{"id":36797,"date":"2023-09-23T05:52:01","date_gmt":"2023-09-23T03:52:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=36797"},"modified":"2023-09-23T05:52:01","modified_gmt":"2023-09-23T03:52:01","slug":"pepe-escobar-v-zakavkazsku-hori-doslova-znovu-a-znovu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/09\/23\/pepe-escobar-v-zakavkazsku-hori-doslova-znovu-a-znovu\/","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: V Zakavkazsku ho\u0159\u00ed. Doslova. Znovu a znovu"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/div>\n
Pa\u0161injan\u016fv okruh, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 velmi bl\u00edzko k Sorosov\u011b part\u011b, ve skute\u010dnosti opustil N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach nejm\u00e9n\u011b na posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky.<\/i><\/p>\n

\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n vyrazil proti Arm\u00e9nii v N\u00e1horn\u00edm Karabachu a bombardoval region\u00e1ln\u00ed hlavn\u00ed m\u011bsto St\u011bpanakert izraelsk\u00fdmi raketami zem\u011b-zem\u011b LORA a izraelsk\u00fdmi bezpilotn\u00edmi letouny kamikadze Harop.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

Syst\u00e9m protivzdu\u0161n\u00e9 obrany Tor arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil pobl\u00ed\u017e silnice Chankendi-Chojaly byl zni\u010den tureck\u00fdmi bezpilotn\u00edmi letouny Bayraktar TB2 a v N\u00e1horn\u00edm Karabachu byly zcela p\u0159eru\u0161eny v\u0161echny mobiln\u00ed komunikace.<\/p>\n

Tento druh bleskov\u00e9 akce byl dopln\u011bn ofenz\u00edvou informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lky\/m\u011bkk\u00e9 s\u00edly: lavinou vide\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 v re\u00e1ln\u00e9m \u010dase vychvaluj\u00edc\u00edch vojensk\u00e9 v\u00fdkony ve spojen\u00ed s humanit\u00e1rn\u00edm podtextem \u2013 jako \u017ee jsme odhodl\u00e1ni chr\u00e1nit arm\u00e9nsk\u00e9 obyvatelstvo.<\/p>\n

Srovnejte to s arm\u00e9nskou stranou v \u010dele s premi\u00e9rem Pa\u0161injanem: nejen\u017ee informa\u010dn\u00ed v\u00e1lku bleskov\u011b zcela prohr\u00e1li, ale vyd\u00e1vali pouze kus\u00e1, nesrozumiteln\u00e1 komunik\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Od po\u010d\u00e1tku visely ve vzduchu dv\u011b kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 ot\u00e1zky. Spokoj\u00ed se Baku pouze s kone\u010dnou anex\u00ed N\u00e1horn\u00edho Karabachu, nebo za\u00fato\u010d\u00ed i na ji\u017en\u00ed Arm\u00e9nii? Napadnout obkl\u00ed\u010den\u00e9 \u00fazem\u00ed by nep\u0159edstavovalo \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd probl\u00e9m \u2013 vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Jerevan za posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky neud\u011blal t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 nic pro zlep\u0161en\u00ed sv\u00e9 obrany.<\/p>\n

Pak se za\u010dal r\u00fdsovat ambici\u00f3zn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed r\u00e1mec. Baku mo\u017en\u00e1 realizuje mazan\u00fd pl\u00e1n vymy\u0161len\u00fd Hegemonem: hr\u00e1t si na pacifik\u00e1tora N\u00e1horn\u00edho Karabachu, pod z\u00e1\u0161titou Z\u00e1padu p\u0159ehoupnout proruskou Arm\u00e9nii do postaven\u00ed proz\u00e1padn\u00ed Arm\u00e9nie a z\u00e1rove\u0148 p\u0159eform\u00e1tovat ji\u017en\u00ed Arm\u00e9nii a Karabach \u2013 bu\u010f p\u0159edat \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nu, nebo pod nov\u011b definovanou spole\u010dnou kontrolu.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d se Rusko nem\u016f\u017ee vyd\u00e1vat za Arm\u00e9nii<\/h2>\n

Z\u00e1sadn\u00ed skute\u010dnost\u00ed je, \u017ee Pa\u0161injan\u016fv okruh \u2013 velmi bl\u00edzk\u00fd Sorosov\u011b part\u011b \u2013 ve skute\u010dnosti nejm\u00e9n\u011b posledn\u00ed t\u0159i roky (Pa\u0161injan je u moci ji\u017e p\u011bt let) N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach opustil. To p\u0159\u00edmo koliduje s mand\u00e1tem CSTO \u2013 ta je nakonec nucena uznat stejn\u00e1 fakta na m\u00edst\u011b; z\u00e1vazky CSTO se tedy ve smyslu \u201epomoci\u201c Arm\u00e9nii neuplat\u0148uj\u00ed.<\/p>\n

