{"id":35358,"date":"2023-09-02T06:03:15","date_gmt":"2023-09-02T04:03:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=35358"},"modified":"2023-09-02T06:03:15","modified_gmt":"2023-09-02T04:03:15","slug":"andrew-korybko-plan-viveka-ramaswamyho-na-ukonceni-valky-mezi-nato-a-ruskem-na-ukrajine-je-pragmaticky","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/09\/02\/andrew-korybko-plan-viveka-ramaswamyho-na-ukonceni-valky-mezi-nato-a-ruskem-na-ukrajine-je-pragmaticky\/","title":{"rendered":"Andrew Korybko: Pl\u00e1n Viveka Ramaswamyho na ukon\u010den\u00ed v\u00e1lky mezi NATO a Ruskem na Ukrajin\u011b je pragmatick\u00fd"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Pokud p\u0159ijme nemo\u017enost Rusko opustit oboustrann\u011b v\u00fdhodnou spolupr\u00e1ci s \u010c\u00ednou a p\u0159ipust\u00ed, \u017ee ke zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b tak\u00e9 nedojde, zbytek jeho n\u00e1vrh\u016f by mohl tvo\u0159it parametry potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed rusko-americk\u00e9 dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed jejich z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Z\u00e1stupn\u00e1\u00a0<\/a>v\u00e1lka\u00a0<\/a>NATO\u00a0<\/span>-Rusko\u00a0<\/span><\/a>na Ukrajin\u011b sm\u011b\u0159uje od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku k patov\u00e9 situaci pot\u00e9, co rostouc\u00ed n\u00e1skok Moskvy v\u00a0\u201ez\u00e1vod\u011b logistiky\u201c\/\u201eopot\u0159ebovac\u00ed v\u00e1lce\u201c\u00a0<\/a>zajistil, \u017ee nebude pora\u017eena.\u00a0Nen\u00ed v\u0161ak pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by NATO bylo pora\u017eeno, proto\u017ee pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b zas\u00e1hne p\u0159\u00edmo \u2013 a\u0165 u\u017e jako celek, nebo prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm polsk\u00e9 mise\u00a0<\/a>,\u00a0kter\u00e1\u00a0vt\u00e1hne\u00a0<\/a>blok\u00a0<\/a>prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm \u010dl\u00e1nku 5 \u2013 aby zmrazila linii kontaktu v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee Rusko dos\u00e1hne pr\u016flom a hroz\u00ed, \u017ee se pro\u017eene Ukrajinou.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Velkolep\u00e9 selh\u00e1n\u00ed protiofenz\u00edvy\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a\u00a0<\/span>n\u00e1sledn\u011b\u00a0<\/span>krut\u00e1 hra na vin\u011b\u00a0<\/span><\/a>mezi USA a Ukrajinou siln\u011b nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee do konce roku budou obnoveny rozhovory s Ruskem o zmrazen\u00ed konfliktu.\u00a0Ne\u017e k tomu dojde, tito v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00ed spojenci se zb\u011bsile sna\u017e\u00ed p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010dit sv\u00e9 vlastn\u00ed lidi, \u017ee za tento debakl je odpov\u011bdn\u00fd ten druh\u00fd, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 formuluj\u00ed atraktivn\u00ed postkonfliktn\u00ed vizi budoucnosti.\u00a0Prvn\u00edmu slou\u017e\u00ed jejich krut\u00e1 hra na obvi\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed, zat\u00edmco o druh\u00e9m se nyn\u00ed bude diskutovat.<\/span><\/p>\n

Republik\u00e1nsk\u00fd prezidentsk\u00fd kandid\u00e1t Vivek Ramaswamy, kter\u00fd je nyn\u00ed\u00a0<\/span>po\u00a0v\u00edt\u011bzstv\u00ed v debat\u011b z minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne\u00a0<\/a><\/span>t\u0159et\u00ed\u00a0<\/span><\/a>a d\u0159\u00edve p\u0159itahoval obrovskou pozornost m\u00e9di\u00ed pro svou otev\u0159enost v citliv\u00fdch ot\u00e1zk\u00e1ch, pr\u00e1v\u011b publikoval svou \u201e\u00a0Viable Realism & Revival Doctrine\u00a0<\/a>\u201c v \u010dl\u00e1nku pro The American Conservative.\u00a0Pro tento \u010dl\u00e1nek je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd jeho pl\u00e1n na ukon\u010den\u00ed z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky NATO-Rusko.