos\u00e1hla azovsk\u00e9ho pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed. Nedos\u00e1hla ani mezilehl\u00e9ho c\u00edle v Tokmaku. Ve skute\u010dnosti dos\u00e1hla prvn\u00ed linie hlavn\u00ed obrann\u00e9 linie Ruska a\u017e po t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 t\u0159ech m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch a za tu dobu se j\u00ed nepoda\u0159ilo postoupit d\u00e1le. N\u00e1klady Ukrajiny na lidi, materi\u00e1l a munici byly ohromuj\u00edc\u00ed, ale na m\u00edst\u011b nep\u0159inesly t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nic. Absence \u00fasp\u011bchu v\u0161ak neodradila mnoh\u00e9 ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech, kte\u0159\u00ed cht\u011bj\u00ed jednodu\u0161e pokra\u010dovat v nal\u00e9v\u00e1n\u00ed pen\u011bz, munice a zbran\u00ed na Ukrajinu.<\/p>\n<p>Zat\u00edmco administrativa rychle ozn\u00e1mila v\u00fd\u0161i bal\u00ed\u010dk\u016f pomoci, o kter\u00e9 \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 Kongres, ohledn\u011b \u00fa\u010delu t\u011bchto pen\u011bz toho bylo \u0159e\u010deno jen velmi m\u00e1lo. \u0158\u00edci, \u017ee budeme br\u00e1nit Ukrajinu \u201etak dlouho, jak bude t\u0159eba\u201c, nen\u00ed strategie a nelze ji m\u011b\u0159it, hodnotit, a dokonce ani definovat. Prezident dlu\u017e\u00ed americk\u00e9mu lidu konkr\u00e9tn\u00ed v\u00fdsledek, kter\u00fd chce za na\u0161e pen\u00edze dos\u00e1hnout. Bez t\u011bchto informac\u00ed nem\u00e1me \u0161anci zjistit, zda je na\u0161e investice dob\u0159e vynalo\u017een\u00e1 \u2013 nebo zda jde o kolos\u00e1ln\u00ed pl\u00fdtv\u00e1n\u00ed pen\u011bzi.<\/p>\n<p>Jestli\u017ee Ukrajina nebyla schopna prolomit ruskou obrannou linii ani po \u010dty\u0159ech m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch \u00fasil\u00ed, po \u0161esti m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159\u00edprav, pot\u00e9, co\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cfr.org\/article\/how-much-aid-has-us-sent-ukraine-here-are-six-charts\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">obdr\u017eela<\/a>\u00a0vojenskou podporu ve v\u00fd\u0161i v\u00edce ne\u017e 46 miliard dolar\u016f a zna\u010dnou v\u00fdcvikovou a zpravodajskou podporu, jakou logikou mohou zast\u00e1nci dal\u0161\u00ed pomoci argumentovat, \u017ee poskytnut\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edho mnohamiliardov\u00e9ho bal\u00edku usp\u011bje tam, kde v\u0161echny p\u0159edchoz\u00ed snahy selhaly? \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 takov\u00e1 neexistuje.<\/p>\n<p>Neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e1 cesta k ukrajinsk\u00e9mu vojensk\u00e9mu v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed, bez ohledu na to, kolik pen\u011bz Kongres vy\u010dlen\u00ed, kolik tank\u016f poskytneme nebo kolik d\u011blost\u0159eleck\u00fdch gran\u00e1t\u016f vyrob\u00edme. Je na\u010dase uznat tuto zjevnou pravdu na m\u00edst\u011b a hledat jin\u00e9 cesty vp\u0159ed.<\/p>\n<p><i>Daniel L. Davis je star\u0161\u00edm spolupracovn\u00edkem organizace Defense Priorities a b\u00fdval\u00fdm podplukovn\u00edkem americk\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy, kter\u00fd ode\u0161el do d\u016fchodu v roce 2015 po 21 letech, v\u010detn\u011b \u010dty\u0159 bojov\u00fdch nasazen\u00ed. Sledujte ho na Twitteru @DanielLDavis1.<\/i><\/p>\n<div class=\"podcarou\">\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/informationclearinghouse.blog\/2023\/10\/25\/with-all-eyes-on-israel-gaza-ukraine-is-losing-war-momentum\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"external noopener\">With All Eyes on Israel-Gaza, Ukraine is losing war momentum<\/a> vy\u0161el na ICH 25.10.2023. P\u0159eklad\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/zvedavec.news\/komentare\/2023\/10\/9849-s-pohledem-uprenym-na-izrael-a-gazu-ztraci-ukrajina-valecnou-dynamiku.htm\">Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Den\u00edk Washington Post v \u00fater\u00fd\u00a0informoval, \u017ee Bidenova administrativa se chyst\u00e1 p\u0159edlo\u017eit Kongresu bal\u00ed\u010dek po\u017eaduj\u00edc\u00ed dal\u0161\u00edch&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15436,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[107,29,276,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39304"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39304"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39304\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15436"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39304"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39304"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39304"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}