To v\u0161e by se zm\u011bnilo pouze v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by se Jerevan rozhodl ponechat si N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach: to znamen\u00e1, \u017ee by se Arm\u00e9nie chopila zbran\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Za sou\u010dasn\u00e9ho stavu Rusko vojensky nezas\u00e1hne. V nejlep\u0161\u00edm p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b diplomaticky. Rusko se nebude vyd\u00e1vat za Arm\u00e9nii, aby vy\u0159e\u0161ilo arm\u00e9nsk\u00fd probl\u00e9m. \u00cdr\u00e1n prozat\u00edm \u201estuduje situaci\u201c. Teher\u00e1n by zas\u00e1hl pouze v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by se Baku rozhodlo od\u0159\u00edznout ji\u017en\u00ed Arm\u00e9nii a vytvo\u0159it koridor sm\u011brem k enkl\u00e1v\u011b Nachi\u010devan.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 m\u00edrov\u00e9 s\u00edly, kter\u00e9 jsou na m\u00edst\u011b od roku 2020, nemaj\u00ed pr\u00e1vo pou\u017e\u00edt zbran\u011b. Z\u016fstanou pasivn\u00ed \u2013 a reagovat budou pouze v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b napaden\u00ed. Rusk\u00e9 velen\u00ed vysv\u011btluje, \u017ee Moskva je v\u00e1z\u00e1na dohodami s Baku i Jerevanem a m\u016f\u017ee jednat pouze na z\u00e1klad\u011b spole\u010dn\u00fdch rozhodnut\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ru\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci jsou mimochodem jedin\u00ed, kdo pom\u00e1haj\u00ed obyvatel\u016fm N\u00e1horn\u00edho Karabachu, mezi nimi\u017e je zat\u00edm p\u0159es tis\u00edc d\u011bt\u00ed, opustit jejich historick\u00e9 s\u00eddlo, kter\u00e9 u\u017e mo\u017en\u00e1 nikdy neuvid\u00ed. \u017d\u00e1dn\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed \u201evelmoc\u201c na humanit\u00e1rn\u00ed front\u011b nepom\u00e1h\u00e1.<\/p>\n

Nakonec to byli ru\u0161t\u00ed m\u00edrotvorci, kte\u0159\u00ed zprost\u0159edkuj\u00ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed v N\u00e1horn\u00edm Karabachu, je\u017e m\u00e1 za\u010d\u00edt tuto st\u0159edu ve 13:00 m\u00edstn\u00edho \u010dasu. Zda bude dodr\u017eov\u00e1no, je zcela jin\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh.<\/p>\n

Je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ed p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00edm Pa\u0161injan p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b po\u017e\u00e1dal o pomoc Hegemona: ve h\u0159e je toti\u017e sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 \u201epivot\u201c, kter\u00fd historick\u00fd rusk\u00fd region p\u0159eorientov\u00e1v\u00e1 na upadaj\u00edc\u00ed Z\u00e1pad. N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach je jen z\u00e1minkou.<\/p>\n

Zkr\u00e1tka Pa\u0161injanovi byla usnadn\u011bna cesta k moci s jedin\u00fdm c\u00edlem: hr\u00e1t hru Hegemona \u2013 a Turecka. Turecko p\u0159edv\u00eddateln\u011b prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm Erdogana prohl\u00e1silo, \u017ee \u201epodporujeme \u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1n\u201c.<\/p>\n

To, na \u010dem Pa\u0161injan ve skute\u010dnosti pracuje, je p\u0159\u00edprava ter\u00e9nu pro politick\u00e9 represe. Na jerevansk\u00e9m n\u00e1m\u011bst\u00ed Republiky to v\u0159elo. Rozzu\u0159en\u00ed demonstranti \u2013 pozd\u011bji rozehnan\u00ed \u2013 skandovali \u201eNikol je zr\u00e1dkyn\u011b\u201c. \u201eNikol\u201c ze sv\u00e9ho bunkru volala na pomoc Mal\u00e9ho Blinkena.<\/p>\n

\u0160\u00e9f bloku \u201eMatka Arm\u00e9nie\u201c Tevanjan vyzval k odvol\u00e1n\u00ed Pa\u0161injana. N\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed slu\u017eba Arm\u00e9nie varovala p\u0159ed mo\u017enost\u00ed masov\u00fdch nepokoj\u016f.<\/p>\n

Pa\u0161injan byl ve skute\u010dnosti neomyln\u00fd: \u201eArm\u00e9nie se nesklon\u00ed p\u0159ed provokacemi a nebude bojovat za N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach\u201c. To ve skute\u010dnosti m\u016f\u017ee zpe\u010detit konec p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu.<\/p>\n

P\u0159i v\u0161ech nep\u0159\u00edjemnostech vnucen\u00fdch ministerstvu zahrani\u010d\u00ed dala Moskva jasn\u011b najevo, \u017ee to, co Pa\u0161injan prohl\u00e1sil v \u0159\u00edjnu 2022 a znovu v kv\u011btnu 2023, tedy uzn\u00e1n\u00ed \u00e1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 nadvl\u00e1dy nad N\u00e1horn\u00edm Karabachem, zm\u011bnilo podm\u00ednky p\u0159\u00edm\u011b\u0159\u00ed z listopadu 2020.<\/p>\n