\u00a0Liber\u00e1ln\u011b\u00a0<\/a>–\u00a0globalisti\u010dt\u00ed\u00a0<\/a>politici a jejich medi\u00e1ln\u00ed spojenci reagovali zu\u0159iv\u011b a nen\u00ed t\u011b\u017ek\u00e9 pochopit pro\u010d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ramaswamy popisuje konflikt jako \u201ev\u00e1lku bez v\u00fdher\u201c, kter\u00e1 zbyte\u010dn\u011b vy\u010derp\u00e1v\u00e1 z\u00e1padn\u00ed z\u00e1soby ve prosp\u011bch \u010c\u00edny.\u00a0S c\u00edlem \u00fa\u010dinn\u011bji udr\u017eet lidovou republiku v Asii a Tichomo\u0159\u00ed proto navrhuje co nejd\u0159\u00edve vymanit USA z jejich z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky s Ruskem.\u00a0Za t\u00edmto \u00fa\u010delem navrhuje uznat novou pozemn\u00ed realitu ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b, ukon\u010dit roz\u0161i\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed NATO, odm\u00edtnout p\u0159ijmout Ukrajinu do bloku, zru\u0161it sankce a nechat Evropu n\u00e9st b\u0159emeno za svou vlastn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Explicitn\u00edm c\u00edlem je \u201ep\u0159im\u011bt Putina, aby shodil Si \u0164in-pchinga\u201c, a proto \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee \u201equid pro quo\u201c je \u201eRusko opou\u0161t\u00ed svou vojenskou alianci s \u010c\u00ednou\u201c.\u00a0Ramaswamy je p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den, \u017ee jeho pl\u00e1n \u201epov\u00fd\u0161\u00ed Rusko jako strategickou kontrolu \u010d\u00ednsk\u00fdch n\u00e1vrh\u016f ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Asii\u201c, pokud bude implementov\u00e1n do praxe, ale probl\u00e9mem je, \u017ee mezi t\u011bmito dv\u011bma neexistuje \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 takov\u00e1 \u201evojensk\u00e1 aliance\u201c.\u00a0Nav\u00edc je nerealistick\u00e9 p\u0159edstavovat si, \u017ee USA \u201ep\u0159im\u011bj\u00ed Putina, aby Xiho shodil\u201c, proto\u017ee jsou dobr\u00fdmi p\u0159\u00e1teli a jejich zem\u011b jsou strategick\u00fdmi partnery.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Po vyjasn\u011bn\u00ed, \u017ee tento pl\u00e1n m\u00e1 sv\u00e9 opodstatn\u011bn\u00ed.\u00a0Z rusk\u00e9 strany zaji\u0161\u0165uje objektivn\u00ed n\u00e1rodn\u00ed bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1jmy t\u00e9to zem\u011b a d\u00e1v\u00e1 j\u00ed mo\u017enost spolehnout se na EU, \u017ee zru\u0161en\u00edm sankc\u00ed preventivn\u011b odvr\u00e1t\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u011b nep\u0159im\u011b\u0159enou ekonomickou z\u00e1vislost na \u010c\u00edn\u011b.\u00a0Na dom\u00e1c\u00ed front\u011b Ramaswamyho pl\u00e1n oslovuje pragmatickou politickou frakci, jej\u00ed\u017e vliv je na vzestupu, jak dokazuje letn\u00ed \u00fasp\u011bch jejich politiky v\u016f\u010di Indii, kter\u00e1 byla podrobn\u011b pops\u00e1na\u00a0<\/span>zde\u00a0<\/span><\/a>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed nemohlo b\u00fdt lep\u0161\u00ed.\u00a0USA hledaj\u00ed zp\u016fsob, jak \u201ezachr\u00e1nit tv\u00e1\u0159\u201c, jak obnovit m\u00edrov\u00e9 rozhovory, jak bylo d\u0159\u00edve vysv\u011btleno, a rostouc\u00ed vliv pragmatick\u00fdch politik\u016f by mohl v\u00e9st k tomu, \u017ee by p\u0159ehlasovali n\u00e1mitky liber\u00e1ln\u00edch globalist\u016f proti tomu, i kdy\u017e by se jejich rivalov\u00e9 mohli st\u00e1le sna\u017eit sabotovat. tento.\u00a0Obrovsk\u00e1 pozornost m\u00e9di\u00ed, kterou Ramaswamy ji\u017e vyvolal, nemluv\u011b o tom, \u010deho se mu nyn\u00ed dost\u00e1v\u00e1 v d\u016fsledku jeho n\u00e1vrhu, by mohla p\u0159etvo\u0159it n\u00e1rodn\u00ed diskurz o konci z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 jsou z tohoto konfliktu unaven\u00ed, ale dosud nikdo nevyslovil atraktivn\u00ed postkonfliktn\u00ed vizi budoucnosti.\u00a0Bez ohledu na Ramaswamyho politickou budoucnost slou\u017e\u00ed jeho pl\u00e1n k podn\u00edcen\u00ed \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed konverzace na v\u0161ech \u00farovn\u00edch o pragmatismu kompromisu s Ruskem s c\u00edlem uvolnit USA pro \u00fa\u010dinn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010c\u00edny v asijsko-pacifick\u00e9 oblasti.\u00a0To m\u016f\u017ee zase usnadnit obnoven\u00ed rozhovor\u016f s Ruskem, zvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b pokud to povzbud\u00ed pragmatick\u00e9 tv\u016frce politiky USA.<\/span><\/p>\n

