{"id":38613,"date":"2023-10-21T01:06:17","date_gmt":"2023-10-20T23:06:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=38613"},"modified":"2023-10-20T16:11:41","modified_gmt":"2023-10-20T14:11:41","slug":"jihocinske-more-casovana-bomba-cekajici-na-vybuch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/10\/21\/jihocinske-more-casovana-bomba-cekajici-na-vybuch\/","title":{"rendered":"Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e \u2013 \u010dasovan\u00e1 bomba \u010dekaj\u00edc\u00ed na v\u00fdbuch"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Je jen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu, kdy Peking zareaguje rozhodn\u011bji na st\u00e1le asertivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postoj Manily ve sporn\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch.<\/strong><\/p>\n

„Tyto nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 man\u00e9vry p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed zna\u010dn\u00e1 rizika pro n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, prevenci koliz\u00ed a nebezpe\u010d\u00ed pro lidsk\u00fd \u017eivot na mo\u0159i,“ \u0159ekl b\u011bhem nov\u00e9ho kola viceadmir\u00e1l Alberto Carlos, vedouc\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edho velen\u00ed ozbrojen\u00fdch sil Filip\u00edn (AFP). nap\u011bt\u00ed v Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i.<\/p>\n

„\u010c\u00edna mus\u00ed okam\u017eit\u011b zastavit tyto nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 akce a chovat se profesion\u00e1ln\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee se bude \u0159\u00eddit mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edm pr\u00e1vem,“ uvedl nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed vojensk\u00fd p\u0159edstavitel Filip\u00edn po obvin\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 lo\u010f pron\u00e1sledovala filip\u00ednskou v\u00e1le\u010dnou lo\u010f a pokusila se na ni za\u00fato\u010dit pobl\u00ed\u017e ostrova Thitu ve sporn\u00e9m \u0159et\u011bzci ostrov\u016f Spratly. p\u0159ekro\u010dit cestu.<\/p>\n

Podle filip\u00ednsk\u00fdch \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f k incidentu do\u0161lo 13. \u0159\u00edjna b\u011bhem konfrontace mezi filip\u00ednskou v\u00e1le\u010dnou lod\u00ed BRP Benguet a lod\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159nictva lidov\u00e9 osvobozeneck\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy (PLAN), zn\u00e1m\u00e9 jako Lo\u010f 621. \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e1 lo\u010f se \u00fadajn\u011b pokusila za\u00fato\u010dit na p\u0159\u00ed\u010f filip\u00ednsk\u00e9 lodi v relativn\u011b kr\u00e1tkou vzd\u00e1lenost 320 metr\u016f, aby se zabr\u00e1nilo z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed misi.<\/p>\n

Od 70. let 20. stolet\u00ed Filip\u00edny nad\u00e1le vykon\u00e1valy kontrolu nad strategicky um\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdm ostrovem Thitu t\u00edm, \u017ee na sporn\u00e9m \u00fazem\u00ed z\u0159\u00eddily vojensk\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed a trvale um\u00edstily civiln\u00ed komunitu, v\u010detn\u011b do\u010dasn\u00e9ho rezidenta starosty.<\/p>\n

N\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk \u0161t\u00e1bu filip\u00ednsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil gener\u00e1l Romeo Brawner tak\u00e9 rychle zv\u00e1\u017eil ned\u00e1vn\u00e9 nap\u011bt\u00ed na mo\u0159i a varoval \u010c\u00ednu p\u0159ed \u201enebezpe\u010dn\u00fdmi man\u00e9vry a agresivn\u00edmi akcemi proti filip\u00ednsk\u00fdm plavidl\u016fm\u201c, kter\u00e9 podle n\u011bj p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed riziko pro \u201e\u017eivoty n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edk\u016f na obou stran\u00e1ch\u201c. \u201c mohl p\u0159edstavovat.<\/p>\n

