{"id":37932,"date":"2023-10-11T01:04:52","date_gmt":"2023-10-10T23:04:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=37932"},"modified":"2023-10-10T13:01:42","modified_gmt":"2023-10-10T11:01:42","slug":"valecna-horecka-proc-by-se-cina-mela-pripravit-na-nejhorsi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/10\/11\/valecna-horecka-proc-by-se-cina-mela-pripravit-na-nejhorsi\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00c1LE\u010cN\u00c1 HO\u0158E\u010cKA: Pro\u010d by se \u010c\u00edna m\u011bla p\u0159ipravit na nejhor\u0161\u00ed"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Washington umis\u0165uje sv\u00e9 s\u00edly na kritick\u00e9 body ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii, aby zablokovaly kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed koridory spojuj\u00edc\u00ed Peking s Evropou.\u00a0Jde o sou\u010d\u00e1st americk\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu na izolaci \u010c\u00edny od z\u00e1padn\u00edch trh\u016f po vypuknut\u00ed nep\u0159\u00e1telstv\u00ed na Tchaj-wanu.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Zni\u010den\u00ed ropovodu Nord Stream je kl\u00ed\u010dem k pochopen\u00ed pl\u00e1n\u016f Washingtonu na jedn\u00e1n\u00ed s \u010c\u00ednou.\u00a0Plynovod \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b odstranil geografick\u00e9 hranice mezi Ruskem a N\u011bmeckem a vytvo\u0159il de facto z\u00f3nu voln\u00e9ho obchodu, kter\u00e1 pokr\u00fdvala oba kontinenty a zv\u00fd\u0161ila prosperitu obou obchodn\u00edch partner\u016f<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Dohoda p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dala mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed sd\u00edlen\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed od \u201eLisabonu po Vladivostok\u201c \u2013 to byl dokonce v\u00fdslovn\u00fd c\u00edl Vladimira Putina.\u00a0Washington to vid\u011bl jako hrozbu pro svou region\u00e1ln\u00ed hegemonii a pustil se do ma\u0159en\u00ed partnerstv\u00ed a plynovodu<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Jak jsme nast\u00ednili v p\u0159edchoz\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku:<\/p>\n

Ve sv\u011bt\u011b, kde jsou N\u011bmecko a Rusko p\u0159\u00e1teli a obchodn\u00edmi partnery, nejsou pot\u0159eba americk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1kladny, nejsou pot\u0159eba drah\u00e9 zbran\u011b a raketov\u00e9 syst\u00e9my vyroben\u00e9 v USA a nen\u00ed pot\u0159eba NATO.\u00a0Nen\u00ed tak\u00e9 nutn\u00e9 prov\u00e1d\u011bt obchody s energi\u00ed v americk\u00fdch dolarech nebo hromadit americk\u00e9 st\u00e1tn\u00ed pokladny k vyrovn\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fa\u010dt\u016f.\u00a0Transakce mezi obchodn\u00edmi partnery mohou b\u00fdt vypo\u0159\u00e1d\u00e1ny v jejich vlastn\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch, co\u017e nevyhnuteln\u011b povede k prudk\u00e9mu poklesu hodnoty dolaru a dramatick\u00e9mu posunu v rovnov\u00e1ze ekonomick\u00fdch sil.\u00a0To je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d se Bidenova administrativa rozhodla zni\u010dit Nord Stream, proto\u017ee Nord Stream byl hlavn\u00ed tepnou spojuj\u00edc\u00ed dva kontinenty ve vz\u00e1jemn\u011b v\u00fdhodn\u00e9m vztahu,\u00a0kter\u00e1 fungovala nez\u00e1visle na Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech.\u00a0Nordstream byl proto jasnou hrozbou pro unipol\u00e1rn\u00ed sv\u011bt a \u201epo\u0159\u00e1dek zalo\u017een\u00fd na pravidlech\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n

Se\u010dteno a podtr\u017eeno:\u00a0Nordstream musel b\u00fdt zni\u010den.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zka zn\u00ed: Co n\u00e1m incident Nord Stream \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 o pl\u00e1nech Washingtonu pro \u010c\u00ednu?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Uk\u00e1zali jsme, \u017ee Washington je p\u0159ipraven p\u0159ijmout radik\u00e1ln\u00ed opat\u0159en\u00ed na obranu sv\u00e9 hegemonie v Evrop\u011b.\u00a0N\u011bmecko ale samoz\u0159ejm\u011b nebylo jedinou ob\u011bt\u00ed Bidenova \u00fatoku.\u00a0Byla to tak\u00e9 r\u00e1na pro Rusko, kter\u00e9 nejen\u017ee utrp\u011blo v\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty, ale bylo tak\u00e9 fakticky vylou\u010deno ze z\u00e1padn\u00edch trh\u016f.\u00a0Rusko bylo jednozna\u010dn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00edm z t\u011bchto dvou c\u00edl\u016f, proto\u017ee to bylo Rusko, kter\u00e9\u00a0zpochybnilo \u00fast\u0159edn\u00ed z\u00e1sadu zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiky USA, toti\u017e \u201ezabr\u00e1nit znovuobjeven\u00ed nov\u00e9ho rivala, a\u0165 u\u017e na \u00fazem\u00ed b\u00fdval\u00e9ho Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu nebo jinde, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje hrozbu velikosti b\u00fdval\u00e9ho Sov\u011btsk\u00e9ho svazu.\u00a0<\/strong>\u201c<\/p>\n

