{"id":38973,"date":"2023-10-26T01:06:39","date_gmt":"2023-10-25T23:06:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=38973"},"modified":"2023-10-25T17:43:19","modified_gmt":"2023-10-25T15:43:19","slug":"jiri-paroubek-jak-skonci-hra-o-financni-rad-sveta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/10\/26\/jiri-paroubek-jak-skonci-hra-o-financni-rad-sveta\/","title":{"rendered":"Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek: Jak skon\u010d\u00ed hra o finan\u010dn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d sv\u011bta?"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n

Mus\u00ed to b\u00fdt hra s n\u00e1mi, ne proti n\u00e1m.<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u0159ed ukrajinsk\u00fdm konfliktem, resp. p\u0159ed zaveden\u00edm sankc\u00ed na Rusko, se drtiv\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina (cca 90%) mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho obchodu a transakc\u00ed prov\u00e1d\u011bla v dolarech. V\u011bci se ale pon\u011bkud zm\u011bnily. Pokud v\u00fdvoj bude pokra\u010dovat sou\u010dasn\u00fdm tempem, tak to m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v roce 2025 m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e polovina.<\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b radik\u00e1ln\u011b se m\u016f\u017eou m\u011bnit tak\u00e9 devizov\u00e9 rezervy st\u00e1t\u016f, kter\u00e9 byly p\u0159ed ukrajinskou v\u00e1lkou vedeny z velk\u00e9 \u010dasti v dolarech (cca 60%), z men\u0161\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti v eurech (cca 25%) a teprve pak v dal\u0161\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

Velk\u00e9 skupiny st\u00e1t\u016f Glob\u00e1ln\u00edho jihu jako jsou \u010dlenov\u00e9 BRICS+, \u0160OS, ASEAN (atd.) se bou\u0159\u00ed proti sou\u010dasn\u00e9mu obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s nekontrolovateln\u011b ti\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdmi dolary a cht\u011bj\u00ed d\u00e1t v platb\u00e1ch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho obchodu p\u0159ednost n\u00e1rodn\u00edm m\u011bn\u00e1m. Hodn\u011b se mluv\u00ed tak\u00e9 o kryt\u00ed vedouc\u00edch n\u00e1rodn\u00edch m\u011bn zlatem. Sou\u010dasn\u011b se tyto st\u00e1ty pokou\u0161ej\u00ed vytvo\u0159it rezervn\u00ed m\u011bnu, kter\u00e1 by se op\u00edrala o re\u00e1ln\u00e9 bohatstv\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Jednodu\u0161e \u0159e\u010deno, vytv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d, ve kter\u00e9m m\u00e1 b\u00fdt m\u011bna st\u00e1tu podlo\u017eena odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00ed hodnotou produkce nebo zlatem, nikoliv pouhou spekulac\u00ed jako se \u017eetony v kas\u00ednu. Takov\u00fdch spekulativn\u00edch dolar\u016f se to\u010d\u00ed v nejr\u016fzn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch finan\u010dn\u00edch transakc\u00edch mnohon\u00e1sobn\u011b v\u00edc ne\u017e je HDP cel\u00e9ho sv\u011bta.<\/p>\n

Pokud by se poda\u0159ilo prosadit n\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bny do plateb v zahrani\u010dn\u00edm obchod\u011b, polovina dolar\u016f mimo vnit\u0159n\u00ed trh USA – nazv\u011bme je t\u0159eba „mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi dolary“ – nebude pot\u0159eba. To by byl skute\u010dn\u00fd ot\u0159es. Dolar\u016f mimo USA je mnohon\u00e1sobn\u011b v\u00edce ne\u017e „vnit\u0159n\u00edch dolar\u016f“ pro transakce uvnit\u0159 USA. Nikdo v\u0161ak neum\u00ed \u0159\u00edct, kolik jich p\u0159esn\u011b je, proto\u017ee USA to d\u00e1vno p\u0159estaly zve\u0159ej\u0148ovat.<\/p>\n

Co m\u016f\u017ee Washington proti oslabov\u00e1n\u00ed dolaru ud\u011blat?<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

