{"id":38291,"date":"2023-10-16T10:44:23","date_gmt":"2023-10-16T08:44:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=38291"},"modified":"2023-10-16T10:44:23","modified_gmt":"2023-10-16T08:44:23","slug":"bidenovo-rozhodnuti-poslat-valecne-lode-k-pobrezi-gazy-je-nebezpecnejsi-nez-jsme-si-mysleli","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/10\/16\/bidenovo-rozhodnuti-poslat-valecne-lode-k-pobrezi-gazy-je-nebezpecnejsi-nez-jsme-si-mysleli\/","title":{"rendered":"Bidenovo rozhodnut\u00ed poslat v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b k pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed Gazy je nebezpe\u010dn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e jsme si mysleli"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Poku\u0161en\u00ed Benjamina Netanjahua zinscenovat \u00fatok na Ameri\u010dany je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9, kdy\u017e vid\u00ed, \u017ee konflikt neprob\u00edh\u00e1 podle jeho p\u0159edstav.<\/em><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Izraelsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r Benjamin Netanjahu s\u00e1z\u00ed na jednu kartu: \u017ee USA pln\u011b p\u0159ijmou jeho bl\u00e1znivou my\u0161lenku region\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00e1lky mezi Izraelem a \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00fdmi z\u00e1stupci v regionu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pro Netanjahua to byl v\u017edy pl\u00e1n od za\u010d\u00e1tku.\u00a0K dosa\u017een\u00ed tohoto c\u00edle je v\u0161ak zapot\u0159eb\u00ed \u0159ada krok\u016f.\u00a0Nejprve mus\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit Bidenovu administrativu, aby se p\u0159ipojila k IDF v jej\u00ed v\u00e1lce v Gaze.\u00a0A ani to nebude jednoduch\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Up\u0159ednostnil by zapojen\u00ed Washingtonu p\u0159\u00edmo do konfliktu s Hamasem, proto\u017ee douf\u00e1, \u017ee roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159\u00ed v\u00e1lku do Libanonu a \u00cdr\u00e1nu, jak ned\u00e1vno \u0159ekl pro Russia Today Michael Maloof, b\u00fdval\u00fd vysok\u00fd analytik bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed politiky na americk\u00e9m ministerstvu obrany.\u00a0Maloof m\u00e1 jist\u011b pravdu, ale Bidenovo rozhodnut\u00ed poslat flotilu v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00fdch lod\u00ed na v\u00fdchodn\u00ed pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed St\u0159edozemn\u00edho mo\u0159e je nebezpe\u010dn\u00e9 na mnoha \u00farovn\u00edch.\u00a0Je snadn\u00e9 vid\u011bt, \u017ee Biden chce podporovat Izrael a m\u00e1 tak\u00e9 fyzickou p\u0159\u00edtomnost v regionu, aby si Hizball\u00e1h dvakr\u00e1t rozmyslel, zda vyu\u017eije p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitosti k p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9mu \u00fatoku, zat\u00edmco IDF jsou v Gaze zanepr\u00e1zdn\u011bny.\u00a0Probl\u00e9m s t\u00edmto sm\u011brem my\u0161len\u00ed je v tom, \u017ee Hizball\u00e1h nebude takov\u00fdmi kroky snadno ohro\u017een a s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed bude nucen uva\u017eovat o proveden\u00ed takov\u00e9ho \u00fatoku ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00edm a odv\u00e1\u017en\u011bj\u0161\u00edm m\u011b\u0159\u00edtku, zat\u00edmco americk\u00e9 lod\u011b budou p\u0159ipraveny bombardovat ji\u017en\u00ed Libanon. kdyby tam nebyli.\u00a0To je ur\u010dit\u011b vlastn\u00ed g\u00f3l.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zadruh\u00e9, poku\u0161en\u00ed pro Netanjahua prov\u00e9st zinscenovan\u00fd \u00fatok na Ameri\u010dany je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9, kdy\u017e vid\u00ed, \u017ee konflikt neprob\u00edh\u00e1 jeho cestou.<\/span><\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed obavou, kterou je t\u0159eba vz\u00edt v \u00favahu, je to, \u017ee by se sami Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 mohli dopustit taktick\u00fdch chyb.\u00a0\u0160patn\u00e1 kalkulace v t\u00e9to situaci je extr\u00e9mn\u011b nebezpe\u010dn\u00e1 a Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 ji\u017e maj\u00ed v regionu zasebou podobn\u00e9 chyby. Takov\u00e1 chyba by uvrhla cel\u00fd region do v\u00e1lky s \u00cdr\u00e1nem, o kter\u00e9 Netanjahu cel\u00fd \u017eivot snil.\u00a0A pro Ameri\u010dany by neexistovala snadn\u00e1 \u201ecesta ven\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

V pond\u011bl\u00ed 9. \u0159\u00edjna Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vyslaly do v\u00fdchodn\u00edho St\u0159edomo\u0159\u00ed letadlovou lo\u010f USS Gerald R. Ford a p\u011bt torp\u00e9doborc\u016f s \u0159\u00edzen\u00fdmi st\u0159elami.\u00a0Podle Maloofa to \u201espl\u0148uje Netanjahuovy nejdivo\u010dej\u0161\u00ed sny\u201c.<\/span><\/p>\n

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„Cht\u011bl zapojit USA do tohoto konfliktu,“ \u0159ekl b\u00fdval\u00fd p\u0159edstavitel Pentagonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

