{"id":34679,"date":"2023-08-25T01:10:49","date_gmt":"2023-08-24T23:10:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/?p=34679"},"modified":"2023-08-24T16:02:47","modified_gmt":"2023-08-24T14:02:47","slug":"problemy-pred-nami-indikator-soku-ukazuje-ze-nemecka-ekonomika-by-mohla-smerovat-ke-krachu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/2023\/08\/25\/problemy-pred-nami-indikator-soku-ukazuje-ze-nemecka-ekonomika-by-mohla-smerovat-ke-krachu\/","title":{"rendered":"Probl\u00e9my p\u0159ed n\u00e1mi: Indik\u00e1tor \u0161oku ukazuje, \u017ee n\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika by mohla sm\u011b\u0159ovat ke krachu"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>N\u011bmecko vstoupilo letos do recese, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e kritici poukazuj\u00ed na politiku levicov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy v zemi jako na \u017eiven\u00ed krize<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 ekonomick\u00e1 data, kter\u00e1 klesla na \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed n\u00edzkou \u00farove\u0148, p\u0159im\u011bla mnoho ekonom\u016f k tomu, \u017ee to nejhor\u0161\u00ed \u010dek\u00e1 N\u011bmecko.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmeck\u00fd index n\u00e1kupn\u00edch mana\u017eer\u016f HCOB (PMI) ve st\u0159edu pr\u00e1v\u011b klesl ze 48,5 na 44,7 bodu.\u00a0Ukazatel je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za spolehlivou p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f v\u00fdvoje n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky v bl\u00edzk\u00e9 budoucnosti, proto\u017ee je m\u011b\u0159\u00edtkem d\u016fv\u011bry v ekonomiku ze strany pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch a obchodn\u00edch zasv\u011bcenc\u016f.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Tito n\u00e1kupn\u00ed mana\u017ee\u0159i pracuj\u00ed ve spole\u010dnostech po cel\u00e9m N\u011bmecku, a kdy\u017e jsou dobr\u00e9 \u010dasy, agresivn\u011b nakupuj\u00ed materi\u00e1ly, zbo\u017e\u00ed a zdroje v o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee popt\u00e1vka z\u016fstane siln\u00e1.\u00a0Nicm\u00e9n\u011b tak\u00e9 utahuj\u00ed pen\u011b\u017eenku, kdy\u017e v\u011b\u0159\u00ed, \u017ee ekonomika sm\u011b\u0159uje na jih.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Datov\u00fd bod HCOB ukazuje, \u017ee mana\u017ee\u0159i n\u00e1kupu v sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dob\u011b m\u00e1lo v\u011b\u0159\u00ed v budoucnost n\u011bmeck\u00e9 ekonomiky a naopak tato ned\u016fv\u011bra by mohla v\u00e9st k dal\u0161\u00ed erozi d\u016fv\u011bry.\u00a0HCOB PMI nyn\u00ed klesl \u010dtvrt\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc v \u0159ad\u011b a dostal se na nejni\u017e\u0161\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 od kv\u011btna 2020. Toto datum je pozoruhodn\u00e9, proto\u017ee tehdy zu\u0159ila pandemie Covid-19 a n\u011bmeck\u00e1 ekonomika se \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u011b zastavila, Die Welt\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"ek-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.welt.de\/wirtschaft\/plus247051736\/Konjunktur-Diese-Zahl-zeigt-Deutschlands-beschleunigten-Absturz.html\"><span>zpr\u00e1vy<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div class='videoWrapper'>\r\n\t            <iframe src='https:\/\/rumble.com\/embed\/pj.v2ok3o6\/' frameborder='0' allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\r\n\t        <\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span>Je\u0161t\u011b dramati\u010dt\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je, co odhal\u00ed detailn\u00ed pohled na sektory.\u00a0Nap\u0159\u00edklad PMI pro pr\u016fmyslov\u00fd sektor se zv\u00fd\u0161il minim\u00e1ln\u011b, z propastn\u00fdch 38,8 bod\u016f na sotva m\u00e9n\u011b propastn\u00fdch 39,1 bod\u016f.\u00a0Toto m\u00edrn\u00e9 zlep\u0161en\u00ed v\u0161ak nen\u00ed d\u016fvodem k oslav\u00e1m.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eP\u0159i pohledu na index n\u00e1kupn\u00edch mana\u017eer\u016f pro v\u00fdrobn\u00ed sektor v\u00e1m uprost\u0159ed l\u00e9ta mraz\u00ed,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Thomas Gitzel, hlavn\u00ed ekonom VP Bank.\u00a0\u201ePr\u016fmysl nad\u00e1le trp\u00ed slab\u00fdm glob\u00e1ln\u00edm ekonomick\u00fdm rozvojem, vysok\u00fdmi \u00farokov\u00fdmi sazbami a geopolitick\u00fdm nap\u011bt\u00edm.\u00a0To se prozat\u00edm nezm\u011bn\u00ed.&#8220;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>PMI je vn\u00edm\u00e1n jako kan\u00e1rek v uheln\u00e9m dole, kter\u00fd reaguje na zm\u011bnu celkov\u00e9ho ekonomick\u00e9ho prost\u0159ed\u00ed.\u00a0Nevyjad\u0159uje se v procentech, ale je to absolutn\u00ed \u010d\u00edslo s hodnotou mezi 0 a 100, kde jak\u00e9koli \u010d\u00edslo nad 50 procent ukazuje r\u016fst a pod 50 znamen\u00e1 pokles.