Stru\u010dn\u011b \u0159e\u010deno: Pa\u0161injanova parta zaprodala N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach.<\/p>\n

A nic na tom nezm\u011bn\u00ed ani zased\u00e1n\u00ed Rady bezpe\u010dnosti OSN o N\u00e1horn\u00edm Karabachu, kter\u00e9 se uskute\u010dn\u00ed tento \u010dtvrtek.<\/p>\n

Znovu o Majdanu<\/h2>\n

Po rychl\u00e9m v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed se sv\u00fdm miniblitzem si Baku nyn\u00ed p\u011bkn\u011b sed\u00e1 a je p\u0159ipraveno vyjedn\u00e1vat. Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b za sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00edch podm\u00ednek: budeme vyjedn\u00e1vat a\u017e pot\u00e9, co kapitulujete.<\/p>\n

\u00c1zerb\u00e1jd\u017e\u00e1nsk\u00e9 ministerstvo zahrani\u010d\u00ed p\u0159e\u0161lo rovnou k v\u011bci: jedinou \u201ecestou k m\u00edru\u201c je \u00fapln\u00e9 sta\u017een\u00ed arm\u00e9nsk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch sil z N\u00e1horn\u00edho Karabachu a rozpu\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed re\u017eimu ve St\u011bpanakertu.<\/p>\n

Je docela mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee s t\u00edm bude souhlasit v\u011bt\u0161ina Arm\u00e9n\u016f (pr\u016fzkumy zat\u00edm nejsou k dispozici). O\u017eehav\u00fd, ne\u0159e\u0161iteln\u00fd probl\u00e9m bude p\u0159ece \u201evy\u0159e\u0161en\u201c a \u017eivot se vr\u00e1t\u00ed do norm\u00e1ln\u00edch kolej\u00ed. Jist\u00e9 je jen jedno: Vinu za to ponese Rusko, nikoli Pa\u0161injanova parta.<\/p>\n

Nen\u00ed divu, \u017ee celou v\u011bc\u00a0dokonale shrnul<\/a>\u00a0a\u017e v\u011b\u010dn\u011b odv\u00e1zan\u00fd Dmitrij Medved\u011bv, m\u00edstop\u0159edseda rusk\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed rady:<\/p>\n

\u201eJednoho dne mi jeden z m\u00fdch koleg\u016f z bratrsk\u00e9 zem\u011b \u0159ekl: ‚No, j\u00e1 jsem pro v\u00e1s cizinec, vy m\u011b nep\u0159ijmete‘. Odpov\u011bd\u011bl jsem, co jsem musel: ‚Nebudeme soudit podle \u017eivotopisu, ale podle \u010din\u016f‘. Pak prohr\u00e1l v\u00e1lku, ale kupodivu z\u016fstal na m\u00edst\u011b. Pak se rozhodl obvinit Rusko ze sv\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 por\u00e1\u017eky. Pak se vzdal \u010d\u00e1sti \u00fazem\u00ed sv\u00e9 zem\u011b. Pak se rozhodl koketovat s NATO a jeho \u017eena vyz\u00fdvav\u011b vyrazila k na\u0161im nep\u0159\u00e1tel\u016fm s kol\u00e1\u010dky.<\/p>\n

H\u00e1dejte, jak\u00fd osud ho \u010dek\u00e1…\u201c<\/p>\n

Pokud jde o to, jak se toto drama odehraje uvnit\u0159 Ruska, je docela dob\u0159e mo\u017en\u00e9, \u017ee vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee Baku a Jerevan z\u0159ejm\u011b jednaj\u00ed ve shod\u011b, aby Rusko z t\u00e9to \u010d\u00e1sti Zakavkazska vystrnadily, rusk\u00e9 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9 m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed se nakonec m\u016f\u017ee spokojit i s my\u0161lenkou, \u017ee ji nadobro opust\u00ed, a to ve prosp\u011bch Hegemona a Turk\u016f.<\/p>\n

Kreml v\u0161ak samoz\u0159ejm\u011b m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed \u2013 nevyzpytateln\u00e9 \u2013 p\u0159edstavy.<\/p>\n

\n

Fire in Transcaucasia \u2013 Again<\/a> vy\u0161el na Strategic Culture 20.9.2023. P\u0159eklad\u00a0Zvedavec.org<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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Pa\u0161injan\u016fv okruh, kter\u00fd m\u00e1 velmi bl\u00edzko k Sorosov\u011b part\u011b, ve skute\u010dnosti opustil N\u00e1horn\u00ed Karabach nejm\u00e9n\u011b…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":36590,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1730,2965,22,5972],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36797"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36797"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36797\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36590"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36797"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36797"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36797"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}