V\u00fd\u0161e uveden\u00fd cit\u00e1t je v\u00fd\u0148atkem z Wolfowitzovy doktr\u00edny, kter\u00e1 se objevila v mnoha zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fdch dokumentech, v\u010detn\u011b N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed strategie prezidenta Bidena do roku 2022.\u00a0Formulace byla v nov\u011bj\u0161\u00edch verz\u00edch m\u00edrn\u011b upravena, ale v\u00fdznam z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 stejn\u00fd.\u00a0USA cht\u011bj\u00ed zabr\u00e1nit tomu, aby \u201enep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00e1 mocnost ovl\u00e1dla region, jeho\u017e zdroje by pod konsolidovanou kontrolou sta\u010dily k vytvo\u0159en\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed mocnosti\u201c.<\/strong>\u201c.\u00a0V praxi to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko se nem\u016f\u017ee zapojit do komer\u010dn\u00edch aktivit se sv\u00fdmi sousedy, pokud jsou tyto aktivity pova\u017eov\u00e1ny za hrozbu pro region\u00e1ln\u00ed dominanci USA.\u00a0V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ropovodu Nord Stream se Bidenova administrativa jasn\u011b domn\u00edvala, \u017ee ropovod je probl\u00e9m;\u00a0to dokonce p\u0159iznala.\u00a0A jedin\u00fd spolehliv\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak probl\u00e9m vy\u0159e\u0161it, bylo vyhodit je do vzduchu.\u00a0To je logika, kter\u00e1 vedla k sabot\u00e1\u017ei Nordstreamu.<\/p>\n

Co n\u00e1m to ale \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 o washingtonsk\u00e9 \u201e\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 politice\u201c?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u0158\u00edk\u00e1 n\u00e1m\u00a0, \u017ee ameri\u010dt\u00ed vl\u00e1dci identifikuj\u00ed nov\u011b vznikaj\u00edc\u00ed hrozby ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii a pot\u00e9 je eliminuj\u00ed h\u00e1\u010dkem nebo podvodem.\u00a0\u010c\u00edna sice nem\u00e1 velk\u00e9 z\u00e1soby zemn\u00edho plynu a ropy, kter\u00e9 by mohla prod\u00e1vat do Evropy, ale buduje rozs\u00e1hlou s\u00ed\u0165 \u010d\u00ednsko-evropsk\u00fdch n\u00e1kladn\u00edch koridor\u016f, kter\u00e9 ekonomicky integruj\u00ed euroasijskou pevninu a z\u00e1rove\u0148 spojuj\u00ed hlavn\u00ed hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsta EU.<\/strong>.\u00a0Tato rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 s\u00ed\u0165 nov\u011b vybudovan\u00fdch \u017eeleznic d\u00e1v\u00e1 Pekingu rozhoduj\u00edc\u00ed v\u00fdhodu nad USA v m\u00edstn\u00ed konkurenci a posiluje jeho pozici region\u00e1ln\u00edho hegemona.\u00a0Stoj\u00ed za to si znovu p\u0159ipomenout, \u017ee Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty d\u011blaj\u00ed v\u0161e, co mohou, aby zabr\u00e1nily op\u011btovn\u00e9mu objeven\u00ed se rivala v regionu, kter\u00e9ho pova\u017euj\u00ed za \u017eivotn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9ho pro svou n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost, toti\u017e St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie.\u00a0Ale rychle se rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd n\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed syst\u00e9m vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b takov\u00e9ho soupe\u0159e<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Pod\u00edvejte se na to:<\/p>\n