Netanjahu \u201echce zah\u00e1jit v\u00e1lku s Libanonem \u00fatokem na Hizball\u00e1h\u201c, aby dos\u00e1hl sv\u00e9ho kone\u010dn\u00e9ho c\u00edle \u201ebombardovat \u00edr\u00e1nsk\u00e1 jadern\u00e1 za\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed,\u201c dodal Maloof.\u00a0Aby to mohl ud\u011blat, musel m\u00edt \u201emoment v Tonkinsk\u00e9m z\u00e1livu\u201c, pokud to tak lze \u0159\u00edci.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed si vzpomenou, jak americk\u00fd prezident Lyndon Johnson zah\u00e1jil v roce 1964 v\u00e1lku ve Vietnamu malou fale\u0161nou zpr\u00e1vou t\u00edm, \u017ee vyslal lod\u011b do Tonkinsk\u00e9ho z\u00e1livu.\u00a0\u00dadajn\u00fd \u00fatok severovietnamsk\u00fdch sil na dva americk\u00e9 torp\u00e9doborce pak byl pou\u017eit jako z\u00e1minka pro p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 zapojen\u00ed.\u00a0V t\u011bch dnech v\u0161e, co vl\u00e1da LBJ musela ud\u011blat, bylo ozn\u00e1mit, \u017ee tyto lod\u011b byly napadeny severovietnamsk\u00fdmi silami.\u00a0To sta\u010dilo k ospravedln\u011bn\u00ed vietnamsk\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, v\u00e1lky, kterou nejen Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 prohr\u00e1li, ale kter\u00e1 na desetilet\u00ed nov\u011b definovala americkou zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku.<\/span><\/p>\n

USA se tak\u00e9 zav\u00e1zaly podporovat Izrael zbran\u011bmi a munic\u00ed, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e Pentagon tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee jich m\u00e1 dostatek a z\u00e1rove\u0148 z\u00e1sobuje Ukrajinu.\u00a0Maloof je v\u0161ak k tomuto tvrzen\u00ed skeptick\u00fd.<\/span><\/p>\n

A tak jsou tam v\u0161echny ingredience, aby se konvice p\u0159eva\u0159ila.\u00a0Pokud je Netanjahu spokojen s t\u00edm, \u017ee \u00fatok na Gazu prob\u00edh\u00e1 podle pl\u00e1nu – rozm\u00edst\u00ed se vojensk\u00e1 strategie zalo\u017een\u00e1 na vyhladov\u011bn\u00ed nep\u0159\u00edtele p\u0159ed druho\u0159adou p\u011bchotou IDF, nejhor\u0161\u00edm tajemstv\u00edm na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b je, jak \u0161patn\u00e1 je izraelsk\u00e1 p\u011bchota na boji\u0161ti – pak se m\u016f\u017ee rozhodnout neobr\u00e1tit se na Ameri\u010dany s velk\u00fdm pl\u00e1nem. Ale pokud se v\u011bci zhor\u0161\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 rozhovory s Bidenem a jeho poradci o \u00farovni podpory, v kterou m\u016f\u017ee doufat ve v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed v\u00e1lce.\u00a0Je v\u0161ak nepravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by ho Biden podpo\u0159il, proto\u017ee to posledn\u00ed, co p\u0159ed znovuzvolen\u00edm pot\u0159ebuje, je sv\u011btov\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a americk\u00e9 pytle na t\u011bla.\u00a0A tak p\u0159irozen\u00fd v\u00fdvoj bude takov\u00fd, \u017ee Netanjahuovi lid\u00e9 dojdou k z\u00e1v\u011bru, \u017ee jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak zahrnout Ameriku, je, kdy\u017e nebude m\u00edt na v\u00fdb\u011br.\u00a0Jedin\u00fdm skute\u010dn\u00fdm zp\u016fsobem, jak to zaru\u010dit, je, \u017ee tyto americk\u00e9 v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 lod\u011b budou \u00fadajn\u011b napadeny raketami Hizball\u00e1hu v ji\u017en\u00edm Libanonu.<\/span><\/p>\n

P\u0159im\u011bt libanonskou \u0161\u00editskou skupinu, aby to ud\u011blala, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt t\u011b\u017e\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e si Netanjahu mysl\u00ed.\u00a0Hizball\u00e1h a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 dob\u0159e ch\u00e1pe lest a nenech\u00e1 se zat\u00e1hnout do \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 provokace.\u00a0A v\u017edy existuje mo\u017enost, \u017ee Hamas s\u00e1m vyst\u0159el\u00ed raketu na jednoho z nich, a to bude pohodln\u011b pova\u017eov\u00e1no za \u00fatok z Libanonu.\u00a0Ve skute\u010dnosti bude jedno, odkud poch\u00e1z\u00ed.\u00a0Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 pozd\u011bji zfal\u0161uj\u00ed v\u0161echny forenzn\u00ed audio-vizu\u00e1ly a daj\u00ed je novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm, kte\u0159\u00ed r\u00e1di zve\u0159ejn\u00ed dobr\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh, stejn\u011b jako l\u017eou americk\u00fdm novin\u00e1\u0159\u016fm o zaji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed dostate\u010dn\u00e9ho mno\u017estv\u00ed st\u0159eliva pro takovou v\u00e1lku, i kdy\u017e cel\u00fd sv\u011bt v\u00ed, \u017ee akcie jsou velmi n\u00edzk\u00e9.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Poku\u0161en\u00ed Benjamina Netanjahua zinscenovat \u00fatok na Ameri\u010dany je p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 velk\u00e9, kdy\u017e vid\u00ed, \u017ee konflikt neprob\u00edh\u00e1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":38292,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[72,6104,627,37],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38291"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38291"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38291\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38292"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}