Nejednalo se v \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9m p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b o ojedin\u011bl\u00fd incident: Filip\u00edny a \u010c\u00edna jsou ji\u017e m\u011bs\u00edce zapojeny do diplomatick\u00e9 a n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed konfrontace v Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i.\u00a0Manila, kter\u00e1 se nyn\u00ed t\u011b\u0161\u00ed rostouc\u00ed podpo\u0159e ze strany spojenc\u016f a podobn\u011b sm\u00fd\u0161lej\u00edc\u00edch mocnost\u00ed v\u010detn\u011b smluvn\u00edho spojence Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, zauj\u00edm\u00e1 ke spor\u016fm mnohem pevn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postoj a signalizuje \u010c\u00edn\u011b novou geopolitickou realitu ve sporn\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

Ve stejnou dobu \u010del\u00ed Filip\u00edny n\u011bkolika \u201e\u010dasovan\u00fdm bomb\u00e1m\u201c, proto\u017ee bilater\u00e1ln\u00ed nap\u011bt\u00ed dos\u00e1hne bodu varu kv\u016fli \u0159ad\u011b probl\u00e9m\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b vlastnictv\u00ed Second Thomas Shoal, Reed Bank a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstupu USA k filip\u00ednsk\u00fdm z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m pobl\u00ed\u017e Tchaj-wanu.\u00a0Nen\u00ed jasn\u00e9, jak daleko mohou Filip\u00edny posunout hranici, ani\u017e by vyvolaly agresivn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednskou reakci.<\/p>\n

Klid p\u0159ed bou\u0159\u00ed<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna se doned\u00e1vna nach\u00e1zela v Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i v neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u011b p\u0159\u00edzniv\u00e9 situaci.\u00a0B\u00fdval\u00fd filip\u00ednsk\u00fd prezident Rodrigo Duterte nejen pohrozil p\u0159eru\u0161en\u00edm obrann\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ce sv\u00e9 zem\u011b se Z\u00e1padem, ale tak\u00e9 varoval p\u0159ed prosazov\u00e1n\u00edm suver\u00e9nn\u00edch pr\u00e1v Filip\u00edn ve sporn\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

Za prv\u00e9, Duterte se rozhodl \u201eodlo\u017eit\u201c historick\u00fd n\u00e1lez Filip\u00edn v arbitr\u00e1\u017ei v Haagu, kter\u00e1 zam\u00edtla rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9 n\u00e1roky \u010c\u00edny v Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i.\u00a0P\u0159i n\u011bkolika p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitostech tehdej\u0161\u00ed filip\u00ednsk\u00fd prezident u\u010dinil pochybn\u00e1 prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed a pochybn\u011b tvrdil, \u017ee by Filip\u00edny riskovaly v\u00e1lku s \u010c\u00ednou p\u0159i prosazov\u00e1n\u00ed sv\u00fdch z\u00e1konn\u00fdch pr\u00e1v.<\/p>\n

„[Xiho] odpov\u011b\u010f na m\u011b byla: ‚Jsme p\u0159\u00e1tel\u00e9, nechceme se s v\u00e1mi h\u00e1dat, chceme zachovat v\u0159elost vztahu, ale kdy\u017e tu z\u00e1le\u017eitost vynut\u00edte, p\u016fjdeme do v\u00e1lky,'“ Duterte prohl\u00e1sil po jednom ze sv\u00fdch setk\u00e1n\u00ed s \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdm v\u016fdcem.\u00a0Peking nikdy nepotvrdil ani nevyvr\u00e1til platnost Duterteho prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Filip\u00ednsk\u00fd v\u016fdce tento postoj posunul d\u00e1le a varoval, \u017ee vzdorov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010c\u00edn\u011b, v\u010detn\u011b ostrova Thitu, se rovn\u00e1 \u201ep\u0159\u00edprav\u011b na sebevra\u017eedn\u00e9 mise\u201c.\u00a0Kdy\u017e podez\u0159el\u00e1 lo\u010f \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 milice narazila do filip\u00ednsk\u00e9 ryb\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 lodi a n\u00e1sledn\u011b ji potopila, Duterte odporoval sv\u00fdm vlastn\u00edm p\u0159edstavitel\u016fm obrany t\u00edm, \u017ee to odm\u00edtl jako \u201emen\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed katastrofu\u201c.<\/p>\n