N\u00e1kladn\u00ed vlak \u010c\u00edna-Evropa (CEFT)<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00ednsko-evropsk\u00fd n\u00e1kladn\u00ed vlak (CEFT) je z\u00e1sadn\u00edm p\u0159edch\u016fdcem iniciativy Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) a pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b jej\u00edm nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00edm vlajkov\u00fdm projektem.\u00a0Svou prvn\u00ed dek\u00e1du z let 2011-21 u\u017e m\u00e1 za sebou.\u00a0S 82 trasami, kter\u00e9 v sou\u010dasnosti spojuj\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 100 \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch m\u011bst s p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b 200 m\u011bsty ve 24 evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00edch a v\u00edce ne\u017e tuctem zem\u00ed st\u0159edn\u00ed, v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie, CEFT vytvo\u0159il rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd transkontinent\u00e1ln\u00ed syst\u00e9m n\u00e1kladn\u00ed dopravy pokr\u00fdvaj\u00edc\u00ed oba konce Eurasie<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Zat\u00edmco v prvn\u00edm roce 2011 cestovalo z \u010c\u00edny do Evropy pouze 17 n\u00e1kladn\u00edch vlak\u016f, do 16. \u0159\u00edjna 2022 projede euroasijskou pevninu a jej\u00ed n\u00e1mo\u0159n\u00ed okraje celkem 60 000 vlak\u016f…<\/em><\/p>\n

N\u00e1kladn\u00ed infrastruktura Eurasie vs. rusk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b<\/a>\u00a0, glob\u00e1ln\u00ed z\u00e1le\u017eitosti<\/cite><\/p>\n

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Tady je toho v\u00edc:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Jak\u00fdkoli rozs\u00e1hl\u00fd dopravn\u00ed syst\u00e9m se vyv\u00edj\u00ed a zraje dlouho.\u00a0CEFT m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v\u00fdjimka v tom, \u017ee se b\u011bhem pouh\u00fdch deseti let rychle a zna\u010dn\u011b roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159ila, z n\u011bkolika m\u00edst vyrostla v pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed logistickou s\u00ed\u0165 na sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00e1 spojuje stovky m\u011bst na cel\u00e9m rozs\u00e1hl\u00e9m euroasijsk\u00e9m kontinentu a je nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm vlajkov\u00fdm projektem \u010c\u00ednsk\u00e1 iniciativa Belt and Road (BRI), zah\u00e1jen\u00e1 v roce 2013.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

CEFT vstupuje do sv\u00e9 druh\u00e9 dek\u00e1dy a od \u0159\u00edjna 2022 ji\u017e p\u0159epravil kolem 60 000 vlak\u016f mezi Evropou, \u010c\u00ednou a \u010d\u00e1stmi v\u00fdchodn\u00ed a jihov\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asie.\u00a0V sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b jezd\u00ed ka\u017ed\u00fd den na v\u00fdchod a na z\u00e1pad p\u0159es Eurasii kolem 40 n\u00e1kladn\u00edch vlak\u016f se stovkami kontejner\u016f a dal\u0161\u00edho n\u00e1kladu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed a \u0159\u00ed\u010dn\u00ed intermod\u00e1ln\u00ed doprava p\u0159es Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e, \u010cern\u00e9 mo\u0159e a St\u0159edozemn\u00ed mo\u0159e a tak\u00e9 pod\u00e9l R\u00fdna a Yangtze je roz\u0161\u00ed\u0159en.<\/em><\/p>\n

Spojen\u00ed se setk\u00e1v\u00e1 s naru\u0161en\u00edm: N\u00e1kladn\u00ed vlak \u010c\u00edna-Evropa a v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b<\/a>\u00a0, The European Financial Review<\/cite><\/p>\n

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Tak\u017ee zat\u00edmco Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty vedly sv\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b a ve st\u0159edn\u00ed Asii, \u010c\u00edna otev\u0159ela nejmodern\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed koridor, kter\u00fd zkr\u00e1til vzd\u00e1lenosti mezi hlavn\u00edmi m\u011bsty, sn\u00ed\u017eil celkovou cenu vyroben\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed, zv\u00fd\u0161il zisky sv\u00fdch obchodn\u00edch partner\u016f, a zv\u00fd\u0161il p\u0159\u00edze\u0148 sv\u00fdch soused\u016f.\u00a0A ano, n\u00e1kladn\u00ed vlaky jsou stalet\u00edmi star\u00e1 technologie, ale \u2013 jak jsme vid\u011bli \u2013 tato prastar\u00e1 technologie m\u016f\u017ee dramaticky ovlivnit ekonomick\u00fd rozvoj, je-li pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1na moud\u0159e.\u00a0Je\u0161t\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, \u017ee m\u016f\u017ee v\u00fdznamn\u011b ovlivnit glob\u00e1ln\u00ed rozlo\u017een\u00ed moci, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje v\u00e1\u017enou hrozbu pro st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed \u0159\u00e1d.\u00a0A proto je Washington tak znepokojen.<\/p>\n