Pokud jde o politiku st\u00e1t\u016f BRICS, m\u016f\u017ee zkou\u0161et podobn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 seskupen\u00ed rozlo\u017eit. Dal\u0161\u00ed krok, kter\u00fd Washington m\u016f\u017ee ud\u011blat, je ob\u011btov\u00e1n\u00ed eura. Euro lze snadno ohrozit, proto\u017ee na rozd\u00edl od dolaru nen\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bnou. M\u00e1 sice centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banku, ale nem\u00e1 evropsk\u00e9 ministerstvo financ\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by zaji\u0161\u0165ovalo s\u00edlu m\u011bny ze strany rozpo\u010dtov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjm\u016f a hl\u00eddalo obchodn\u00ed bilance.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna vlastn\u00ed obrovsk\u00e9 dolarov\u00e9 rezervy ve form\u011b dluhopis\u016f Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f. Ty by za\u010daly ztr\u00e1cet hodnotu, kdyby je cht\u011bla rychle prodat. Pokud v\u0161ak st\u00e1ty BRICS zavedou zlatem podlo\u017een\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bny, cena zlata v\u00fdrazn\u011b vzroste, a toho m\u00e1 \u010c\u00edna takovou z\u00e1sobu, \u017ee by to mohlo ztr\u00e1ty z dluhopis\u016f USA z r\u016fstu cen zlata pokr\u00fdt.<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed pochyb, \u017ee USA si udr\u017e\u00ed silnou ekonomickou pozici i po takov\u00e9 z\u00e1sadn\u00ed zm\u011bn\u011b, jako je pokles role dolaru v mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch platb\u00e1ch, ale ztrat\u00ed pozici vedouc\u00ed finan\u010dn\u00ed velmoci.<\/p>\n

Jak\u00fd by tedy m\u011bl b\u00fdt postup \u010desk\u00e9ho st\u00e1tu?<\/p>\n

\u010cesko by m\u011blo b\u00fdt p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm odv\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Sv\u011bt se m\u011bn\u00ed a zm\u011bn\u00ed se i bez n\u00e1s, kdy\u017e se budeme b\u00e1t j\u00edt za na\u0161imi n\u00e1rodn\u00edmi z\u00e1jmy. Tyto zm\u011bny p\u0159itom mohou b\u00fdt stejn\u011b z\u00e1sadn\u00ed jako roku 1989. Nejde jen o finan\u010dn\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d, ale tak\u00e9 o z\u00e1sadn\u00ed politick\u00e9 zm\u011bny. V\u00fdsledkem zm\u011bn bude multipol\u00e1rn\u00ed uspo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u011bta. C\u00edlem je sv\u011bt bez bezmocn\u00e9ho podl\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed dikt\u00e1tu hegemona.<\/p>\n

Od vl\u00e1dn\u00ed p\u011btikoalice n\u011bjak\u00e9 z\u00e1sadn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed politick\u00e9 \u00favahy nem\u016f\u017eeme \u010dekat, proto\u017ee by uk\u00e1zaly, jak je nejednotn\u00e1. P\u0159i tak z\u00e1sadn\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed „\u0161achov\u00e9 h\u0159e“ v\u0161ak nesta\u010d\u00ed mluvit v n\u00e1znac\u00edch. Je zapot\u0159eb\u00ed naj\u00edt odvahu k rozhodnut\u00edm, kter\u00e1 na\u0161\u00ed vlasti zaj\u00edst\u00ed takov\u00e9 m\u00edsto ve zm\u011bn\u011bn\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00e9 je dlouhodob\u011b h\u00e1jiteln\u00e9.<\/p>\n

To nen\u00ed ot\u00e1zka zbran\u00ed, ty uj\u00eddaj\u00ed chleba. Pot\u0159ebujeme dlouhodob\u011b udr\u017eiteln\u00e9 m\u00edsto v hodnotov\u00fdch \u0159et\u011bzc\u00edch mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce. Nepot\u0159ebujeme nep\u0159\u00e1tele, pot\u0159ebujeme p\u0159\u00e1tele a partnery i mimo mal\u00fd evropsk\u00fd dvorek.<\/p>\n

K tomu v\u0161ak \u010cesk\u00e1 republika pot\u0159ebuje samostatnou zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku. Nemus\u00edme slep\u011b n\u00e1sledovat sankce proti Rusku a \u010c\u00edn\u011b. Stejn\u011b tak nemus\u00edme bez kritick\u00e9ho hodnocen\u00ed podporovat zkorumpovan\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd re\u017eim. Tak\u00e9 \u010dlenstv\u00ed v Evropsk\u00e9 unii a NATO je t\u0159eba vyu\u017e\u00edt k tomu, aby skute\u010dn\u011b za\u010daly plnit funkce garant\u016f m\u00edrov\u00e9 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ce, ke kter\u00fdm se proklamativn\u011b hl\u00e1s\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Zkr\u00e1tka, mus\u00ed to b\u00fdt hra s n\u00e1mi, ne proti n\u00e1m.<\/p>\n

Ji\u0159\u00ed Paroubek<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mus\u00ed to b\u00fdt hra s n\u00e1mi, ne proti n\u00e1m. P\u0159ed ukrajinsk\u00fdm konfliktem, resp. p\u0159ed zaveden\u00edm…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8009,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[6],"tags":[1042,59,45,29,276],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38973"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38973"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38973\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8009"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38973"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38973"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38973"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}