Kdy\u017e se jako nejpravd\u011bpodobn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1stupce Duterteho uk\u00e1zal Ferdinand Marcos mlad\u0161\u00ed, kter\u00fd vedl v\u011bt\u0161inu pr\u016fzkum\u016f p\u0159ed lo\u0148sk\u00fdmi volbami, byla \u010c\u00edna optimistick\u00e1, pokud jde o pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed tehdy submisivn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky Manily.\u00a0Ostatn\u011b jako prezidentsk\u00fd kandid\u00e1t Marcos Jr. opakovan\u011b zpochyb\u0148oval u\u017eite\u010dnost spojenectv\u00ed Filip\u00edn se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a zd\u016fraz\u0148oval d\u016fle\u017eitost dialogu s \u010c\u00ednou.<\/p>\n

Sotva rok po n\u00e1stupu do \u00fa\u0159adu v\u0161ak administrativa Marcose Jr. zm\u011bnila kurz v Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i.\u00a0D\u016fvodem bylo zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee Duterteho zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika naklon\u011bn\u00e1 \u010c\u00edn\u011b pouze oslabila pozici zem\u011b, proto\u017ee \u010c\u00edna nedok\u00e1zala ud\u011blat v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u00fastupky navzdory v\u00edce ne\u017e \u0161esti let\u016fm neust\u00e1l\u00fdch rozhovor\u016f na vysok\u00e9 \u00farovni.<\/p>\n

V souladu s t\u00edm nov\u00fd filip\u00ednsk\u00fd prezident nejen zaujal tvrd\u00fd postoj v n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch sporech, ale tak\u00e9 uv\u00edtal roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159enou obrannou spolupr\u00e1ci se Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty a jejich spojenci.\u00a0Nejpozoruhodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee Filip\u00edny roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ily parametry Dohody o roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 spolupr\u00e1ci (EDCA) t\u00edm, \u017ee poskytly Pentagonu nov\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup ke strategicky um\u00edst\u011bn\u00fdm z\u00e1kladn\u00e1m s v\u00fdhledem na Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e a Tchaj-wan.<\/p>\n

Z\u00e1rove\u0148 v\u0161ak n\u00e1rod jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie prosazuje agresivn\u00ed ve\u0159ejnou diplomacii a neust\u00e1le odhaluje \u00fadajn\u011b n\u00e1tlakov\u00e9 chov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010c\u00edny ve sporn\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

Jak tvrdil mluv\u010d\u00ed filip\u00ednsk\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed str\u00e1\u017ee Jay Tarriela: \u201eZa p\u0159edchoz\u00ed [Duterteho] administrativy byly probl\u00e9my s \u010c\u00ednou zve\u0159ej\u0148ov\u00e1ny pouze tehdy, kdy\u017e byly obzvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 z\u00e1va\u017en\u00e9,\u201c ale za Marcose mlad\u0161\u00edho existuje \u201ez\u00e1vazek k transparentnosti a… v\u016fle chr\u00e1nit suverenitu zem\u011b.“<\/p>\n

V r\u00e1mci filip\u00ednsk\u00e9ho z\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed bezpe\u010dnosti nyn\u00ed panuje shoda na pot\u0159eb\u011b \u010delit \u010c\u00edn\u011b prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm aktivn\u00ed diplomacie a roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en\u00fdch n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00edch a donucovac\u00edch operac\u00ed.\u00a0Manile se tak poda\u0159ilo pos\u00edlit svou strategickou pozici t\u00edm, \u017ee do zna\u010dn\u00e9 m\u00edry ignorovala varov\u00e1n\u00ed z Pekingu a zv\u00fd\u0161ila svou bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci s USA a jejich spojenci.<\/p>\n