Co tedy m\u016f\u017eeme o\u010dek\u00e1vat od Bidenovy administrativy?\u00a0Ur\u010dit\u011b nebude jen hr\u00e1t mrtvou.\u00a0Mus\u00ed existovat pl\u00e1n, jak \u010delit rychl\u00e9mu p\u0159evzet\u00ed Asie ze strany \u010c\u00edny a jej\u00edmu p\u016fsobiv\u00e9mu tlaku na evropsk\u00fd trh, ale jak to vypad\u00e1?<\/p>\n

Toto je \u010dl\u00e1nek z Politico:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka na Ukrajin\u011b vykolej\u00ed vlajkov\u00fd projekt Pekingu Nov\u00e1 hedv\u00e1bn\u00e1 stezka.\u00a0Strategie infrastruktury si klade za c\u00edl podporovat n\u00e1kladn\u00ed vlaky jedouc\u00ed z \u010c\u00edny p\u0159es Rusko a pot\u00e9 p\u0159es Ukrajinu nebo B\u011blorusko do Evropsk\u00e9 unie<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Nyn\u00ed je Ukrajina v krvav\u00e9 v\u00e1lce, zat\u00edmco B\u011blorusko a Rusko byly zasa\u017eeny sankcemi.<\/em><\/p>\n

„Ukrajinsk\u00e1 v\u00e1lka prozat\u00edm zcela zastavila fenom\u00e9n \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00edch expresn\u00edch vlak\u016f mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Evropou<\/strong>\u00a0,“ \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Jacob Mardell, analytik z Mercator Institute for China Studies, kter\u00fd se zam\u011b\u0159uje na hlavn\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd pl\u00e1n infrastruktury, takzvanou iniciativu Belt and Road Initiative. , koncentrovan\u00fd.<\/em><\/p>\n

Zpomalen\u00ed r\u016fstu je z velk\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1sti zp\u016fsobeno t\u00edm, \u017ee obchodn\u00edci ji\u017e necht\u011bj\u00ed sv\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed p\u0159epravovat severn\u00ed cestou Hedv\u00e1bn\u00e9 stezky p\u0159es Rusko,<\/strong>\u00a0aby se nedostali do pr\u00e1vn\u00edch probl\u00e9m\u016f.\u00a0\u201eRusk\u00e9 \u017eeleznice jsou pod finan\u010dn\u00edmi sankcemi ze strany EU<\/strong>\u00a0a USA a je obt\u00ed\u017en\u00e9 pojistit produkty p\u0159epravovan\u00e9 p\u0159es Rusko kv\u016fli odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00edmu \u00fa\u010dinku v\u00e1lky a sankc\u00edm,\u201c \u0159ekl Kristian Schmidt, vedouc\u00ed politiky pozemn\u00ed dopravy v Evropsk\u00e9 komisi.<\/em><\/p>\n

Mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Evropou v\u0161ak existuje alternativn\u00ed \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed spojen\u00ed, kter\u00e9 obch\u00e1z\u00ed Rusko:<\/strong>\u00a0koridor vedouc\u00ed na jih od Ruska, z \u010c\u00edny do Kazachst\u00e1nu, p\u0159es Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e a pot\u00e9 p\u0159es \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n a Gruzii,\u00a0zn\u00e1m\u00fd jako St\u0159edn\u00ed koridor…<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

V kv\u011btnu Maersk ozn\u00e1mil, \u017ee spust\u00ed nov\u00e9 slu\u017eby na st\u0159edn\u00edm koridoru.\u00a0D\u00e1nsk\u00fd logistick\u00fd gigant, kter\u00fd pozastavil sv\u00e9 n\u00e1kladn\u00ed slu\u017eby p\u0159es Rusko, nyn\u00ed pos\u00edl\u00e1 sv\u00e9 zbo\u017e\u00ed po \u017eeleznici z \u010c\u00edny p\u0159es Kazachst\u00e1n, pot\u00e9 p\u0159es Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e do \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu a d\u00e1le do gruz\u00ednsk\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edstavu Poti u \u010cern\u00e9ho mo\u0159e.\u00a0Odtud je n\u00e1klad nalo\u017een na s\u00ed\u0165 z\u00e1sobovac\u00edch lod\u00ed, kter\u00e9 jej mohou p\u0159epravit do Constan\u021ba v Rumunsku\u2026.<\/em><\/p>\n

St\u0159edn\u00ed koridor je nyn\u00ed \u201ejedinou skute\u010dnou alternativou\u201c k trase p\u0159es Rusko<\/strong>\u00a0, \u0159ekl na \u010dervnov\u00e9 akci \u0161\u00e9f G\u0158 MOVE Henrik Hololei.<\/p>\n

Ukrajina v\u00e1lka ot\u0159\u00e1s\u00e1 \u010d\u00ednsko-evropsk\u00fdm \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00edm expresem<\/a>\u00a0, Politico<\/cite><\/p>\n