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>N\u011bmecko vstoupilo letos do recese, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e kritici poukazuj\u00ed na politiku levicov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy zem\u011b jako na \u017eiven\u00ed krize.\u00a0N\u011bmecko se po desetilet\u00ed spol\u00e9halo na levn\u00fd zemn\u00ed plyn z Ruska, aby poh\u00e1n\u011blo svou pr\u016fmyslovou z\u00e1kladnu a udr\u017eovalo inflaci na uzd\u011b, ale nyn\u00ed je N\u011bmecko a mnoho dal\u0161\u00edch evropsk\u00fdch zem\u00ed st\u00e1le v\u00edce z\u00e1visl\u00e9 na drah\u00fdch dod\u00e1vk\u00e1ch energie ze Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f a Bl\u00edzk\u00e9ho v\u00fdchodu.\u00a0Ve stejn\u00e9 dob\u011b N\u011bmecko postupn\u011b ukon\u010dilo jadernou energetiku,\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"ek-link\" href=\"https:\/\/rmx.news\/germany\/germanys-elderly-at-increasingly-higher-risk-of-poverty-as-country-spends-e36-billion-on-migrants-in-2023-alone\/\"><span>pustilo se do n\u00e1kladn\u00e9ho migra\u010dn\u00edho experimentu<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0a prosazuje\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"ek-link\" href=\"https:\/\/rmx.news\/commentary\/a-green-germany-means-a-weaker-europe\/\"><span>c\u00edle zelen\u00e9 energie, o nich\u017e pr\u016fmysl varuje, \u017ee potop\u00ed n\u011bmeckou ekonomiku<\/span><\/a><span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"PM Orb\u00e1n Explains Why Hungary Rejects Sanctions on Russia\" width=\"640\" height=\"480\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/pvjYvmatN8o?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span>\u00dadaje PMI ukazuj\u00ed, \u017ee i sektor slu\u017eeb, kter\u00fd je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za oblast, o n\u00ed\u017e vl\u00e1da doufala, \u017ee podpo\u0159\u00ed n\u011bmeckou ekonomiku, je rovn\u011b\u017e v probl\u00e9mech.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u201eV pr\u016fmyslu z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed v\u00fdstra\u017en\u00e1 sv\u011btla sv\u00edtit \u010derven\u011b i p\u0159es sotva znateln\u00e9 zlep\u0161en\u00ed a dokonce i poskytovatel\u00e9 slu\u017eeb hl\u00e1s\u00ed znateln\u00fd pokles podnik\u00e1n\u00ed,\u201c \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Christoph Swonke, ekonomick\u00fd analytik DZ Bank.\u00a0&#8222;V polovin\u011b t\u0159et\u00edho \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed tak v\u00fdsledky pr\u016fzkumu signalizuj\u00ed v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 oslaben\u00ed celkov\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 aktivity.&#8220;<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>V \u010dervencov\u00e9 progn\u00f3ze MMF bylo N\u011bmecko ji\u017e jedinou industrializovanou zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 MMF p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u011bl recesi.\u00a0Tehdy to alespo\u0148 vypadalo na m\u00edrn\u00e9 zpomalen\u00ed, ale nyn\u00ed se zd\u00e1, \u017ee se to m\u011bn\u00ed v po\u0159\u00e1dn\u00fd krach.\u00a0N\u011bmecko si nad\u00e1le vede v\u00fdrazn\u011b h\u016f\u0159e ne\u017e zbytek Evropy.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-1185\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/kuryr-podpis.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"84\" height=\"24\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-33819 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1-300x157.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1362\" height=\"713\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1-768x402.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/ces1.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1362px) 100vw, 1362px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/stranapro.cz\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-30218 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1367\" height=\"164\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner-768x93.png 768w, https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/PRO-banner.png 849w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1367px) 100vw, 1367px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>N\u011bmecko vstoupilo letos do recese, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e kritici poukazuj\u00ed na politiku levicov\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy v zemi jako&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":27855,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[7],"tags":[59,371,84,3616],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34679"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=34679"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/34679\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27855"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=34679"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=34679"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.infokuryr.cz\/n\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=34679"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}