Zlomysln\u00e1 hra na obvi\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed mezi USA a Ukrajinou ohledn\u011b ne\u00fasp\u011bchu protiofenz\u00edvy vede nevyhnuteln\u011b k tomu, kdo je odpov\u011bdn\u00fd za prohru t\u00e9to z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e to v\u0161e p\u0159edch\u00e1z\u00ed americk\u00e9 formulaci atraktivn\u00ed postkonfliktn\u00ed vize budoucnosti pro jej\u00ed lid i pro politiky. .\u00a0Prvn\u00ed dynamika se neust\u00e1le zesiluje a ka\u017ed\u00fdm dnem se dost\u00e1v\u00e1 na titulky, zat\u00edmco druh\u00e1 se tak\u00e9 v sou\u010dasnosti rozv\u00edj\u00ed, ale v\u011bt\u0161inou v tichosti, a pr\u00e1v\u011b k t\u00e9to dynamice p\u0159isp\u00edv\u00e1 Ramaswamyho pl\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pokud p\u0159ijme nemo\u017enost Ruska opustit oboustrann\u011b v\u00fdhodnou spolupr\u00e1ci s \u010c\u00ednou a p\u0159ipust\u00ed, \u017ee ke zru\u0161en\u00ed sankc\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b tak\u00e9 nedojde, zbytek jeho n\u00e1vrh\u016f by mohl tvo\u0159it parametry potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed rusko-americk\u00e9 dohody o ukon\u010den\u00ed jejich z\u00e1stupn\u00e9 v\u00e1lky na Ukrajin\u011b.\u00a0Tato b\u00fdval\u00e1 sov\u011btsk\u00e1 republika by nevstoupila do NATO, ani by se tento blok d\u00e1le neroz\u0161i\u0159oval a Z\u00e1pad by de facto uznal novou pozemn\u00ed realitu ve v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evrop\u011b, zat\u00edmco EU ponese b\u0159emeno za svou bezpe\u010dnost.<\/span><\/p>\n

Rusko by samoz\u0159ejm\u011b muselo v tomto sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159i tak\u00e9 souhlasit s n\u011bkter\u00fdmi region\u00e1ln\u00edmi kompromisy, jako je privilegovan\u00fd postkonfliktn\u00ed vztah Ukrajiny s NATO a tvrd\u00e9 bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed z\u00e1ruky, kter\u00e9 anglo\u00a0<\/span>-americk\u00e1 osa\u00a0<\/span><\/a>pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b poskytne, ale ty by mohly b\u00fdt p\u0159ijateln\u00e9, pokud jsou jej\u00ed jin\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy se setkal.\u00a0Pokud v tomto sm\u011bru dojde k n\u011bjak\u00e9mu pohybu, pak by to nem\u011blo b\u00fdt \u0161kodolib\u011b spout\u00e1no, kdy\u017e se Rusko spiklo, aby usnadnilo zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010c\u00edny Spojen\u00fdmi st\u00e1ty, ale m\u011blo by b\u00fdt vid\u011bt, jak to ve skute\u010dnosti je: Rusko stav\u00ed sv\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy na prvn\u00ed m\u00edsto.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Pokud p\u0159ijme nemo\u017enost Rusko opustit oboustrann\u011b v\u00fdhodnou spolupr\u00e1ci s \u010c\u00ednou a p\u0159ipust\u00ed, \u017ee ke zru\u0161en\u00ed…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":35359,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[1042,30,39,22,26],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35358"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35358"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35358\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35359"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35358"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35358"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35358"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}