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Pod\u00edvejme se, jestli jsem to spr\u00e1vn\u011b pochopil:\u00a0zna\u010dn\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 n\u00e1kladn\u00ed dopravy (po severn\u00edm koridoru) byla zablokov\u00e1na kv\u016fli sankc\u00edm (proti Rusku).\u00a0Jedinou sch\u016fdnou alternativou je tedy \u201eSt\u0159edn\u00ed koridor\u201c\u2026 \u201ep\u0159es Kaspick\u00e9 mo\u0159e do \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu\u201c, kde v sou\u010dasnosti roste n\u00e1sil\u00ed mezi \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nem a Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Je\u0161t\u011b podez\u0159elej\u0161\u00ed je fakt, \u017ee zaryt\u00e1 neokonzervativn\u00ed\u00a0Samantha Powerov\u00e1 25. z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed ne\u010dekan\u011b nav\u0161t\u00edvila Jerevan, hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto Arm\u00e9nie,<\/strong>\u00a0a vydala prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed podporu Bidenovy administrativy zemi.\u00a0Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee\u00a0tak\u00e9 vyzvala k \u201emezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti\u201c na m\u00edst\u011b<\/strong>, co\u017e nazna\u010duje, \u017ee USA a NATO se cht\u011bj\u00ed zapojit do dal\u0161\u00edho zahrani\u010dn\u00edho \u00fazemn\u00edho sporu.\u00a0Koukej na tohle:<\/p>\n

Samantha Power, administr\u00e1torka americk\u00e9 Agentury pro mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed rozvoj, v pond\u011bl\u00ed v Jerevanu \u0159ekla, \u017ee v N\u00e1horn\u00edm Karabachu mus\u00ed b\u00fdt mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost, aby bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 posoudit, zda \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n pln\u00ed sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky…<\/em><\/p>\n

„V\u0161echny strany mus\u00ed umo\u017enit mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed hodnocen\u00ed a humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnost na m\u00edst\u011b, aby se zjistilo, zda \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n pln\u00ed sv\u00e9 z\u00e1vazky, a aby tyto organizace pod\u00e1valy zpr\u00e1vy mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmu spole\u010denstv\u00ed,“ dodala<\/em>\u00a0.<\/p>\n

Power dorazila do Arm\u00e9nie v pond\u011bl\u00ed v doprovodu americk\u00e9ho n\u00e1m\u011bstka ministra zahrani\u010d\u00ed Jurije Kima, aby \u201ep\u0159edal zpr\u00e1vu od prezidenta Bidena\u201c, \u0159ekla a dodala, \u017ee p\u0159edala premi\u00e9rce Nikol Pashinyan dopis od americk\u00e9ho prezidenta, kdy\u017e se oba setkali d\u0159\u00edve v ten den.<\/em><\/p>\n

Vysok\u00fd americk\u00fd \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edk vyz\u00fdv\u00e1 k mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edtomnosti v Artsakh<\/a>\u00a0, Asbarez<\/cite>Zku\u0161en\u00fd geopolitick\u00fd analytik Pepe Escobar to shrnul takto:<\/p>\n

Vztahy s Moskvou se znateln\u011b zhor\u0161uj\u00ed.\u00a0Jerevan \u2013 zaj\u00edmav\u00fd strategick\u00fd c\u00edl \u2013 je zajat hegemonem (Washington) a jeho vazaly.\u00a0Nen\u00ed n\u00e1hodou, \u017ee v Jerevanu s\u00eddl\u00ed druh\u00e1 nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed americk\u00e1 ambas\u00e1da na sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/em><\/p>\n

Jist\u00e9 je tedy jen jedno: Zakavkazsko bude i nad\u00e1le pod palbou\u2026.<\/em><\/p>\n

Jsme p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni, \u017ee arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 veden\u00ed d\u011bl\u00e1 velkou chybu, kdy\u017e se z\u00e1m\u011brn\u011b sna\u017e\u00ed zp\u0159etrhat r\u016fznorod\u00e9 a stalet\u00ed star\u00e9 vztahy Arm\u00e9nie s Ruskem a ud\u011blat ze zem\u011b rukojm\u00ed z\u00e1padn\u00edch geopolitick\u00fdch her.\u00a0Jsme p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010deni, \u017ee naprost\u00e1 v\u011bt\u0161ina arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 populace to tak\u00e9 uzn\u00e1v\u00e1.<\/em><\/p>\n

N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach u\u017e nen\u00ed<\/a>\u00a0, Pepe Escobar, strategick\u00e1 kultura<\/cite><\/p>\n