T\u011b\u017ek\u00e1 rozhodnut\u00ed<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Ob\u011b strany budou v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti st\u00e1t p\u0159ed obt\u00ed\u017en\u00fdmi rozhodnut\u00edmi.\u00a0Za prv\u00e9, Filip\u00edny jsou na k\u0159i\u017eovatce u Second Thomas Shoal, kde je nad opu\u0161t\u011bnou uv\u00edzlou lod\u00ed nebezpe\u010dn\u011b um\u00edst\u011bna filip\u00ednsk\u00e1 n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed ochrann\u00e1 s\u00edla.\u00a0Z\u00e1rove\u0148 Filip\u00edn\u00e1m doch\u00e1z\u00ed \u010das na v\u00fdvoj alternativn\u00edch zdroj\u016f energie, a tak upevnit sv\u016fj n\u00e1rok na kontroverzn\u00ed Reed Bank, o kter\u00e9 se p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1, \u017ee dr\u017e\u00ed velk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby uhlovod\u00edk\u016f.<\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna obt\u011b\u017eovala filip\u00ednsk\u00e9 aktivity v oblasti energetick\u00e9ho pr\u016fzkumu v Reed Bank a blokovala filip\u00ednsk\u00e9 z\u00e1sobovac\u00ed mise na Second Thomas Shoal.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna tak\u00e9 varovala p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edm\u00fdm z\u00e1sahem, pokud Manila postav\u00ed nov\u00e9 stavby na sporn\u00e9m \u00fatesu.<\/p>\n

Vyu\u017eit\u00edm sv\u00fdch prohlubuj\u00edc\u00edch se obrann\u00fdch alianc\u00ed se Z\u00e1padem, vybaven\u00fdch st\u00e1le modern\u011bj\u0161\u00edmi lod\u011bmi, Manila douf\u00e1, \u017ee prolom\u00ed \u010d\u00ednskou strategii obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00ed ve sporn\u00fdch vod\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n

Stejn\u011b kontroverzn\u00ed je v\u0161ak rozhodnut\u00ed Filip\u00edn umo\u017enit americk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m p\u0159\u00edstup na vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny v nejsevern\u011bj\u0161\u00edch provinci\u00edch soused\u00edc\u00edch s Tchaj-wanem, co\u017e by mohlo m\u00edt p\u0159\u00edm\u00fd dopad na p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ak\u010dn\u00ed pl\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n

V\u00fdsledkem je komplexn\u00ed \u201espojen\u00ed Tchaj-wan-Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e\u201c, kter\u00e9 sou\u010dasn\u011b pos\u00edlilo strategickou pozici Filip\u00edn a zv\u00fd\u0161ilo riziko mo\u017en\u00e9 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 odvety.<\/p>\n

V budoucnu by jednou z mo\u017enost\u00ed pro Manilu mohlo b\u00fdt omezen\u00ed americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edtomnosti na jej\u00edch severn\u00edch hranic\u00edch s Tchaj-wanem v\u00fdm\u011bnou za implicitn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 uzn\u00e1n\u00ed pr\u00e1va n\u00e1roda jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie na upevn\u011bn\u00ed sv\u00e9 pozice v Druh\u00e9 Thomasov\u011b m\u011bl\u010din\u011b a mo\u017en\u00e1 na z\u00e1klad\u011b servisn\u00ed smlouvy. s \u010d\u00ednskou spole\u010dnost\u00ed na rozvoj uhlovod\u00edkov\u00fdch zdroj\u016f v Reed Bank.<\/p>\n

Prozat\u00edm je v\u0161ak jasn\u00e9, \u017ee ob\u011b strany testuj\u00ed vody st\u00e1le v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm riskov\u00e1n\u00edm, dr\u017een\u00edm a roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00edm sv\u00fdch pozic v nad\u011bji, \u017ee dos\u00e1hnou nejlep\u0161\u00edho mo\u017en\u00e9ho kompromisn\u00edho \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed, ani\u017e by se dostaly do potenci\u00e1ln\u011b katastrof\u00e1ln\u00edho ozbrojen\u00e9ho konfliktu.<\/p>\n

Richard Javad Heydarian<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

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Je jen ot\u00e1zkou \u010dasu, kdy Peking zareaguje rozhodn\u011bji na st\u00e1le asertivn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed postoj Manily ve sporn\u00fdch…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":34944,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[30,3986,5760,220],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38613"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38613"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38613\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38614,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38613\/revisions\/38614"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/34944"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38613"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38613"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38613"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}