Co to v\u0161echno znamen\u00e1?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee USA se ji\u017e postavily na jednu stranu komplikovan\u00e9ho region\u00e1ln\u00edho sporu, proto\u017ee cht\u011bj\u00ed zapustit ko\u0159eny v regionu St\u0159edn\u00ed Asie.\u00a0Znamen\u00e1 to tak\u00e9, \u017ee\u00a0USA cht\u011bj\u00ed rozm\u00edstit bojov\u00e9 jednotky v oblasti, kter\u00e1 m\u016f\u017ee slou\u017eit jako spojovac\u00ed bod pro \u010d\u00ednskou n\u00e1kladn\u00ed dopravu do Evropy<\/strong>\u00a0.\u00a0Op\u011bt plat\u00ed, \u017ee USA mohou vyhr\u00e1t svou v\u00e1lku proti \u010c\u00edn\u011b pouze tehdy, pokud se jim poda\u0159\u00ed oslabit \u010c\u00ednu prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm sankc\u00ed, izolace a mo\u017en\u00e1 i vojensk\u00e9 konfrontace.\u00a0Toto je typick\u00fd americk\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstup k t\u011bmto z\u00e1le\u017eitostem.\u00a0(RE: Kuba, \u00cdr\u00e1n, Venezuela, Severn\u00ed Korea)\u00a0Washington se stav\u00ed k tomu, aby bu\u010f zablokoval, nebo sabotoval \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 obchodn\u00ed toky do Evropy, stejn\u011b jako sabotoval tok rusk\u00e9ho plynu do Evropy.\u00a0Je to stejn\u00e1 politika<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

A to je jen za\u010d\u00e1tek, proto\u017ee kone\u010dn\u00fdm c\u00edlem t\u00e9to politiky je \u00fapln\u00e9 \u201eodd\u011blen\u00ed\u201c od \u010c\u00edny, co\u017e bude m\u00edt katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed dopady na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiku, ale (pr\u00fd) zachov\u00e1 prim\u00e1t z\u00e1padn\u00edch elit a jejich vzne\u0161en\u00fdch \u201ena pravidlech zalo\u017een\u00fdch\u201c. \u0159\u00e1du.\u201c st\u00e1v\u00e1.\u00a0Toto je v\u00fd\u0148atek z \u010dl\u00e1nku na Freight Ways:<\/p>\n

V roce 2022 Sv\u011btov\u00e1 obchodn\u00ed organizace (WTO) varovala p\u0159ed nejhor\u0161\u00edm sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159em, kter\u00fd nazvala \u201edlouhodob\u00fdm odd\u011blen\u00edm\u201c a kter\u00fd zahrnoval \u201erozpad glob\u00e1ln\u00ed ekonomiky na dva samostatn\u00e9 bloky\u201c.\u00a0\u2026.<\/em><\/p>\n

Geopolitika rozd\u011bluje glob\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159epravn\u00ed syst\u00e9my na dv\u011b \u010d\u00e1sti, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e USA a EU na jedn\u00e9 stran\u011b a \u010c\u00edna a Rusko na stran\u011b druh\u00e9, a n\u011bkter\u00e9 zem\u011b se sna\u017e\u00ed z\u016fstat uprost\u0159ed, hraj\u00ed na ob\u011b strany a dr\u017e\u00ed sv\u00e9 mo\u017enosti otev\u0159en\u00e9\u2026<\/em><\/p>\n

Geopolitika tak\u00e9 vedla k rozdvojen\u00ed flotily tanker\u016f, fyzick\u00e9mu projevu sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e odd\u011blen\u00ed na\u010drtnut\u00e9ho WTO… Rozd\u011blen\u00ed flotily pozorovan\u00e9 u tankerov\u00e9 dopravy je tak\u00e9 vid\u011bt u kontejnerov\u00e9 dopravy, i kdy\u017e v mnohem men\u0161\u00ed m\u00ed\u0159e. .<\/em><\/p>\n

„Jak m\u016f\u017eete vz\u00edt pod\u00edl na celosv\u011btov\u00e9m obchodu, kter\u00fd dnes proud\u00ed p\u0159es Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 mo\u0159e, a \u0159\u00edci: ‚Dob\u0159e, prost\u011b to zastav\u00edme, proto\u017ee prob\u00edh\u00e1 v\u00e1lka?‘,“ \u0159ekl Paul Bingham, \u0159editel dopravn\u00edho poradenstv\u00ed ve spole\u010dnosti S&P Global v lo\u0148sk\u00e9m rozhovoru pro FreightWaves.<\/em><\/p>\n

Amerika z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 extr\u00e9mn\u011b z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na dovozu kontejner\u016f z \u010c\u00edny.\u00a0\u00dadaje americk\u00fdch celn\u00edch \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee dovoz z \u010c\u00edny tvo\u0159il v roce 2022 30 % celkov\u00e9ho dovozu do USA.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u2026.\u00a0Kdy\u017e to v\u0161echno se\u010dtete, vypad\u00e1 to, \u017ee toky zbo\u017e\u00ed a lodn\u00ed flotily jsou na cest\u011b k fragmentaci.\u00a0Jak varovala WTO ve sv\u00e9m nov\u00e9m v\u00fdhledu sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu zve\u0159ejn\u011bn\u00e9m ve st\u0159edu, \u201efragmentace… z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 v\u00fdznamnou hrozbou, kter\u00e1 by mohla z dlouhodob\u00e9ho hlediska brzdit hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fd r\u016fst a sni\u017eovat \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148\u201c.<\/em><\/p>\n

\u010c\u00edna-Rusko vs. USA-EU: Jak se glob\u00e1ln\u00ed lodn\u00ed doprava pomalu rozd\u011bluje na dv\u011b \u010d\u00e1sti<\/a>\u00a0, vlny n\u00e1kladn\u00ed dopravy<\/cite>Tento \u00faryvek by m\u011bl \u010dten\u00e1\u0159\u016fm poskytnout dobrou p\u0159edstavu o tom, co o\u010dek\u00e1vat v budoucnu, pokud USA vyprovokuj\u00ed v\u00e1lku na Tchaj-wanu, jako to ud\u011blaly na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0D\u016fsledkem nebude m\u00edrn\u00e9 zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed inflace doprov\u00e1zen\u00e9 m\u00edrn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00edmi \u00farokov\u00fdmi sazbami, ale\u00a0prudce zrychlen\u00e9 glob\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159eskupov\u00e1n\u00ed sm\u011brem od Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f, n\u00e1sledovan\u00e9 krachem akciov\u00e9ho trhu, ztr\u00e1tou statutu rezervn\u00ed m\u011bny, prudk\u00fdm a vlekl\u00fdm hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdm poklesem a katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed pokles \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u010cten\u00e1\u0159i, kte\u0159\u00ed pozorn\u011b sleduj\u00ed \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 zpr\u00e1vy, v\u011bd\u00ed, \u017ee mocensk\u00e1 elita Z\u00e1padu se ji\u017e rozhodla, \u017ee\u00a0jedin\u00fd zp\u016fsob, jak si udr\u017eet kontrolu nad sv\u011btovou mocnost\u00ed, je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit \u010c\u00ednu, aby za\u00fato\u010dila na Tchaj-wan, aby se mohla vydat riskantn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed cestou, aby mohla implementovat prvky sv\u00e9 strategie.<\/strong><\/p>\n

A jak\u00e9 jsou rizikov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed prvky jejich strategie?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Zabr\u00e1nit \u010c\u00edn\u011b v p\u0159\u00edstupu na z\u00e1padn\u00ed trhy a v podnik\u00e1n\u00ed v z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u011bn\u00e1ch.\u00a0Zabavte \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 zahrani\u010dn\u00ed rezervy a zmrazte jej\u00ed \u00fa\u010dty u zahrani\u010dn\u00edch centr\u00e1ln\u00edch bank.\u00a0Z\u00e1kaz ve\u0161ker\u00fdch zahrani\u010dn\u00edch investic a zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu \u010c\u00edny k hotovosti.\u00a0Z\u0159\u00edzen\u00ed \u0161krtic\u00edch bod\u016f v Jiho\u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9m mo\u0159i, Tchajwansk\u00e9m pr\u016flivu a St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii s c\u00edlem zastavit tok vyroben\u00e9ho zbo\u017e\u00ed k obchodn\u00edm partner\u016fm \u010c\u00edny.\u00a0A kone\u010dn\u011b zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u0161ech dod\u00e1vek ropy z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu do \u010c\u00edny.\u00a0<\/strong>Pod\u00edvejte se na to:<\/p>\n

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Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty jako dominantn\u00ed velmoc na Bl\u00edzk\u00e9m v\u00fdchod\u011b maj\u00ed velk\u00fd vliv na \u010c\u00ednu, jej\u00ed\u017e energetick\u00e9 pot\u0159eby z\u00e1vis\u00ed na regionu.\u00a0V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b konfliktu mezi \u010c\u00ednou a Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty by centr\u00e1ln\u00ed velen\u00ed USA (CENTCOM) mohlo na\u0159\u00eddit americk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m, aby zablokovaly dod\u00e1vky energie do \u010c\u00edny, \u010d\u00edm\u017e by zemi zabr\u00e1nily v p\u0159\u00edstupu ke zdroj\u016fm pro jej\u00ed ekonomiku a ozbrojen\u00e9 s\u00edly…<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

V regionu existuje n\u011bkolik p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eek pro p\u0159epravu ropy po mo\u0159i, v\u010detn\u011b Suezsk\u00e9ho pr\u016fplavu, Bab al-Mandab a Hormuzsk\u00e9ho pr\u016flivu.\u00a0Jak\u00e9koli naru\u0161en\u00ed tohoto nedostatku by mohlo m\u00edt v\u00fdznamn\u00fd dopad na zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 jsou z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na rop\u011b v regionu…<\/em><\/p>\n

„Sedmdes\u00e1t dva procent \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ropy se dov\u00e1\u017e\u00ed,“ vysv\u011btlil Kurilla.\u00a0\u201eTo je m\u016f\u017ee u\u010dinit zraniteln\u00fdmi\u201c\u2026<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Zhruba polovina \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9ho dovozu ropy poch\u00e1z\u00ed z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu.\u00a0Sa\u00fadsk\u00e1 Ar\u00e1bie byla n\u011bjakou dobu nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm zdrojem dovozu ropy do \u010c\u00edny, dokud ji ned\u00e1vno nep\u0159ekonalo Rusko…<\/em><\/p>\n

V d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch dob\u00e1ch velmocensk\u00e9 konkurence byly Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty ochotny zakro\u010dit proti rival\u016fm z\u00e1visl\u00fdm na rop\u011b.\u00a0Precedensem sou\u010dasn\u00e9 situace jsou akce USA proti Japonsku v m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159ed vstupem USA do druh\u00e9 sv\u011btov\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.\u00a0M\u011bs\u00edce p\u0159edt\u00edm, ne\u017e Japonsko za\u00fato\u010dilo na Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty v Pearl Harbor, Spojen\u00e9 st\u00e1ty zastavily v\u00fdvoz ropy do Japonska, co\u017e ohrozilo ekonomiku a vojenskou s\u00edlu zem\u011b.\u00a0Ameri\u010dt\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 v\u011bd\u011bli, \u017ee tento krok m\u016f\u017ee v\u00e9st k v\u00e1lce…<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Hormuzsk\u00fd pr\u016fliv, nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed \u00fazk\u00e9 hrdlo pro tranzit ropy v regionu, by byl zvl\u00e1\u0161tn\u00edm c\u00edlem jak\u00e9koli vojensk\u00e9 akce USA.\u00a0T\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ve\u0161ker\u00fd \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd energetick\u00fd import z Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu je p\u0159epravov\u00e1n p\u0159es \u00fa\u017einu.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

„Devades\u00e1t osm procent nebo v\u00edce se p\u0159epravuje lod\u00ed,“ \u0159ekl Kurilla.\u00a0„To je \u010din\u00ed zraniteln\u00fdmi“…<\/em><\/p>\n

„V\u011b\u0159\u00edm, \u017ee CENTCOM je doslova a do p\u00edsmene v centru konkurence s \u010c\u00ednou a Ruskem,“ \u0159ekl Kurilla.\u00a0„Byli jsme tam v minulosti… Jsme tam dnes a budeme tam i v budoucnu.“<\/em><\/p>\n

Jak by USA mohly od\u0159\u00edznout \u010c\u00ednu od bl\u00edzkov\u00fdchodn\u00ed ropy, kdyby cht\u011bly<\/a>\u00a0, Odpov\u011bdn\u00fd st\u00e1t<\/cite><\/p>\n

„Strategick\u00e9 odm\u00edtnut\u00ed“?<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politika BrainTrust vypracovala pl\u00e1n, kter\u00fd bude aktivov\u00e1n v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 odvety za americk\u00e9 provokace na Tchaj-wanu.\u00a0Pl\u00e1n bude nevyhnuteln\u011b zahrnovat odep\u0159en\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupu na z\u00e1padn\u00ed trhy a zablokov\u00e1n\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fdch zdroj\u016f pro \u010c\u00ednu.\u00a0Z\u00e1padn\u00ed vl\u00e1dci v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee mohou vykolejit \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fd expanzivn\u00ed projekt P\u00e1su a stezky a zasadit ni\u010div\u00fd \u00fader \u010d\u00ednsk\u00e9 ekonomice, ani\u017e by vyvolali jadern\u00fd po\u017e\u00e1r.\u00a0To se samoz\u0159ejm\u011b teprve uvid\u00ed.<\/p>\n

P\u0159echod k multipol\u00e1rn\u00edmu sv\u011btu ka\u017edop\u00e1dn\u011b nebude pokojn\u00fd, a proto by se \u010c\u00edna m\u011bla p\u0159ipravit na nejhor\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Autor: Mike Whitney<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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ZDROJ<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Washington umis\u0165uje sv\u00e9 s\u00edly na kritick\u00e9 body ve St\u0159edn\u00ed Asii, aby zablokovaly kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u017eelezni\u010dn\u00ed koridory…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7325,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[30,37,40],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37932"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37932"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37932\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37933,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37932\/revisions\/37933"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37932"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37932"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37932"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}